Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$30.2K

Unrealized P&L

-$10

Hit rate

39.6%

Resolved

150

Trades

562

lifetime

Volume

$169.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$301

Open exposure

$121

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-11

last 09-07 06:08

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 71 days

Categories

Crypto

88% 41% -$28,380

Other

11% 52% -$1,723

Politics

2% 50% -$143

Tech

0% 100% +$16

Sports

0% 0% -$12

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
India Tour of New Zealand T20s: New Zealand vs India	New Zealand	—	+120	$107	87¢	$104	-$2	10-30 09:15
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes		+100	$25	17¢	$17	-$8	06-15 15:38

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
ethereum up or down january 31 6am et	2	$6.2K	12,500	0	+12,500	Down	-$6,250	01-31 09:41
bitcoin up or down february 20 1am et	6	$5.9K	11,500	0	+11,500	Up	-$5,865	02-20 05:46
ETH Up/Down 4h · 2026-02-10 01:00 UTC	3	$5.8K	8,300	0	+8,300	Down	+$2,490	02-10 03:22
bitcoin up or down january 13 2am et	89	$5.7K	4,727	4,727	+0	Down	+$782	01-13 07:17
solana up or down february 3 11pm et	1	$5.6K	11,000	0	+11,000	Down	-$5,610	02-04 03:26
ethereum up or down february 9 7pm et	1	$4.9K	10,000	0	+10,000	Down	+$5,100	02-09 23:47
xrp up or down january 21 7am et	1	$4.6K	9,200	0	+9,200	Up	-$4,600	01-21 11:27
highest temperature in chicago on march 17 2026 22 23f	3	$4.5K	5,000	0	+5,000	No	-$4,500	03-18 02:45
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-02-17 17:00 UTC	1	$4.4K	9,000	0	+9,000	Up	-$4,410	02-17 15:50
bitcoin up or down january 13 6am et	7	$4.0K	8,000	0	+8,000	Down	+$4,000	01-13 10:27
bitcoin up or down january 31 12am et	2	$4.0K	8,000	0	+8,000	Up	+$4,000	01-31 04:01
xrp up or down february 3 4am et	1	$4.0K	8,100	0	+8,100	Down	-$3,969	02-03 08:44
ETH Up/Down 4h · 2026-02-09 09:00 UTC	4	$3.9K	8,995	0	+8,995	Down	-$929	02-09 11:37
bitcoin up or down march 4 10am et	1	$3.2K	6,400	0	+6,400	Up	-$3,200	03-04 14:03
ethereum up or down february 19 9pm et	1	$3.1K	6,000	0	+6,000	Down	+$2,940	02-20 01:41
bitcoin up or down february 9 1pm et	2	$3.0K	6,000	0	+6,000	Down	+$3,000	02-09 15:12
xrp up or down february 7 11pm et	1	$3.0K	6,000	0	+6,000	Up	-$3,000	02-08 03:21
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-02-03 09:00 UTC	3	$3.0K	7,000	0	+7,000	Down	-$970	02-03 10:52
bitcoin up or down march 3 8pm et	1	$2.8K	5,599	0	+5,599	Up	-$2,799	03-04 00:35
bitcoin up or down february 7 8am et	1	$2.5K	5,000	0	+5,000	Up	-$2,550	02-07 12:54
bitcoin up or down january 13 2pm et	6	$2.4K	4,885	0	+4,885	Up	-$58	01-13 17:03
ethereum up or down january 21 12am et	4	$2.4K	4,700	0	+4,700	Up	+$2,350	01-21 04:52
ethereum up or down february 17 5am et	2	$2.1K	4,300	0	+4,300	Down	+$2,150	02-17 09:42
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-02-26 17:00 UTC	1	$2.1K	4,200	0	+4,200	Up	-$2,100	02-26 16:15
xrp up or down february 8 8pm et	1	$2.0K	4,000	0	+4,000	Down	-$2,040	02-09 00:20
bitcoin up or down february 3 2pm et	1	$2.0K	4,000	0	+4,000	Up	-$2,000	02-03 17:31
ethereum up or down january 15 12pm et	3	$2.0K	4,000	0	+4,000	Down	-$2,000	01-15 15:31
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-01-30 13:00 UTC	1	$2.0K	4,000	0	+4,000	Up	-$2,000	01-30 13:15
xrp up or down february 9 2am et	1	$2.0K	4,000	0	+4,000	Down	+$2,005	02-09 06:53
SOL Up/Down 4h · 2026-02-10 01:00 UTC	3	$2.0K	2,450	0	+2,450	Up	-$1,960	02-10 04:01

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 09:15:46	India Tour of New Zealand T20s: New Zealand vs India	New Zealand	BUY	120	89¢	$107	0xc08227…
09-07 06:08:07	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	86¢	$86	0xcb8954…
08-18 07:13:54	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-18 07:00 UTC	Up	SELL	5	90¢	$4	0xaa78f8…
08-18 07:13:54	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-18 07:00 UTC	Up	SELL	9	90¢	$8	0x3597f5…
08-18 07:13:54	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-18 07:00 UTC	Up	SELL	16	90¢	$14	0x2c0fb7…
08-18 07:10:19	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-18 07:00 UTC	Up	BUY	26	79¢	$21	0xb27828…
08-18 07:10:16	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-18 07:00 UTC	Up	BUY	2	79¢	$2	0x7d02c8…
08-18 07:10:12	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-18 07:00 UTC	Up	BUY	2	79¢	$2	0x5e5f5e…
08-18 07:05:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 07:00 UTC	Up	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x92acf7…
07-28 06:14:24	will bitcoin reach 80000 by december 31 2026 from june 8	Yes	BUY	130	32¢	$42	0xab700f…
07-13 17:37:14	will wti reach 80 in july 2026 791	No	SELL	100	38¢	$38	0x84d1b8…
07-13 16:47:17	will wti reach 80 in july 2026 791	No	BUY	100	47¢	$47	0x1cd80c…
07-03 15:24:53	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?	Yes	BUY	30	86¢	$26	0x9c02c3…
06-21 01:46:10	spacex ipo closing price updown end of first month 20260608182738233	Up	SELL	40	85¢	$34	0x4fcd58…
06-18 00:41:19	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	54¢	$27	0x254af1…
06-17 15:26:40	will bitcoin reach 80000 by december 31 2026 from june 8	Yes	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x133f53…
06-17 12:48:46	will bitcoin reach 80000 by december 31 2026 from june 8	Yes	BUY	1	54¢	$1	0x0fe570…
06-16 13:29:08	spacex ipo closing price updown end of first month 20260608182738233	Up	BUY	40	84¢	$34	0xd06827…
06-15 15:38:00	Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	100	25¢	$25	0x7bf884…
06-09 03:19:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 03:15 UTC	Up	BUY	100	92¢	$92	0xaead46…
06-04 16:25:01	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	Yes	BUY	25	93¢	$23	0xc5cbde…
05-22 17:28:36	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	9	81¢	$7	0xa1f354…
05-22 17:18:50	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	21	81¢	$17	0x511e6d…
05-12 01:49:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9PM ET	Down	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0x7edcf1…
05-12 01:25:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9PM ET	Down	BUY	20	76¢	$15	0xe21618…
05-06 02:40:04	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	70	17¢	$12	0x33dcd2…
05-03 12:34:40	Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Kolkata Knight Riders	Sunrisers Hyderabad	BUY	160	5¢	$8	0xe435ae…
05-03 12:19:30	Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Kolkata Knight Riders	Sunrisers Hyderabad	BUY	77	9¢	$7	0xda9308…
05-03 12:19:30	Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Kolkata Knight Riders	Sunrisers Hyderabad	BUY	3	9¢	$0	0x076b1b…
05-03 11:56:32	Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Kolkata Knight Riders	Sunrisers Hyderabad	BUY	12	20¢	$2	0x792a39…
05-03 11:56:30	Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Kolkata Knight Riders	Sunrisers Hyderabad	BUY	28	20¢	$6	0xdce685…
05-03 10:15:48	Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Kolkata Knight Riders	Sunrisers Hyderabad	BUY	40	60¢	$24	0x8a041e…
04-30 09:16:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0xb6eb3e…
04-25 12:24:36	Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Punjab Kings	Delhi Capitals	BUY	50	71¢	$36	0xacf04a…
04-18 01:04:56	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	101	71¢	$72	0x9f3318…
04-14 14:35:29	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	21	79¢	$17	0xd638aa…
04-14 14:30:21	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0xcc6e95…
04-11 15:21:29	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	67	76¢	$51	0x561e35…
04-07 16:30:39	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	No	SELL	600	79¢	$474	0x5170f8…
04-07 16:28:23	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	No	BUY	600	79¢	$474	0xecec22…
04-07 09:21:51	spx opens up or down on april 7 2026	Down	SELL	1,300	39¢	$502	0x8d2bee…
04-07 06:30:53	spx opens up or down on april 7 2026	Down	BUY	1,300	73¢	$949	0x1b8135…
04-03 20:06:09	trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 7th 659	Yes	BUY	500	2¢	$12	0x58feaa…
04-03 10:21:09	trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 7th 659	Yes	BUY	3,000	3¢	$78	0x45f749…
03-26 01:21:41	will bitcoin reach 85k in march 2026	No	SELL	51	98¢	$50	0x7a625f…
03-24 15:12:37	will bitcoin reach 85k in march 2026	No	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0xd12c5f…
03-20 17:08:25	will crude oil cl hit low 65 by end of march 687 631 179 583 222 896 946 953 469 231 749	No	SELL	125	99¢	$123	0xef99e1…
03-19 01:53:43	will crude oil cl hit low 85 by march 20 147	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x8355a0…
03-18 02:45:41	highest temperature in chicago on march 17 2026 22 23f	Yes	BUY	500	90¢	$450	0x9f5cae…
03-18 02:45:37	highest temperature in chicago on march 17 2026 22 23f	Yes	BUY	1,000	90¢	$900	0x3e003d…
03-18 02:45:37	highest temperature in chicago on march 17 2026 22 23f	Yes	BUY	3,500	90¢	$3,150	0x349923…
03-17 01:45:43	will crude oil cl hit low 65 by end of march 687 631 179 583 222 896 946 953 469 231 749	No	BUY	1,043	96¢	$1,000	0xc2ed3c…
03-14 13:18:07	highest temperature in seoul on march 15 2026 11corhigher	No	BUY	500	55¢	$275	0x59cb97…
03-14 13:18:05	highest temperature in seoul on march 15 2026 11corhigher	No	BUY	1,000	55¢	$550	0x5fdd73…
03-12 02:39:21	elon musk of tweets march 6 march 13 360 379	Yes	BUY	4,800	20¢	$936	0xde3a41…
03-10 09:37:13	solana up or down on march 10	Down	BUY	4	14¢	$1	0xab0af6…
03-10 09:37:13	solana up or down on march 10	Down	BUY	2,334	14¢	$327	0x4c247f…
03-10 09:36:37	solana up or down on march 10	Down	BUY	48	14¢	$7	0xcafc82…
03-10 09:32:53	solana up or down on march 10	Down	BUY	4	14¢	$1	0x8aeff0…
03-10 09:24:59	solana up or down on march 10	Down	BUY	29	14¢	$4	0xda308e…
03-10 09:24:59	solana up or down on march 10	Down	BUY	29	14¢	$4	0x548845…
03-10 09:24:59	solana up or down on march 10	Down	BUY	29	14¢	$4	0x34d4ac…
03-10 09:24:59	solana up or down on march 10	Down	BUY	29	14¢	$4	0x3395c4…
03-10 09:24:57	solana up or down on march 10	Down	BUY	29	14¢	$4	0xbe10f5…
03-10 09:24:57	solana up or down on march 10	Down	BUY	29	14¢	$4	0xaaa0ea…
03-10 09:24:57	solana up or down on march 10	Down	BUY	29	14¢	$4	0xa61bae…
03-10 09:24:57	solana up or down on march 10	Down	BUY	29	14¢	$4	0x8ff725…
03-10 09:24:57	solana up or down on march 10	Down	BUY	29	14¢	$4	0x790b03…
03-10 09:24:57	solana up or down on march 10	Down	BUY	29	14¢	$4	0x5e6d8b…
03-10 09:24:57	solana up or down on march 10	Down	BUY	29	14¢	$4	0x339073…
03-10 09:24:53	solana up or down on march 10	Down	BUY	29	14¢	$4	0xea6d62…
03-10 09:24:53	solana up or down on march 10	Down	BUY	29	14¢	$4	0x78d36c…
03-10 09:24:53	solana up or down on march 10	Down	BUY	29	14¢	$4	0x5d024e…
03-10 09:24:51	solana up or down on march 10	Down	BUY	29	14¢	$4	0xe6e549…
03-10 09:24:49	solana up or down on march 10	Down	BUY	29	14¢	$4	0xa7d5ec…
03-10 09:24:49	solana up or down on march 10	Down	BUY	29	14¢	$4	0xa374ea…
03-10 09:24:49	solana up or down on march 10	Down	BUY	29	14¢	$4	0x24d3ac…
03-10 09:24:49	solana up or down on march 10	Down	BUY	29	14¢	$4	0x11bea0…
03-10 09:24:45	solana up or down on march 10	Down	BUY	29	14¢	$4	0xf4c4f5…
03-10 09:24:03	solana up or down on march 10	Down	BUY	29	14¢	$4	0x7073c3…
03-10 09:24:03	solana up or down on march 10	Down	BUY	29	14¢	$4	0x634412…
03-10 09:24:01	solana up or down on march 10	Down	BUY	29	14¢	$4	0xd8b4f9…
03-10 09:24:01	solana up or down on march 10	Down	BUY	4	14¢	$1	0xbadcca…
03-10 09:24:01	solana up or down on march 10	Down	BUY	29	14¢	$4	0xbaa023…
03-10 09:24:01	solana up or down on march 10	Down	BUY	29	14¢	$4	0x5933e9…
03-10 09:24:01	solana up or down on march 10	Down	BUY	29	14¢	$4	0x223a9a…
03-10 09:23:25	solana up or down on march 10	Down	BUY	29	14¢	$4	0x7a9d56…
03-10 08:44:17	solana up or down on march 10	Down	BUY	20	14¢	$3	0xc216e7…
03-10 07:24:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 07:20 UTC	Up	BUY	14	97¢	$14	0x336e5a…
03-07 13:39:35	elon musk of tweets march 5 march 7 90 114	Yes	BUY	10	86¢	$9	0x27385a…
03-05 15:21:47	crint gbr ind 2026 03 05	India	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0x5726c8…
03-04 14:03:07	bitcoin up or down march 4 10am et	Down	BUY	6,400	50¢	$3,200	0x794ab9…
03-04 00:35:19	bitcoin up or down march 3 8pm et	Down	BUY	5,599	50¢	$2,799	0x46f261…
03-01 17:03:45	crint ind wst 2026 03 01	India	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x4a8196…
02-28 00:23:37	solana up or down february 27 8pm et	Up	BUY	80	49¢	$39	0x39f7b1…
02-27 13:59:55	ethereum up or down february 27 10am et	Down	BUY	2,400	50¢	$1,200	0x293ccf…
02-27 03:49:10	SOL Up/Down 4h · 2026-02-27 01:00 UTC	Down	BUY	2,500	4¢	$100	0x639ad6…
02-26 16:15:32	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-02-26 17:00 UTC	Down	BUY	4,200	50¢	$2,100	0x46addf…
02-25 12:10:08	ETH Up/Down 4h · 2026-02-25 09:00 UTC	Down	BUY	1,500	5¢	$75	0x03161b…
02-25 07:37:48	ethereum up or down february 25 3am et	Down	BUY	1,200	49¢	$588	0xd37a45…