Zany-Nurse — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$553

Unrealized P&L

-$57

Hit rate

43.0%

Resolved

172

Trades

571

lifetime

Volume

$12.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$22

Open exposure

$17

2 positions

First seen

2026-03-21

last 09-17 07:16

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 76 days

Categories

Other

58% 22% +$624

Politics

22% 17% -$44

Sports

9% 11% -$30

Tech

7% 12% -$5

Crypto

3% 40% +$7

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 22 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Metamask FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes		+240	$60	5¢	$13	-$47	07-02 09:47
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	Yes		+200	$14	2¢	$4	-$10	06-02 15:05

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Australia vs. Egypt end in a draw?	2	$771	580	580	+0	Yes	+$377	07-03 19:57
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	7	$645	330	330	+0	No	$0	04-16 04:54
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$588	2,069	2,069	+0	Yes	-$12	06-24 06:44
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	13	$532	272	272	+0	No	+$0	05-21 17:03
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	4	$474	239	239	+0	No	+$0	05-22 09:33
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	3	$455	230	230	+0	Yes	+$0	04-16 06:27
Will France win on 2026-07-09?	1	$372	600	0	+600	Yes	+$228	07-07 15:45
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27?	1	$322	620	0	+620	Yes	+$298	06-27 05:55
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?	1	$317	480	0	+480	Yes	+$163	06-20 13:05
will the dravida munnetra kazhagam dmk win the most seats in the 2026 tamil nadu legislative assembly election	2	$300	200	200	+0	No	+$0	04-24 09:45
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24?	1	$270	530	0	+530	Yes	+$260	06-24 14:48
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?	8	$269	135	135	+0	No	$0	05-12 11:38
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	20	$240	1,100	1,100	+0	No	+$1	05-16 10:06
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-03?	1	$238	580	0	+580	No	-$238	07-03 08:21
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30?	1	$238	540	0	+540	Yes	+$302	06-30 06:14
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$224	628	628	+0	No	+$8	07-07 09:55
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Group B	2	$206	303	303	+0	PARIVISION	$0	05-14 11:04
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	6	$197	100	100	+0	No	+$0	05-17 10:41
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?	6	$196	100	100	+0	No	$0	05-16 16:07
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	3	$190	100	100	+0	No	+$0	05-04 14:17
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	3	$187	100	100	+0	Yes	-$1	04-03 23:59
Will Croatia vs. Ghana end in a draw?	1	$186	620	0	+620	No	-$186	06-27 05:56
Will Mexico vs. Ecuador end in a draw?	1	$184	540	0	+540	No	-$184	06-30 06:15
Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	2	$161	163	163	+0	No	-$1	04-24 08:20
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	3	$155	100	100	+0	Yes	-$1	05-04 16:21
Will France vs. Morocco end in a draw?	1	$150	600	0	+600	No	-$150	07-07 15:46
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-24?	2	$138	530	0	+530	No	-$138	06-24 14:49
will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	21	$135	229	274	-46	No	+$12	03-21 21:25
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	2	$133	100	100	+0	Yes	$0	03-21 21:05
will bitcoin reach 75000 by december 31 2026 from june 8	4	$121	124	124	+0	Yes	+$9	07-12 01:01

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-17 07:16:27	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 45 and 50 million views in week 1?	No	SELL	20	41¢	$8	0x201038…
09-17 07:12:37	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 45 and 50 million views in week 1?	No	BUY	20	48¢	$10	0x8f5d28…
09-17 07:11:42	Will Moonshot be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026?	No	SELL	20	30¢	$6	0x387e91…
09-17 07:10:21	Will Moonshot be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026?	No	BUY	20	32¢	$6	0x84b089…
09-17 07:07:22	will the announcers say turf during the lions vs bills game 20260918	No	SELL	5	26¢	$1	0x3eca7e…
09-17 07:06:42	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 40.0 and 40.5 million views on day 5?	No	SELL	20	40¢	$8	0x54a0ff…
09-17 07:05:45	will the announcers say turf during the lions vs bills game 20260918	No	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0x767fe4…
09-17 07:05:01	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 40.0 and 40.5 million views on day 5?	No	BUY	20	44¢	$9	0x5cd020…
09-17 06:59:40	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 94-95°F on September 18?	No	SELL	20	40¢	$8	0x945975…
09-17 06:59:16	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 94-95°F on September 18?	No	BUY	20	41¢	$8	0x611f03…
09-09 05:58:12	where will it rain on september 9 2026 atlanta ga	Yes	SELL	20	6¢	$1	0xa3c39a…
09-09 05:52:03	LAPTOP listed on Upbit within 30 days of TGE?	Yes	SELL	50	10¢	$5	0xd64641…
09-09 05:49:45	LAPTOP listed on Upbit within 30 days of TGE?	Yes	BUY	50	12¢	$6	0x0d05f3…
09-09 05:40:16	where will it rain on september 9 2026 seattle wa	Yes	SELL	20	6¢	$1	0x38db37…
09-09 05:39:01	where will it rain on september 9 2026 seattle wa	Yes	BUY	20	7¢	$1	0x2894eb…
09-09 05:36:28	where will it rain on september 9 2026 atlanta ga	Yes	BUY	20	7¢	$1	0x56c541…
09-02 11:39:24	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-09-02 08:00 UTC	Up	SELL	50	0¢	$0	0x747a46…
09-02 11:30:25	Will OpenAI's Astra model be released on or prior to September 2, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	9¢	$1	0x218d88…
09-02 11:29:48	Will OpenAI's Astra model be released on or prior to September 2, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	10¢	$1	0x73b4fc…
09-02 11:18:43	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-09-02 08:00 UTC	Up	SELL	50	1¢	$1	0x0f2d4f…
09-02 11:18:24	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-09-02 08:00 UTC	Up	BUY	50	1¢	$1	0x291cea…
09-02 11:15:24	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-09-02 08:00 UTC	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x4b2861…
09-02 11:14:51	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-09-02 08:00 UTC	Up	SELL	50	2¢	$1	0xae447f…
09-02 11:13:00	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-09-02 08:00 UTC	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x0b812d…
09-02 11:11:21	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-09-02 08:00 UTC	Up	SELL	50	2¢	$1	0x942bc2…
09-02 11:01:54	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-09-02 08:00 UTC	Up	BUY	50	3¢	$1	0x2942c9…
08-28 05:10:01	Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look" get at least 40 million views on day 1?	Yes	SELL	20	7¢	$1	0x6cc9e3…
08-28 05:09:51	Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look" get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1?	Yes	SELL	20	5¢	$1	0x28fb63…
08-28 05:09:37	Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look" get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?	Yes	SELL	20	8¢	$2	0xe10951…
08-28 05:09:25	Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look" get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1?	Yes	SELL	20	8¢	$2	0x764ef6…
08-28 05:09:09	Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look" get less than 10 million views on day 1?	Yes	SELL	20	9¢	$2	0x26156c…
08-28 05:05:28	Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look" get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1?	Yes	SELL	9	8¢	$1	0x3ed6b5…
08-28 05:05:04	Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look" get between 10 and 15 million views on day 1?	Yes	SELL	6	24¢	$1	0xaa6515…
08-28 05:04:13	Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look" get between 10 and 15 million views on day 1?	Yes	BUY	6	25¢	$1	0x78f983…
08-28 05:04:13	Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look" get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1?	Yes	BUY	6	9¢	$1	0x480aee…
08-28 05:01:06	Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look" get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1?	Yes	BUY	3	9¢	$0	0xdfb502…
08-28 05:00:19	Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look" get at least 40 million views on day 1?	Yes	BUY	20	8¢	$2	0x94ff40…
08-28 04:59:52	Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look" get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1?	Yes	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0xa054a0…
08-28 04:59:24	Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look" get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?	Yes	BUY	20	9¢	$2	0x6b1c1e…
08-28 04:58:54	Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look" get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1?	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x577c49…
08-28 04:57:39	Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look" get less than 10 million views on day 1?	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x412883…
08-20 05:27:40	Will Moonshot be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of August 2026?	No	SELL	20	5¢	$1	0x14787f…
08-20 05:27:30	Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Pernambuco?	No	SELL	20	3¢	$1	0x53a3d2…
08-20 05:27:01	will trump say communist communism during his rally with darline graham	No	SELL	7	6¢	$0	0x506955…
08-20 05:26:09	Will Moonshot be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of August 2026?	No	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x58b2da…
08-20 04:53:57	will trump say communist communism during his rally with darline graham	No	SELL	13	8¢	$1	0x7e2687…
08-20 04:51:46	will trump say communist communism during his rally with darline graham	No	BUY	20	8¢	$2	0x5dff9f…
08-20 04:49:40	Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Pernambuco?	No	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0x0c9a67…
08-19 13:36:03	Will OpenAI have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of August 2026?	No	SELL	20	6¢	$1	0x636f55…
08-19 13:35:55	Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Maranhão?	No	SELL	40	3¢	$1	0x1bdf43…
08-19 13:35:45	Will Google have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of September 2026?	No	SELL	20	7¢	$1	0x06c23c…
08-19 13:35:37	Will Meta be the #2 AI lab at the end of August 2026?	No	SELL	20	9¢	$2	0x262b9b…
08-19 13:34:54	Will Lai Jui-lung win the next Kaohsiung Mayor election?	No	SELL	20	17¢	$3	0x5d891d…
08-19 13:33:00	Will Lai Jui-lung win the next Kaohsiung Mayor election?	No	BUY	20	28¢	$6	0xdfa837…
08-19 12:52:42	Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Maranhão?	No	BUY	20	7¢	$1	0xc6e19b…
08-19 12:48:30	Will OpenAI have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of August 2026?	No	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0xfa3773…
08-19 12:46:52	Will Meta be the #2 AI lab at the end of August 2026?	No	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0xc254c4…
08-19 12:45:01	Will Google have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of September 2026?	No	BUY	20	9¢	$2	0x9b8e8c…
08-19 12:43:54	Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Maranhão?	No	BUY	20	8¢	$2	0x6edcda…
08-14 06:16:30	Will Byron Donalds win the Florida Republican Governor primary by 35–40%?	Yes	SELL	20	32¢	$6	0x523510…
08-14 06:16:22	Will Gen.G Win the Shortest Game in LCK 2026 Rounds 3-4?	Yes	SELL	20	44¢	$9	0x55b6e5…
08-14 05:59:51	will openais astra model debut on the arena leaderboard at a score of at least 1480	No	SELL	20	15¢	$3	0x288b33…
08-14 05:58:12	Will MrBeast's next video get between 73 and 74 million views on day 6?	Yes	SELL	20	7¢	$1	0x862b8b…
08-14 05:55:42	Will MrBeast's next video get between 73 and 74 million views on day 6?	Yes	BUY	0	15¢	$0	0xec5937…
08-14 05:53:39	Will MrBeast's next video get between 73 and 74 million views on day 6?	Yes	BUY	8	15¢	$1	0x27dac6…
08-14 05:53:37	Will MrBeast's next video get between 73 and 74 million views on day 6?	Yes	BUY	2	15¢	$0	0xab660a…
08-14 05:53:37	Will MrBeast's next video get between 73 and 74 million views on day 6?	Yes	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0x6e7e97…
08-14 05:53:37	Will MrBeast's next video get between 73 and 74 million views on day 6?	Yes	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0x6d7436…
08-14 05:49:00	Will Byron Donalds win the Florida Republican Governor primary by 35–40%?	Yes	BUY	20	42¢	$8	0x4d3b26…
08-14 05:44:18	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on August 14?	No	SELL	1	9¢	$0	0xfb6cd8…
08-14 05:43:43	will the next google gemini flash model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1490	No	SELL	20	17¢	$3	0x7e71d4…
08-14 05:43:16	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on August 14?	No	BUY	1	10¢	$0	0x27d01e…
08-14 05:42:42	will the next google gemini flash model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1490	No	BUY	20	19¢	$4	0x9dcd93…
08-14 05:42:28	Will MrBeast's next video get between 72 and 73 million views on day 6?	No	SELL	3	14¢	$0	0xcb51de…
08-14 05:40:27	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on August 14?	No	SELL	1	9¢	$0	0xf84147…
08-14 05:40:21	Will MrBeast's next video get between 72 and 73 million views on day 6?	No	BUY	3	14¢	$0	0xed549a…
08-14 05:40:09	will openais astra model debut on the arena leaderboard at a score of at least 1490	Yes	SELL	20	64¢	$13	0x786417…
08-14 05:38:51	Will Gen.G Win the Shortest Game in LCK 2026 Rounds 3-4?	Yes	BUY	20	53¢	$11	0xe0c4a2…
08-14 05:38:43	will openais astra model debut on the arena leaderboard at a score of at least 1490	Yes	BUY	20	65¢	$13	0xb9390a…
08-14 05:38:33	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on August 14?	No	BUY	1	10¢	$0	0x30985d…
08-14 05:32:42	will openais astra model debut on the arena leaderboard at a score of at least 1480	No	BUY	20	16¢	$3	0x7f7702…
08-08 06:35:21	will kamu kirk be evicted in big brother season 28 week 5 20260806195432953	Yes	SELL	20	10¢	$2	0xe41806…
08-08 06:23:25	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 16 20260807213124705	No	SELL	20	85¢	$17	0x94abb8…
08-08 06:22:40	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 16 20260807213124705	No	BUY	20	86¢	$17	0x8046f3…
08-08 06:19:58	will kamu kirk be evicted in big brother season 28 week 5 20260806195432953	Yes	BUY	20	11¢	$2	0x7eb0eb…
08-08 06:15:39	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 14 20260807213124703	Yes	SELL	20	6¢	$1	0xf310e3…
08-08 06:15:03	will kamu kirk be evicted in big brother season 28 week 5 20260806195432953	Yes	SELL	17	7¢	$1	0xbe4c2e…
08-08 06:13:24	Will "My Life with the Walter Boys: Season 3" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?	No	SELL	20	7¢	$1	0x9050e5…
08-08 06:13:10	will kamu kirk be evicted in big brother season 28 week 5 20260806195432953	Yes	SELL	3	7¢	$0	0x9cf7b9…
08-08 06:12:43	will kamu kirk be evicted in big brother season 28 week 5 20260806195432953	Yes	BUY	20	7¢	$1	0x923b59…
08-08 06:11:31	will kamu kirk be evicted in big brother season 28 week 5 20260806195432953	No	SELL	20	93¢	$19	0x463d7f…
08-08 06:11:03	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 14 20260807213124703	Yes	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0xb87c8c…
08-08 06:10:16	will kamu kirk be evicted in big brother season 28 week 5 20260806195432953	No	BUY	20	93¢	$19	0xbabbfd…
08-08 05:49:34	Will "My Life with the Walter Boys: Season 3" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?	No	BUY	20	9¢	$2	0xd67043…
08-01 13:50:39	will shea langaliers be traded by the 2026 mlb trade deadline 20260728182533480	Yes	SELL	20	9¢	$2	0xa56350…
08-01 13:48:26	Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26?	No	SELL	23	9¢	$2	0x67dbbd…
08-01 13:39:03	Will any other model be the best AI model on August 10, 2026?	No	SELL	10	14¢	$1	0xdeb320…
08-01 13:34:38	Will any other model be the best AI model on August 10, 2026?	No	BUY	10	13¢	$1	0x8a0a5e…
08-01 13:33:09	Will any other model be the best AI model on August 10, 2026?	No	SELL	10	13¢	$1	0xd8a100…
08-01 13:32:44	Will any other model be the best AI model on August 10, 2026?	No	BUY	10	13¢	$1	0x012316…