Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET
Down won
Total volume
$31,110
Trades
3,638
Unique wallets
715
Liquidity
$0
Latest YES mid
17¢
Latest NO mid
83¢
End date
2026-10-12
First seen
2026-10-12
last 10-12 04:11
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Not enough snapshot data yet — the snapshot daemon polls every 5 min.
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+0.8¢
(top1%: 17% YES on $14.8K
vs crowd: 16% YES on $28.2K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 147 | $2.7K | $15.0K | $12.3K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 200 | $969 | $5.7K | $4.7K |
| 🐟 Fish | 221 | $404 | $2.0K | $1.6K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 147 | $475 | $958 | $483 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 152 | $2.5K | $12.3K | $9.8K |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 87 | $239 | $3.6K | $3.4K |
| ✅ Top 10% | 24 | $63 | $348 | $285 |
| Median | 35 | $32 | $125 | $93 |
| Below median | 163 | $151 | $946 | $794 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 112 | $227 | $1.1K | $920 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 92 | $644 | $2.5K | $1.9K |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 50 | $668 | $2.7K | $2.0K |
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (anonymous) 0xf8be…ce90 | Down | +2,000 | $1,980 | $1,980 | 1 | 10-12 04:09 |
| (anonymous) 0x41e2…a354 | Down | +1,334 | $1,124 | $1,124 | 42 | 10-12 04:09 |
| Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30 | Up | +1,275 | $116 | $116 | 12 | 10-12 04:09 |
| (anonymous) 0x3ca2…56a0 | Up | +1,211 | $296 | $296 | 3 | 10-12 04:05 |
| (anonymous) 0x41e2…a354 | Up | +1,164 | $194 | $194 | 62 | 10-12 04:09 |
| (anonymous) 0x3048…7537 | Up | +846 | $133 | $133 | 25 | 10-12 04:09 |
| (anonymous) 0xbfaa…e9b4 | Down | +822 | $420 | $420 | 1 | 10-12 04:00 |
| (anonymous) 0x3048…7537 | Down | +821 | $613 | $613 | 31 | 10-12 04:09 |
| (anonymous) 0x239e…1c10 | Up | +742 | $61 | $61 | 53 | 10-12 04:09 |
| Vague-Hourglass 0x21f4…691d | Up | +681 | $82 | $82 | 35 | 10-12 04:09 |
| Vague-Hourglass 0x21f4…691d | Down | +671 | $581 | $581 | 29 | 10-12 04:09 |
| Artistic-Design 0x55ae…f5df | Up | +600 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 10-12 04:09 |
| Windy-Turban 0xe290…a33f | Down | +594 | $477 | $477 | 29 | 10-12 04:08 |
| (anonymous) 0x9e3e…f882 | Down | +580 | $542 | $542 | 5 | 10-12 04:08 |
| Windy-Turban 0xe290…a33f | Up | +568 | $119 | $119 | 64 | 10-12 04:07 |
| (anonymous) 0xe3ee…5176 | Up | +530 | $136 | $139 | 9 | 10-12 04:08 |
| (anonymous) 0xc533…69a9 | Up | +509 | $93 | $93 | 27 | 10-12 04:08 |
| Cold-Blackboard 0xd66f…3610 | Up | +502 | $120 | $120 | 6 | 10-12 04:06 |
| (anonymous) 0x0ca4…77a6 | Up | +493 | $104 | $104 | 9 | 10-12 04:09 |
| (anonymous) 0xaa1a…0602 | Up | +468 | $98 | $98 | 34 | 10-12 04:08 |
| (anonymous) 0xbf33…6bf7 | Up | +465 | $52 | $52 | 45 | 10-12 04:09 |
| (anonymous) 0x239e…1c10 | Down | +454 | $355 | $355 | 13 | 10-12 04:08 |
| Adventurous-Parole 0xeba7…2d1f | Down | +454 | $449 | $449 | 13 | 10-12 04:10 |
| (anonymous) 0xcd30…2dd0 | Down | +439 | $374 | $374 | 19 | 10-12 04:09 |
| (anonymous) 0x0ca4…77a6 | Down | +436 | $331 | $331 | 14 | 10-12 04:08 |
| Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30 | Down | +432 | $376 | $376 | 4 | 10-12 04:06 |
| (anonymous) 0xb958…f513 | Down | +419 | $355 | $355 | 8 | 10-12 04:09 |
| (anonymous) 0xf9b7…a37c | Down | +415 | $354 | $354 | 19 | 10-12 04:08 |
| Peppery-Digging 0x2ed9…f271 | Down | +415 | $347 | $347 | 8 | 10-12 04:08 |
| (anonymous) 0x6205…4c1e | Up | +401 | $4 | $4 | 6 | 10-12 04:09 |
| (anonymous) 0xa0e7…9461 | Down | +401 | $322 | $322 | 14 | 10-12 04:06 |
| Moral-Roof 0x576b…0cab | Up | +396 | $71 | $71 | 13 | 10-12 04:09 |
| (anonymous) 0x280e…fbd8 | Down | +384 | $309 | $309 | 10 | 10-12 04:08 |
| (anonymous) 0xf9b7…a37c | Up | +373 | $55 | $55 | 29 | 10-12 04:08 |
| Moral-Roof 0x576b…0cab | Down | +365 | $306 | $306 | 4 | 10-12 04:09 |
| (anonymous) 0x54b1…3e83 | Up | +361 | $50 | $50 | 55 | 10-12 04:08 |
| (anonymous) 0xc533…69a9 | Down | +341 | $257 | $257 | 10 | 10-12 04:09 |
| (anonymous) 0x3089…35e4 | Down | +337 | $189 | $189 | 8 | 10-12 04:04 |
| Fitting-Entree 0x86b1…fc87 | Down | +305 | $237 | $237 | 5 | 10-12 04:06 |
| (anonymous) 0x17de…cb7b | Down | +303 | $300 | $300 | 4 | 10-12 04:09 |
| (anonymous) 0xaef6…134f | Down | +300 | $294 | $294 | 1 | 10-12 04:08 |
| Stimulating-Power 0x502b…3b15 | Up | +293 | $142 | $142 | 2 | 10-12 04:00 |
| Humming-Mime 0x18c1…2183 | Up | +291 | $42 | $42 | 43 | 10-12 04:09 |
| Extra-Small-Implement 0xf27d…9a88 | Up | +290 | $13 | $13 | 11 | 10-12 04:08 |
| (anonymous) 0xb958…f513 | Up | +279 | $40 | $40 | 4 | 10-12 04:09 |
| (anonymous) 0x280e…fbd8 | Up | +274 | $53 | $53 | 19 | 10-12 04:08 |
| (anonymous) 0x1292…e5a6 | Up | +268 | $32 | $32 | 2 | 10-12 04:08 |
| Peppery-Digging 0x2ed9…f271 | Up | +260 | $46 | $46 | 8 | 10-12 04:09 |
| (anonymous) 0x1404…de47 | Up | +259 | $35 | $35 | 44 | 10-12 04:09 |
| (anonymous) 0x568b…0b3b | Down | +251 | $205 | $205 | 12 | 10-12 04:09 |
| Humming-Mime 0x18c1…2183 | Down | +249 | $214 | $214 | 29 | 10-12 04:09 |
| (anonymous) 0x1404…de47 | Down | +246 | $200 | $200 | 28 | 10-12 04:08 |
| (anonymous) 0x4c94…ffad | Down | +246 | $216 | $216 | 13 | 10-12 04:08 |
| (anonymous) 0x9e3e…f882 | Up | +235 | $42 | $46 | 4 | 10-12 04:08 |
| (anonymous) 0x5874…32bc | Down | +230 | $200 | $200 | 1 | 10-12 04:06 |
| (anonymous) 0xd844…5908 | Up | +222 | $47 | $47 | 4 | 10-12 04:06 |
| (anonymous) 0x4c23…1092 | Up | +221 | $4 | $20 | 14 | 10-12 04:09 |
| (anonymous) 0xaa1a…0602 | Down | +221 | $177 | $177 | 13 | 10-12 04:07 |
| (anonymous) 0xb543…5d5e | Up | +220 | $50 | $50 | 8 | 10-12 04:08 |
| (anonymous) 0x5e11…5b20 | Down | +218 | $199 | $199 | 1 | 10-12 04:09 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-12 04:11:18 | (anonymous) 0x7dbe…e0eb | Down | SELL | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0xbc3b69… |
| 10-12 04:11:18 | Daring-Connotation 0xba2c…fdda | Down | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0xbc3b69… |
| 10-12 04:11:00 | Daring-Connotation 0xba2c…fdda | Down | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0xb91bab… |
| 10-12 04:11:00 | (anonymous) 0xb9cc…7262 | Down | SELL | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0xb91bab… |
| 10-12 04:10:05 | Adventurous-Parole 0xeba7…2d1f | Down | BUY | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0x20faa9… |
| 10-12 04:10:05 | (anonymous) 0x5f3f…2d32 | Down | SELL | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0x20faa9… |
| 10-12 04:09:54 | (anonymous) 0x4c23…1092 | Up | BUY | 100 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xe82446… |
| 10-12 04:09:54 | Adventurous-Parole 0xeba7…2d1f | Down | BUY | 100 | 99¢ | $99 | 0xe82446… |
| 10-12 04:09:53 | (anonymous) 0xa43e…6936 | Down | SELL | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x3a48ac… |
| 10-12 04:09:53 | Adventurous-Parole 0xeba7…2d1f | Down | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x3a48ac… |
| 10-12 04:09:48 | Adventurous-Parole 0xeba7…2d1f | Down | BUY | 100 | 99¢ | $99 | 0x1c25c0… |
| 10-12 04:09:48 | (anonymous) 0x4c23…1092 | Up | BUY | 100 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x1c25c0… |
| 10-12 04:09:45 | Extra-Large-Comfort 0x6da4…db0a | Down | SELL | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x3a67ea… |
| 10-12 04:09:45 | Adventurous-Parole 0xeba7…2d1f | Down | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x3a67ea… |
| 10-12 04:09:44 | Adventurous-Parole 0xeba7…2d1f | Down | BUY | 7 | 99¢ | $7 | 0x2347ef… |
| 10-12 04:09:44 | (anonymous) 0x9722…39f4 | Down | SELL | 7 | 99¢ | $7 | 0x2347ef… |
| 10-12 04:09:35 | (anonymous) 0xa76e…3466 | Down | SELL | 22 | 99¢ | $22 | 0xff96a5… |
| 10-12 04:09:35 | (anonymous) 0xbc8f…776c | Down | SELL | 102 | 99¢ | $101 | 0xc093de… |
| 10-12 04:09:35 | Adventurous-Parole 0xeba7…2d1f | Down | BUY | 102 | 99¢ | $101 | 0xc093de… |
| 10-12 04:09:35 | Adventurous-Parole 0xeba7…2d1f | Down | BUY | 22 | 99¢ | $22 | 0xff96a5… |
| 10-12 04:09:33 | Adventurous-Parole 0xeba7…2d1f | Down | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0xbc526f… |
| 10-12 04:09:33 | Gigantic-Freedom 0xd89c…04ce | Down | SELL | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0xbc526f… |
| 10-12 04:09:30 | (anonymous) 0xec2c…643e | Down | SELL | 23 | 99¢ | $23 | 0x815669… |
| 10-12 04:09:30 | (anonymous) 0xec35…1d90 | Down | SELL | 16 | 99¢ | $16 | 0x10f510… |
| 10-12 04:09:30 | Adventurous-Parole 0xeba7…2d1f | Down | BUY | 23 | 99¢ | $23 | 0x815669… |
| 10-12 04:09:30 | Adventurous-Parole 0xeba7…2d1f | Down | BUY | 16 | 99¢ | $16 | 0x10f510… |
| 10-12 04:09:29 | Adventurous-Parole 0xeba7…2d1f | Down | BUY | 8 | 99¢ | $8 | 0x8718f5… |
| 10-12 04:09:29 | (anonymous) 0xe803…6ce8 | Down | SELL | 8 | 99¢ | $8 | 0x8718f5… |
| 10-12 04:09:27 | (anonymous) 0x8296…b820 | Up | BUY | 100 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x670539… |
| 10-12 04:09:27 | (anonymous) 0x4256…d2a4 | Down | SELL | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x7fc78d… |
| 10-12 04:09:27 | (anonymous) 0x720b…d2cd | Down | BUY | 23 | 99¢ | $23 | 0x8c5f1f… |
| 10-12 04:09:27 | Posh-Sake 0x62f4…c090 | Down | SELL | 30 | 99¢ | $30 | 0xc2174d… |
| 10-12 04:09:27 | (anonymous) 0x720b…d2cd | Down | BUY | 39 | 99¢ | $39 | 0x670539… |
| 10-12 04:09:27 | (anonymous) 0x720b…d2cd | Down | BUY | 30 | 99¢ | $30 | 0xc2174d… |
| 10-12 04:09:27 | (anonymous) 0x550b…d907 | Down | SELL | 23 | 99¢ | $23 | 0x8c5f1f… |
| 10-12 04:09:27 | (anonymous) 0x720b…d2cd | Down | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x7fc78d… |
| 10-12 04:09:27 | Adventurous-Parole 0xeba7…2d1f | Down | BUY | 61 | 99¢ | $60 | 0x670539… |
| 10-12 04:09:26 | (anonymous) 0x720b…d2cd | Down | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x2ddfaa… |
| 10-12 04:09:26 | (anonymous) 0x720b…d2cd | Down | BUY | 6 | 99¢ | $6 | 0xce36c0… |
| 10-12 04:09:26 | (anonymous) 0x720b…d2cd | Down | BUY | 99 | 99¢ | $98 | 0x8d0cd1… |
| 10-12 04:09:26 | Luminous-Aspect 0x01be…5d96 | Down | SELL | 6 | 99¢ | $6 | 0xce36c0… |
| 10-12 04:09:26 | (anonymous) 0x11f5…55ed | Down | SELL | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x2ddfaa… |
| 10-12 04:09:26 | (anonymous) 0xa17e…efbc | Down | SELL | 363 | 99¢ | $360 | 0x8d0cd1… |
| 10-12 04:09:26 | (anonymous) 0x17de…cb7b | Down | BUY | 264 | 99¢ | $261 | 0x8d0cd1… |
| 10-12 04:09:24 | (anonymous) 0xf77d…624a | Down | SELL | 21 | 99¢ | $21 | 0x283cdb… |
| 10-12 04:09:24 | (anonymous) 0x17de…cb7b | Down | BUY | 21 | 99¢ | $21 | 0x283cdb… |
| 10-12 04:09:23 | Circular-Boot 0x608c…4f52 | Down | SELL | 60 | 99¢ | $59 | 0xfa4c7f… |
| 10-12 04:09:23 | (anonymous) 0xc8a8…b3db | Down | BUY | 51 | 99¢ | $50 | 0x79c3ba… |
| 10-12 04:09:23 | (anonymous) 0x2b7e…db5f | Up | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xfa4c7f… |
| 10-12 04:09:23 | (anonymous) 0xacf5…2c8d | Up | BUY | 200 | 1¢ | $2 | 0xfa4c7f… |
| 10-12 04:09:23 | (anonymous) 0x30e9…7831 | Up | BUY | 10 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xfa4c7f… |
| 10-12 04:09:23 | Best-Million 0x81c9…94cd | Up | BUY | 30 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xfa4c7f… |
| 10-12 04:09:23 | Lighthearted-Brood 0xcb7c…b03f | Up | BUY | 100 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xfa4c7f… |
| 10-12 04:09:23 | Vague-Hourglass 0x21f4…691d | Up | BUY | 117 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xfa4c7f… |
| 10-12 04:09:23 | Needy-Makeup 0x1df9…462d | Down | SELL | 200 | 99¢ | $198 | 0xfa4c7f… |
| 10-12 04:09:23 | (anonymous) 0x049c…8589 | Up | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xfa4c7f… |
| 10-12 04:09:23 | (anonymous) 0x239e…1c10 | Up | BUY | 97 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xfa4c7f… |
| 10-12 04:09:23 | (anonymous) 0x4bce…fddb | Down | SELL | 7 | 99¢ | $7 | 0xfa4c7f… |
| 10-12 04:09:23 | (anonymous) 0x9328…37d3 | Down | SELL | 12 | 99¢ | $12 | 0xd92a3d… |
| 10-12 04:09:23 | (anonymous) 0x9d93…f4b6 | Up | BUY | 10 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xfa4c7f… |
| 10-12 04:09:23 | (anonymous) 0xe019…a762 | Down | BUY | 150 | 99¢ | $148 | 0xd1af13… |
| 10-12 04:09:23 | Angelic-Sphynx 0xf79d…9fe9 | Up | BUY | 30 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xfa4c7f… |
| 10-12 04:09:23 | (anonymous) 0x1d2a…565f | Down | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x2b024b… |
| 10-12 04:09:23 | Artistic-Design 0x55ae…f5df | Up | BUY | 600 | 1¢ | $6 | 0xfa4c7f… |
| 10-12 04:09:23 | (anonymous) 0xb3df…463d | Down | SELL | 2 | 98¢ | $2 | 0x7aef0f… |
| 10-12 04:09:23 | (anonymous) 0x9328…37d3 | Down | SELL | 12 | 99¢ | $12 | 0x294ad9… |
| 10-12 04:09:23 | Forceful-Minimalism 0xc358…c52e | Up | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xfa4c7f… |
| 10-12 04:09:23 | (anonymous) 0xdd27…4f2a | Up | BUY | 15 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xfa4c7f… |
| 10-12 04:09:23 | (anonymous) 0xbfff…2b8d | Up | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xfa4c7f… |
| 10-12 04:09:23 | Humming-Mime 0x18c1…2183 | Up | BUY | 10 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xfa4c7f… |
| 10-12 04:09:23 | (anonymous) 0xa475…c421 | Down | SELL | 11 | 99¢ | $11 | 0xfa4c7f… |
| 10-12 04:09:23 | (anonymous) 0xe761…0522 | Up | BUY | 30 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xfa4c7f… |
| 10-12 04:09:23 | (anonymous) 0x6205…4c1e | Up | BUY | 17 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x79c3ba… |
| 10-12 04:09:23 | (anonymous) 0x3595…ecbe | Down | BUY | 20 | 99¢ | $20 | 0x480373… |
| 10-12 04:09:23 | (anonymous) 0xddf1…5ccb | Up | BUY | 25 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xfa4c7f… |
| 10-12 04:09:23 | Mushy-Sanctity 0x1572…2a00 | Down | SELL | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0xfa4c7f… |
| 10-12 04:09:23 | (anonymous) 0x6205…4c1e | Up | BUY | 203 | 1¢ | $2 | 0xfa4c7f… |
| 10-12 04:09:23 | (anonymous) 0x17de…cb7b | Down | BUY | 12 | 99¢ | $12 | 0x294ad9… |
| 10-12 04:09:23 | (anonymous) 0x6205…4c1e | Up | BUY | 10 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x2b024b… |
| 10-12 04:09:23 | (anonymous) 0xe80c…4bd8 | Up | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xfa4c7f… |
| 10-12 04:09:23 | (anonymous) 0xf8be…ce90 | Down | BUY | 2,000 | 99¢ | $1,980 | 0xfa4c7f… |
| 10-12 04:09:23 | (anonymous) 0x17de…cb7b | Down | BUY | 7 | 99¢ | $7 | 0xd92a3d… |
| 10-12 04:09:23 | (anonymous) 0x4013…c3b0 | Up | BUY | 100 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xfa4c7f… |
| 10-12 04:09:23 | (anonymous) 0x56f6…e251 | Up | SELL | 2 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x7aef0f… |
| 10-12 04:09:23 | Moral-Roof 0x576b…0cab | Up | BUY | 33 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x79c3ba… |
| 10-12 04:09:23 | (anonymous) 0x5747…8b6e | Up | BUY | 100 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xfa4c7f… |
| 10-12 04:09:23 | (anonymous) 0x32c4…b175 | Up | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xd92a3d… |
| 10-12 04:09:23 | (anonymous) 0x6205…4c1e | Up | BUY | 20 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x480373… |
| 10-12 04:09:23 | (anonymous) 0x6205…4c1e | Up | BUY | 150 | 1¢ | $2 | 0xd1af13… |
| 10-12 04:09:23 | (anonymous) 0x49da…bfd0 | Up | BUY | 10 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xfa4c7f… |
| 10-12 04:09:21 | Gleeful-Dumbwaiter 0x8a01…01ce | Down | BUY | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0x225298… |
| 10-12 04:09:21 | Vague-Hourglass 0x21f4…691d | Up | BUY | 1 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x34a828… |
| 10-12 04:09:21 | (anonymous) 0x6205…4c1e | Up | BUY | 1 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xbffe42… |
| 10-12 04:09:21 | Vague-Hourglass 0x21f4…691d | Up | BUY | 3 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x023b3a… |
| 10-12 04:09:21 | Moral-Roof 0x576b…0cab | Up | BUY | 10 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x5f1ea0… |
| 10-12 04:09:21 | Moral-Roof 0x576b…0cab | Up | BUY | 31 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x269547… |
| 10-12 04:09:21 | (anonymous) 0xa43e…6936 | Up | SELL | 17 | 3¢ | $1 | 0xb5a63f… |
| 10-12 04:09:21 | Honored-Example 0x310d…4dec | Down | BUY | 8 | 98¢ | $8 | 0x1ea509… |
| 10-12 04:09:21 | (anonymous) 0xdac6…ade0 | Down | BUY | 25 | 99¢ | $25 | 0x46fbd6… |
| 10-12 04:09:21 | (anonymous) 0xf7c4…73ee | Down | BUY | 3 | 98¢ | $3 | 0x023b3a… |