Realized P&L
-$25
Unrealized P&L
-$51
Hit rate
0.0%
Resolved
1
Trades
422
lifetime
Volume
$17.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$42
Open exposure
$1.12K
6 positions
First seen
2026-01-03
last 06-12 19:23
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 1 day
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
84% 0% $-25
Other
16%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
48 active days in 12wk • peak 74 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No +1,050 $735 57¢ $604 $-131 06-13 01:31
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? Yes -1,312 $-236 16¢ $-216 +$20 06-05 16:40
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No -413 $-212 46¢ $-190 +$22 06-07 10:10
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No -100 $-102 82¢ $-83 +$19 06-10 16:03
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? Yes -3,877 $-58 $-21 +$37 06-10 16:02
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? Yes +100 $27 10¢ $10 $-17 06-09 22:24