Flaky-Mortise — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

+$10

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

71.0%

Resolved (90d)

120

Trades (90d)

206

366 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$916

$1.31K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-20

last 10-31 06:04

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 53 days

Categories

Crypto

66% 44% +$13

Sports

22% 45% +$10

Other

11% 22% -$37

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

21 active days in 12wk • peak 81 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	3	$40	40	40	+0	Up	$0	10-12 04:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	3	$35	41	29	+11	Up	-$5	10-13 04:19
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	4	$34	23	23	+0	Yes	+$4	07-19 21:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	3	$31	31	31	+0	Up	+$27	10-12 00:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	2	$30	22	22	+0	Up	+$8	10-12 04:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	3	$29	42	42	+0	Up	-$11	10-12 04:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	5	$29	37	26	+11	Down	+$5	10-12 04:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	2	$29	20	20	+0	Up	+$9	10-12 04:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	2	$29	20	20	+0	Up	+$9	10-13 02:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	2	$28	20	20	+0	Up	+$8	10-13 02:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	5	$28	30	26	+5	Down	+$2	10-12 04:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	2	$27	20	20	+0	Up	+$7	10-13 02:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	2	$27	20	20	+0	Up	+$7	10-13 01:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	2	$26	20	20	+0	Down	+$6	10-12 05:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	2	$25	20	20	+0	Up	+$5	10-12 04:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	2	$25	20	20	+0	Up	+$5	10-12 05:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	2	$24	20	20	+0	Up	+$4	10-13 02:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	3	$24	23	20	+3	Down	+$2	10-12 04:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	2	$23	20	20	+0	Down	+$3	10-12 04:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	2	$23	16	16	+0	Down	+$3	10-12 05:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	2	$23	20	20	+0	Up	+$3	10-12 19:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	2	$22	20	20	+0	Up	+$2	10-12 04:57
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	3	$22	57	57	+0	No	+$2	07-12 02:19
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	4	$21	18	18	+0	open	—	06-24 03:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	1	$15	31	0	+31	Down	-$15	10-13 02:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	2	$14	10	10	+0	Up	+$4	10-13 01:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	2	$14	10	10	+0	Up	+$4	10-13 01:52
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?	3	$14	9	9	+0	Yes	+$4	05-30 19:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	2	$13	10	10	+0	Up	+$3	10-13 01:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	2	$13	10	10	+0	Up	+$3	10-13 04:16

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-31 06:04:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x9a70ff…
10-31 06:03:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	353	0¢	$1	0xda6fc0…
10-31 05:48:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xb10054…
10-31 05:46:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	SELL	6	65¢	$4	0x3156e2…
10-31 05:42:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0xa9a332…
10-31 05:40:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	SELL	6	68¢	$4	0xb10a79…
10-31 05:38:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0xa2ad25…
10-31 05:36:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x2044d9…
10-31 05:28:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x9da738…
10-31 05:26:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	SELL	2	56¢	$1	0xaf941f…
10-31 05:24:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xc52e0c…
10-31 05:16:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	SELL	2	51¢	$1	0x5c7aaf…
10-31 05:14:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x0cd3d4…
10-31 05:09:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x06bf71…
10-31 05:04:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x7756c1…
10-31 05:01:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	SELL	2	14¢	$0	0x04ec41…
10-31 04:59:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xe91ef7…
10-31 04:55:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	SELL	2	62¢	$1	0x0c231f…
10-31 04:52:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x56f5a6…
10-31 04:50:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x1fa248…
10-31 04:50:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	SELL	2	62¢	$1	0xfe54c1…
10-31 04:48:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xab7687…
10-31 04:46:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	SELL	2	77¢	$2	0x874f04…
10-31 04:45:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x35047b…
10-31 04:42:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Down	SELL	2	58¢	$1	0x97500d…
10-31 04:38:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xfa8ac1…
10-31 04:37:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	SELL	5	12¢	$1	0x2bc71b…
10-31 04:37:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x8c8e20…
10-31 04:35:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xb80409…
10-31 04:35:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Down	SELL	2	79¢	$2	0x8d526b…
10-31 04:31:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xad3b3b…
10-31 04:27:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Down	SELL	2	58¢	$1	0x581e46…
10-31 04:27:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x91230d…
10-31 04:25:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xa3d513…
10-31 04:24:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	SELL	2	53¢	$1	0x5b9af8…
10-31 04:22:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x5509fa…
10-31 04:16:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x130cc1…
10-13 04:38:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x1e48c0…
10-13 04:37:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	SELL	4	77¢	$3	0x2e03fb…
10-13 04:33:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x449b53…
10-13 04:29:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x2693ec…
10-13 04:28:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x23d52f…
10-13 04:19:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Down	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x2d559b…
10-13 04:18:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Down	SELL	29	51¢	$15	0x9a7e6f…
10-13 04:16:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Down	BUY	29	51¢	$15	0x6c9d26…
10-13 04:16:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	SELL	10	81¢	$8	0x59baf3…
10-13 04:12:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x5971da…
10-13 04:06:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x807cda…
10-13 04:05:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	SELL	10	78¢	$8	0xd486cd…
10-13 04:02:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x4b06fa…
10-13 04:01:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Up	SELL	10	71¢	$7	0x867d5c…
10-13 03:58:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xc8a4a1…
10-13 02:29:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x78afdd…
10-13 02:24:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	31	49¢	$15	0xccf6e9…
10-13 02:23:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	SELL	20	70¢	$14	0x6809da…
10-13 02:17:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xc2db5f…
10-13 02:16:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	SELL	20	85¢	$17	0x09937f…
10-13 02:12:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xfae378…
10-13 02:11:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	SELL	20	94¢	$19	0x99de3b…
10-13 02:07:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x005c37…
10-13 02:07:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	SELL	20	92¢	$18	0x389e10…
10-13 02:02:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x789fb3…
10-13 02:02:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	SELL	10	55¢	$5	0x3eb317…
10-13 01:56:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x490792…
10-13 01:55:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	SELL	10	84¢	$8	0x87ccb9…
10-13 01:53:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xf9a129…
10-13 01:52:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	SELL	10	90¢	$9	0x6f6d42…
10-13 01:48:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x9877ae…
10-13 01:42:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xb7323c…
10-13 01:42:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	SELL	20	86¢	$17	0xd3fa5b…
10-13 01:38:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x8ab19c…
10-13 01:32:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x495632…
10-13 01:28:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	SELL	10	44¢	$4	0x228f62…
10-13 01:28:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x9158f3…
10-13 01:23:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x2d9dab…
10-13 01:17:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x13676f…
10-13 01:16:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	SELL	10	94¢	$9	0x02a6ae…
10-13 01:13:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x99531c…
10-13 01:08:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x43907a…
10-12 20:33:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	12	52¢	$6	0x18bb1d…
10-12 19:45:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	SELL	20	64¢	$13	0x5b3311…
10-12 19:43:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x820afb…
10-12 05:22:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	SELL	16	82¢	$13	0xd4efe1…
10-12 05:20:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0xbfb7ad…
10-12 05:11:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	SELL	20	84¢	$16	0xabdfc5…
10-12 05:06:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xfb400e…
10-12 05:01:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	SELL	20	74¢	$15	0x3eeef4…
10-12 04:59:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x5495ff…
10-12 04:57:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	SELL	20	60¢	$12	0x362e0e…
10-12 04:54:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x191d1e…
10-12 04:53:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	SELL	42	22¢	$9	0x0ffb4d…
10-12 04:50:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0x9fd908…
10-12 04:49:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xc2842d…
10-12 04:41:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Up	SELL	40	50¢	$20	0x97053e…
10-12 04:39:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x513a30…
10-12 04:38:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xc7a894…
10-12 04:36:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	SELL	20	96¢	$19	0x48c857…
10-12 04:33:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x7a882e…
10-12 04:30:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	SELL	22	85¢	$19	0x0c4743…
10-12 04:28:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	BUY	22	50¢	$11	0x1ac9f1…