Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$3.93K

Unrealized P&L

-$4

Hit rate

67.2%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$16.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$297

Open exposure

$135

1 position

First seen

2026-09-17

last 11-04 14:19

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Politics

88% 56% -$3,944

Other

12% 100% +$9

Crypto

0% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

18 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (13) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes		+177	$139	76¢	$135	-$4	11-04 14:19

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	10	$4.2K	5,952	5,952	+0	Yes	+$15	09-26 05:33
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	10	$4.0K	3,224	3,224	+0	Yes	+$79	10-20 04:30
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	7	$3.7K	36,311	10,058	+26,254	No	-$2,603	11-03 09:50
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	3	$1.4K	776	776	+0	Yes	+$9	10-25 14:36
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	5	$1.2K	637	637	+0	No	+$50	10-24 06:06
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	3	$941	1,193	0	+1,193	No	-$941	10-25 14:37
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	3	$449	1,664	17	+1,647	Yes	-$428	11-03 09:51
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House	4	$350	23,251	23,251	+0	No	-$164	11-03 04:58
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?	2	$200	107	107	+0	open	—	09-19 13:53
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	2	$200	100	100	+0	No	+$0	09-24 07:50
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	1	$139	177	0	+177	open	—	11-04 14:19
Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026?	1	$89	137	0	+137	Yes	+$48	11-03 04:59
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	2	$26	18	18	+0	No	+$0	10-13 04:38
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	2	$20	14	14	+0	open	—	10-25 14:33
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 18?	1	$10	10	0	+10	Yes	+$0	09-18 14:56
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 19?	1	$10	10	0	+10	Yes	+$0	09-19 09:21

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-04 14:19:27	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	177	79¢	$139	0x45ec27…
11-03 09:51:18	Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	1,647	26¢	$428	0xce9905…
11-03 09:50:21	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	9,224	5¢	$461	0x9e361f…
11-03 04:59:09	Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	137	65¢	$89	0x2b3350…
11-03 04:58:52	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House	Yes	SELL	23,251	0¢	$93	0xa4a232…
10-30 12:36:36	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x92fc52…
10-25 14:37:48	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	923	79¢	$729	0xa4a776…
10-25 14:36:57	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	776	94¢	$729	0x932a7f…
10-25 14:35:12	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	16	79¢	$13	0x132c13…
10-25 14:33:44	Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	14	75¢	$10	0xfce839…
10-24 06:08:03	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	660	94¢	$620	0x436dc5…
10-24 06:06:45	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	637	97¢	$620	0xcf09d8…
10-20 04:32:24	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House	Yes	BUY	2,388	1¢	$24	0xe6e3d9…
10-20 04:31:47	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	116	86¢	$100	0x01678c…
10-20 04:31:03	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	108	93¢	$100	0x3119a0…
10-20 04:30:21	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	357	64¢	$229	0xadedef…
10-16 11:51:36	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	254	78¢	$199	0xc2a72c…
10-16 11:50:21	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	317	64¢	$203	0x3b46f7…
10-15 15:20:58	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	783	10¢	$78	0x123e7b…
10-15 15:19:55	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House	Yes	BUY	18,182	1¢	$200	0x082ab1…
10-15 15:18:50	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	284	95¢	$270	0xd7dee5…
10-15 15:17:40	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	900	63¢	$567	0x834f37…
10-13 04:39:59	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House	Yes	BUY	2,681	1¢	$33	0xfbfb25…
10-13 04:38:56	Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	17	64¢	$11	0x087b8e…
10-13 04:38:21	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	No	SELL	18	71¢	$13	0xc95c84…
10-10 09:35:36	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	9,686	10¢	$969	0x4085bb…
10-10 09:35:13	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	1,650	62¢	$1,023	0x1d703a…
09-28 02:59:42	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	No	BUY	18	70¢	$13	0x69cfe8…
09-26 06:20:12	Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0x4ddb5e…
09-26 05:35:50	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	24,994	8¢	$2,000	0x434741…
09-26 05:33:38	Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	5,952	35¢	$2,110	0xe6e5c0…
09-24 07:52:02	nato x russia military clash by october 31 2026	No	BUY	120	83¢	$100	0xda4c94…
09-24 07:50:23	Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x3cf6a0…
09-22 05:53:12	Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	769	39¢	$300	0x62a5d1…
09-22 05:51:09	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	462	65¢	$300	0x64db0f…
09-22 05:49:34	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	125	80¢	$100	0x21772a…
09-21 01:16:10	Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0xce2828…
09-19 22:16:56	Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0x5bafa8…
09-19 13:55:42	Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	267	37¢	$100	0x5e641c…
09-19 13:53:59	China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?	No	SELL	107	94¢	$100	0xd4e447…
09-19 10:35:59	Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	1,342	37¢	$497	0x720aaf…
09-19 09:21:31	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 19?	Yes	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x1993cd…
09-18 15:16:57	Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	137	34¢	$47	0x2d1a5a…
09-18 15:16:24	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	333	60¢	$200	0xed0da1…
09-18 14:56:57	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 18?	Yes	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x45b0d0…
09-18 12:14:37	Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	1,471	34¢	$500	0x4c7e3b…
09-18 12:12:42	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	1,525	59¢	$900	0x8a2360…
09-18 07:06:18	Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	560	33¢	$187	0xfe7f59…
09-18 02:36:13	Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	724	33¢	$239	0xdc9772…
09-18 00:47:09	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	133	60¢	$80	0xc786d3…
09-18 00:46:37	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	833	10¢	$83	0x5bef86…
09-17 02:39:13	Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	655	33¢	$216	0xf93ba0…
09-17 02:14:42	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	326	60¢	$196	0x829426…
09-17 01:55:51	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	833	12¢	$100	0x2d4da1…
09-17 01:31:19	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	444	60¢	$267	0x91b488…
09-17 01:27:57	Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x8d2cf4…
09-17 01:19:33	China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	107	94¢	$100	0x3853ab…