Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$5

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

64.5%

Resolved

Trades

140

lifetime

Volume

$2.53K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$18

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 05-15 10:11

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

64% 0% $-17

Politics

36% 100% +$12

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

13 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
israel strikes iran by january 31 2026 894 994 453	3	$307	169	169	+0	open	—	02-01 08:09
us anti cartel ground operation in mexico by january 31	3	$301	1,400	100	+1,300	open	—	02-02 19:13
North Korea missile test/launch by April 30, 2026?	8	$187	120	120	+0	open	—	05-01 02:34
maduro in us custody by january 31	2	$99	91	91	+0	open	—	01-03 09:38
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?	2	$96	50	50	+0	open	—	02-01 08:10
Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?	7	$89	60	60	+0	open	—	01-15 22:23
will bill gates be named in newly released epstein files by february 28	8	$79	50	50	+0	open	—	02-25 21:15
maduro out by january 31 2026 318	2	$71	51	51	+0	open	—	01-03 09:39
will al gore be named in newly released epstein files by february 28	2	$68	30	50	-20	open	—	02-26 18:00
bank of england decreases interest rates by 25 bps after march 2026 meeting 384	3	$66	80	0	+80	open	—	02-13 03:30
cl up or down on march 2 2026	2	$58	30	30	+0	open	—	03-02 07:40
venezuela election scheduled by january 31 2026	2	$55	30	30	+0	open	—	01-06 13:12
will keir starmer say trump during the next prime ministers questions 353	3	$52	30	30	+0	open	—	01-07 12:15
will crude oil cl hit high 80 by end of march 113 384 528 915 639 242 637	5	$50	30	30	+0	open	—	03-05 06:56
us forces in venezuela by january 31 2026	2	$49	29	29	+0	open	—	01-03 09:40
venezuela election scheduled by march 31 2026	5	$49	32	32	+0	open	—	01-25 21:51
will the government shutdown last 1 day or more	3	$48	30	30	+0	open	—	02-13 18:25
US strike on Mexico by January 31?	2	$46	25	25	+0	open	—	01-15 22:57
israel x iran ceasefire broken by march 31 2026 312 682	3	$45	37	37	+0	open	—	02-02 16:23
will the us next strike iran on january 15 2026 et 421	2	$39	20	20	+0	open	—	01-16 07:52
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	2	$37	20	20	+0	open	—	01-27 12:38
will the us invade venezuela by january 31 2026	1	$33	0	34	-34	open	—	01-05 21:18
will bernie sanders be named in newly released epstein files by february 28	2	$33	20	20	+0	open	—	02-25 21:19
will stephen colbert be named in newly released epstein files by february 28	2	$32	20	20	+0	open	—	02-07 21:26
will henry kissinger be named in newly released epstein files by february 28	2	$32	20	20	+0	open	—	02-25 21:14
will hillary clinton be named in newly released epstein files by february 28	2	$32	20	20	+0	open	—	02-25 21:16
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April?	2	$31	20	20	+0	open	—	04-28 10:43
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?	3	$30	20	20	+0	open	—	04-30 09:21
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	2	$30	43	22	+22	Yes	+$12	01-29 17:34
will crude oil cl hit high 90 by end of march 124 949 438 563 647 712 323	2	$25	20	20	+0	open	—	03-05 00:56

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-15 10:11:36	Will China announce a U.S. soybean purchase by May 22?	Yes	BUY	10	55¢	$6	0x17b965…
05-15 09:32:00	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	7	78¢	$6	0x487dd4…
05-15 09:28:59	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	10	79¢	$8	0x9db303…
05-15 09:03:37	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0xb4de60…
05-15 09:02:18	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	20	84¢	$17	0x1137c6…
05-15 09:01:55	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	20	82¢	$16	0x2a0903…
05-02 18:18:16	US takes a stake in Spirit Airlines by May 31?	No	SELL	10	95¢	$10	0xb25a78…
05-01 02:34:58	North Korea missile test/launch by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	35	98¢	$34	0x712b83…
04-30 09:21:56	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xf91e0b…
04-30 06:27:22	North Korea missile test/launch by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	19	95¢	$18	0x7826fb…
04-30 06:09:18	North Korea missile test/launch by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	52	95¢	$49	0xeb5309…
04-29 23:21:10	North Korea missile test/launch by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	9	95¢	$9	0xd6247d…
04-29 22:08:40	North Korea missile test/launch by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x838a10…
04-28 10:43:32	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April?	No	SELL	20	98¢	$20	0x296b92…
04-28 09:42:36	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?	No	BUY	20	61¢	$12	0x74c262…
04-28 09:22:54	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	80¢	$1	0x0b2182…
04-27 17:43:18	Will a U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the United States occur by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	20	83¢	$17	0xbd5e4a…
04-27 15:33:22	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?	No	BUY	20	32¢	$6	0x353fe7…
04-27 12:14:24	North Korea missile test/launch by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0xf6a799…
04-27 05:59:34	Will Trump dance today?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x2faf0d…
04-27 03:08:50	North Korea missile test/launch by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	10	79¢	$8	0xda6e32…
04-27 00:18:22	Will Trump dance today?	No	BUY	4	84¢	$3	0x45bb83…
04-26 17:48:02	Will Trump wear a blue tie today?	No	BUY	10	56¢	$6	0x3ae361…
04-26 14:29:10	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?	No	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0x3d92ae…
04-26 12:18:40	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x399f93…
04-24 11:06:04	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?	No	BUY	10	43¢	$4	0x9983c8…
04-24 03:14:48	Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	80¢	$16	0x0a9a2d…
04-23 17:06:54	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?	Yes	SELL	10	70¢	$7	0x757b23…
04-23 15:33:16	another sp 500 all time high by april 24	Yes	SELL	20	75¢	$15	0x57d8b9…
04-23 14:22:06	US takes a stake in Spirit Airlines by May 31?	No	BUY	10	45¢	$4	0x269a3f…
04-23 11:49:40	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April?	No	BUY	20	55¢	$11	0xefa1d9…
04-23 11:47:52	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?	Yes	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0x387349…
04-21 19:59:02	another sp 500 all time high by april 24	Yes	BUY	17	40¢	$7	0x70e01a…
04-21 17:49:40	North Korea missile test/launch by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	100	56¢	$56	0x5e8533…
04-21 16:25:32	another sp 500 all time high by april 24	Yes	BUY	3	40¢	$1	0x5f7fb3…
03-29 12:39:28	will trump talk to mark rutte in march 855	Yes	BUY	30	12¢	$4	0xe16635…
03-27 19:29:15	fif eng ury 2026 03 27 ury	Yes	BUY	133	15¢	$20	0x081353…
03-09 23:15:41	will trump talk to mohammed bin salman in march 915	Yes	SELL	10	75¢	$8	0x53cf73…
03-08 00:09:47	will trump talk to mohammed bin salman in march 915	Yes	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x1cbbc4…
03-05 06:56:47	will crude oil cl hit high 80 by end of march 113 384 528 915 639 242 637	Yes	SELL	22	90¢	$20	0xc8ca4c…
03-05 00:56:03	will crude oil cl hit high 90 by end of march 124 949 438 563 647 712 323	Yes	SELL	20	75¢	$15	0x1a1d9a…
03-04 09:15:53	will crude oil cl hit high 80 by end of march 113 384 528 915 639 242 637	Yes	SELL	8	90¢	$7	0xce41fb…
03-02 07:40:33	cl up or down on march 2 2026	Up	SELL	30	99¢	$30	0x54334e…
03-01 23:44:27	will crude oil cl hit high 80 by end of march 113 384 528 915 639 242 637	Yes	BUY	4	75¢	$3	0xa8f5e6…
03-01 21:13:53	will crude oil cl hit high 80 by end of march 113 384 528 915 639 242 637	Yes	BUY	20	75¢	$15	0x07e889…
03-01 21:09:41	will crude oil cl hit high 80 by end of march 113 384 528 915 639 242 637	Yes	BUY	6	75¢	$4	0xde63aa…
03-01 21:02:47	will crude oil cl hit high 90 by end of march 124 949 438 563 647 712 323	Yes	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x109159…
03-01 21:01:57	cl up or down on march 2 2026	Up	BUY	30	95¢	$29	0xbcc32e…
02-28 20:54:11	spx up or down on march 2 2026	Down	BUY	10	63¢	$6	0x153ce9…
02-27 18:58:59	will donald trump be named in newly released epstein files by february 28	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xd39481…
02-26 18:00:58	will al gore be named in newly released epstein files by february 28	No	SELL	50	99¢	$50	0xe4c4bb…
02-25 21:29:10	will oprah winfrey be named in newly released epstein files by february 28	No	SELL	12	98¢	$12	0x970c47…
02-25 21:19:28	will bernie sanders be named in newly released epstein files by february 28	No	SELL	20	98¢	$20	0x13223d…
02-25 21:16:46	will hillary clinton be named in newly released epstein files by february 28	No	SELL	20	97¢	$19	0x813edc…
02-25 21:15:50	will bill gates be named in newly released epstein files by february 28	No	SELL	47	96¢	$45	0x7c8c52…
02-25 21:14:36	will henry kissinger be named in newly released epstein files by february 28	No	SELL	20	98¢	$20	0xc50fcc…
02-25 21:06:26	will bill gates be named in newly released epstein files by february 28	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x21fc70…
02-25 21:06:24	will bill gates be named in newly released epstein files by february 28	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x59d702…
02-25 21:06:24	will bill gates be named in newly released epstein files by february 28	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x5851c8…
02-24 16:27:00	will donald trumps tie be another color	Yes	BUY	25	14¢	$4	0x161148…
02-23 16:01:44	will the nyse trading floor be closed on monday	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x473e86…
02-22 21:48:10	will the nyse trading floor be closed on monday	No	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x0c45ed…
02-22 00:12:34	will oprah winfrey be named in newly released epstein files by february 28	No	BUY	10	77¢	$8	0x6692fa…
02-19 02:00:44	will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	30	5¢	$2	0x6c8a25…
02-16 10:23:07	will oprah winfrey be named in newly released epstein files by february 28	No	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x1fd9ca…
02-15 23:45:29	will hillary clinton be named in newly released epstein files by february 28	No	BUY	20	61¢	$12	0x16b9fb…
02-15 23:25:57	will henry kissinger be named in newly released epstein files by february 28	No	BUY	20	62¢	$12	0x79a5ad…
02-15 23:17:01	will al gore be named in newly released epstein files by february 28	No	BUY	30	63¢	$19	0x86aa20…
02-15 23:15:25	will bill gates be named in newly released epstein files by february 28	No	BUY	18	58¢	$10	0x1cb3ba…
02-15 20:49:39	will bill gates be named in newly released epstein files by february 28	No	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xef9b8a…
02-14 10:30:33	will bill gates be named in newly released epstein files by february 28	No	BUY	10	55¢	$6	0xb4179b…
02-14 04:45:01	another us government shutdown by february 14	Yes	BUY	50	5¢	$2	0x23c06d…
02-14 03:10:25	will the government shutdown last 2 days or more 497 585	No	BUY	7	85¢	$6	0xe22561…
02-13 19:34:21	will bill gates be named in newly released epstein files by february 28	No	BUY	20	70¢	$14	0xb530d5…
02-13 18:25:23	will the government shutdown last 1 day or more	No	SELL	30	80¢	$24	0x6174f0…
02-13 18:17:49	will the government shutdown last 1 day or more	No	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xf0144e…
02-13 18:17:49	will the government shutdown last 1 day or more	No	BUY	25	80¢	$20	0xadd740…
02-13 18:08:17	another us government shutdown by february 14	No	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x1afbba…
02-13 18:08:15	another us government shutdown by february 14	No	BUY	14	82¢	$11	0x33cca0…
02-13 03:30:39	bank of england decreases interest rates by 25 bps after march 2026 meeting 384	Yes	BUY	20	81¢	$16	0xaaf7f7…
02-12 22:38:55	bank of england decreases interest rates by 25 bps after march 2026 meeting 384	Yes	BUY	0	81¢	$0	0x3dd545…
02-12 22:35:07	bank of england decreases interest rates by 25 bps after march 2026 meeting 384	Yes	BUY	60	84¢	$50	0x2b336e…
02-07 21:26:03	will stephen colbert be named in newly released epstein files by february 28	No	SELL	20	90¢	$18	0x755de9…
02-02 19:13:30	us anti cartel ground operation in mexico by january 31	Yes	SELL	100	99¢	$99	0xe0012c…
02-02 16:23:08	israel x iran ceasefire broken by march 31 2026 312 682	No	SELL	37	55¢	$20	0xa7faec…
02-02 07:47:34	will bernie sanders be named in newly released epstein files by february 28	No	BUY	20	65¢	$13	0x94d744…
02-02 07:46:48	will stephen colbert be named in newly released epstein files by february 28	No	BUY	20	71¢	$14	0xb1e8f3…
02-02 07:43:00	us anti cartel ground operation in mexico by january 31	Yes	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0x8ec9b0…
02-01 15:07:36	us anti cartel ground operation in mexico by january 31	No	BUY	1,300	8¢	$104	0x29a178…
02-01 08:10:10	Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?	No	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0x50f252…
02-01 08:09:40	israel strikes iran by january 31 2026 894 994 453	No	SELL	169	100¢	$169	0x69508c…
01-31 14:38:22	Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?	No	BUY	50	93¢	$46	0x6b3d11…
01-29 17:34:14	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	22	47¢	$10	0xc14fea…
01-27 12:38:05	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	No	SELL	20	98¢	$20	0x06db6b…
01-26 12:55:53	israel strikes iran by january 31 2026 894 994 453	No	BUY	100	88¢	$88	0xff85a0…
01-25 21:51:52	venezuela election scheduled by march 31 2026	No	SELL	17	92¢	$15	0x3a59a7…
01-25 20:57:34	venezuela election scheduled by march 31 2026	No	SELL	2	92¢	$2	0x55f1d0…
01-24 12:41:04	venezuela election scheduled by march 31 2026	No	SELL	10	92¢	$9	0xc4ed9e…
01-23 22:52:16	venezuela election scheduled by march 31 2026	No	SELL	3	92¢	$3	0x7ae1b8…
01-18 15:54:34	will google gemini 3 score at least 50 on the frontiermath benchmark	Yes	SELL	30	25¢	$8	0x1dec1e…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418	52	$6.80M	8,125	05-28 00:56
Faraway-Seaside 0xf0b0…8cab	44	$103.8K	8,530	05-04 06:58
Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71	41	$214.5K	4,280	05-22 17:18
Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24	41	$15.0K	1,582	05-22 22:32
Naive-Waterwheel 0x10b2…4ceb	40	$17.9K	961	05-15 22:21
Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71	39	$6.24K	1,084	05-25 20:34
Untimely-Mood 0x0711…f03c	35	$2.61K	586	05-22 16:05
Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3	32	$118.1K	331	05-30 20:32