Jolly-Leader 0x033025…47eb8f
whale
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$565
Unrealized P&L
+$15
Hit rate
17.5%
Resolved
7
Trades
3,478
lifetime
Volume
$177.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$51
Open exposure
$845
8 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-10 01:35
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 6 days
Categories
Politics
66% 25% $-174
Other
28% 100% +$334
Sports
6% 100% +$405
Crypto
0% — —
Tech
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
56 active days in 12wk • peak 82 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? No -600 $-336 55¢ $-327 +$9 06-09 13:24
Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote? Yes +905 $220 24¢ $217 $-3 06-10 01:35
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? No +260 $198 78¢ $204 +$6 05-28 07:50
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No +285 $58 18¢ $50 $-8 06-08 14:37
Will the Referendum on the Civilian Service Act be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote? Yes +43 $21 54¢ $23 +$3 06-02 20:28
AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027? No -19 $-15 74¢ $-14 +$1 06-04 10:13
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Yes +40 $6 12¢ $5 $-1 05-31 04:44
Kevin Warsh cuts rates at first Fed meeting? Yes -500 $-12 1¢ $-4 +$9 06-02 15:03