Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$490

Unrealized P&L

-$57

Hit rate

47.8%

Resolved

121

Trades

177

lifetime

Volume

$7.52K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$42

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-06-13

last 11-02 18:13

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 51 days

Categories

Other

88% 27% -$549

Crypto

7% 29% -$350

Politics

3% 7% -$102

Sports

2% 67% +$511

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

23 active days in 12wk • peak 12 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Switzerland before 2027?	Yes		+1,333	$60	0¢	$3	-$57	09-08 13:12

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will England win on 2026-06-17?	5	$553	363	363	+0	Yes	+$146	06-17 22:05
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?	2	$437	567	567	+0	Yes	+$237	08-27 19:22
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?	4	$306	3,346	500	+2,846	No	-$194	08-27 21:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	3	$300	10,643	0	+10,643	Down	-$300	08-23 09:55
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	2	$288	694	694	+0	No	+$248	08-18 07:40
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?	3	$258	406	288	+118	Yes	+$33	06-19 07:58
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 1 to September 8, 2026?	2	$247	732	732	+0	No	-$8	09-03 22:40
Will Rafael Fiziev fight Dan Hooker next?	2	$203	720	720	+0	open	—	08-22 15:25
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-16?	2	$192	769	769	+0	No	-$8	06-16 08:19
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 25 to September 1, 2026?	2	$187	312	312	+0	Yes	+$87	08-30 15:50
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	2	$165	154	154	+0	Yes	+$125	08-14 07:36
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?	2	$161	725	725	+0	No	+$61	08-21 19:46
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-18?	2	$150	714	0	+714	No	-$150	06-17 22:09
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	2	$137	333	333	+0	No	+$97	08-19 15:15
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?	2	$114	307	307	+0	Yes	+$3	09-17 11:47
Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-17?	2	$113	1,130	0	+1,130	No	-$113	06-17 22:27
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?	2	$105	312	312	+0	No	+$5	09-07 14:59
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?	2	$104	1,408	1,408	+0	No	+$4	08-21 17:22
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?	2	$103	294	294	+0	No	+$3	09-06 08:42
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?	2	$101	241	241	+0	No	+$10	09-15 07:25
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from August 25 to September 1, 2026?	1	$100	735	0	+735	No	-$100	08-22 15:30
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?	1	$100	599	0	+599	No	-$100	08-18 20:51
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	1	$100	1,066	0	+1,066	No	-$100	08-18 19:31
Will France win on 2026-06-16?	1	$100	152	0	+152	Yes	+$52	06-16 08:20
Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-15?	1	$100	526	0	+526	No	-$100	06-15 20:19
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-15?	1	$100	4,167	0	+4,167	No	-$100	06-15 08:09
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?	1	$100	147	0	+147	Yes	+$47	06-16 22:09
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17?	1	$100	141	0	+141	Yes	+$41	06-17 22:27
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?	2	$100	263	263	+0	No	$0	09-10 14:32
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?	2	$97	476	476	+0	No	-$3	08-19 21:16

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-02 18:13:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	28	17¢	$5	0x723b4f…
11-02 18:13:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0x5bd6cd…
11-02 18:13:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0x674d36…
11-02 18:07:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x1590a2…
11-02 18:07:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0xdbfdc3…
10-31 15:18:19	Will the Republican Party win the AZ-01 House seat?	Yes	BUY	53	19¢	$10	0x6da79d…
10-31 15:17:58	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	167	6¢	$10	0xa24802…
10-31 15:17:22	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	554	4¢	$20	0xa2d624…
10-31 15:12:37	Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Yes	BUY	539	2¢	$10	0x1fae12…
10-31 15:11:46	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	167	6¢	$10	0xaa8af6…
10-31 15:11:33	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	34	29¢	$10	0x82f33d…
09-26 12:00:33	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	Yes	SELL	23	23¢	$5	0xde0567…
09-26 12:00:26	Will Dricus Du Plessis fight Sean Strickland next?	Yes	SELL	522	1¢	$7	0x8e2297…
09-25 08:18:50	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	Yes	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0x6b2469…
09-23 16:53:09	Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?	No	SELL	635	2¢	$12	0x529ffb…
09-17 17:13:34	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 19 to September 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	161	34¢	$54	0x3c77b0…
09-17 11:47:15	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?	Yes	SELL	307	19¢	$58	0x08225e…
09-15 07:29:22	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	307	18¢	$56	0xda66fb…
09-15 07:25:30	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?	Yes	SELL	241	23¢	$55	0x3b97e1…
09-10 14:34:51	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?	Yes	BUY	241	19¢	$46	0x7207e8…
09-10 14:32:49	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	263	19¢	$50	0xc72418…
09-10 07:41:04	Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-09-10?	Yes	BUY	246	3¢	$8	0x026f78…
09-08 13:12:09	Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Switzerland before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1,333	4¢	$60	0x113843…
09-07 15:00:49	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	263	19¢	$50	0xf72d6c…
09-07 15:00:40	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	321	16¢	$50	0x7f844e…
09-07 14:59:51	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?	Yes	SELL	312	18¢	$55	0x8ceca6…
09-06 20:38:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	304	8¢	$25	0x5c5839…
09-06 20:33:57	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?	Yes	SELL	299	13¢	$39	0x2bde8f…
09-06 08:42:37	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?	Yes	SELL	294	18¢	$53	0x309a65…
09-05 18:17:51	Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?	No	BUY	635	3¢	$20	0x3f3669…
09-05 18:14:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	83	6¢	$5	0x0f0188…
09-05 18:07:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	48	52¢	$25	0x691f36…
09-05 18:02:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0x7888b8…
09-05 17:59:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	26	96¢	$25	0x3f75b7…
09-05 09:26:58	Will Dricus Du Plessis fight Sean Strickland next?	Yes	BUY	522	2¢	$10	0x9e6afc…
09-05 09:23:37	UFC Fight Night: Dan Hooker vs. Salahdine Parnasse (Lightweight, Main Card)	Dan Hooker	BUY	100	20¢	$20	0x05bcf3…
09-04 08:14:28	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026?	Yes	BUY	418	2¢	$10	0x1d3c78…
09-04 08:08:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	250	2¢	$5	0x9f90a0…
09-04 08:04:55	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on September 4?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xa8a8b8…
09-04 08:04:46	Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $70,000 on September 4?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x1f4383…
09-03 22:40:18	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 1 to September 8, 2026?	Yes	SELL	732	16¢	$120	0xc58bf5…
09-03 07:41:28	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	299	14¢	$42	0x5038ec…
09-03 07:41:12	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	312	16¢	$50	0x8400d5…
09-03 07:41:03	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	294	17¢	$50	0xaaa623…
08-30 15:50:42	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 1 to September 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	732	17¢	$127	0xcbcd0c…
08-30 15:50:01	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 25 to September 1, 2026?	Yes	SELL	312	44¢	$137	0x082712…
08-28 16:42:37	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026?	Yes	BUY	300	16¢	$49	0x9bdbbf…
08-28 16:18:22	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026?	Yes	BUY	294	17¢	$50	0x90bfd5…
08-28 06:54:04	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,782	1¢	$20	0x4555c5…
08-28 06:52:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-28 06:50 UTC	Up	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0x00fbac…
08-27 21:25:34	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,277	4¢	$100	0xda85f6…
08-27 19:22:37	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	569	18¢	$100	0x6c18a8…
08-27 19:22:24	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	567	59¢	$337	0x822da9…
08-23 10:07:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	655	4¢	$25	0x7be46d…
08-23 10:06:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	208	12¢	$25	0xbd458b…
08-23 10:04:01	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	500	11¢	$56	0x965b78…
08-23 10:01:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0x602076…
08-23 09:58:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0xb65c66…
08-23 09:58:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0xedd712…
08-23 09:58:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0xf7716c…
08-23 09:55:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	10,000	1¢	$100	0x3409cb…
08-23 09:54:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	479	21¢	$100	0xc21024…
08-23 09:53:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	164	61¢	$100	0x251730…
08-23 09:46:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	76	33¢	$25	0x0898e2…
08-23 09:39:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0xac97d1…
08-22 15:30:15	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from August 25 to September 1, 2026?	Yes	BUY	735	14¢	$100	0xad193e…
08-22 15:25:49	Will Rafael Fiziev fight Dan Hooker next?	Yes	SELL	720	14¢	$103	0x85f979…
08-22 12:48:24	Will Elon Musk announce Presidential run before 2027?	Yes	BUY	376	5¢	$20	0xb2accc…
08-22 12:43:09	Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $600B and $700B on August 31?	Yes	BUY	110	7¢	$8	0x2be9ba…
08-22 08:56:40	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from August 25 to September 1, 2026?	Yes	BUY	283	18¢	$50	0x767aa1…
08-22 08:56:28	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 25 to September 1, 2026?	Yes	BUY	312	16¢	$50	0x0d5232…
08-21 20:50:48	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	500	10¢	$50	0x60b65a…
08-21 19:46:45	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?	Yes	SELL	725	15¢	$111	0x1dda75…
08-21 17:26:09	ufc jam7 ler1 2026 08 22	Jamall Emmers	BUY	208	24¢	$50	0xb98a5b…
08-21 17:22:48	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,408	4¢	$54	0x37c6f7…
08-20 18:51:24	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	725	7¢	$50	0x2388d9…
08-20 18:51:22	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,408	4¢	$50	0x921d50…
08-19 21:16:33	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?	Yes	SELL	476	10¢	$47	0xe6988a…
08-19 16:08:16	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	567	18¢	$100	0x612f8a…
08-19 15:15:40	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	Yes	SELL	333	35¢	$117	0x8fcb65…
08-18 21:23:28	Will Rafael Fiziev fight Dan Hooker next?	Yes	BUY	720	14¢	$100	0x6a13cb…
08-18 20:51:48	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	599	17¢	$100	0x67f5d7…
08-18 20:51:27	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	476	11¢	$50	0xd45df7…
08-18 19:33:37	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from August 20 to August 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	874	7¢	$60	0x062b45…
08-18 19:31:37	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,066	9¢	$100	0xf0bb35…
08-18 08:22:01	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	333	6¢	$20	0xa3d58d…
08-18 07:40:33	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	Yes	SELL	694	39¢	$268	0x93f8c9…
08-15 06:36:48	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 13 to August 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	27	30¢	$8	0x5ea8eb…
08-14 07:41:00	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 15 to August 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	125	24¢	$30	0xb5efb5…
08-14 07:40:52	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from August 15 to August 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	612	5¢	$30	0xd7763e…
08-14 07:40:01	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	Yes	BUY	398	13¢	$50	0xd2496a…
08-14 07:39:48	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	Yes	BUY	694	3¢	$20	0x0afe95…
08-14 07:36:19	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	Yes	SELL	154	94¢	$145	0xc7bc77…
08-13 07:55:43	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from August 13 to August 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	91	3¢	$3	0xe2fb3e…
08-13 07:55:31	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from August 13 to August 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,349	1¢	$30	0x2b79b6…
08-12 07:39:43	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	154	13¢	$20	0xa9ef21…
08-10 07:37:57	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 8 to August 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,272	2¢	$39	0xd4476a…
08-09 08:09:42	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	56	18¢	$10	0x104e04…
08-09 08:09:39	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	666	2¢	$10	0xba25af…
08-08 16:13:09	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from August 8 to August 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	65	4¢	$3	0xebbff1…