Realized P&L
+$565
Unrealized P&L
-$56
Hit rate
17.5%
Resolved
7
Trades
3,521
lifetime
Volume
$178.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$51
Open exposure
$1.12K
5 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-14 21:54
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 6 days
Categories
Politics
66% 25% $-174
Other
29% 100% +$334
Sports
6% 100% +$405
Crypto
0%
Tech
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
38 active days in 12wk • peak 55 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No +2,385 $287 15¢ $358 +$71 06-14 11:28
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? No -600 $-336 58¢ $-351 $-15 06-09 13:24
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? No +260 $198 86¢ $225 +$27 05-28 07:50
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Yes +2,208 $339 $188 $-152 06-10 23:22
AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027? No -19 $-15 11¢ $-2 +$13 06-04 10:13