Pale-Whelp — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$57

Unrealized P&L

-$5.64K

Hit rate

50.5%

Resolved

Trades

4,235

lifetime

Volume

$1.00M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$236

Open exposure

$7.27K

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-29

last 07-07 17:50

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Politics

86% 67% $-57

Other

13% — —

Sports

1% — —

Crypto

0% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

55 active days in 12wk • peak 183 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes		+14,395	$11,537	50¢	$7.1K	$-4,411	06-28 20:23
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes		+12,673	$1,370	1¢	$146	$-1,224	06-30 22:35

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	271	$168.8K	107,705	108,776	-1,071	open	—	05-31 17:51
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	331	$93.0K	52,301	54,102	-1,802	open	—	05-31 18:01
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	184	$68.5K	76,051	62,643	+13,409	open	—	06-30 22:35
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	72	$63.0K	38,688	31,646	+7,042	open	—	05-26 16:13
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	199	$51.8K	29,234	29,050	+184	open	—	05-10 20:14
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 12 2482	138	$50.5K	28,721	27,337	+1,385	open	—	06-12 23:54
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 15 2889	95	$48.7K	32,500	30,942	+1,558	open	—	06-12 23:32
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	67	$38.1K	30,527	16,133	+14,395	open	—	06-28 20:23
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 30 848 925 757 129 337	94	$29.0K	39,720	20,481	+19,239	open	—	06-13 00:04
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	142	$18.8K	10,410	10,636	-226	open	—	04-26 00:59
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?	100	$18.4K	9,098	16,359	-7,262	open	—	06-12 01:26
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 9	21	$16.6K	8,689	8,689	+0	open	—	06-09 13:09
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	102	$15.7K	9,756	9,776	-20	open	—	03-31 13:41
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	66	$15.6K	13,036	11,391	+1,646	open	—	06-07 00:18
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	55	$15.4K	10,500	10,500	-0	open	—	06-08 14:02
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 7 265 824 655 577 216	39	$14.0K	6,914	10,014	-3,100	open	—	06-06 00:12
us iran nuclear deal by march 31	101	$12.4K	6,676	6,876	-200	open	—	03-29 14:50
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	107	$12.3K	13,621	11,019	+2,602	open	—	06-13 02:42
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	20	$10.0K	5,300	5,300	+0	open	—	05-01 05:58
us strikes iran by february 24 2026	100	$9.2K	4,806	4,740	+66	open	—	02-25 02:26
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	43	$9.0K	4,000	7,568	-3,568	open	—	05-30 15:03
deepseek v4 released by march 15 678	106	$8.4K	6,294	6,294	+0	open	—	03-14 03:05
us x iran ceasefire by march 15	194	$7.9K	4,337	4,443	-106	open	—	03-13 02:24
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by july 31	31	$7.8K	11,536	11,536	+0	open	—	06-12 00:12
us x iran ceasefire by april 30	89	$7.7K	6,367	6,116	+251	open	—	04-03 23:55
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	14	$7.5K	3,316	4,727	-1,411	open	—	04-05 15:27
us iran nuclear deal by july 31	45	$7.5K	6,989	6,958	+31	open	—	06-11 12:22
us strikes iran by february 23 2026 678 563	48	$7.4K	3,785	3,782	+3	open	—	02-24 05:00
trump announces us x iran ceasefire end by april 15 2026	21	$7.2K	3,707	3,707	+0	open	—	04-15 23:12
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	38	$7.0K	4,702	4,057	+645	open	—	04-05 23:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-07 17:50:04	fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 team to advance	Egypt	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0x48e21d…
07-07 17:39:16	fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 btts	No	SELL	10	44¢	$4	0x793ec8…
07-07 16:44:41	fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 btts	No	BUY	10	16¢	$2	0x26aa1d…
07-01 06:19:50	fifwc usa bih 2026 07 01 team to advance	Bosnia and Herzegovina	BUY	50	17¢	$8	0x14a5b1…
07-01 06:19:07	fifwc usa bih 2026 07 01 btts	Yes	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x0a710a…
07-01 06:16:49	fifwc bel sen 2026 07 01 team to advance	Senegal	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0x50131b…
06-30 22:35:58	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	1,500	32¢	$480	0xce68f3…
06-30 20:33:16	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	1,994	33¢	$658	0xc96e71…
06-30 20:31:14	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0xd37df0…
06-30 18:51:14	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	927	35¢	$325	0x64dc63…
06-30 18:48:20	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	573	35¢	$200	0x8cf507…
06-30 16:56:17	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	1,375	34¢	$468	0xefd5c1…
06-30 16:49:11	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	625	34¢	$212	0x07d735…
06-30 16:43:59	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	200	34¢	$68	0x8bb982…
06-30 16:41:20	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	125	34¢	$42	0x9dca9e…
06-30 16:38:55	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	735	34¢	$250	0x40b93d…
06-30 13:32:35	fifwc civ nor 2026 06 30 btts	Yes	BUY	20	58¢	$12	0x6d17be…
06-30 13:20:52	fifwc fra swe 2026 06 30 btts	No	BUY	10	46¢	$5	0x49d1ac…
06-30 12:05:38	fifwc civ nor 2026 06 30 team to advance	Norway	BUY	10	63¢	$6	0x3abe0a…
06-30 12:03:02	fifwc fra swe 2026 06 30 team to advance	Sweden	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0xe90c5c…
06-30 03:00:28	fifwc nld mar 2026 06 29 team to advance	Netherlands	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x3cef2c…
06-28 20:23:47	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	1,256	81¢	$1,017	0x63d613…
06-28 20:22:01	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	1,327	81¢	$1,075	0x392747…
06-28 19:58:19	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	417	81¢	$337	0xbdf158…
06-28 09:08:34	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	1,220	35¢	$427	0x8781ba…
06-28 08:44:05	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	519	81¢	$420	0x9a93d7…
06-28 08:41:49	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	280	35¢	$98	0x33d912…
06-28 08:38:53	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	100	81¢	$81	0xf6793a…
06-28 07:41:11	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	2,000	35¢	$700	0xf145f2…
06-27 09:55:02	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	1,262	49¢	$618	0xfde7f6…
06-27 09:54:29	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	7	49¢	$4	0xf59464…
06-27 09:47:19	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x2bafa4…
06-27 09:40:52	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	21	49¢	$10	0xb8676b…
06-27 09:36:49	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	15	49¢	$7	0x86aa8c…
06-27 08:51:44	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	8	49¢	$4	0xc22759…
06-27 08:47:08	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xbb53c0…
06-27 08:41:01	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	40	49¢	$20	0x3abeb8…
06-27 08:28:47	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	147	49¢	$72	0xe27887…
06-27 08:25:17	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xe6e5e1…
06-27 08:19:35	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	12	49¢	$6	0xe8290f…
06-27 08:05:13	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	180	49¢	$88	0x2f67c0…
06-27 07:54:37	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	278	49¢	$136	0xed9fe3…
06-27 07:39:31	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	3,000	50¢	$1,500	0x9d975d…
06-27 07:22:38	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	2,000	49¢	$980	0x82225f…
06-27 03:19:41	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	3,000	48¢	$1,440	0x623923…
06-26 20:11:40	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	5,000	88¢	$4,400	0xf844a3…
06-26 15:49:58	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	3,798	88¢	$3,342	0xefc5a8…
06-26 15:41:32	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	8	88¢	$7	0xd186d0…
06-26 15:26:31	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	134	88¢	$117	0x91afff…
06-26 15:18:46	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	9	88¢	$8	0x9ae765…
06-26 15:18:46	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	104	88¢	$92	0x495e32…
06-26 15:01:29	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	12	88¢	$11	0x9d7111…
06-26 14:27:17	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	64	88¢	$56	0xd51c8f…
06-26 14:27:01	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	62	88¢	$55	0x77a7d5…
06-26 14:02:54	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	30	88¢	$26	0xd8b3d2…
06-26 13:39:19	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	20	88¢	$18	0xffbbd4…
06-26 12:33:49	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	38	88¢	$33	0xe857bc…
06-26 10:21:19	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	693	88¢	$610	0x8c529b…
06-26 10:21:19	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	9	88¢	$8	0x2e631e…
06-26 10:10:46	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	4,982	88¢	$4,384	0xac4430…
06-26 10:10:46	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	25	88¢	$22	0x0408f4…
06-26 10:10:44	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0xe2f882…
06-25 13:18:29	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	14,744	63¢	$9,289	0x0d4ecf…
06-25 13:15:53	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	32	63¢	$20	0x8b1352…
06-25 13:13:47	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	2	63¢	$1	0xd77937…
06-25 13:13:46	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	600	63¢	$378	0xe5a451…
06-25 13:13:34	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	122	63¢	$77	0x7654b5…
06-25 12:59:11	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	500	63¢	$315	0x7fdab2…
06-25 12:57:58	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	1,000	63¢	$630	0xe4df6a…
06-25 12:53:35	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	38	62¢	$23	0x95649f…
06-25 12:53:34	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	2	62¢	$2	0xb17e0d…
06-25 12:53:34	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	9	62¢	$6	0x88ff4b…
06-25 12:53:34	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	6	62¢	$4	0x0204f2…
06-25 12:53:32	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	4	62¢	$3	0x2b9cd0…
06-25 12:53:31	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	7,940	62¢	$4,923	0xa78091…
06-25 12:29:40	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	209	61¢	$128	0x223ace…
06-25 12:27:58	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	320	61¢	$195	0x44f383…
06-25 12:26:47	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	730	61¢	$445	0x39ce1c…
06-25 12:22:16	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	41	61¢	$25	0xd0710d…
06-25 08:53:22	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	765	49¢	$375	0xd3c9ca…
06-25 08:51:52	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	20	49¢	$10	0x0d23bc…
06-25 08:46:50	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	1,000	49¢	$490	0x88cfb9…
06-25 08:46:43	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	201	49¢	$98	0x50cb80…
06-25 08:46:32	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	23,014	49¢	$11,277	0x0a56b0…
06-16 10:36:42	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x76a7f5…
06-16 10:32:07	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	12	60¢	$7	0xa80cbd…
06-16 10:31:55	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	12	60¢	$7	0x607edb…
06-16 10:31:40	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	12	60¢	$7	0x8cab4d…
06-16 10:31:28	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	12	60¢	$7	0x1f2b7e…
06-16 10:17:04	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	50	60¢	$30	0x77020b…
06-16 09:45:40	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	12	60¢	$8	0x9638da…
06-16 09:43:30	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	1,181	60¢	$708	0xa7fca0…
06-15 04:55:25	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	28	64¢	$18	0x723ff1…
06-15 04:53:43	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	11	64¢	$7	0xe9e0e1…
06-15 04:47:21	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	10	64¢	$6	0xa26ab2…
06-15 04:47:12	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	89	64¢	$57	0xbee9d8…
06-15 04:46:21	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	125	64¢	$80	0x8531ec…
06-15 04:29:22	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	534	63¢	$336	0x32ce63…
06-15 04:13:52	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	85	63¢	$53	0x2f13f8…
06-15 04:12:51	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	1	63¢	$1	0xd1023c…