Attractive-Stamina — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$3.64K

Unrealized P&L

-$133

Hit rate

76.8%

Resolved

489

Trades

2,025

lifetime

Volume

$62.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$31

Open exposure

$186

3 positions

First seen

2026-04-30

last 11-04 17:59

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 147 days

Categories

Other

75% 65% +$3,232

Politics

18% 53% -$176

Tech

3% 56% +$185

Sports

2% 77% +$284

Crypto

2% 65% +$110

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

83 active days in 12wk • peak 43 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (22) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Gemini Carbon be released between November 9 and November 15, 2026?	No	+882	$247	18¢	$159	-$88	11-02 00:28
Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?	No	+97	$72	28¢	$27	-$45	09-01 19:00
Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?	No	+0	$0	97¢	$0	$0	08-25 19:34

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will "Wildwood" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 14m and 16m?	3	$920	544	544	+0	No	+$136	10-24 04:00
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez Democratic nomination odds leader on October 31?	2	$823	508	508	+0	No	+$163	10-30 10:57
Will "Nicole Kidman - ADÉLA" be the #2 US song this week?	9	$767	537	537	+0	open	—	11-03 21:51
Will the Texas 2026 Senate race be within 5%?	7	$744	830	830	+0	open	—	11-04 13:45
Will Peggy Flanagan run 9 or more points behind Amy Klobuchar?	3	$708	400	400	+0	open	—	11-04 14:51
Will Democrats win 6 or more House seats in North Carolina in the 2026 midterm elections?	11	$661	568	568	+0	open	—	11-04 17:59
Will "Primetime" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 22m?	9	$622	478	478	+0	No	+$329	09-27 19:26
Will "The Social Reckoning" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 5m and 7m?	9	$601	617	617	+0	Yes	+$121	10-10 22:53
Will Donald Trump visit Wisconsin before the midterms?	8	$597	485	485	+0	No	+$265	11-02 14:35
Paris curfew effectively lifted by October 31?	2	$596	441	441	+0	Yes	+$197	10-27 19:19
Will Democrats win 9 or more House seats in Virginia in the 2026 midterm elections?	5	$592	415	415	+0	open	—	11-04 17:07
Will the Rhine River fail to return to normal levels before November 1, 2026?	12	$539	768	768	+0	Yes	+$75	10-16 20:50
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 22?	3	$525	860	602	+258	No	+$171	09-22 09:57
United Airlines (UAL) Q3 consolidated passenger load factor 82% to 83%?	9	$522	290	290	+0	No	+$46	10-20 21:33
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 940m and 950m by September 30?	10	$515	581	272	+309	No	-$69	09-17 01:38
Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?	13	$514	376	376	+0	Yes	+$152	06-26 00:26
Will Eli Lilly (LLY) Q3 Mounjaro sales be above $9B?	2	$461	270	270	+0	Yes	+$52	10-29 10:45
Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $176 in October?	10	$457	318	318	+0	Yes	+$73	10-20 00:26
Will the Moderate Party (M) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?	3	$448	380	380	+0	Yes	+$304	09-13 20:30
no change or hike 25 bps favored on october 27	5	$442	680	680	+0	No change	+$20	10-14 12:44
Will Mexico GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.5%?	13	$430	237	237	+0	No	+$30	10-29 20:39
Will a 6.0+ magnitude earthquake occur in Peru this month?	5	$426	236	236	+0	open	—	11-01 04:28
Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 46.0 and 48.9 in October?	47	$420	555	370	+185	Yes	+$205	10-23 14:00
Will no Atlantic hurricane form in September 2026?	10	$411	402	296	+106	Yes	+$165	09-21 05:43
Will Ted Cruz post 200+ posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	15	$398	448	295	+153	open	—	11-04 17:58
Will there be 90 or more tornadoes in the US in October 2026?	6	$398	229	229	+0	open	—	10-19 04:19
Will the Ornn H200 Index be at least $5.50 on October 31, 2026?	5	$392	317	210	+107	Yes	+$89	10-28 21:38
Will Perplexity's valuation hit (LOW) $20.5B by October 31?	5	$389	246	246	+0	No	+$88	11-02 18:00
Will Gladson Camelí win the most votes in the 2026 Acre Senate election?	4	$378	215	215	+0	No	+$39	10-04 22:29
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 24?	12	$376	267	267	+0	No	+$136	09-24 05:26

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-04 18:26:40	Will Trump meet with Mark Carney by November 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	130	78¢	$101	0xc6e132…
11-04 18:26:22	Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	No	SELL	2	53¢	$1	0xf7af33…
11-04 17:59:45	Will Democrats win 6 or more House seats in North Carolina in the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	198	98¢	$194	0x04636a…
11-04 17:58:28	Will Ted Cruz post 200+ posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	No	SELL	67	78¢	$52	0xa7adca…
11-04 17:58:25	Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	No	SELL	200	42¢	$84	0x81321e…
11-04 17:44:10	Will Ted Cruz post 200+ posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	No	SELL	18	78¢	$14	0xe9910a…
11-04 17:44:07	Will Ted Cruz post 200+ posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	No	SELL	10	78¢	$8	0x105452…
11-04 17:07:30	Will Democrats win 9 or more House seats in Virginia in the 2026 midterm elections?	No	SELL	66	96¢	$63	0xd3836b…
11-04 17:06:58	Will Democrats win 9 or more House seats in Virginia in the 2026 midterm elections?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x61d97d…
11-04 17:03:58	Will Democrats win 9 or more House seats in Virginia in the 2026 midterm elections?	No	SELL	244	96¢	$234	0xceacac…
11-04 17:00:12	Will Frances Tiafoe Qualify for the Nitto ATP Finals 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x8ff772…
11-04 16:27:06	Will Democrats win 6 or more House seats in North Carolina in the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x52821a…
11-04 16:22:04	Will "Thriller - Michael Jackson" be the #2 US song this week?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x705dd6…
11-04 14:59:12	First Round Outright Winner in the GA-02 House Election?	Yes	SELL	102	98¢	$100	0x68e1e3…
11-04 14:55:10	First Round Outright Winner in the GA-02 House Election?	Yes	SELL	22	98¢	$22	0x774919…
11-04 14:51:13	Will Peggy Flanagan run 9 or more points behind Amy Klobuchar?	No	SELL	400	96¢	$384	0x75ed2f…
11-04 14:21:09	Will "Thriller - Michael Jackson" be the #2 US song this week?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xa728e1…
11-04 14:21:07	Will "Thriller - Michael Jackson" be the #2 US song this week?	No	SELL	30	99¢	$30	0x80a5de…
11-04 14:20:31	Will "Thriller - Michael Jackson" be the #2 US song this week?	No	SELL	30	99¢	$30	0xe71005…
11-04 14:20:31	Will "Thriller - Michael Jackson" be the #2 US song this week?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x48d522…
11-04 13:45:04	Will the Texas 2026 Senate race be within 5%?	No	SELL	68	98¢	$67	0xf68015…
11-04 13:42:00	Will Ted Cruz post 200+ posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	No	SELL	10	65¢	$6	0x0977f7…
11-04 13:41:58	Will Ted Cruz post 200+ posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	No	SELL	5	65¢	$3	0x566503…
11-04 13:41:58	Will Ted Cruz post 200+ posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	No	SELL	5	65¢	$3	0x5556e6…
11-04 13:41:58	Will Ted Cruz post 200+ posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	No	SELL	121	65¢	$79	0x4d09c9…
11-04 13:23:07	Will the Texas 2026 Senate race be within 5%?	No	SELL	50	98¢	$49	0x3165e5…
11-04 13:23:04	Will the Texas 2026 Senate race be within 5%?	No	SELL	50	98¢	$49	0x375417…
11-04 13:10:51	Will Ted Cruz post 200+ posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	No	SELL	5	65¢	$3	0x2a7167…
11-04 13:10:48	Will Ted Cruz post 200+ posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	No	SELL	18	65¢	$12	0x53765d…
11-04 13:10:46	Will Ted Cruz post 200+ posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	No	SELL	20	65¢	$13	0x3c9f0a…
11-04 13:10:40	Will Ted Cruz post 200+ posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	No	SELL	6	65¢	$4	0x13dd37…
11-04 13:10:40	Will Ted Cruz post 200+ posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	No	SELL	10	65¢	$6	0x0cd356…
11-04 12:28:10	Will the Texas 2026 Senate race be within 5%?	No	SELL	102	98¢	$100	0x48e2f9…
11-04 11:39:09	Will Frances Tiafoe Qualify for the Nitto ATP Finals 2026?	Yes	SELL	130	95¢	$124	0xa94c5a…
11-04 10:09:39	Will "Thriller - Michael Jackson" be the #2 US song this week?	No	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0x39ee94…
11-04 10:09:39	Will "Thriller - Michael Jackson" be the #2 US song this week?	No	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0x1f40e0…
11-04 08:13:13	Will OpenRouter process between 195T and 205T tokens the week of November 2?	No	SELL	10	85¢	$9	0xf55118…
11-04 08:13:13	Will OpenRouter process between 195T and 205T tokens the week of November 2?	No	SELL	20	85¢	$17	0xf4b9f4…
11-04 08:13:13	Will OpenRouter process between 195T and 205T tokens the week of November 2?	No	SELL	10	85¢	$8	0x9d6b6e…
11-04 08:13:13	Will OpenRouter process between 195T and 205T tokens the week of November 2?	No	SELL	61	85¢	$52	0x5cb035…
11-04 01:32:45	Will Democrats win 6 or more House seats in North Carolina in the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	137	80¢	$109	0xe22b48…
11-04 01:21:37	Will Democrats win 6 or more House seats in North Carolina in the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	31	80¢	$25	0xc27ed1…
11-04 01:04:55	Will the Texas 2026 Senate race be within 5%?	No	SELL	280	55¢	$154	0x1f5534…
11-03 23:45:07	Will the Texas 2026 Senate race be within 5%?	No	SELL	280	45¢	$126	0x345119…
11-03 23:12:22	Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on November 5?	No	BUY	295	18¢	$54	0x1b2e50…
11-03 23:04:37	Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.4T by November 30?	No	SELL	1	85¢	$1	0x4fa576…
11-03 23:04:10	Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.4T by November 30?	No	BUY	100	65¢	$65	0x7af3c5…
11-03 23:01:52	Will Ted Cruz post 200+ posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	No	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xe0e478…
11-03 23:01:25	Will US gas hit $4.25 (High) in November?	No	BUY	20	65¢	$13	0xab6e62…
11-03 23:01:25	Will US gas hit $4.25 (High) in November?	No	BUY	236	62¢	$146	0x2513d6…
11-03 22:59:12	Will Ted Cruz post 200+ posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	No	BUY	191	50¢	$95	0x4aa827…
11-03 22:59:10	Will Ted Cruz post 200+ posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	No	BUY	252	38¢	$96	0x68ca07…
11-03 22:56:27	Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	No	BUY	1,000	23¢	$225	0xdb0591…
11-03 22:33:33	Will Democrats win 6 or more House seats in North Carolina in the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	5	55¢	$3	0xd8a5a6…
11-03 22:33:33	Will Democrats win 6 or more House seats in North Carolina in the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	104	55¢	$57	0xc40877…
11-03 22:33:33	Will Democrats win 6 or more House seats in North Carolina in the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	30	55¢	$16	0xb4be97…
11-03 22:33:33	Will Democrats win 6 or more House seats in North Carolina in the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	5	55¢	$3	0x7f221b…
11-03 22:33:33	Will Democrats win 6 or more House seats in North Carolina in the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	36	55¢	$20	0x69586a…
11-03 22:33:33	Will Democrats win 6 or more House seats in North Carolina in the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	20	55¢	$11	0x16ed9c…
11-03 21:51:00	Will "Nicole Kidman - ADÉLA" be the #2 US song this week?	Yes	SELL	200	98¢	$197	0x67d9da…
11-03 20:15:13	Will "Thriller - Michael Jackson" be the #2 US song this week?	No	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0x345ee7…
11-03 16:43:30	Will CZ post 60-79 posts from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	122	75¢	$92	0x6f3196…
11-03 11:15:37	Will Democrats win 9 or more House seats in Virginia in the 2026 midterm elections?	No	SELL	100	70¢	$70	0x961818…
11-03 10:43:34	Pakistan military action against Afghanistan by November 30, 2026?	No	SELL	29	75¢	$22	0x172527…
11-03 10:42:39	Pakistan military action against Afghanistan by November 30, 2026?	No	SELL	7	62¢	$5	0x7637f5…
11-03 07:36:00	Will "Nicole Kidman - ADÉLA" be the #2 US song this week?	Yes	SELL	38	85¢	$32	0xdc0e53…
11-03 03:55:42	Will "Nicole Kidman - ADÉLA" be the #2 US song this week?	Yes	SELL	6	85¢	$5	0x514d7f…
11-03 03:53:30	Will "Nicole Kidman - ADÉLA" be the #2 US song this week?	Yes	SELL	6	85¢	$5	0x9e35af…
11-03 03:11:52	Will US gas hit $4.35 (High) in November?	No	BUY	86	76¢	$65	0xb2545a…
11-03 01:38:16	Will "Nicole Kidman - ADÉLA" be the #2 US song this week?	Yes	SELL	17	85¢	$14	0x0c7d83…
11-03 01:22:40	Will "Nicole Kidman - ADÉLA" be the #2 US song this week?	Yes	SELL	120	85¢	$102	0x79897e…
11-03 01:06:19	Will "Nicole Kidman - ADÉLA" be the #2 US song this week?	Yes	SELL	100	74¢	$74	0x606552…
11-03 01:06:18	Will "Nicole Kidman - ADÉLA" be the #2 US song this week?	Yes	SELL	50	74¢	$37	0x962896…
11-03 00:11:01	Will OpenAI’s valuation be at least $1.30T at the end of November 2026?	No	BUY	297	37¢	$110	0x33d68b…
11-03 00:07:42	Pakistan military action against Afghanistan by November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	334	46¢	$153	0xebcc78…
11-03 00:05:40	Will "Nicole Kidman - ADÉLA" be the #2 US song this week?	Yes	BUY	537	56¢	$300	0xb0492c…
11-03 00:03:54	Will US gas hit $4.35 (High) in November?	No	BUY	334	76¢	$254	0x1715fd…
11-03 00:01:36	Will Frances Tiafoe Qualify for the Nitto ATP Finals 2026?	Yes	BUY	262	84¢	$220	0x00a30c…
11-02 18:00:09	Will Perplexity's valuation hit (LOW) $20.5B by October 31?	No	SELL	75	97¢	$73	0x5dde4b…
11-02 14:37:04	Will "Thriller - Michael Jackson" be the #2 US song this week?	No	BUY	33	80¢	$26	0x6f4b35…
11-02 14:35:52	Will Donald Trump visit Wisconsin before the midterms?	No	SELL	372	97¢	$360	0xe69aaf…
11-02 11:46:58	Will CZ post 60-79 posts from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	102	55¢	$56	0x230124…
11-02 09:37:52	Will CZ post 60-79 posts from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	15	55¢	$8	0xefa726…
11-02 06:51:39	Will CZ post 60-79 posts from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	55¢	$3	0x05108b…
11-02 00:44:31	Will CZ post 60-79 posts from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	245	32¢	$77	0x847d81…
11-02 00:36:12	First Round Outright Winner in the GA-05 House Election?	Yes	BUY	40	94¢	$38	0x262a77…
11-02 00:35:30	First Round Outright Winner in the GA-02 House Election?	Yes	BUY	125	90¢	$112	0xeab6a1…
11-02 00:34:04	Will "Wildwood" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 9m and 11m?	No	BUY	1	92¢	$0	0xfe111c…
11-02 00:34:04	Will "Wildwood" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 9m and 11m?	No	BUY	80	92¢	$74	0xdf8e6e…
11-02 00:34:04	Will "Wildwood" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 9m and 11m?	No	BUY	169	87¢	$147	0x088899…
11-02 00:32:10	Will it snow in Kansas City, MO by November 15?	No	BUY	268	82¢	$220	0x1e73af…
11-02 00:30:39	Will Trump meet with Mark Carney by November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	393	56¢	$220	0x704055…
11-02 00:28:45	Will Gemini Carbon be released between November 9 and November 15, 2026?	No	BUY	882	28¢	$247	0x593899…
11-02 00:13:03	Will OpenRouter process between 195T and 205T tokens the week of November 2?	No	BUY	20	52¢	$10	0x385559…
11-02 00:13:03	Will OpenRouter process between 195T and 205T tokens the week of November 2?	No	BUY	183	52¢	$94	0x3455c7…
11-02 00:11:48	Will "Thriller - Michael Jackson" be the #2 US song this week?	No	BUY	177	77¢	$137	0xbfe162…
11-02 00:08:42	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial election by 6%-9%?	No	BUY	328	67¢	$220	0xe8e1b8…
11-02 00:06:46	Will Peggy Flanagan run 9 or more points behind Amy Klobuchar?	No	BUY	200	87¢	$174	0x874673…
11-02 00:04:31	Will Democrats win 9 or more House seats in Virginia in the 2026 midterm elections?	No	BUY	415	53¢	$220	0x8808ef…
11-02 00:02:27	Will Democrats win 6 or more House seats in North Carolina in the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	568	39¢	$220	0xb3817a…