Realized P&L
+$565
Unrealized P&L
-$161
Hit rate
17.5%
Resolved
7
Trades
3,521
lifetime
Volume
$178.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$51
Open exposure
$1.09K
5 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-14 21:54
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 6 days
Categories
Politics
66% 25% $-174
Other
29% 100% +$334
Sports
6% 100% +$405
Crypto
0%
Tech
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
33 active days in 12wk • peak 48 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? No -600 $-336 64¢ $-387 $-51 06-09 13:24
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No +2,385 $287 11¢ $268 $-19 06-14 11:28
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? No +260 $198 86¢ $224 +$26 05-28 07:50
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Yes +2,208 $339 10¢ $210 $-130 06-10 23:22
AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027? No -19 $-15 13¢ $-3 +$12 06-04 10:13