Realized P&L
+$4.35K
Unrealized P&L
+$435
Hit rate
78.1%
Resolved
495
Trades
2,092
lifetime
Volume
$66.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$32
Open exposure
$4.85K
27 positions
First seen
2026-04-30
last 11-07 10:37
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 150 days
Categories
Other
75% 65% +$3,570
Politics
19% 54% +$197
Tech
3% 56% +$185
Sports
2% 77% +$284
Crypto
2% 65% +$110
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
83 active days in 12wk • peak 57 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by December 31, 2026? No +525 $430 82¢ $431 +$1 11-07 00:52
Will Ted Cruz post 200+ posts from November 6 to November 13, 2026? No +493 $355 86¢ $422 +$67 11-05 23:10
Will it snow in Kansas City, MO by November 15? No +431 $344 90¢ $388 +$44 11-04 22:54
Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from November 6 to November 13, 2026? No +500 -$36 76¢ $380 +$416 11-05 23:26
Will Revolut's valuation hit (LOW) $106B by November 30? No +374 $280 94¢ $353 +$74 11-05 23:22
Will US gas hit $4.15 (High) in November? No +490 $289 70¢ $345 +$57 11-06 05:44
Will Iceland win 2026-27 Nations League Group C4? Yes +387 $300 82¢ $315 +$16 11-07 00:43
Will White House post 200+ posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026? No +330 $52 76¢ $251 +$198 11-07 06:37
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Alabama Senate election by 5%-10%? Yes +412 $352 59¢ $242 -$110 11-04 23:21
Will US gas hit $4.30 (High) in November? No +244 $201 90¢ $220 +$19 11-05 02:14
Will Trump meet with Mark Carney by November 30, 2026? Yes +263 $119 72¢ $189 +$71 11-04 18:26
Will Gemini Carbon be released between November 9 and November 15, 2026? No +882 $247 20¢ $172 -$75 11-02 00:28
Will the lowest Baton Rouge river level be 6.00 ft or more by November 30? Yes +250 $185 65¢ $162 -$22 11-06 14:50
Will Ted Cruz post 200+ posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026? No +156 -$7 97¢ $151 +$158 11-04 23:13
Will OpenAI’s valuation be at least $1.30T at the end of November 2026? No +541 $170 27¢ $146 -$24 11-07 01:01
Will Chromagraph Camera be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on November 13? No +169 $84 80¢ $134 +$51 11-07 05:48
Will "Clayface" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 6m and 7m? No +462 $271 25¢ $116 -$155 11-05 23:40
Will OpenRouter process between 195T and 205T tokens the week of November 2? No +101 $19 97¢ $99 +$80 11-04 08:13
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.37T by November 30? No +120 $89 79¢ $95 +$6 11-07 01:03
Will US gas hit $4.25 (High) in November? No +79 $15 84¢ $66 +$52 11-07 10:37
Pakistan military action against Afghanistan by November 30, 2026? No +85 -$5 64¢ $55 +$60 11-03 10:43
Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on November 5? No — +295 $54 12¢ $37 -$18 11-03 23:12
Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt? No +97 $72 34¢ $32 -$39 09-01 19:00
Will global temperature increase by more than 1.49ºC in October 2026? No +170 $110 12¢ $20 -$91 10-25 23:08
Will "Wild Horse Nine" score at least 92 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? No +685 $205 2¢ $17 -$188 10-25 23:05
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial election by 6%-9%? No +328 $220 3¢ $10 -$210 11-02 00:08
Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027? No +0 $0 97¢ $0 $0 08-25 19:34