Mild-Hike — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$244

Unrealized P&L

+$57

Hit rate

90.7%

Resolved

Trades

479

lifetime

Volume

$5.99K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$13

Open exposure

$275

4 positions

First seen

2026-02-19

last 07-01 04:56

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

70% 100% +$255

Politics

19% — —

Crypto

11% 0% $-11

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

62 active days in 12wk • peak 29 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	+200	$60	72¢	$143	+$83	06-25 13:38
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?	Yes	+1,272	$134	6¢	$83	$-52	07-02 05:10
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	+200	$60	24¢	$49	$-11	06-22 03:00
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30, 2026?	Yes	-141	$-37	0¢	$-0	+$37	05-28 11:00

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	27	$721	1,300	1,696	-396	open	—	06-24 13:03
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,300 by end of June?	35	$618	682	877	-195	open	—	06-08 05:48
Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?	17	$291	523	102	+421	Yes	+$255	05-10 17:32
will wti dip to 70 in june 2026 532 385 742	11	$260	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	06-12 09:08
Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in May?	26	$241	1,037	1,037	+0	open	—	05-16 12:48
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	12	$234	388	388	+0	open	—	05-10 15:53
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $4,800 by end of June?	12	$220	3,329	131	+3,197	open	—	06-18 23:30
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?	4	$210	200	200	+0	open	—	06-14 21:36
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?	8	$194	1,572	300	+1,272	open	—	07-02 05:10
Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in May?	12	$169	300	355	-55	open	—	05-23 17:44
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	3	$159	100	150	-50	open	—	06-14 21:17
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?	4	$154	150	150	+0	open	—	05-17 23:02
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	5	$139	250	200	+50	open	—	05-15 22:26
will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by december 31	3	$137	341	0	+341	open	—	07-01 04:56
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27?	4	$127	400	100	+300	open	—	05-25 22:55
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?	3	$117	279	279	+0	open	—	05-15 08:51
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	7	$107	142	92	+50	open	—	05-29 19:42
will wti dip to 60 in june 2026 371 314 412	3	$102	1,455	1,455	+0	open	—	06-06 08:23
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,400 by end of June?	8	$97	326	100	+226	open	—	06-05 12:53
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?	1	$93	0	100	-100	open	—	06-05 17:25
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	2	$72	115	115	+0	open	—	05-14 12:16
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	2	$60	200	0	+200	open	—	06-25 13:38
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	1	$60	200	0	+200	open	—	06-22 03:00
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	6	$59	850	75	+775	open	—	05-28 12:10
will gold gc hit low 4300 by end of march	8	$59	62	62	+0	open	—	03-24 21:06
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	8	$57	850	50	+800	open	—	05-26 17:14
will israels ben gurion airport reopen by march 4 546	8	$54	411	411	+0	open	—	03-03 20:12
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of June?	8	$51	2,500	0	+2,500	open	—	06-17 03:45
israel x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	1	$50	500	0	+500	open	—	06-21 20:40
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,200 by end of June?	2	$50	250	0	+250	open	—	06-10 01:20

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-02 05:10:17	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?	Yes	BUY	122	6¢	$7	0xd22e36…
07-01 04:56:46	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by december 31	Yes	BUY	200	35¢	$70	0x2ea13a…
06-30 20:28:23	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by december 31	Yes	BUY	100	48¢	$48	0xb33f3b…
06-26 21:52:49	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by december 31	Yes	BUY	41	46¢	$19	0x05fdd4…
06-25 13:38:04	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	179	30¢	$54	0x206144…
06-25 13:36:23	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	21	30¢	$6	0x50e367…
06-24 13:03:37	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	140	69¢	$96	0x146dea…
06-24 13:02:56	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	7	69¢	$4	0x1b3d4b…
06-23 22:37:49	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?	Yes	BUY	750	8¢	$60	0x0eace6…
06-23 22:36:31	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?	Yes	BUY	300	9¢	$27	0xbd7688…
06-22 03:00:17	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	200	30¢	$60	0x3fea5d…
06-21 20:40:59	israel x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	500	10¢	$50	0xf49fb6…
06-21 20:30:25	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?	Yes	SELL	300	10¢	$30	0xe103f3…
06-21 11:28:40	will israel and lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by june 30 2026 20260607225940217 843	No	BUY	180	10¢	$18	0xad5afc…
06-21 10:31:04	will israel and lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by june 30 2026 20260607225940217 843	No	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x84cae9…
06-21 10:26:05	will israel and lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by june 30 2026 20260607225940217 843	No	BUY	15	10¢	$2	0x82fd2d…
06-18 23:30:23	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $4,800 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	1,194	1¢	$13	0x4d5e46…
06-18 19:59:17	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $4,800 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	306	1¢	$3	0x48c2b4…
06-18 06:12:23	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	341	49¢	$167	0xb42e1e…
06-18 06:12:19	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	2	49¢	$1	0xb40fab…
06-18 06:12:13	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	5	49¢	$2	0xf250eb…
06-18 06:12:08	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	2	49¢	$1	0xe64526…
06-17 07:19:16	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	290	39¢	$113	0x531dec…
06-17 07:16:43	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	23	39¢	$9	0xaec82c…
06-17 07:03:44	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	8	39¢	$3	0x77d031…
06-17 05:31:14	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	10	39¢	$4	0xed8c0c…
06-17 05:31:14	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	10	39¢	$4	0xc01838…
06-17 05:31:14	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	10	39¢	$4	0x56b852…
06-17 03:45:53	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	1,834	1¢	$18	0x836f57…
06-17 00:13:08	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1,500	0¢	$4	0x815f60…
06-16 19:29:59	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	1,000	1¢	$6	0x8f251d…
06-16 19:27:40	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 13	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$4	0xd4d319…
06-16 19:26:50	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 13	Yes	BUY	2,000	0¢	$8	0xa61e07…
06-16 19:24:14	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1,000	1¢	$7	0x89b090…
06-16 12:49:09	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	350	29¢	$102	0x8a83bf…
06-16 07:04:46	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	166	1¢	$2	0xa16b33…
06-16 02:32:31	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $4,900 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	1,500	2¢	$26	0x5e7a7e…
06-14 21:53:09	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	158	20¢	$32	0xfa4265…
06-14 21:52:57	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	342	20¢	$68	0x8fbf83…
06-14 21:36:30	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	100	90¢	$90	0x53dd6a…
06-14 21:17:55	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	80¢	$80	0x138370…
06-13 16:48:27	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	14	28¢	$4	0x368294…
06-13 16:48:21	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	86	28¢	$24	0x120667…
06-12 09:08:36	will wti dip to 70 in june 2026 532 385 742	Yes	SELL	965	20¢	$193	0x4505cb…
06-12 09:07:40	will wti dip to 70 in june 2026 532 385 742	Yes	SELL	5	20¢	$1	0x6c47a7…
06-12 09:03:25	will wti dip to 70 in june 2026 532 385 742	Yes	SELL	5	20¢	$1	0x479f02…
06-12 09:03:24	will wti dip to 70 in june 2026 532 385 742	Yes	SELL	5	20¢	$1	0xcd6138…
06-12 08:53:00	will wti dip to 70 in june 2026 532 385 742	Yes	SELL	5	20¢	$1	0x6b2cca…
06-12 08:51:43	will wti dip to 70 in june 2026 532 385 742	Yes	SELL	15	20¢	$3	0x0b4d2e…
06-12 08:30:13	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	12	70¢	$8	0xfcc8c1…
06-12 08:28:31	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	88	70¢	$62	0xf7da60…
06-10 01:20:12	Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,200 by end of June?	No	BUY	245	20¢	$49	0x8956d9…
06-10 01:19:58	Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,200 by end of June?	No	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x320ca2…
06-09 23:54:12	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $4,800 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	700	5¢	$35	0x46ddc8…
06-09 16:07:34	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $4,800 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	496	6¢	$30	0xd0d482…
06-09 14:32:04	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $4,800 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	4	6¢	$0	0xef638d…
06-08 05:48:40	Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,300 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	137	89¢	$122	0xce50bd…
06-06 13:21:55	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?	Yes	BUY	200	16¢	$32	0xcb45de…
06-06 08:23:04	will wti dip to 60 in june 2026 371 314 412	Yes	SELL	728	8¢	$58	0x099fc6…
06-05 17:25:28	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?	No	SELL	100	93¢	$93	0x8c0683…
06-05 14:57:30	Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,300 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	52	59¢	$31	0x87df92…
06-05 14:56:39	Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,300 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	34	59¢	$20	0x8ec40d…
06-05 12:53:40	Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,300 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	150	47¢	$70	0xdfe085…
06-05 12:53:10	Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,400 by end of June?	No	BUY	100	15¢	$15	0xd76a4c…
06-05 02:02:36	will wti dip to 60 in june 2026 371 314 412	Yes	BUY	1,455	1¢	$15	0xa4edcf…
06-04 21:28:04	Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,300 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	114	40¢	$46	0x60ed15…
06-04 15:31:51	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	44¢	$44	0x35b26e…
06-04 11:16:37	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	200	25¢	$50	0xd33bc1…
06-04 10:57:34	will wti dip to 70 in june 2026 532 385 742	Yes	BUY	652	6¢	$39	0x6e37d3…
06-04 10:48:25	will wti dip to 70 in june 2026 532 385 742	Yes	BUY	62	6¢	$4	0xb7d344…
06-04 10:47:57	will wti dip to 70 in june 2026 532 385 742	Yes	BUY	106	6¢	$6	0xbaa43f…
06-04 10:35:10	will wti dip to 70 in june 2026 532 385 742	Yes	BUY	50	6¢	$3	0xf72d90…
06-04 10:30:07	will wti dip to 70 in june 2026 532 385 742	Yes	BUY	130	6¢	$8	0x2d2c07…
06-04 07:03:36	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	300	2¢	$4	0x0fbc4e…
06-04 00:46:33	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	160	5¢	$8	0x8c5ac6…
06-03 15:47:42	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	17	5¢	$1	0x967022…
06-03 15:10:31	Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,400 by end of June?	No	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x7fb70b…
06-03 15:09:22	Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,400 by end of June?	No	BUY	20	17¢	$3	0x00b8fc…
06-03 14:53:21	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	8	5¢	$0	0xb39627…
06-03 13:47:37	Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,300 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	3	40¢	$1	0xe14ef5…
06-03 13:41:59	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	12	5¢	$1	0xf0c4b1…
06-03 11:02:34	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	3	5¢	$0	0x9ae01f…
06-03 10:38:23	Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,300 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	20	40¢	$8	0x05a4cb…
06-03 10:03:27	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	34	2¢	$1	0xffa1d1…
06-03 04:54:50	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	300	5¢	$15	0x822c6f…
06-02 21:29:48	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xfc2c14…
06-02 16:24:01	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	200	6¢	$12	0x4afb08…
06-01 14:05:10	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?	Yes	BUY	186	19¢	$35	0xcbd571…
06-01 13:57:44	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $4,800 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	200	12¢	$24	0xf7b958…
06-01 13:51:21	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	119	7¢	$8	0x51c43d…
06-01 13:50:51	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	81	7¢	$6	0x79fb27…
06-01 13:04:23	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	100	8¢	$8	0x32f0b0…
06-01 12:00:29	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	40¢	$20	0x7d25be…
06-01 07:06:59	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $4,800 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	200	16¢	$32	0xf77481…
06-01 02:51:22	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?	Yes	BUY	2	19¢	$0	0x021d12…
06-01 02:51:20	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?	Yes	BUY	12	19¢	$2	0x09d065…
05-31 22:36:20	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0xf43a64…
05-31 11:21:34	Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,300 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	29	14¢	$4	0x7ef103…
05-31 10:22:23	Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,300 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	24	14¢	$3	0x186278…
05-31 03:48:55	Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,300 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	61	16¢	$10	0x3f39be…