Prestigious-Bait — Polymarket

Realized P&L (7d)

-$2

Unrealized P&L

+$3

Hit rate

40.7%

Resolved (7d)

Trades (7d)

62 lifetime

Volume (7d)

$288

$288 lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$24

5 positions

First seen

2026-05-04

last 05-05 23:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 48% $-2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 60 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (10) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	+10	$5	99¢	$10	+$5	05-05 22:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	+10	$5	84¢	$8	+$3	05-05 23:00
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	+10	$5	36¢	$4	$-1	05-05 22:50
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	+3	$2	52¢	$2	+$0	05-05 22:55
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	+11	$5	1¢	$0	$-5	05-05 22:45

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-05 23:00:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x991d32…
05-05 22:55:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0x9b87f4…
05-05 22:50:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xe3df4d…
05-05 22:45:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x7c321a…
05-05 22:35:20	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x2c83d4…
05-05 22:15:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	SELL	11	42¢	$4	0x6793b0…
05-05 22:15:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0xd98cc7…
05-05 22:05:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0xd5aec3…
05-05 21:40:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x8d579d…
05-05 21:35:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x8ae080…
05-05 21:35:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x0589d0…
05-05 21:30:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0x29d7f4…
05-05 21:30:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xc7546c…
05-05 21:15:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x6cd817…
05-05 21:05:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x1493ca…
05-05 20:45:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x9cec24…
05-05 20:30:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xacd7b3…
05-05 20:08:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	SELL	10	43¢	$4	0x2bc7e6…
05-05 19:45:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0xd79aa2…
05-05 18:15:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x495369…
05-05 18:15:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x0cfbf9…
05-05 13:55:40	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x3d39bb…
05-05 13:45:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	SELL	10	42¢	$4	0x658765…
05-05 12:45:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0xf92805…
05-05 12:40:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	SELL	11	54¢	$6	0xf135ca…
05-05 10:50:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xfb3e23…
05-05 10:45:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xea3e05…
05-05 10:35:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	SELL	11	46¢	$5	0x09378a…
05-05 08:51:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xca1216…
05-05 07:55:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	SELL	10	46¢	$5	0x60a9ca…
05-05 07:15:44	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	SELL	10	35¢	$4	0xda924b…
05-05 07:15:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x695491…
05-05 06:50:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x3085e7…
05-05 06:30:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	SELL	11	34¢	$4	0x010955…
05-05 06:30:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x1e12f9…
05-05 06:20:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xa158c6…
05-05 06:10:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Down	SELL	10	62¢	$6	0x4c4dbb…
05-05 06:10:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xb3f9ea…
05-05 05:35:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xd2973d…
05-05 05:35:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x7aa87c…
05-05 05:25:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x24e9aa…
05-05 05:15:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x59029b…
05-05 04:20:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	SELL	11	41¢	$4	0xfe6b61…
05-05 04:20:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x76ba29…
05-05 03:45:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x651e0d…
05-05 03:40:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	SELL	11	42¢	$5	0x7b5201…
05-05 03:40:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x7e53e8…
05-05 03:40:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x86bce9…
05-05 03:35:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	SELL	6	50¢	$3	0x63c599…
05-05 03:30:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	SELL	10	45¢	$5	0xf7f32e…
05-05 03:30:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x61d111…
05-05 03:25:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	11	48¢	$5	0x613414…
05-05 03:25:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xed13be…
05-05 02:15:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	SELL	36	6¢	$2	0x021014…
05-05 01:30:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	SELL	0	39¢	$0	0x83b43c…
05-05 01:15:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x2a54cf…
05-05 01:00:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x4d6847…
05-05 01:00:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	SELL	10	46¢	$5	0x3e74cb…
05-05 00:15:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x61fa66…
05-05 00:05:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x5d8c25…
05-04 23:45:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x5e72d1…
05-04 23:10:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0xf37dfa…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	49	$4.75K	349	05-05 23:00
Rewarding-Plumber 0x68f7…d428	47	$507	57	05-05 23:00
Good-Natured-Angora 0x6748…ee08	42	$596	143	05-05 23:00
(anonymous) 0xe907…cff6	39	$3.69K	159	05-05 22:40
Agile-Spacing 0xce25…7fdc	29	$1.84K	83	05-05 23:00
(anonymous) 0x75cc…3ce1	27	$513	66	05-05 23:00
Slight-Goodnight 0x6088…f361	24	$1.93K	111	05-05 23:00
Rash-Alternative 0xf353…6685	24	$1.86K	110	05-05 23:00

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	2	$11	10	10	+0	Up	+$1	05-05 06:10
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	2	$10	11	11	+0	Up	$-0	05-05 03:40
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	2	$10	10	10	+0	Up	$-0	05-05 03:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	2	$9	11	11	+0	open	—	05-05 22:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	2	$9	11	11	+0	Down	$-1	05-05 04:20
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	2	$9	10	10	+0	open	—	05-05 07:15
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	2	$9	11	11	+0	open	—	05-05 06:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	1	$6	0	11	-11	open	—	05-05 12:40
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	1	$5	10	0	+10	open	—	05-05 10:50
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	1	$5	10	0	+10	open	—	05-05 21:35
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	1	$5	10	0	+10	open	—	05-05 13:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	1	$5	10	0	+10	Up	+$5	05-05 05:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	1	$5	10	0	+10	open	—	05-05 23:00
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	1	$5	10	0	+10	open	—	05-05 10:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	1	$5	10	0	+10	open	—	05-05 08:51
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	1	$5	10	0	+10	open	—	05-05 21:05
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	1	$5	10	0	+10	open	—	05-05 21:15
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	1	$5	11	0	+11	Up	$-5	05-04 23:10
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	1	$5	11	0	+11	open	—	05-05 18:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	1	$5	11	0	+11	open	—	05-05 21:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	1	$5	11	0	+11	open	—	05-05 22:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	1	$5	10	0	+10	Up	+$5	05-05 05:35
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	1	$5	10	0	+10	open	—	05-05 21:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	1	$5	11	0	+11	open	—	05-05 19:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	1	$5	11	0	+11	open	—	05-05 12:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	1	$5	10	0	+10	open	—	05-05 18:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	1	$5	10	0	+10	Down	$-5	05-05 00:05
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	1	$5	10	0	+10	Up	+$5	05-05 01:15
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	1	$5	11	0	+11	Up	$-5	05-04 23:45
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	1	$5	11	0	+11	open	—	05-05 22:45