Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$3.13K

Unrealized P&L

-$1.11K

Hit rate

27.2%

Resolved

Trades

426

lifetime

Volume

$12.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$29

Open exposure

$1.31K

6 positions

First seen

2026-07-03

last 11-07 13:47

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 15 days

Categories

Politics

66% 21% +$149

Other

34% 0% -$3,278

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

41 active days in 12wk • peak 32 trades/day

Open positions (6) Resolved markets (20) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Iran nuclear test before 2027?	Yes	+37,300	$1,724	2¢	$783	-$941	11-05 11:14
Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31?	Yes	+10,000	$369	3¢	$260	-$109	11-07 13:47
Iran Nuke before 2027?	Yes	+5,000	$193	3¢	$170	-$23	11-03 10:57
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	+10,000	$90	0¢	$45	-$45	11-06 21:46
US x Yemen ceasefire continues through November 30?	No	+262	$21	11¢	$28	+$7	11-07 10:06
Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026?	Yes	+500	$20	4¢	$22	+$2	11-03 10:55

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 3?	13	$2.1K	2,000	2,000	+0	No	+$1,677	11-03 01:12
Iran nuclear test before 2027?	56	$1.7K	37,300	0	+37,300	open	—	11-05 11:14
kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	96	$1.6K	45,000	20,000	+25,000	No	-$1,205	08-15 23:10
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?	28	$788	40,100	0	+40,100	No	-$788	09-29 14:57
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31?	27	$727	40,000	19,000	+21,000	No	-$448	10-24 10:12
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?	23	$722	3,200	3,200	+0	Yes	-$313	11-02 21:44
kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	20	$560	55,000	40,000	+15,000	No	-$480	07-31 17:40
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?	4	$552	6,000	3	+5,997	Yes	-$552	09-30 09:48
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?	48	$476	8,080	369	+7,711	Yes	-$461	09-03 09:41
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	3	$458	2,000	2,000	+0	Yes	+$298	10-30 09:38
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	5	$408	2,095	1,595	+500	Yes	-$77	10-23 19:30
US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 31?	8	$387	5,030	1,730	+3,300	Yes	-$356	10-30 11:23
Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31?	23	$369	10,000	0	+10,000	open	—	11-07 13:47
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	8	$251	25,010	15,010	+10,000	open	—	11-06 21:46
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	5	$234	2,245	2,245	-0	Yes	-$72	10-30 11:25
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	4	$208	2,500	2,500	+0	Yes	-$92	10-30 11:18
Iran Nuke before 2027?	4	$193	5,000	0	+5,000	open	—	11-03 10:57
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	1	$100	2,000	0	+2,000	Yes	-$100	10-18 19:38
israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	22	$100	18,094	18,094	-0	Yes	-$24	08-16 05:06
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 18?	7	$84	3,100	0	+3,100	Yes	-$84	10-17 21:23
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4?	3	$58	190	190	+0	No	+$8	11-02 23:01
Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026?	4	$51	963	463	+500	open	—	11-03 10:55
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 21?	5	$50	2,000	0	+2,000	Yes	-$50	10-18 21:38
US x Yemen ceasefire continues through November 30?	3	$21	262	0	+262	open	—	11-07 10:06
us x iran ceasefire continues through august 25	4	$8	2,092	0	+2,092	Yes	-$8	08-25 13:03
Will Farsi, Hengam, Hormuz or Kharg Island no longer be under Iranian control by September 30, 2026?	2	$1	21	21	+0	No	$0	08-25 00:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-07 13:47:01	Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31?	Yes	BUY	4,286	3¢	$111	0x0e2081…
11-07 10:34:21	Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31?	Yes	BUY	197	3¢	$5	0xae66cf…
11-07 10:06:04	US x Yemen ceasefire continues through November 30?	No	BUY	2	9¢	$0	0x523a3c…
11-06 21:46:45	Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	8,891	0¢	$44	0x938440…
11-06 21:00:16	US x Yemen ceasefire continues through November 30?	No	BUY	60	8¢	$5	0xe672ae…
11-06 19:57:33	Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	1,109	1¢	$7	0xef0540…
11-06 10:53:46	Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31?	Yes	BUY	763	4¢	$31	0x07b849…
11-06 10:29:13	Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31?	Yes	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0xf9e7cc…
11-06 10:29:13	Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31?	Yes	BUY	49	4¢	$2	0xbe2236…
11-06 10:29:13	Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31?	Yes	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0x43a9ca…
11-06 10:29:13	Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31?	Yes	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0x3ea2d1…
11-06 10:29:12	Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31?	Yes	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0x81bb7e…
11-06 10:27:27	Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31?	Yes	BUY	49	4¢	$2	0x33ee07…
11-06 10:27:19	Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x613f68…
11-06 10:27:16	Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31?	Yes	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0xb790e5…
11-06 10:27:15	Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31?	Yes	BUY	204	4¢	$8	0x60a651…
11-06 08:37:34	Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31?	Yes	BUY	4	4¢	$0	0x1f831e…
11-06 07:09:19	Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31?	Yes	BUY	28	4¢	$1	0xbf970a…
11-06 07:08:13	Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31?	Yes	BUY	4	4¢	$0	0xfdd675…
11-06 06:46:58	Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31?	Yes	BUY	19	4¢	$1	0xdd291e…
11-06 05:23:54	Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31?	Yes	BUY	17	4¢	$1	0x3df1c5…
11-06 02:43:58	Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31?	Yes	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0xa1c9a7…
11-06 02:43:58	Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31?	Yes	BUY	33	4¢	$1	0x9a4e45…
11-06 02:03:00	Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31?	Yes	BUY	254	4¢	$10	0x05bfa4…
11-05 21:35:57	Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	3,252	1¢	$20	0x41d9a6…
11-05 21:08:01	Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31?	Yes	BUY	3,138	5¢	$157	0xc768dd…
11-05 21:07:39	Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	1,758	1¢	$11	0x48a99e…
11-05 20:56:57	Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	4	1¢	$0	0xb9892e…
11-05 20:56:45	Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x7254a5…
11-05 20:56:34	Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xa52765…
11-05 20:21:43	Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	25,000	1¢	$171	0x9c0c50…
11-05 11:14:06	Iran nuclear test before 2027?	Yes	BUY	152	3¢	$4	0xc4ec55…
11-05 10:48:51	Iran nuclear test before 2027?	Yes	BUY	220	3¢	$6	0xec7dcd…
11-04 17:22:52	Iran nuclear test before 2027?	Yes	BUY	928	3¢	$24	0xf6f65c…
11-03 11:01:36	Iran nuclear test before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1,453	5¢	$70	0x824a5e…
11-03 10:57:16	Iran Nuke before 2027?	Yes	BUY	250	5¢	$11	0x981564…
11-03 10:57:03	Iran nuclear test before 2027?	Yes	BUY	500	5¢	$24	0x19a905…
11-03 10:56:21	Iran Nuke before 2027?	Yes	BUY	250	4¢	$10	0xae90ca…
11-03 10:56:10	Iran Nuke before 2027?	Yes	BUY	500	4¢	$20	0x08461a…
11-03 10:55:48	Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026?	Yes	SELL	14	1¢	$0	0xfcbf2c…
11-03 10:55:36	Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026?	Yes	SELL	115	3¢	$3	0xd6850d…
11-03 10:55:25	Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026?	Yes	SELL	334	4¢	$12	0xd9de9f…
11-03 10:54:24	Iran Nuke before 2027?	Yes	BUY	4,000	4¢	$151	0x8fc44e…
11-03 08:42:12	Iran nuclear test before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1,500	5¢	$72	0x1e783c…
11-03 08:37:22	Iran nuclear test before 2027?	Yes	BUY	500	5¢	$24	0x54140c…
11-03 08:33:04	Iran nuclear test before 2027?	Yes	BUY	2,000	5¢	$96	0x3faf7b…
11-03 08:27:43	Iran nuclear test before 2027?	Yes	BUY	2,000	5¢	$97	0x9d55e6…
11-03 06:13:57	Iran nuclear test before 2027?	Yes	BUY	46	4¢	$2	0x520682…
11-03 05:35:39	Iran nuclear test before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1,000	5¢	$48	0x53850c…
11-03 05:29:45	Iran nuclear test before 2027?	Yes	BUY	2,000	5¢	$96	0x83bd14…
11-03 05:27:18	Iran nuclear test before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1	4¢	$0	0xcd00d6…
11-03 04:06:51	Iran nuclear test before 2027?	Yes	BUY	2,064	4¢	$87	0xf3196a…
11-03 04:04:39	Iran nuclear test before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1,936	4¢	$81	0x6acf87…
11-03 03:10:37	Iran nuclear test before 2027?	Yes	BUY	21	5¢	$1	0xdb5ddb…
11-03 01:20:15	Iran nuclear test before 2027?	Yes	BUY	848	5¢	$39	0x8643af…
11-03 01:17:55	Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026?	Yes	BUY	963	4¢	$36	0xb2173c…
11-03 01:12:48	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 3?	No	SELL	1,000	96¢	$962	0xe4d53a…
11-03 01:11:13	Iran nuclear test before 2027?	Yes	BUY	10,000	4¢	$448	0xd8a593…
11-03 01:09:10	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 3?	No	SELL	1,000	93¢	$927	0x30d563…
11-02 23:04:58	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 3?	No	BUY	112	10¢	$11	0xb30122…
11-02 23:01:45	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 3?	No	BUY	100	12¢	$12	0x03ae65…
11-02 23:01:33	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4?	No	SELL	135	17¢	$23	0xe88e13…
11-02 23:00:45	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4?	No	SELL	55	18¢	$10	0x546357…
11-02 22:43:54	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4?	No	BUY	190	13¢	$25	0x2fc180…
11-02 22:09:39	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 3?	No	BUY	2	11¢	$0	0x8e94b6…
11-02 22:06:30	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 3?	No	BUY	256	11¢	$27	0xa4bc8d…
11-02 22:06:07	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 3?	No	BUY	98	11¢	$10	0x847524…
11-02 21:44:42	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?	No	SELL	1,578	7¢	$107	0x78c664…
11-02 21:43:51	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?	No	SELL	10	6¢	$1	0x6a6370…
11-02 21:41:43	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?	No	SELL	17	6¢	$1	0x1e8fb2…
11-02 21:40:48	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?	No	SELL	1,551	6¢	$92	0x818978…
10-30 13:11:49	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?	No	BUY	20	9¢	$2	0xf11518…
10-30 13:05:39	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?	No	BUY	1	9¢	$0	0x96018c…
10-30 12:59:15	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?	No	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x4d372b…
10-30 12:47:42	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?	No	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x020ef8…
10-30 12:40:33	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?	No	BUY	195	9¢	$18	0xa9c6ae…
10-30 12:20:54	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?	No	BUY	50	9¢	$5	0xfbaa3a…
10-30 12:19:34	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?	No	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x57bf1b…
10-30 11:25:33	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	SELL	1,950	3¢	$67	0xcddc17…
10-30 11:23:40	US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	SELL	1,730	1¢	$15	0xad1393…
10-30 11:19:36	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	SELL	295	5¢	$14	0xb976b7…
10-30 11:18:27	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?	No	SELL	44	9¢	$4	0x4d55ce…
10-30 11:18:01	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	No	SELL	40	2¢	$1	0x133353…
10-30 11:17:51	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	No	SELL	1,960	2¢	$39	0x940580…
10-30 09:38:55	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	SELL	1,500	8¢	$114	0xa768d5…
10-30 00:26:22	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?	No	BUY	405	53¢	$213	0xb1f404…
10-30 00:26:04	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?	No	BUY	95	53¢	$50	0xa7fd45…
10-30 00:16:24	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	SELL	500	53¢	$264	0xb4e411…
10-28 19:07:13	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	2,000	4¢	$80	0x72c18b…
10-28 18:23:11	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	135	4¢	$5	0x5768da…
10-27 06:11:17	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	250	7¢	$17	0x4e53a4…
10-27 06:10:38	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	No	SELL	500	4¢	$18	0x210359…
10-27 06:08:59	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	1,860	7¢	$130	0xfb1550…
10-26 20:03:02	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	No	BUY	2,500	6¢	$150	0x1b7bb8…
10-24 11:31:36	US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	250	7¢	$17	0x11aaae…
10-24 10:13:44	US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	345	7¢	$24	0x85abfc…
10-24 10:12:36	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31?	Yes	SELL	4,000	1¢	$24	0x83070e…
10-23 19:40:36	US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	935	8¢	$75	0x945133…
10-23 19:39:18	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31?	Yes	SELL	5,000	1¢	$35	0xfcfc08…
10-23 19:37:27	US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	1,000	8¢	$80	0x390b53…