True-Cacao — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$33

Unrealized P&L

-$22

Hit rate

31.8%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$274

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-08

last 06-14 20:05

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 21 days

Categories

Other

54% 45% +$34

Politics

26% 0% -$58

Crypto

14% 40% +$6

Sports

5% 0% -$15

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-14).

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (24) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No		+69	$25	4¢	$3	-$22	05-13 02:03

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	1	$25	69	0	+69	open	—	05-13 02:03
will the liberal democratic party win the most seats in the 2026 japanese general election	2	$22	150	150	+0	Yes	-$8	01-27 13:28
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?	1	$20	62	0	+62	Yes	-$20	04-10 04:57
No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	1	$20	59	0	+59	Yes	+$39	04-10 05:17
no change in bank of japans interest rates after january 2026 meeting	1	$19	0	952	-952	Yes	+$19	01-13 19:35
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	2	$18	111	111	+0	Yes	-$2	06-12 20:41
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 13?	1	$15	25	0	+25	Up	+$10	05-13 02:05
will israel conduct military action against iran by april 21 2026	1	$15	54	0	+54	No	-$15	04-10 05:18
spx opens up or down on march 2 2026	1	$15	107	0	+107	Down	-$15	03-01 17:47
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?	1	$14	56	0	+56	No	-$14	01-08 08:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 05:05 UTC	1	$10	1,000	0	+1,000	Down	-$10	04-10 05:10
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	1	$10	400	0	+400	Yes	-$10	05-13 02:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-11 20:55 UTC	1	$10	17	0	+17	Up	-$10	03-11 20:57
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14?	1	$10	43	0	+43	No	-$10	06-14 20:05
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 05:00 UTC	1	$10	33	0	+33	Up	+$23	04-10 05:04
spx opens up or down on february 5 2026	1	$5	11	0	+11	Down	+$6	02-05 03:18
spx opens up or down on february 23 2026	1	$5	10	0	+10	Down	+$5	02-21 19:24
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$5	278	0	+278	No	-$5	06-12 02:43
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$5	46	0	+46	No	-$5	06-12 02:42
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 04:55 UTC	1	$5	10	0	+10	Up	+$5	04-10 04:59
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$5	31	0	+31	No	-$5	06-12 02:42
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	1	$5	227	0	+227	Yes	-$5	06-12 02:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-11 02:20 UTC	1	$3	16	0	+16	Down	-$3	04-11 02:21
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?	1	$2	12	0	+12	No	-$2	06-12 20:26
Will Trump visit China by May 15?	1	$1	1,000	0	+1,000	Yes	-$1	05-13 02:03

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-14 20:05:31	Will Japan win on 2026-06-14?	Yes	BUY	43	23¢	$10	0x205176…
06-12 20:41:48	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	111	7¢	$8	0x7dd669…
06-12 20:26:31	Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?	Yes	BUY	12	17¢	$2	0x1e324e…
06-12 02:43:09	Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	278	2¢	$5	0x8dbc95…
06-12 02:42:51	Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	46	11¢	$5	0x3b8698…
06-12 02:42:36	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0xc9c5c9…
06-12 02:40:21	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	227	2¢	$5	0x37acd1…
05-13 02:05:53	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 13?	Up	BUY	25	60¢	$15	0x97e56a…
05-13 02:04:55	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	111	9¢	$10	0xb98643…
05-13 02:04:45	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	400	2¢	$10	0xd6115f…
05-13 02:03:56	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x1de824…
05-13 02:03:23	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	BUY	69	36¢	$25	0x8ac0a5…
04-11 02:21:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-11 02:20 UTC	Up	BUY	16	19¢	$3	0xf72ba5…
04-10 05:18:51	will israel conduct military action against iran by april 21 2026	Yes	BUY	54	28¢	$15	0x9200f6…
04-10 05:17:43	No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	59	34¢	$20	0x05ca06…
04-10 05:10:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 05:05 UTC	Up	BUY	1,000	1¢	$10	0xa4eb54…
04-10 05:04:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 05:00 UTC	Up	BUY	33	30¢	$10	0xd3834f…
04-10 04:59:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 04:55 UTC	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x68b235…
04-10 04:57:47	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?	No	BUY	62	32¢	$20	0x8d1491…
03-11 20:57:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-11 20:55 UTC	Down	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0xd42215…
03-01 17:47:17	spx opens up or down on march 2 2026	Up	BUY	107	14¢	$15	0x8aa7f2…
02-21 19:24:14	spx opens up or down on february 23 2026	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x6a69ce…
02-05 03:18:07	spx opens up or down on february 5 2026	Down	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0xc1336c…
01-27 13:28:07	will the liberal democratic party win the most seats in the 2026 japanese general election	No	SELL	150	4¢	$7	0x6da344…
01-20 22:40:34	will the liberal democratic party win the most seats in the 2026 japanese general election	No	BUY	150	10¢	$15	0xe3a337…
01-13 19:35:12	no change in bank of japans interest rates after january 2026 meeting	No	SELL	952	2¢	$19	0xb6c723…
01-08 08:38:41	Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?	Yes	BUY	56	25¢	$14	0x406cdc…