Mortified-Plume — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

49.3%

Resolved

Trades

886

lifetime

Volume

$5.78K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-23

last 05-05 11:40

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

79% 0% $-0

Crypto

20% 100% +$0

Politics

1% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

12 active days in 12wk • peak 210 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C or higher on April 25?	4	$37	18	18	+0	open	—	04-25 08:33
highest temperature in tokyo on april 24 2026 20c	4	$35	17	17	+0	open	—	04-24 06:14
highest temperature in hong kong on april 24 2026 22c	4	$32	16	16	+0	open	—	04-24 23:18
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on April 27?	4	$32	16	16	+0	open	—	04-27 11:49
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on April 25?	5	$32	16	16	+0	open	—	04-25 10:25
bitcoin above 82k on april 24	4	$31	16	15	+0	open	—	04-24 13:22
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on April 27?	4	$30	15	15	+0	open	—	04-27 07:10
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 14°C on April 28?	4	$29	14	14	+0	open	—	04-28 07:58
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on April 26?	5	$29	14	14	+0	open	—	04-26 07:45
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 8°C or below on April 26?	4	$29	14	14	+0	open	—	04-26 03:48
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 76-77°F on April 26?	6	$28	14	14	+0	open	—	04-26 09:31
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	4	$27	14	14	+0	open	—	04-28 06:16
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on April 26?	4	$27	13	13	+0	open	—	04-26 13:07
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 19°C or higher on April 27?	5	$25	13	12	+0	open	—	04-27 10:54
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on April 28?	4	$24	12	12	+0	open	—	04-28 02:12
bitcoin above 72k on april 24	4	$23	11	11	+0	open	—	04-24 07:37
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on April 26?	4	$22	11	11	+0	open	—	04-26 07:22
donald trump of truth social posts april 17 april 24 200plus	4	$21	11	11	+0	open	—	04-24 16:18
highest temperature in tokyo on april 24 2026 19c	2	$19	10	10	+0	open	—	04-24 08:20
highest temperature in buenos aires on april 24 2026 19c	2	$19	10	10	+0	open	—	04-24 12:02
highest temperature in warsaw on april 24 2026 11c	2	$19	10	10	+0	open	—	04-24 03:39
lowest temperature in nyc on april 24 2026 44 45f	2	$19	10	9	+0	open	—	04-25 03:11
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.60 Week of April 20 2026?	2	$19	9	9	+0	open	—	04-24 19:41
highest temperature in hong kong on april 23 2026 31corhigher	2	$19	9	9	+0	open	—	04-23 06:28
highest temperature in warsaw on april 24 2026 15c	2	$19	9	9	+0	open	—	04-24 12:32
Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $410 on April 24?	2	$19	9	9	+0	open	—	04-24 14:36
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on April 25?	2	$19	9	9	+0	open	—	04-25 05:57
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on April 25?	2	$19	9	9	+0	open	—	04-24 22:50
will solana reach 95 on april 23	3	$19	9	9	+0	open	—	04-24 01:00
highest temperature in sao paulo on april 24 2026 33c	5	$19	9	9	+0	open	—	04-24 18:17

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-05 11:40:26	Uber # of trips above 4.8B in Q1?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x25d807…
05-05 11:39:08	Uber # of trips above 5B in Q1?	No	SELL	7	99¢	$6	0xd54b11…
05-05 01:10:54	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 5?	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x6bf012…
05-04 20:15:28	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 5?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x049777…
05-04 20:05:44	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 5?	Yes	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xdd6291…
05-04 18:41:20	Uber # of trips above 5B in Q1?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x6b89d3…
05-04 15:25:48	Uber # of trips above 4.8B in Q1?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x7f4f9c…
05-04 14:35:16	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 5?	Yes	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x43d36c…
05-04 14:29:46	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 4?	Yes	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x593b8a…
05-04 12:13:04	Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase April 28-May 4?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x4e68c9…
05-04 09:16:56	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 4?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3053c1…
05-04 07:34:14	Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase April 28-May 4?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xb986ec…
05-04 04:10:46	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 4?	Yes	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xe62802…
05-03 22:00:12	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 4?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x75a52f…
05-03 21:56:18	MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase April 28-May 4?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x1d48a1…
05-03 17:22:18	MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase April 28-May 4?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x9414d7…
05-03 14:50:58	Will the price of XRP be above $1.50 on May 4?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xce172a…
05-03 11:45:20	Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 April 27-May 3?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x1cc1b5…
05-03 09:01:58	Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 April 27-May 3?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x29251b…
05-03 08:53:48	Spread: Parma Calcio 1913 (-2.5)	FC Internazionale Milano	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xc3a8e5…
05-03 06:05:00	Will XRP dip to $1.20 April 27-May 3?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x041fcf…
05-03 05:56:52	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 3?	Yes	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x05db45…
05-03 05:48:34	Will XRP dip to $1.20 April 27-May 3?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0xa567d6…
05-03 05:21:54	Will XRP dip to $1.20 April 27-May 3?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x161c21…
05-03 05:08:08	Will Ethereum reach $2,500 April 27-May 3?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xc2cffe…
05-03 03:17:44	Will Solana reach $100 April 27-May 3?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xcf5679…
05-03 02:46:32	Will Solana reach $100 April 27-May 3?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x82f267…
05-03 02:40:56	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 3?	Yes	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xcf015e…
05-03 01:13:36	Will Ethereum reach $2,500 April 27-May 3?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xd77dc7…
05-02 13:13:22	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 2?	Yes	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xcd2547…
05-02 09:51:44	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 2?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x365ff3…
05-02 05:52:06	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 2?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x7964d5…
05-02 03:34:12	Will the price of XRP be above $1.60 on May 2?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xf2838f…
05-02 01:21:38	Will Trump say "Drill baby drill" this week? (April 27 - May 3)	Yes	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x204773…
05-02 00:10:26	Will Trump say "Drill baby drill" this week? (April 27 - May 3)	Yes	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xa2c194…
05-01 23:42:32	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 2?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xa4356c…
05-01 21:58:38	Will the price of XRP be above $1.60 on May 2?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7b9f35…
05-01 17:58:16	Will Bitcoin dip to $73,000 on May 1?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x71b1c8…
05-01 09:32:38	Spotify Monthly Active Users above 800M in Q1?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x2932ae…
05-01 09:24:52	Will Bitcoin dip to $73,000 on May 1?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x12209b…
05-01 00:26:12	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 1?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xf96080…
04-30 22:51:46	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.00 in April?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x7de716…
04-30 21:30:34	Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in April?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x2852fb…
04-30 21:11:52	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 1?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x413935…
04-30 20:54:06	Will Hyperliquid dip to $28 in April?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x230b55…
04-30 20:41:26	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 1?	Yes	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x0b5d97…
04-30 20:05:40	Will Microsoft reach $450 in April?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0xb8408c…
04-30 19:18:50	Will Bitcoin dip to $68,000 on April 30?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x5c820b…
04-30 15:47:32	Will Hyperliquid dip to $28 in April?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xc2dd74…
04-30 14:10:26	Will Bitcoin dip to $68,000 on April 30?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x013a23…
04-30 13:32:36	Will Google reach $400 in April?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x6b4f73…
04-30 12:58:48	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xc15344…
04-30 09:17:02	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.00 in April?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1a5f07…
04-30 07:36:20	Will Google reach $400 in April?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x6e3b09…
04-30 07:23:56	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x6cf211…
04-30 07:21:58	Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in April?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x641a0d…
04-30 07:19:52	Will Microsoft reach $450 in April?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x578dd9…
04-30 07:18:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 1?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd7f9ab…
04-28 10:48:46	Will the Bank of Canada announce a 25 bps decrease at the April meeting?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8d5ac8…
04-28 10:41:32	Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xcd16a5…
04-28 10:27:04	Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 37°C on April 28?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xfe2034…
04-28 09:51:14	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 17°C on April 28?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x1312cf…
04-28 09:42:18	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xab8d7c…
04-28 09:38:22	Will Freecash - Get Paid Real Money be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 28?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xdf3631…
04-28 09:37:08	Will Khamenei post 25-29 posts from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x21c2dd…
04-28 09:35:04	Will Khamenei post 30-34 posts from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xa150bc…
04-28 09:20:02	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on April 28?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x966de6…
04-28 09:20:02	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on April 28?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x21f3af…
04-28 09:08:12	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on April 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9e91b4…
04-28 09:02:22	Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on April 28?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x733904…
04-28 08:55:52	Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x738e14…
04-28 08:49:04	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x7212c7…
04-28 08:43:28	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 86-87°F on April 28?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xc0172f…
04-28 08:42:36	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 8°C on April 28?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xf8baf9…
04-28 08:42:36	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 8°C on April 28?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x7f5e37…
04-28 08:42:00	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on April 28?	Yes	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x68c163…
04-28 08:38:54	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 8°C on April 28?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xb1ee10…
04-28 08:22:58	Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on April 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x913dbd…
04-28 08:21:22	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 5°C on April 28?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x4cb27c…
04-28 08:14:06	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x3d706d…
04-28 08:11:56	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 17°C on April 28?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x4868ad…
04-28 08:01:04	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C on April 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1310e8…
04-28 07:58:10	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 14°C on April 28?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x6460a4…
04-28 07:52:14	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 18°C or below on April 28?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x98428a…
04-28 07:48:14	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 66-67°F on April 28?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x8064b6…
04-28 07:46:28	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on April 28?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x5c4e1f…
04-28 07:45:06	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 5°C on April 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4a01f9…
04-28 07:43:22	Will the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on April 28?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x0b12ea…
04-28 07:33:10	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 5°C on April 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x310986…
04-28 07:31:54	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 11°C on April 28?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x916738…
04-28 07:30:42	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 14°C on April 28?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x30ec6b…
04-28 07:29:02	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 18°C or below on April 28?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0xb560d7…
04-28 06:55:48	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on April 28?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x1c172e…
04-28 06:54:50	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 28?	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x99162f…
04-28 06:53:48	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on April 28?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x60863c…
04-28 06:19:04	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 14°C on April 28?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x767d71…
04-28 06:16:58	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x9d2c3a…
04-28 05:17:06	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 8°C on April 28?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xfeb8d3…
04-28 05:14:18	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 16°C on April 28?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xddb4df…
04-28 05:00:24	Will the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on April 28?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xdb6f58…