Lonely-Obligation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$18

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

77.0%

Resolved

Trades

1,968

lifetime

Volume

$15.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-17

last 06-02 07:11

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 9 days

Categories

Crypto

95% 75% +$18

Other

5% — —

Sports

0% — —

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

46 active days in 12wk • peak 93 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin up or down february 27 3am et	10	$164	84	84	+0	open	—	02-27 08:55
bitcoin up or down march 5 4am et	8	$157	113	81	+33	open	—	03-05 10:36
bitcoin up or down march 5 2am et	3	$127	64	64	+0	open	—	03-05 09:11
bitcoin up or down march 5 12am et	5	$124	62	62	+0	open	—	03-05 06:48
bitcoin up or down march 6 12am et	2	$121	61	61	+0	open	—	03-06 06:48
btc updown 15m 1771839000	8	$105	55	55	+0	open	—	02-23 09:44
bitcoin up or down march 2 10am et	2	$100	50	50	+0	open	—	03-02 16:46
btc updown 15m 1771837200	10	$99	54	54	+0	open	—	02-23 09:08
bitcoin up or down march 11 3am et	2	$98	49	49	+0	open	—	03-11 07:57
bitcoin up or down march 6 9am et	3	$96	49	49	+0	open	—	03-06 15:59
bitcoin up or down february 25 12pm et	5	$94	49	49	+0	open	—	02-25 18:06
bitcoin up or down march 6 1am et	3	$94	70	29	+41	open	—	03-06 06:49
eth updown 15m 1772272800	4	$90	46	46	+0	open	—	02-28 10:14
bitcoin up or down february 27 5am et	4	$90	46	46	+0	open	—	02-27 10:38
bitcoin up or down april 24 2026 9am et	9	$85	47	47	+0	open	—	04-24 13:59
bitcoin up or down march 1 10am et	4	$83	47	47	+0	open	—	03-01 15:59
btc updown 4h 1772082000	3	$81	41	41	+0	open	—	02-26 08:58
bitcoin up or down march 1 7am et	3	$80	40	40	+0	open	—	03-01 12:59
btc updown 5m 1772279700	2	$80	40	40	+0	open	—	02-28 12:00
bitcoin up or down february 26 2am et	4	$80	40	40	+0	open	—	02-26 07:53
bitcoin up or down march 6 4am et	3	$78	40	40	+0	open	—	03-06 10:31
btc updown 4h 1776988800	3	$78	39	39	+0	open	—	04-24 03:59
btc updown 15m 1772388000	3	$77	39	39	+0	open	—	03-01 18:14
btc updown 15m 1771741800	7	$74	49	49	+0	open	—	02-22 06:44
bitcoin up or down march 5 8am et	3	$72	37	37	+0	open	—	03-05 14:03
btc updown 5m 1772370300	4	$71	37	37	+0	open	—	03-01 13:09
bitcoin up or down february 26 1am et	4	$71	36	36	+0	open	—	02-26 07:01
btc updown 15m 1771740900	3	$70	35	35	+0	open	—	02-22 06:29
bitcoin up or down march 1 11am et	3	$69	46	46	+0	open	—	03-01 17:17
bitcoin up or down february 26 12am et	5	$69	35	35	+0	open	—	02-26 05:57

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-02 07:11:12	Bitcoin Up or Down on June 2?	Down	BUY	11	87¢	$10	0xf13be9…
06-02 07:10:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x84a74b…
06-01 18:55:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0xd35fd5…
06-01 15:15:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xf353ed…
05-31 19:32:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0xa0ea7a…
05-31 19:29:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0x496298…
05-31 14:44:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x93521e…
05-31 14:42:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xf5b224…
05-31 14:42:28	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 31?	Down	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0x05f5c2…
05-29 08:48:05	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 29?	Up	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0xf71ea0…
05-28 17:16:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	7	90¢	$6	0xcf0d3d…
05-27 05:24:47	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 27?	Down	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x654e95…
05-26 08:00:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Up	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xc4ff1a…
05-26 05:43:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x7b6f4f…
05-26 05:37:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1AM ET	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x51a0bc…
05-25 13:08:42	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 25?	Up	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0x036959…
05-25 09:05:41	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 25?	Up	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xbb3bbf…
05-24 14:03:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x03162f…
05-24 13:59:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x290ed2…
05-23 05:45:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xebb810…
05-22 15:41:51	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 22?	Down	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x628d14…
05-21 17:22:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0xa64028…
05-21 17:22:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1PM ET	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x4c4c75…
05-20 09:09:16	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 20?	Up	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0x7b5960…
05-20 05:28:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0xe7f944…
05-20 05:28:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1AM ET	Up	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0xa6b2b9…
05-19 19:41:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x67c1f4…
05-19 16:30:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0x8ac84d…
05-19 16:15:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x9249d4…
05-19 15:12:54	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 19?	Up	BUY	4	76¢	$3	0x49190d…
05-18 04:35:50	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 18?	Down	BUY	13	86¢	$11	0xb1530c…
05-17 09:55:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xad4763…
05-17 09:54:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xd5185c…
05-17 07:58:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0xa3b345…
05-17 07:44:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x23681a…
05-17 07:42:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xe1a124…
05-15 17:12:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x70dc5d…
05-15 14:22:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x1738c5…
05-15 14:20:55	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 15?	Down	BUY	35	99¢	$35	0xf3c2d7…
05-14 18:14:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0x7ee0d5…
05-14 18:14:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Up	SELL	30	99¢	$30	0x63df1d…
05-14 18:12:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0xbe33cc…
05-13 18:28:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x2afaaf…
05-13 17:29:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1PM ET	Up	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0x1db616…
05-12 13:28:01	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 12?	Down	BUY	13	85¢	$11	0xa040aa…
05-11 15:54:50	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 11?	Down	SELL	12	86¢	$11	0x546952…
05-11 13:48:23	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 11?	Down	BUY	12	81¢	$10	0x8cbd17…
05-10 06:14:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Up	SELL	5	90¢	$5	0xb5fdc5…
05-10 06:12:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	SELL	10	63¢	$6	0x6f9536…
05-10 06:12:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xa7d2be…
05-10 06:09:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xae0fd8…
05-10 05:53:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1AM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x6efd19…
05-09 17:27:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0x6edb1b…
05-08 18:30:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	8	54¢	$4	0xb733dc…
05-08 18:12:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x62d836…
05-08 17:55:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x79e187…
05-08 13:44:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	8	89¢	$7	0x25f021…
05-08 13:44:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9AM ET	Down	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xc2eee1…
05-08 05:29:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xd427eb…
05-07 14:37:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10AM ET	Down	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x188652…
05-07 14:06:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x3c93b5…
05-07 06:59:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x403942…
05-07 04:12:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x3b60f1…
05-06 14:46:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x7e56a9…
05-06 14:35:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0x6f12fb…
05-06 14:27:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0xb42f84…
05-06 14:25:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xeaf01a…
05-06 14:11:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xa81508…
05-06 14:06:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xad1d63…
05-06 14:05:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	8	56¢	$4	0x9dd5b1…
05-06 13:57:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0x013409…
05-06 13:54:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x0d1c03…
05-06 13:51:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x8b8f32…
05-06 13:43:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x4fc563…
05-06 13:35:08	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 6?	Up	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0xb00899…
05-06 06:41:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x557780…
05-06 06:28:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Up	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x1af69f…
05-06 06:11:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xc768d3…
05-06 05:57:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x919742…
05-06 05:42:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	58¢	$2	0xf86235…
05-06 04:57:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x784294…
05-05 15:23:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Up	SELL	6	68¢	$4	0x581e6e…
05-05 15:08:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Up	SELL	7	88¢	$6	0xe7e857…
05-05 13:50:42	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 5?	Up	BUY	9	97¢	$9	0x0ea1ae…
05-05 13:49:32	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0xd02c06…
05-05 13:49:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	7	86¢	$6	0xe5f612…
05-05 12:13:20	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 5?	Up	BUY	12	91¢	$11	0x11b0f4…
05-05 10:10:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Down	SELL	6	70¢	$4	0x511cdd…
05-05 10:00:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x7b9d1e…
05-05 09:46:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5AM ET	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xc4489d…
05-05 09:46:20	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 5?	Up	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x57c0ac…
05-05 09:45:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x1b621f…
05-05 09:44:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x0ee763…
05-05 07:52:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x70dd43…
05-05 07:52:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xd65f0f…
05-04 16:00:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x2d82ea…
05-04 15:52:02	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 4?	Up	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x8ceafb…
05-04 15:51:48	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 4?	Yes	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x8bd7a3…
05-04 14:54:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10AM ET	Up	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x457cdc…
05-04 14:38:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x9c37ef…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Worldly-Shackle 0x941e…1fbf	546	$11.4K	1,519	05-15 17:24
(anonymous) 0x09ae…55bc	503	$16.6K	1,744	05-01 06:09
Near-Strike 0x679c…afff	491	$96.5K	22,835	06-02 07:22
Energetic-Hosiery 0x6fdc…953f	462	$163.6K	6,920	06-02 07:22
Dry-Solvency 0x5d3c…c298	456	$43.0K	5,935	05-17 10:06
(anonymous) 0x88f4…d4db	426	$76.2K	8,917	05-19 16:28
(anonymous) 0xb9fc…da76	425	$102.6K	27,939	03-13 07:42
(anonymous) 0x113d…3ce8	422	$188.3K	13,561	03-13 07:39