Realized P&L
+$2
Unrealized P&L
-$48
Hit rate
82.0%
Resolved
7
Trades
176
lifetime
Volume
$1.70K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$10
Open exposure
$128
16 positions
First seen
2026-04-30
last 06-11 18:29
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 5 days
Categories
Politics
45% 100% +$2
Other
40% 67% $-5
Crypto
8% 50% +$5
Tech
7%
Sports
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
34 active days in 12wk • peak 22 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June? No +42 $29 46¢ $20 $-9 06-08 20:51
Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30? Yes +43 $33 35¢ $15 $-18 06-06 16:45
Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by June 30? No +18 $16 67¢ $12 $-4 05-29 04:24
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +12 $8 80¢ $10 +$2 06-08 03:39
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30? No +15 $11 62¢ $9 $-2 06-03 08:18
Kash Patel out by June 30? No +10 $9 92¢ $9 +$0 06-05 18:56
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30? Yes +70 $14 12¢ $8 $-6 06-08 09:54
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No +14 $12 55¢ $8 $-4 06-08 13:55
Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote? No +10 $4 72¢ $7 +$3 06-05 05:55
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30? No +8 $7 90¢ $7 +$0 06-05 14:36
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30? Yes +30 $13 18¢ $5 $-7 06-05 18:32
Epstein client list released by June 30? Yes +217 $5 $5 $-0 06-08 06:34
Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026? Yes +80 $5 $4 $-1 06-08 13:58
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026? No +11 $5 34¢ $4 $-1 06-11 15:27
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30? Yes -50 $-3 $-3 +$0 06-05 07:47
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026? Yes +13 $2 13¢ $2 $-0 06-08 21:08