Glossy-Bait — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$5

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

14.2%

Resolved

Trades

162

lifetime

Volume

$3.07K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$19

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-26

last 06-14 18:11

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

37% — —

Other

28% 50% $-5

Tech

24% — —

Crypto

8% — —

Pop-Culture

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

19 active days in 12wk • peak 30 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?	5	$376	300	200	+100	open	—	04-28 08:51
Zagreb: Diego Dedura-Palomero vs Emanuel Ivanisevic	3	$214	1,000	949	+51	Diego Dedura-Palomero	$-6	05-12 01:28
spacex ipo closing price updown end of first month 20260608182738233	2	$128	200	29	+171	open	—	06-12 23:26
will iran close its airspace by june 15 20260609184136053	4	$100	100	100	+0	open	—	06-11 01:10
will the next claude mythos model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1550	4	$99	100	100	+0	open	—	06-10 23:50
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 4th Weekend Box Office be greater than 20.5m?	5	$96	100	100	+0	open	—	04-27 06:51
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	2	$96	100	100	+0	open	—	04-27 11:48
will trump meet with mohammed bin salman in june 2026	3	$88	50	50	+0	open	—	06-13 23:23
will iran close its airspace by june 14 20260609184136052	2	$78	50	50	+0	open	—	06-12 15:25
will bulk launch a token by december 31 2026	2	$74	50	50	+0	open	—	06-11 08:55
us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 17 2026 20260612163100185 516	5	$74	66	42	+24	open	—	06-13 22:42
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 19	2	$72	50	50	+0	open	—	06-13 15:57
Moonbirds FDV above $600M one day after launch?	1	$71	72	0	+72	open	—	01-26 01:32
us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 16 2026 20260612160513701	4	$69	100	35	+65	open	—	06-13 14:39
us and iran sign an agreement by june 30 2026 20260611221049853	3	$65	100	50	+50	open	—	06-14 18:05
us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 19 2026	3	$64	100	50	+50	open	—	06-14 18:11
Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in April?	2	$58	30	30	+0	open	—	04-27 01:14
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by April 30?	2	$55	28	28	+0	open	—	04-27 01:14
Will China announce a U.S. soybean purchase by May 22?	2	$54	100	100	+0	open	—	05-14 01:26
will donald trump sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950067	3	$53	50	50	+0	open	—	06-13 23:23
will jd vance sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950068	2	$52	50	50	+0	open	—	06-13 14:46
will iran close its airspace by july 31 20260609184136056	2	$50	50	50	+0	open	—	06-12 15:25
Will flameZ be the highest-rated player at BLAST Rivals Fort Worth 2026?	2	$48	50	50	+0	open	—	04-29 02:27
will solana reach 170 in february 2026	2	$44	22	22	+0	open	—	02-15 04:38
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?	2	$43	23	23	+0	open	—	04-22 02:16
will abbas araghchi sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950073	2	$43	50	50	+0	open	—	06-13 16:56
Will Trump and Xi hug at their summit?	4	$41	74	74	+0	open	—	05-14 01:20
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	2	$40	20	20	+0	open	—	04-27 01:14
Israeli parliament dissolved by May 31?	3	$40	200	200	+0	open	—	05-16 07:59
Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy booster?	2	$38	20	20	+0	open	—	05-07 01:02

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-14 18:11:37	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 19 2026	No	BUY	50	82¢	$41	0x6ed318…
06-14 18:05:24	us and iran sign an agreement by june 30 2026 20260611221049853	Yes	BUY	50	74¢	$37	0x456f54…
06-14 16:12:48	us and iran sign an agreement by june 30 2026 20260611221049853	No	SELL	50	28¢	$14	0xeca927…
06-14 16:11:57	us and iran sign an agreement by june 30 2026 20260611221049853	No	BUY	50	28¢	$14	0xfbe961…
06-13 23:23:57	will donald trump sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950067	Yes	SELL	5	52¢	$2	0xff8daf…
06-13 23:23:36	will trump meet with mohammed bin salman in june 2026	No	SELL	35	87¢	$31	0x071606…
06-13 22:59:10	will donald trump sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950067	Yes	SELL	45	53¢	$24	0x128bb4…
06-13 22:48:10	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 19 2026	Yes	SELL	50	23¢	$12	0xe55ea7…
06-13 22:48:04	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 19 2026	Yes	BUY	50	23¢	$12	0x6036ee…
06-13 22:42:52	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 17 2026 20260612163100185 516	No	SELL	5	88¢	$5	0x38ef44…
06-13 20:36:13	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 17 2026 20260612163100185 516	No	SELL	21	88¢	$18	0xc7a302…
06-13 17:57:15	will donald trump sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950067	Yes	BUY	50	53¢	$26	0x4ca66e…
06-13 16:56:16	will abbas araghchi sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950073	No	SELL	50	43¢	$22	0x317f11…
06-13 16:56:12	will abbas araghchi sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950073	No	BUY	50	43¢	$22	0xb7de94…
06-13 16:45:49	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 17 2026 20260612163100185 516	No	BUY	50	88¢	$44	0x17a24b…
06-13 16:45:49	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 18 2026	Yes	SELL	50	23¢	$12	0x0da1a5…
06-13 15:57:40	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 19	Yes	SELL	50	72¢	$36	0x9ebf5f…
06-13 15:42:52	us and iran sign an agreement by june 15 2026 20260611221049851	Yes	SELL	28	35¢	$10	0x8bed0c…
06-13 15:42:46	us and iran sign an agreement by june 15 2026 20260611221049851	Yes	BUY	28	35¢	$10	0x92d77b…
06-13 15:26:25	ezri konsa 20260609175104680	No	SELL	50	23¢	$12	0xf88c6d…
06-13 15:25:27	ezri konsa 20260609175104680	No	BUY	3	23¢	$1	0x6a9da8…
06-13 15:25:25	ezri konsa 20260609175104680	No	BUY	47	23¢	$11	0xd97144…
06-13 14:58:09	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 17 2026 20260612163100185 516	Yes	SELL	16	21¢	$3	0xd9bd28…
06-13 14:57:55	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 18 2026	Yes	BUY	50	23¢	$12	0x9c0892…
06-13 14:57:55	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 17 2026 20260612163100185 516	Yes	BUY	16	21¢	$3	0x27e4b0…
06-13 14:56:49	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 19	Yes	BUY	50	72¢	$36	0xc781a6…
06-13 14:46:12	will jd vance sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950068	No	SELL	50	51¢	$26	0x8062a5…
06-13 14:39:03	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 16 2026 20260612160513701	Yes	SELL	17	17¢	$3	0x1281e3…
06-13 14:33:58	will jd vance sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950068	No	BUY	50	52¢	$26	0xc150b7…
06-13 14:30:33	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 16 2026 20260612160513701	Yes	BUY	50	18¢	$9	0xfc3fc6…
06-13 14:28:27	will trump meet with mohammed bin salman in june 2026	No	SELL	15	89¢	$13	0xf9f977…
06-13 14:28:07	will trump meet with mohammed bin salman in june 2026	No	BUY	50	89¢	$44	0x5211d0…
06-13 14:05:22	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 16 2026 20260612160513701	No	SELL	17	86¢	$15	0xd5c774…
06-13 14:05:18	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 16 2026 20260612160513701	No	BUY	50	85¢	$42	0x48912e…
06-12 23:26:48	spacex ipo closing price updown end of first month 20260608182738233	Down	SELL	29	56¢	$16	0x664f33…
06-12 22:49:03	spacex ipo closing price updown end of first month 20260608182738233	Down	BUY	200	56¢	$112	0x76bcf7…
06-12 15:25:25	will iran close its airspace by july 31 20260609184136056	No	SELL	50	64¢	$32	0xdc21af…
06-12 15:25:12	will iran close its airspace by june 14 20260609184136052	No	SELL	50	93¢	$47	0xf6ffdd…
06-11 12:24:49	will iran close its airspace by july 31 20260609184136056	No	BUY	50	36¢	$18	0x8bedff…
06-11 12:24:49	will iran close its airspace by june 14 20260609184136052	No	BUY	50	62¢	$31	0x495cfa…
06-11 08:55:55	will bulk launch a token by december 31 2026	No	SELL	50	74¢	$37	0x0b1340…
06-11 03:12:16	will bulk launch a token by december 31 2026	No	BUY	50	74¢	$37	0xb7ad11…
06-11 01:10:54	will iran close its airspace by june 15 20260609184136053	Yes	SELL	50	37¢	$18	0x79bbd4…
06-11 01:09:34	will iran close its airspace by june 15 20260609184136053	Yes	BUY	50	37¢	$18	0x0cf40f…
06-11 01:09:34	will iran close its airspace by june 15 20260609184136053	No	SELL	50	63¢	$32	0x0cf40f…
06-11 01:01:18	will iran close its airspace by june 15 20260609184136053	No	BUY	50	63¢	$32	0xe60c29…
06-10 23:50:57	will the next claude mythos model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1550	No	SELL	50	69¢	$34	0x9f9ed8…
06-10 23:31:18	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by june 22 183	Yes	SELL	50	9¢	$4	0x1b0e5b…
06-10 23:31:15	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by june 22 183	Yes	BUY	50	9¢	$4	0xe0776f…
06-10 23:05:10	will the next claude mythos model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1550	No	BUY	50	70¢	$35	0xa83a86…
06-10 22:51:28	will the next claude mythos model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1550	Yes	SELL	50	28¢	$14	0x24fee9…
06-10 18:50:06	will the next claude mythos model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1550	Yes	BUY	50	31¢	$16	0x5b8a00…
06-06 01:41:54	will 9z qualify to stage 3 at iem cologne major 2026	Yes	SELL	15	41¢	$6	0x6b7122…
06-06 01:41:52	will 9z qualify to stage 3 at iem cologne major 2026	Yes	SELL	5	41¢	$2	0x7003dc…
06-06 01:41:46	will 9z qualify to stage 3 at iem cologne major 2026	Yes	BUY	20	41¢	$8	0x8475a5…
06-06 01:34:21	will russia enter kindrashivka by july 31	Yes	SELL	5	20¢	$1	0xc69b4e…
06-06 01:31:09	will russia enter kindrashivka by july 31	Yes	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0xd54c14…
06-06 01:31:09	will russia enter kindrashivka by july 31	Yes	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0x289931…
06-06 01:31:07	will russia enter kindrashivka by july 31	Yes	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0xb3e3c7…
06-06 01:31:07	will russia enter kindrashivka by july 31	Yes	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0x9b5761…
05-16 08:33:49	Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 31?	Yes	SELL	29	28¢	$8	0x0f2877…
05-16 08:15:34	Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 31?	Yes	BUY	29	28¢	$8	0x2032bf…
05-16 07:59:37	Israeli parliament dissolved by May 31?	Yes	SELL	181	9¢	$16	0x60365c…
05-16 07:45:23	Israeli parliament dissolved by May 31?	Yes	SELL	19	9¢	$2	0x7580d6…
05-16 07:35:01	Israeli parliament dissolved by May 31?	Yes	BUY	200	11¢	$22	0x552705…
05-14 01:31:50	Will Trump say "Farmer" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	SELL	20	67¢	$13	0x5b419e…
05-14 01:30:30	Will Trump say "Farmer" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	20	69¢	$14	0x2a720a…
05-14 01:26:21	Will China announce a U.S. soybean purchase by May 22?	No	SELL	100	27¢	$27	0x3038d7…
05-14 01:26:16	Will China announce a U.S. soybean purchase by May 22?	No	BUY	100	27¢	$27	0x53ec9b…
05-14 01:21:52	Will Trump say "Fentanyl" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	20	30¢	$6	0x3fdccf…
05-14 01:21:31	Will Trump say "Fentanyl" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0x4a9d49…
05-14 01:20:17	Will Trump and Xi hug at their summit?	Yes	SELL	54	8¢	$4	0x6df499…
05-14 01:20:10	Will Trump and Xi hug at their summit?	Yes	BUY	54	8¢	$4	0x35cd25…
05-14 01:00:20	Will Trump say "Hottest" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	20	26¢	$5	0xa7a858…
05-14 01:00:18	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	20	50¢	$10	0x11c7e8…
05-14 01:00:11	Will Trump say "Hottest" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	20	26¢	$5	0xae73cb…
05-14 00:46:31	Will Trump say "Tough Negotiator" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	20	41¢	$8	0xf4b5ae…
05-14 00:46:25	Will Trump say "Tough Negotiator" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	20	41¢	$8	0x30953f…
05-14 00:45:59	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	20	52¢	$10	0xe2ba10…
05-14 00:45:14	Will Trump say "Japan" or "Korea" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	20	31¢	$6	0x7bf39a…
05-14 00:44:56	Will Trump say "Japan" or "Korea" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	20	33¢	$7	0x431dba…
05-14 00:35:41	Will Trump say "Sleepy Joe" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	SELL	20	92¢	$18	0x843ff3…
05-14 00:35:41	Will Trump say "Hong Kong" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	SELL	20	76¢	$15	0x157ccc…
05-14 00:35:29	Will Trump say "Sleepy Joe" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	20	91¢	$18	0xec307b…
05-14 00:35:27	Will Trump say "Hong Kong" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	20	76¢	$15	0x1a61ff…
05-13 23:43:29	Will Trump say "Soybean" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	20	51¢	$10	0xeb59bd…
05-13 23:43:22	Will Trump say "Fentanyl" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	20	30¢	$6	0x87d4a6…
05-13 23:28:15	Will Trump say "Soybean" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	20	59¢	$12	0x248c38…
05-13 23:20:28	Will Trump say "Fentanyl" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	20	33¢	$7	0xff5954…
05-13 23:11:27	Will Trump say "Tanker" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	20	31¢	$6	0x736fdd…
05-13 23:11:22	Will Trump say "Tanker" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	20	31¢	$6	0xfdf705…
05-13 23:10:44	Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	20	27¢	$5	0xf2f8cf…
05-13 23:10:42	Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	20	27¢	$5	0x621bf8…
05-13 23:10:31	Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	20	27¢	$5	0xa54ecc…
05-13 23:05:20	Will Trump say "Friend of mine" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	SELL	7	28¢	$2	0x4d76ea…
05-13 23:05:08	Will Trump say "Friend of mine" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0xa47b7d…
05-13 22:54:10	Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	20	34¢	$7	0x020df1…
05-12 01:28:36	Zagreb: Diego Dedura-Palomero vs Emanuel Ivanisevic	Emanuel Ivanisevic	SELL	949	11¢	$104	0xa62efd…
05-12 01:28:30	Zagreb: Diego Dedura-Palomero vs Emanuel Ivanisevic	Emanuel Ivanisevic	BUY	447	11¢	$49	0xd5c53b…
05-12 01:28:09	Zagreb: Diego Dedura-Palomero vs Emanuel Ivanisevic	Emanuel Ivanisevic	BUY	553	11¢	$61	0x65903b…