Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$146

Unrealized P&L

-$5

Hit rate

75.6%

Resolved

116

Trades

633

lifetime

Volume

$4.75K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$18

2 positions

First seen

2026-06-07

last 10-26 22:55

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 28 days

Categories

Other

80% 52% +$157

Sports

12% 40% +$18

Politics

8% 50% -$29

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

66 active days in 12wk • peak 50 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures?	No		+16	$14	94¢	$15	+$1	09-29 16:02
Will Francis James Allison Oyague win the next Lima mayoral elections?	Yes		+73	$9	4¢	$3	-$5	10-14 06:36

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the next Lima mayoral elections?	27	$404	230	230	+0	open	—	10-14 06:32
Will Julian Alvarez stay at Atletico Madrid?	42	$384	256	256	+0	Yes	+$11	09-01 23:44
Will Eduardo Camavinga stay at Real Madrid?	23	$309	189	189	+0	Yes	+$13	09-01 23:42
Will Julian Alvarez join Barcelona?	30	$275	224	175	+49	No	+$6	09-01 20:39
will a nation that has never won the world cup win in 2026 20260605003149811	2	$150	165	0	+165	No	+$15	07-10 21:09
will argentina reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134503	4	$148	121	121	+0	Yes	-$52	07-07 17:23
Will Julian Alvarez join Arsenal?	21	$133	173	173	+0	No	+$12	09-01 20:26
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	22	$125	150	150	+0	No	+$8	10-07 06:22
Will Rodri win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$112	111	111	+0	Yes	+$110	07-19 22:40
Will Lamine Yamal finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	3	$102	52	52	+0	Yes	$0	10-05 00:07
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	2	$101	51	51	+0	No	+$1	10-01 04:03
Will Jack Grealish join Everton?	14	$100	71	71	+0	Yes	+$12	09-02 00:02
fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 goals harry kane gte1	8	$82	96	0	+96	No	+$13	07-18 22:51
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	19	$79	371	363	+8	Yes	-$20	10-04 04:50
fifwc par fra 2026 07 04 team to advance	3	$75	82	0	+82	France	+$7	07-04 21:12
Will Lionel Messi finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	12	$70	53	53	+0	Yes	+$13	10-26 22:55
Will Rodri join Barcelona?	7	$65	61	33	+28	Yes	-$3	08-18 17:21
Will Vitinha finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	5	$63	33	33	+0	No	+$3	10-26 17:54
Will Rafael Leao join Galatasaray?	8	$63	62	62	+0	Yes	+$37	08-28 14:50
Will Rodri stay at Manchester City?	6	$60	38	32	+6	No	-$2	08-16 05:49
fifwc fra swe 2026 06 30 team to advance	2	$60	70	0	+70	France	+$10	06-30 21:32
Will France win on 2026-09-25?	2	$59	34	34	+0	Yes	+$9	09-25 21:38
Will Lamine Yamal finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	4	$47	26	26	+0	Yes	+$3	09-29 21:21
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?	3	$46	37	18	+18	No	+$4	07-19 20:53
Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures?	7	$46	32	17	+16	open	—	09-29 16:02
Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	3	$45	49	0	+49	No	-$45	07-19 21:40
Will Harry Kane finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	2	$41	22	22	+0	Yes	+$0	10-01 17:06
Will Bruno Fernandes finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	2	$41	21	21	+0	No	+$1	09-26 17:43
Will Achraf Hakimi finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	2	$41	21	21	+0	No	+$1	10-26 17:57
Will Emiliano Martinez join Juventus?	2	$40	20	20	+0	No	+$0	08-27 16:02

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 22:55:24	Will Lionel Messi finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	18	99¢	$18	0x66a968…
10-26 22:50:36	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	47	0¢	$0	0x3a1111…
10-26 22:49:36	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	9	32¢	$3	0x610daf…
10-26 22:47:33	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xe902f4…
10-26 22:46:29	Will Lionel Messi finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	4	78¢	$3	0x48f02c…
10-26 22:38:56	Will Michael Olise finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	0	34¢	$0	0x3d955d…
10-26 22:35:44	Will Michael Olise finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	4	34¢	$1	0xfebed3…
10-26 22:34:41	Will Michael Olise finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	1	34¢	$0	0x7112dd…
10-26 22:24:45	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	77	4¢	$3	0x69fada…
10-26 22:24:00	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0x6c2f48…
10-26 22:14:27	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0x124a10…
10-26 22:13:56	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x7bb1a5…
10-26 22:13:42	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xba11a0…
10-26 22:13:29	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xdc0f45…
10-26 22:05:27	Will Lionel Messi finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	6	60¢	$4	0xcea1ca…
10-26 22:04:53	Will Michael Olise finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	18	99¢	$18	0xef3c2e…
10-26 22:00:56	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	7	77¢	$5	0x0a11c3…
10-26 21:37:15	Will Michael Olise finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x1ebfb6…
10-26 20:18:51	Will Lionel Messi finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	21	70¢	$14	0x204d1e…
10-26 19:56:09	Will Ousmane Dembélé finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xf0480b…
10-26 18:39:21	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x39c908…
10-26 18:30:17	Will Fabian Ruiz finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x3534f2…
10-26 18:17:14	Will Fabian Ruiz finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xcc8979…
10-26 18:14:59	Will Fabian Ruiz finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x79ab9b…
10-26 18:14:35	Will Fabian Ruiz finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x497f88…
10-26 18:11:29	Will Fabian Ruiz finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x73dd8c…
10-26 18:04:50	Will Bruno Fernandes finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	17	99¢	$17	0x39b66a…
10-26 18:01:00	Will Erling Haaland finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	11	92¢	$10	0x6b44de…
10-26 17:57:06	Will Achraf Hakimi finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0x146bc9…
10-26 17:54:38	Will Vitinha finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	33	100¢	$33	0xf88fb9…
10-25 23:16:27	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	7	90¢	$7	0xca9397…
10-25 22:45:12	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	13	11¢	$1	0xf42a52…
10-24 19:26:35	Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. RC Deportivo A Coruña end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xc421e3…
10-24 15:28:26	Will Bruno Fernandes finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0xb35ccb…
10-22 18:34:00	Will Bruno Fernandes finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0x1cdcc5…
10-22 00:05:48	Will Erling Haaland finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	22	92¢	$20	0x09744b…
10-22 00:05:05	Will Michael Olise finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	3	80¢	$3	0x89d816…
10-22 00:03:36	Will Kylian Mbappé finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	14	2¢	$0	0x27aff2…
10-22 00:02:15	Will Declan Rice finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x3823bd…
10-21 23:59:50	Will Fabian Ruiz finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0xb80e59…
10-21 23:58:48	Will Fabian Ruiz finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x6c039b…
10-20 21:42:45	Will Kylian Mbappé finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	4	14¢	$1	0x7f613c…
10-20 21:35:41	Will Lionel Messi finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	13	15¢	$2	0x8ffaaa…
10-20 20:42:44	Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 2 - 1 FC Barcelona?	No	SELL	16	99¢	$16	0x2db0a2…
10-20 20:08:29	Will Kylian Mbappé finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	10	14¢	$1	0xdabb2c…
10-20 20:00:36	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	2	21¢	$0	0x988914…
10-20 19:59:03	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	2	21¢	$0	0x8f9c91…
10-20 19:58:33	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	11	21¢	$2	0xefcc9b…
10-20 19:51:27	Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Barcelona: 1st Half O/U 1.5	Under	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0xdd4799…
10-20 19:45:21	Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Barcelona: 1st Half O/U 1.5	Under	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0xd3867e…
10-20 19:44:06	Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Barcelona: 1st Half O/U 1.5	Over	SELL	8	28¢	$2	0xa57560…
10-20 19:29:56	Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Barcelona: 1st Half O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0x19af9c…
10-20 19:22:06	Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 2 - 1 FC Barcelona?	No	BUY	16	92¢	$15	0x9c018b…
10-20 19:18:42	Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x4fa2a3…
10-19 04:08:42	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	14	22¢	$3	0xe41746…
10-19 03:51:26	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0x1c6c56…
10-18 04:35:30	Will Carlos Ricardo Bruce Montes de Oca win the next Lima mayoral elections?	Yes	SELL	22	0¢	$0	0xd91963…
10-14 06:36:17	Will Francis James Allison Oyague win the next Lima mayoral elections?	Yes	SELL	20	3¢	$1	0x97779f…
10-14 06:34:17	Will Francis James Allison Oyague win the next Lima mayoral elections?	Yes	SELL	92	3¢	$3	0x74416a…
10-14 06:32:08	Will Rafael López Aliaga win the next Lima mayoral elections?	Yes	SELL	148	83¢	$123	0xc3093b…
10-14 03:44:11	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	SELL	9	19¢	$2	0xd3540d…
10-13 16:52:33	Will Vitinha finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0xbf8b43…
10-11 04:28:09	Will Carlos Ricardo Bruce Montes de Oca win the next Lima mayoral elections?	Yes	SELL	2	0¢	$0	0x4b3bd2…
10-11 02:26:50	Will Carlos Ricardo Bruce Montes de Oca win the next Lima mayoral elections?	Yes	SELL	12	0¢	$0	0xa980b6…
10-10 16:11:00	Will Carlos Ricardo Bruce Montes de Oca win the next Lima mayoral elections?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x631088…
10-10 15:16:13	Will Lionel Messi finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	8	29¢	$2	0xe44be3…
10-10 15:13:54	Will Kylian Mbappé finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	12	35¢	$4	0xdcf55a…
10-10 15:13:10	Will Kylian Mbappé finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	6	34¢	$2	0xebdfc8…
10-09 12:56:34	Will Fabian Ruiz finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	7	42¢	$3	0xf24a99…
10-09 08:01:31	Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	10	65¢	$6	0x566275…
10-09 05:10:50	Will Fabian Ruiz finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	23	11¢	$3	0xd7d2a9…
10-09 00:20:35	Will Ousmane Dembélé finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	9	77¢	$7	0x638315…
10-08 23:46:59	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	11	39¢	$4	0x8d9910…
10-07 13:31:26	Will Lionel Messi finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0xf71e2e…
10-07 11:16:57	Will Jude Bellingham finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x34b7ae…
10-07 06:24:29	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	16	43¢	$7	0xe7a15b…
10-07 06:23:23	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	3	43¢	$1	0x8f1500…
10-07 06:23:11	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	7	43¢	$3	0x79a327…
10-07 06:22:26	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	8	85¢	$7	0xe155eb…
10-06 06:20:09	Will Rafael López Aliaga win the next Lima mayoral elections?	Yes	BUY	0	84¢	$0	0x13d93e…
10-06 06:20:04	Will Rafael López Aliaga win the next Lima mayoral elections?	Yes	BUY	24	84¢	$20	0x9aa1f7…
10-06 01:07:58	Will Lionel Messi finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x8ad879…
10-05 20:51:14	Will Daniel Belizario Urresti Elera win the next Lima mayoral elections?	Yes	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0x627315…
10-05 06:18:17	Will Francis James Allison Oyague win the next Lima mayoral elections?	Yes	BUY	10	6¢	$1	0xaacbfc…
10-05 06:13:29	Will Francis James Allison Oyague win the next Lima mayoral elections?	Yes	BUY	10	6¢	$1	0xd516f4…
10-05 06:12:53	Will Francis James Allison Oyague win the next Lima mayoral elections?	Yes	SELL	10	6¢	$1	0x36c4e3…
10-05 06:00:16	Will Francis James Allison Oyague win the next Lima mayoral elections?	Yes	SELL	14	7¢	$1	0x439473…
10-05 05:59:59	Will Rafael López Aliaga win the next Lima mayoral elections?	Yes	BUY	12	88¢	$11	0x96d9de…
10-05 05:57:05	Will Francis James Allison Oyague win the next Lima mayoral elections?	Yes	SELL	13	7¢	$1	0xd76eca…
10-05 05:52:25	Will Francis James Allison Oyague win the next Lima mayoral elections?	Yes	BUY	38	8¢	$3	0x66764c…
10-05 05:48:23	Will Francis James Allison Oyague win the next Lima mayoral elections?	Yes	BUY	0	5¢	$0	0x41382f…
10-05 05:44:43	Will Francis James Allison Oyague win the next Lima mayoral elections?	Yes	BUY	6	5¢	$0	0x815d60…
10-05 05:30:58	Will Francis James Allison Oyague win the next Lima mayoral elections?	Yes	BUY	40	5¢	$2	0x635ff6…
10-05 05:30:13	Will Francis James Allison Oyague win the next Lima mayoral elections?	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x0b0b7b…
10-05 05:29:46	Will Francis James Allison Oyague win the next Lima mayoral elections?	Yes	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0xca6573…
10-05 05:28:22	Will Rafael López Aliaga win the next Lima mayoral elections?	Yes	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x3f0e11…
10-05 05:24:20	Will Francis James Allison Oyague win the next Lima mayoral elections?	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x277d33…
10-05 05:17:25	Will Francis James Allison Oyague win the next Lima mayoral elections?	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xd1cd92…
10-05 05:15:17	Will Rafael López Aliaga win the next Lima mayoral elections?	Yes	BUY	23	87¢	$20	0x3ee8d9…
10-05 05:04:16	Will Rafael López Aliaga win the next Lima mayoral elections?	Yes	BUY	7	87¢	$6	0x2ff9a5…