Realized P&L
+$14
Unrealized P&L
+$46
Hit rate
46.5%
Resolved
73
Trades
126
lifetime
Volume
$1.14K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$9
Open exposure
$106
12 positions
First seen
2026-02-02
last 10-23 13:37
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 40 days
Categories
Other
44% 35% -$23
Politics
31% 40% +$4
Crypto
16% 39% +$37
Sports
9% 80% -$4
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
1 active day in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Opensea FDV above $300M one day after launch? No -24 -$18 94¢ $-22 -$5 07-07 23:25
Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -494 -$36 3¢ $-17 +$19 10-23 13:29
Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +1,100 $35 1¢ $13 -$22 05-27 14:17
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -91 -$9 12¢ $-10 -$1 07-07 23:42
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch? No -14 -$7 68¢ $-10 -$2 07-07 23:25
Abstract FDV above $400M one day after launch? No -10 -$7 97¢ $-10 -$3 07-07 23:24
Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch? No -10 -$7 93¢ $-9 -$2 07-07 23:24
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +26 $5 18¢ $5 $0 05-12 16:26
Will François Asselineau win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -2,627 -$16 0¢ $-4 +$12 05-12 16:20
Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -579 -$52 1¢ $-3 +$49 05-26 14:11
Will Sarah Knafo win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -382 -$4 1¢ $-2 +$1 07-07 23:17
Will Marine Tondelier win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -258 -$2 0¢ $-0 +$1 05-12 16:20