Occasional-Gallbladder — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$4

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

40.7%

Resolved

Trades

128

lifetime

Volume

$39.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$309

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-28

last 09-09 14:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 40 days

Categories

Other

98% 58% +$7

Tech

2% 50% -$4

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

17 active days in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	4	$2.2K	1,084	1,084	+0	No	-$1	03-16 02:26
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	6	$2.0K	997	997	+0	No	-$1	05-31 15:05
Will Amazon have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	4	$1.8K	921	921	+0	No	-$1	06-09 11:37
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	4	$1.6K	805	805	+0	open	—	07-18 10:23
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	6	$1.6K	779	779	+0	No	-$1	05-29 11:34
will amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 453	2	$1.4K	697	697	+0	No	-$1	03-05 08:53
elon musk of tweets march 2026 560 579	3	$1.3K	630	630	+0	No	-$1	02-28 10:06
Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	2	$961	481	481	+0	No	+$0	06-13 15:19
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	2	$858	430	430	+0	No	$0	06-02 16:08
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	2	$846	424	424	+0	No	-$1	05-10 13:44
Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	2	$824	412	412	+0	No	$0	07-03 00:55
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	2	$818	417	417	+0	No	-$4	07-11 11:55
Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	2	$785	393	393	+0	No	$0	06-05 11:17
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	2	$745	373	373	+0	No	+$0	06-20 16:28
Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	2	$708	354	354	+0	No	$0	05-12 15:36
highest temperature in seattle on march 15 2026 50 51f	1	$702	703	0	+703	No	+$1	03-16 02:27
highest temperature in seattle on march 13 2026 36 37f	1	$701	702	0	+702	Yes	+$1	03-14 03:41
highest temperature in wellington on march 11 2026 18c	1	$700	701	0	+701	Yes	+$1	03-11 09:28
highest temperature in seoul on march 10 2026 5c	1	$699	700	0	+700	No	+$1	03-10 01:05
highest temperature in atlanta on march 8 2026 74forhigher	1	$698	699	0	+699	No	+$1	03-09 01:14
highest temperature in wellington on march 7 2026 23corhigher	1	$698	699	0	+699	No	+$1	03-07 05:20
highest temperature in paris on march 6 2026 15c	1	$697	698	0	+698	No	+$1	03-06 11:29
highest temperature in nyc on march 5 2026 44 45f	1	$696	697	0	+697	Yes	+$1	03-06 01:20
highest temperature in nyc on march 3 2026 44 45f	1	$696	696	0	+696	No	+$1	03-04 01:33
highest temperature in seattle on march 5 2026 44 45f	1	$696	696	0	+696	No	+$1	03-05 08:54
highest temperature in ankara on march 3 2026 15corhigher	1	$695	696	0	+696	No	+$1	03-03 14:41
highest temperature in wellington on march 3 2026 14c	1	$694	695	0	+695	Yes	+$1	03-03 07:20
highest temperature in buenos aires on march 1 2026 38corhigher	1	$692	695	0	+695	No	+$3	03-01 03:07
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	2	$682	342	342	+0	No	$0	08-10 16:04
will saudi aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	2	$643	322	322	+0	No	$0	03-21 02:23

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-09 14:00:15	Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	No	SELL	34	100¢	$34	0xf90f6b…
09-08 10:46:36	Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	No	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0xf3278d…
09-05 15:49:01	Will Microsoft have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	No	SELL	36	100¢	$36	0xb2a8e2…
09-04 13:43:04	Will Microsoft have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	No	BUY	36	100¢	$36	0x46a1cf…
09-03 12:30:25	Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	No	SELL	32	100¢	$32	0xa9f9eb…
09-02 14:08:07	Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0x173a46…
08-29 14:18:27	Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	No	SELL	63	100¢	$63	0xf4505d…
08-28 16:04:52	Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	No	BUY	63	100¢	$63	0x330907…
08-27 04:48:55	Will Xiaomi have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	No	SELL	61	100¢	$61	0xf8c3c4…
08-24 13:31:54	Will Xiaomi have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	No	BUY	61	100¢	$61	0x79d9a7…
08-23 15:20:24	Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	No	SELL	82	99¢	$82	0x6b1564…
08-22 16:50:16	Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	No	BUY	82	99¢	$82	0x459f30…
08-21 17:03:18	Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	No	SELL	71	100¢	$71	0x4940f4…
08-20 11:15:06	Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	No	BUY	71	100¢	$71	0xcd115e…
08-17 03:52:21	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	No	SELL	120	99¢	$119	0x4cd4c1…
08-11 15:03:09	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	No	BUY	120	98¢	$118	0x276036…
08-10 16:04:00	Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	No	SELL	342	100¢	$341	0x42421c…
08-09 15:02:28	Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	No	BUY	342	100¢	$341	0x91da30…
07-23 14:29:57	Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	No	SELL	172	100¢	$171	0xc7f69c…
07-22 16:26:22	Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	No	BUY	172	100¢	$171	0x24896f…
07-18 10:23:22	Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	No	SELL	392	100¢	$390	0x4cd304…
07-12 07:43:35	Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	No	BUY	392	99¢	$390	0x372de1…
07-11 11:55:23	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	No	SELL	417	98¢	$407	0xa8f4a2…
07-04 15:38:56	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	No	BUY	417	99¢	$411	0x617c3f…
07-03 00:55:47	Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	No	SELL	412	100¢	$412	0x9d702c…
07-01 16:07:55	Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	No	BUY	412	100¢	$412	0x4cccfe…
06-27 15:20:25	Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	No	SELL	413	99¢	$410	0xfbb56f…
06-24 10:20:35	Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	No	BUY	413	99¢	$411	0xf2e7a8…
06-22 09:43:08	Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	No	SELL	211	100¢	$210	0x63f8a7…
06-20 16:28:50	Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	No	SELL	373	100¢	$372	0x12456e…
06-17 15:41:08	Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	No	BUY	211	100¢	$210	0x6fd967…
06-13 16:00:49	Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	No	BUY	373	100¢	$372	0xbb1a35…
06-13 15:19:00	Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	No	SELL	481	100¢	$480	0x874c55…
06-10 15:48:19	Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	No	BUY	481	100¢	$480	0xd02f16…
06-09 11:37:19	Will Amazon have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	No	SELL	410	100¢	$409	0xbffd79…
06-08 14:34:22	Will Amazon have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	No	BUY	410	100¢	$409	0xf8a09a…
06-07 10:34:39	Will Amazon have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	No	SELL	511	100¢	$510	0x32de28…
06-06 13:49:45	Will Amazon have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	No	BUY	511	100¢	$510	0x544ba4…
06-05 11:17:40	Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	No	SELL	393	100¢	$392	0x6236c1…
06-04 13:15:37	Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	No	BUY	393	100¢	$393	0x616b53…
06-02 16:08:30	Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	No	SELL	430	100¢	$429	0x8eb3ed…
06-01 09:51:11	Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	No	BUY	430	100¢	$429	0x7aca48…
05-31 15:05:53	Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	No	SELL	302	100¢	$302	0x9b8200…
05-30 15:19:36	Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	No	BUY	302	100¢	$302	0x29289f…
05-29 11:34:04	Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	No	SELL	352	100¢	$351	0xc70b81…
05-28 14:04:09	Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	No	BUY	352	100¢	$351	0xbef8d5…
05-26 14:20:05	Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	No	SELL	231	100¢	$231	0xb387fc…
05-25 14:49:03	Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	No	BUY	231	100¢	$231	0xfe368a…
05-24 14:08:35	Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	No	SELL	422	100¢	$421	0xf03883…
05-23 15:22:06	Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	No	BUY	422	100¢	$421	0x2ed90f…
05-22 17:06:46	Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	No	SELL	341	100¢	$340	0x21f8f5…
05-21 15:10:20	Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	No	BUY	341	100¢	$340	0x92fe64…
05-18 11:43:51	Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	No	SELL	354	100¢	$352	0x7aa52b…
05-17 04:34:30	Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xe42216…
05-17 04:33:16	Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xb1d353…
05-13 15:54:22	Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	No	BUY	354	100¢	$353	0xc60000…
05-12 15:36:53	Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	SELL	354	100¢	$354	0x085ab3…
05-11 11:57:42	Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	BUY	354	100¢	$354	0x061606…
05-10 13:44:17	Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	No	SELL	424	100¢	$423	0x971087…
05-09 12:30:57	Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	No	BUY	424	100¢	$423	0x712597…
05-08 14:27:13	Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	No	SELL	322	100¢	$321	0x9a48b1…
05-07 15:04:59	Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	No	BUY	322	100¢	$321	0x114d8b…
05-03 11:10:58	Will Amazon have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	SELL	242	100¢	$241	0x0801c8…
05-01 15:50:06	Will Amazon have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	BUY	242	100¢	$241	0x5cb67c…
04-29 12:04:36	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 14°C on April 29?	No	BUY	252	100¢	$251	0x82fdc5…
04-28 13:44:04	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	220	100¢	$220	0xe42f57…
04-27 09:39:28	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 21°C on April 27?	Yes	BUY	180	100¢	$180	0x916723…
04-26 14:15:26	Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	SELL	306	100¢	$305	0x076ad1…
04-25 09:44:40	Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	306	100¢	$305	0x05abfc…
04-23 13:38:02	Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	SELL	211	100¢	$211	0xd27a78…
04-22 14:04:24	Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	211	100¢	$211	0x3e2fff…
04-21 13:18:40	highest temperature in shanghai on april 21 2026 17c	No	BUY	168	100¢	$168	0x2cec05…
04-20 01:21:44	highest temperature in dallas on april 19 2026 74 75f	No	BUY	234	100¢	$234	0xfccc9e…
04-19 14:00:22	Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	SELL	72	100¢	$72	0xd98566…
04-18 15:14:38	Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	72	100¢	$72	0x50d098…
04-16 09:16:38	highest temperature in shenzhen on april 16 2026 32corhigher	No	BUY	71	100¢	$71	0x3c858f…
04-14 13:27:27	Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	SELL	101	100¢	$101	0xae134d…
04-13 13:22:13	Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	BUY	101	100¢	$101	0xdb2282…
04-12 14:52:35	Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	SELL	213	100¢	$212	0x803367…
04-11 10:02:33	highest temperature in wuhan on april 11 2026 22c	Yes	BUY	120	100¢	$120	0x83722f…
04-10 15:02:41	Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	213	100¢	$212	0xefcf9d…
04-07 10:04:45	highest temperature in wuhan on april 7 2026 26c	No	BUY	256	100¢	$256	0xedfc6c…
04-06 09:04:23	highest temperature in chongqing on april 6 2026 24c	No	BUY	316	100¢	$316	0xf4e616…
04-05 11:34:47	highest temperature in shenzhen on april 5 2026 27c	No	BUY	309	100¢	$309	0xc0e3c4…
04-05 11:01:53	highest temperature in chongqing on april 5 2026 26c	No	BUY	242	100¢	$241	0x51d4b3…
04-04 11:29:03	highest temperature in tokyo on april 4 2026 20c	No	BUY	111	100¢	$111	0x61fb8a…
04-03 14:23:31	highest temperature in ankara on april 3 2026 15c	No	BUY	43	100¢	$43	0x6b5407…
04-02 09:15:07	Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	SELL	107	100¢	$107	0xf6da3a…
04-01 08:37:13	Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	BUY	107	100¢	$107	0xfa0649…
03-31 12:26:49	will openai have the best ai model for coding on march 31	Yes	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x481f97…
03-30 10:22:40	highest temperature in singapore on march 30 2026 35corhigher	No	BUY	251	100¢	$251	0xa63eca…
03-29 10:37:52	highest temperature in chongqing on march 29 2026 20c	No	BUY	288	100¢	$287	0xc89ee1…
03-28 08:45:15	highest temperature in chongqing on march 28 2026 22c	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x249340…
03-26 09:50:01	highest temperature in tokyo on march 26 2026 15c	No	BUY	61	100¢	$61	0x5cbf42…
03-25 09:55:25	highest temperature in chongqing on march 25 2026 19c	No	BUY	170	100¢	$170	0x59cc13…
03-24 09:56:01	will alibaba have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 712	No	SELL	211	100¢	$211	0x75a159…
03-23 10:47:05	will alibaba have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 712	No	BUY	211	100¢	$211	0x609a9e…
03-22 08:28:55	highest temperature in chongqing on march 22 2026 25c	No	BUY	250	100¢	$250	0x942054…
03-21 02:23:29	will saudi aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	SELL	322	100¢	$321	0xedcfad…
03-20 13:19:33	will saudi aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	BUY	322	100¢	$322	0x7ad22b…