Mild-Hike — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$244

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

90.7%

Resolved

Trades

519

lifetime

Volume

$7.22K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$14

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-19

last 08-08 19:52

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

67% 100% +$255

Politics

24% — —

Crypto

10% 0% $-11

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

50 active days in 12wk • peak 25 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	27	$721	1,300	1,696	-396	open	—	06-24 13:03
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,300 by end of June?	35	$618	682	877	-195	open	—	06-08 05:48
Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?	17	$291	523	102	+421	Yes	+$255	05-10 17:32
will wti dip to 70 in june 2026 532 385 742	11	$260	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	06-12 09:08
Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in May?	26	$241	1,037	1,037	+0	open	—	05-16 12:48
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	3	$240	200	200	+0	open	—	07-06 23:18
iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150 838	3	$238	591	295	+295	open	—	07-23 03:53
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	12	$234	388	388	+0	open	—	05-10 15:53
will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by december 31	5	$225	691	0	+691	open	—	08-05 02:45
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $4,800 by end of June?	12	$220	3,329	131	+3,197	open	—	06-18 23:30
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?	4	$210	200	200	+0	open	—	06-14 21:36
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?	8	$194	1,572	300	+1,272	open	—	07-02 05:10
Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in May?	12	$169	300	355	-55	open	—	05-23 17:44
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	3	$159	100	150	-50	open	—	06-14 21:17
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?	4	$154	150	150	+0	open	—	05-17 23:02
will wti reach 100 in august 2026	4	$143	700	0	+700	open	—	08-07 22:21
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	5	$139	250	200	+50	open	—	05-15 22:26
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27?	4	$127	400	100	+300	open	—	05-25 22:55
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?	3	$117	279	279	+0	open	—	05-15 08:51
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	7	$107	142	92	+50	open	—	05-29 19:42
will wti dip to 60 in june 2026 371 314 412	3	$102	1,455	1,455	+0	open	—	06-06 08:23
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,400 by end of June?	8	$97	326	100	+226	open	—	06-05 12:53
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?	1	$93	0	100	-100	open	—	06-05 17:25
us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	1	$75	300	0	+300	open	—	07-05 21:01
iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	1	$75	300	0	+300	open	—	07-09 04:42
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	2	$72	115	115	+0	open	—	05-14 12:16
israel x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	2	$60	1,000	0	+1,000	open	—	07-07 16:57
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	1	$60	200	0	+200	open	—	06-22 03:00
will wti dip to 85 in july 2026	3	$60	300	0	+300	open	—	07-26 09:52
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	6	$59	850	75	+775	open	—	05-28 12:10

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-08 19:52:28	will wti dip to 65 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	250	20¢	$50	0xa6b050…
08-07 22:21:07	will wti reach 100 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	300	9¢	$27	0xa48628…
08-05 02:45:18	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by december 31	Yes	BUY	200	21¢	$42	0x2a42cc…
08-03 22:21:38	iran successfully targets shipping on august 4 2026 20260729163314524	Yes	BUY	185	15¢	$28	0x992fdf…
08-03 22:19:47	iran successfully targets shipping on august 4 2026 20260729163314524	Yes	BUY	2	15¢	$0	0xfd750d…
08-03 22:19:47	iran successfully targets shipping on august 4 2026 20260729163314524	Yes	BUY	2	15¢	$0	0x9d0ae6…
08-03 22:19:44	iran successfully targets shipping on august 4 2026 20260729163314524	Yes	BUY	9	15¢	$1	0xb826df…
08-03 22:19:44	iran successfully targets shipping on august 4 2026 20260729163314524	Yes	BUY	1	15¢	$0	0x7d6584…
08-03 22:19:42	iran successfully targets shipping on august 4 2026 20260729163314524	Yes	BUY	2	15¢	$0	0x25b0f0…
08-02 02:36:05	will wti reach 100 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	200	25¢	$50	0xdb0d97…
08-02 02:12:08	will wti reach 110 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	200	12¢	$24	0x60057a…
08-02 02:08:17	will wti reach 100 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	154	33¢	$51	0xe335cb…
08-02 02:06:59	will wti reach 100 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	46	33¢	$15	0x6ded48…
08-01 15:11:38	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 2	Yes	SELL	70	31¢	$22	0x6177e0…
07-27 06:06:19	will ethereum reach 2000 in july 2026	No	BUY	137	15¢	$21	0xb13604…
07-26 09:52:49	will wti dip to 85 in july 2026	No	BUY	290	20¢	$58	0xcc6db9…
07-26 09:25:27	will wti dip to 85 in july 2026	No	BUY	2	20¢	$0	0x0e0c6d…
07-26 09:22:42	will wti dip to 85 in july 2026	No	BUY	8	20¢	$2	0x6acb6b…
07-25 21:26:07	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by december 31	Yes	BUY	150	31¢	$46	0xe919b2…
07-25 18:40:04	will trump meet with netanyahu by july 31 2026	No	BUY	500	4¢	$18	0xb1c236…
07-25 18:36:40	will trump meet with netanyahu by july 31 2026	No	BUY	500	6¢	$28	0xec96e9…
07-23 23:54:46	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 2	Yes	BUY	70	31¢	$22	0x1299c9…
07-23 19:07:27	will wti dip to 90 in july 2026	No	BUY	15	16¢	$2	0x43916c…
07-23 19:07:21	will wti dip to 90 in july 2026	No	BUY	185	16¢	$30	0xc5a4cc…
07-23 03:53:24	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150 838	Yes	SELL	295	40¢	$118	0x32af48…
07-15 06:38:19	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	BUY	200	25¢	$50	0x9df61f…
07-13 12:06:32	Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31?	Yes	BUY	1	18¢	$0	0xe15a38…
07-13 12:06:31	Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31?	Yes	BUY	21	18¢	$4	0x0ed2a9…
07-09 04:42:08	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150	Yes	BUY	250	18¢	$45	0xc8bbf0…
07-09 04:42:04	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	Yes	BUY	300	25¢	$75	0x94749a…
07-08 18:40:53	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150	Yes	BUY	341	22¢	$75	0x4fe20d…
07-07 16:57:49	israel x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	500	2¢	$10	0x9f7c71…
07-06 23:18:26	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	200	90¢	$180	0x7e0336…
07-05 22:59:28	will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026	Yes	BUY	162	11¢	$18	0xec8889…
07-05 22:52:10	will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026	Yes	BUY	112	11¢	$12	0xda3ca3…
07-05 21:01:16	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	No	BUY	300	25¢	$75	0xbfbaa7…
07-05 19:45:20	will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026	Yes	BUY	112	11¢	$12	0xe951d0…
07-05 18:38:47	will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026	Yes	BUY	112	11¢	$12	0xafde58…
07-05 16:30:07	will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026	Yes	BUY	1	11¢	$0	0xf19f10…
07-02 05:10:17	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?	Yes	BUY	122	6¢	$7	0xd22e36…
07-01 04:56:46	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by december 31	Yes	BUY	200	35¢	$70	0x2ea13a…
06-30 20:28:23	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by december 31	Yes	BUY	100	48¢	$48	0xb33f3b…
06-26 21:52:49	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by december 31	Yes	BUY	41	46¢	$19	0x05fdd4…
06-25 13:38:04	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	179	30¢	$54	0x206144…
06-25 13:36:23	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	21	30¢	$6	0x50e367…
06-24 13:03:37	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	140	69¢	$96	0x146dea…
06-24 13:02:56	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	7	69¢	$4	0x1b3d4b…
06-23 22:37:49	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?	Yes	BUY	750	8¢	$60	0x0eace6…
06-23 22:36:31	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?	Yes	BUY	300	9¢	$27	0xbd7688…
06-22 03:00:17	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	200	30¢	$60	0x3fea5d…
06-21 20:40:59	israel x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	500	10¢	$50	0xf49fb6…
06-21 20:30:25	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?	Yes	SELL	300	10¢	$30	0xe103f3…
06-21 11:28:40	will israel and lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by june 30 2026 20260607225940217 843	No	BUY	180	10¢	$18	0xad5afc…
06-21 10:31:04	will israel and lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by june 30 2026 20260607225940217 843	No	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x84cae9…
06-21 10:26:05	will israel and lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by june 30 2026 20260607225940217 843	No	BUY	15	10¢	$2	0x82fd2d…
06-18 23:30:23	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $4,800 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	1,194	1¢	$13	0x4d5e46…
06-18 19:59:17	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $4,800 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	306	1¢	$3	0x48c2b4…
06-18 06:12:23	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	341	49¢	$167	0xb42e1e…
06-18 06:12:19	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	2	49¢	$1	0xb40fab…
06-18 06:12:13	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	5	49¢	$2	0xf250eb…
06-18 06:12:08	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	2	49¢	$1	0xe64526…
06-17 07:19:16	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	290	39¢	$113	0x531dec…
06-17 07:16:43	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	23	39¢	$9	0xaec82c…
06-17 07:03:44	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	8	39¢	$3	0x77d031…
06-17 05:31:14	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	10	39¢	$4	0xed8c0c…
06-17 05:31:14	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	10	39¢	$4	0xc01838…
06-17 05:31:14	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	10	39¢	$4	0x56b852…
06-17 03:45:53	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	1,834	1¢	$18	0x836f57…
06-17 00:13:08	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1,500	0¢	$4	0x815f60…
06-16 19:29:59	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	1,000	1¢	$6	0x8f251d…
06-16 19:27:40	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 13	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$4	0xd4d319…
06-16 19:26:50	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 13	Yes	BUY	2,000	0¢	$8	0xa61e07…
06-16 19:24:14	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1,000	1¢	$7	0x89b090…
06-16 12:49:09	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	350	29¢	$102	0x8a83bf…
06-16 07:04:46	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	166	1¢	$2	0xa16b33…
06-16 02:32:31	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $4,900 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	1,500	2¢	$26	0x5e7a7e…
06-14 21:53:09	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	158	20¢	$32	0xfa4265…
06-14 21:52:57	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	342	20¢	$68	0x8fbf83…
06-14 21:36:30	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	100	90¢	$90	0x53dd6a…
06-14 21:17:55	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	80¢	$80	0x138370…
06-13 16:48:27	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	14	28¢	$4	0x368294…
06-13 16:48:21	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	86	28¢	$24	0x120667…
06-12 09:08:36	will wti dip to 70 in june 2026 532 385 742	Yes	SELL	965	20¢	$193	0x4505cb…
06-12 09:07:40	will wti dip to 70 in june 2026 532 385 742	Yes	SELL	5	20¢	$1	0x6c47a7…
06-12 09:03:25	will wti dip to 70 in june 2026 532 385 742	Yes	SELL	5	20¢	$1	0x479f02…
06-12 09:03:24	will wti dip to 70 in june 2026 532 385 742	Yes	SELL	5	20¢	$1	0xcd6138…
06-12 08:53:00	will wti dip to 70 in june 2026 532 385 742	Yes	SELL	5	20¢	$1	0x6b2cca…
06-12 08:51:43	will wti dip to 70 in june 2026 532 385 742	Yes	SELL	15	20¢	$3	0x0b4d2e…
06-12 08:30:13	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	12	70¢	$8	0xfcc8c1…
06-12 08:28:31	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	88	70¢	$62	0xf7da60…
06-10 01:20:12	Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,200 by end of June?	No	BUY	245	20¢	$49	0x8956d9…
06-10 01:19:58	Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,200 by end of June?	No	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x320ca2…
06-09 23:54:12	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $4,800 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	700	5¢	$35	0x46ddc8…
06-09 16:07:34	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $4,800 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	496	6¢	$30	0xd0d482…
06-09 14:32:04	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $4,800 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	4	6¢	$0	0xef638d…
06-08 05:48:40	Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,300 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	137	89¢	$122	0xce50bd…
06-06 13:21:55	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?	Yes	BUY	200	16¢	$32	0xcb45de…
06-06 08:23:04	will wti dip to 60 in june 2026 371 314 412	Yes	SELL	728	8¢	$58	0x099fc6…
06-05 17:25:28	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?	No	SELL	100	93¢	$93	0x8c0683…
06-05 14:57:30	Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,300 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	52	59¢	$31	0x87df92…