Glossy-Bait — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$5

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

14.2%

Resolved

Trades

223

lifetime

Volume

$4.20K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$19

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-26

last 08-01 14:26

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

38% — —

Other

28% 50% $-5

Tech

25% — —

Crypto

6% — —

Pop-Culture

2% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

18 active days in 12wk • peak 30 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?	5	$376	300	200	+100	open	—	04-28 08:51
spacex ipo closing price updown end of first month 20260608182738233	8	$261	315	144	+171	open	—	06-28 17:32
Zagreb: Diego Dedura-Palomero vs Emanuel Ivanisevic	3	$214	1,000	949	+51	Diego Dedura-Palomero	$-6	05-12 01:28
israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 3	9	$200	200	200	+0	open	—	08-01 14:26
will ng reach 3 40 in june 2026	6	$115	100	100	+0	open	—	06-18 22:23
us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 18 2026	4	$107	100	100	+0	open	—	06-14 21:28
us and iran sign an agreement by june 30 2026 20260611221049853	4	$102	100	100	+0	open	—	06-14 20:36
us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 19 2026	4	$101	100	100	+0	open	—	06-19 01:08
will iran close its airspace by june 15 20260609184136053	4	$100	100	100	+0	open	—	06-11 01:10
will the next claude mythos model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1550	4	$99	100	100	+0	open	—	06-10 23:50
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 4th Weekend Box Office be greater than 20.5m?	5	$96	100	100	+0	open	—	04-27 06:51
will anthropic ipo by october 31 2026	4	$96	100	100	+0	open	—	06-17 06:18
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	2	$96	100	100	+0	open	—	04-27 11:48
will trump meet with mohammed bin salman in june 2026	3	$88	50	50	+0	open	—	06-13 23:23
will iran close its airspace by june 14 20260609184136052	2	$78	50	50	+0	open	—	06-12 15:25
will bulk launch a token by december 31 2026	2	$74	50	50	+0	open	—	06-11 08:55
us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 17 2026 20260612163100185 516	5	$74	66	42	+24	open	—	06-13 22:42
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 19	2	$72	50	50	+0	open	—	06-13 15:57
Moonbirds FDV above $600M one day after launch?	1	$71	72	0	+72	open	—	01-26 01:32
us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 16 2026 20260612160513701	4	$69	100	35	+65	open	—	06-13 14:39
will starmer say defense during the next pmq 20260610160650637 421 587	2	$68	50	50	+0	open	—	06-20 04:55
2026 corales puntacana championship top20 benjamin james	2	$64	50	50	+0	open	—	07-14 00:23
will gpt 6 be released by august 31 2026 778	2	$62	50	50	+0	open	—	07-17 22:48
2026 corales puntacana championship top20 stephan jaeger	2	$61	50	50	+0	open	—	07-14 00:23
Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in April?	2	$58	30	30	+0	open	—	04-27 01:14
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by April 30?	2	$55	28	28	+0	open	—	04-27 01:14
Will China announce a U.S. soybean purchase by May 22?	2	$54	100	100	+0	open	—	05-14 01:26
will donald trump sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950067	3	$53	50	50	+0	open	—	06-13 23:23
will jd vance sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950068	2	$52	50	50	+0	open	—	06-13 14:46
will iran close its airspace by july 31 20260609184136056	2	$50	50	50	+0	open	—	06-12 15:25

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-01 14:26:24	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 3	No	SELL	50	32¢	$16	0x6a664a…
08-01 13:12:54	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 3	Yes	SELL	39	69¢	$27	0xce5f7e…
08-01 12:59:17	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 3	Yes	SELL	11	69¢	$8	0xe93499…
08-01 12:54:14	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 3	Yes	BUY	50	69¢	$34	0xb5f83c…
08-01 12:49:47	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 3	No	BUY	50	30¢	$15	0xcd39c6…
08-01 12:44:42	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 4	No	SELL	50	32¢	$16	0xfb69f9…
08-01 12:44:08	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 4	No	BUY	50	31¢	$16	0xacf828…
08-01 12:10:50	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 3	No	SELL	50	31¢	$16	0x3e179e…
08-01 12:09:44	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 3	No	BUY	50	31¢	$16	0x17f7c2…
08-01 12:09:23	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 3	Yes	SELL	50	69¢	$34	0x28d910…
08-01 12:06:00	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 3	Yes	BUY	50	69¢	$34	0x73ac7f…
08-01 11:54:20	will shea langaliers be traded by the 2026 mlb trade deadline 20260728182533480	Yes	SELL	20	20¢	$4	0x9c05df…
08-01 10:13:26	will shea langaliers be traded by the 2026 mlb trade deadline 20260728182533480	Yes	BUY	20	26¢	$5	0x86447b…
07-17 22:48:10	will gpt 6 be released by august 31 2026 778	No	SELL	50	61¢	$30	0x91ca1b…
07-17 16:32:43	will gpt 6 be released by august 31 2026 778	No	BUY	50	64¢	$32	0x100481…
07-14 00:23:14	2026 corales puntacana championship top20 benjamin james	No	SELL	50	58¢	$29	0x55a61c…
07-14 00:23:04	2026 corales puntacana championship top20 stephan jaeger	No	SELL	50	57¢	$28	0x8dc194…
07-13 23:14:20	2026 corales puntacana championship top20 benjamin james	No	BUY	50	69¢	$34	0x68a869…
07-13 23:09:28	2026 corales puntacana championship top20 stephan jaeger	No	BUY	50	65¢	$32	0x874795…
06-28 17:32:37	spacex ipo closing price updown end of first month 20260608182738233	Up	SELL	15	24¢	$4	0xc484c5…
06-28 17:19:13	spacex ipo closing price updown end of first month 20260608182738233	Up	BUY	15	24¢	$4	0x3b6626…
06-25 01:13:28	spacex ipo closing price updown end of first month 20260608182738233	Up	SELL	50	42¢	$21	0xec41fb…
06-25 00:52:25	spacex ipo closing price updown end of first month 20260608182738233	Up	BUY	50	44¢	$22	0x68f5e6…
06-20 04:55:29	will starmer say defense during the next pmq 20260610160650637 421 587	Yes	SELL	50	61¢	$30	0xf87209…
06-20 04:48:29	will starmer say defense during the next pmq 20260610160650637 421 587	Yes	BUY	50	76¢	$38	0xca1417…
06-19 01:08:20	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 19 2026 475	No	SELL	50	74¢	$37	0x639d3f…
06-18 22:23:35	will ng reach 3 40 in june 2026	No	SELL	50	66¢	$33	0xd6e0f0…
06-18 15:54:31	will ng reach 3 40 in june 2026	No	BUY	50	75¢	$38	0x94a51c…
06-17 07:02:34	israel x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	Yes	SELL	50	19¢	$10	0x9226b0…
06-17 06:18:52	will anthropic ipo by october 31 2026	Yes	SELL	50	33¢	$16	0xf1a6f0…
06-17 05:00:22	will anthropic ipo by october 31 2026	Yes	BUY	50	36¢	$18	0xd88943…
06-17 04:54:59	israel x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	50	22¢	$11	0x48d526…
06-17 04:27:05	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 19 20260615191216217	No	SELL	50	13¢	$6	0x1b1177…
06-17 04:13:56	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 19 20260615191216217	No	BUY	50	19¢	$10	0x9a9c60…
06-17 00:47:44	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 19 20260615191216217	No	SELL	0	16¢	$0	0x9cb2f2…
06-17 00:47:28	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 19 20260615191216217	No	SELL	5	16¢	$1	0x8d6609…
06-17 00:47:16	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 19 20260615191216217	No	SELL	1	16¢	$0	0x1fd1bb…
06-17 00:47:14	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 19 20260615191216217	No	SELL	4	16¢	$1	0x64fbd1…
06-17 00:47:05	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 19 20260615191216217	No	SELL	14	16¢	$2	0xdbd7d5…
06-17 00:47:05	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 19 20260615191216217	No	SELL	13	16¢	$2	0xbbaddf…
06-17 00:46:59	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 19 20260615191216217	No	SELL	13	16¢	$2	0x2b889c…
06-17 00:46:52	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 19 20260615191216217	No	BUY	50	16¢	$8	0x1be9b1…
06-17 00:27:46	tesla and spacex merger officially announced by september 30	Yes	SELL	50	18¢	$9	0x0ae9fb…
06-16 22:20:35	tesla and spacex merger officially announced by september 30	Yes	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0xdacb24…
06-16 18:15:46	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 19 20260615191216217	No	SELL	50	10¢	$5	0x0adc94…
06-16 18:14:19	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 19 20260615191216217	No	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x7a01e2…
06-16 16:12:10	will anthropic ipo by october 31 2026	Yes	SELL	50	63¢	$32	0x9e90f0…
06-16 16:12:07	will anthropic ipo by october 31 2026	Yes	BUY	50	61¢	$30	0x3d7333…
06-16 14:57:37	spacex ipo closing price updown end of first month 20260608182738233	Up	SELL	50	83¢	$42	0xb69c8c…
06-16 14:30:17	spacex ipo closing price updown end of first month 20260608182738233	Up	BUY	50	83¢	$42	0xf6a4b4…
06-16 13:09:43	will the jne certify results of the second round of the 2026 peruvian presidential elections by july 27 20260608233701773	No	SELL	100	6¢	$6	0x5c11b6…
06-16 13:09:04	will ng reach 3 40 in june 2026	Yes	SELL	50	48¢	$24	0x77b4f7…
06-15 03:22:33	will the jne certify results of the second round of the 2026 peruvian presidential elections by july 27 20260608233701773	No	BUY	50	6¢	$3	0xcc3543…
06-15 02:25:54	will ng reach 3 40 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	26	42¢	$11	0x5c7ac0…
06-15 02:25:40	will ng reach 3 40 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	10	42¢	$4	0x4234f0…
06-15 02:25:25	will ng reach 3 40 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	14	42¢	$6	0x657daf…
06-14 21:53:40	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by june 30	No	BUY	50	79¢	$40	0xca5ae0…
06-14 21:28:19	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 18 2026	No	SELL	50	84¢	$42	0xbb573b…
06-14 21:28:09	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 18 2026	No	BUY	50	84¢	$42	0xe42ba6…
06-14 20:36:10	us and iran sign an agreement by june 30 2026 20260611221049853	Yes	SELL	50	74¢	$37	0x6e4b28…
06-14 18:11:37	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 19 2026	No	BUY	50	82¢	$41	0x6ed318…
06-14 18:05:24	us and iran sign an agreement by june 30 2026 20260611221049853	Yes	BUY	50	74¢	$37	0x456f54…
06-14 16:12:48	us and iran sign an agreement by june 30 2026 20260611221049853	No	SELL	50	28¢	$14	0xeca927…
06-14 16:11:57	us and iran sign an agreement by june 30 2026 20260611221049853	No	BUY	50	28¢	$14	0xfbe961…
06-13 23:23:57	will donald trump sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950067	Yes	SELL	5	52¢	$2	0xff8daf…
06-13 23:23:36	will trump meet with mohammed bin salman in june 2026	No	SELL	35	87¢	$31	0x071606…
06-13 22:59:10	will donald trump sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950067	Yes	SELL	45	53¢	$24	0x128bb4…
06-13 22:48:10	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 19 2026	Yes	SELL	50	23¢	$12	0xe55ea7…
06-13 22:48:04	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 19 2026	Yes	BUY	50	23¢	$12	0x6036ee…
06-13 22:42:52	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 17 2026 20260612163100185 516	No	SELL	5	88¢	$5	0x38ef44…
06-13 20:36:13	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 17 2026 20260612163100185 516	No	SELL	21	88¢	$18	0xc7a302…
06-13 17:57:15	will donald trump sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950067	Yes	BUY	50	53¢	$26	0x4ca66e…
06-13 16:56:16	will abbas araghchi sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950073	No	SELL	50	43¢	$22	0x317f11…
06-13 16:56:12	will abbas araghchi sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950073	No	BUY	50	43¢	$22	0xb7de94…
06-13 16:45:49	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 17 2026 20260612163100185 516	No	BUY	50	88¢	$44	0x17a24b…
06-13 16:45:49	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 18 2026	Yes	SELL	50	23¢	$12	0x0da1a5…
06-13 15:57:40	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 19	Yes	SELL	50	72¢	$36	0x9ebf5f…
06-13 15:42:52	us and iran sign an agreement by june 15 2026 20260611221049851	Yes	SELL	28	35¢	$10	0x8bed0c…
06-13 15:42:46	us and iran sign an agreement by june 15 2026 20260611221049851	Yes	BUY	28	35¢	$10	0x92d77b…
06-13 15:26:25	ezri konsa 20260609175104680	No	SELL	50	23¢	$12	0xf88c6d…
06-13 15:25:27	ezri konsa 20260609175104680	No	BUY	3	23¢	$1	0x6a9da8…
06-13 15:25:25	ezri konsa 20260609175104680	No	BUY	47	23¢	$11	0xd97144…
06-13 14:58:09	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 17 2026 20260612163100185 516	Yes	SELL	16	21¢	$3	0xd9bd28…
06-13 14:57:55	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 18 2026	Yes	BUY	50	23¢	$12	0x9c0892…
06-13 14:57:55	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 17 2026 20260612163100185 516	Yes	BUY	16	21¢	$3	0x27e4b0…
06-13 14:56:49	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 19	Yes	BUY	50	72¢	$36	0xc781a6…
06-13 14:46:12	will jd vance sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950068	No	SELL	50	51¢	$26	0x8062a5…
06-13 14:39:03	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 16 2026 20260612160513701	Yes	SELL	17	17¢	$3	0x1281e3…
06-13 14:33:58	will jd vance sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950068	No	BUY	50	52¢	$26	0xc150b7…
06-13 14:30:33	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 16 2026 20260612160513701	Yes	BUY	50	18¢	$9	0xfc3fc6…
06-13 14:28:27	will trump meet with mohammed bin salman in june 2026	No	SELL	15	89¢	$13	0xf9f977…
06-13 14:28:07	will trump meet with mohammed bin salman in june 2026	No	BUY	50	89¢	$44	0x5211d0…
06-13 14:05:22	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 16 2026 20260612160513701	No	SELL	17	86¢	$15	0xd5c774…
06-13 14:05:18	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 16 2026 20260612160513701	No	BUY	50	85¢	$42	0x48912e…
06-12 23:26:48	spacex ipo closing price updown end of first month 20260608182738233	Down	SELL	29	56¢	$16	0x664f33…
06-12 22:49:03	spacex ipo closing price updown end of first month 20260608182738233	Down	BUY	200	56¢	$112	0x76bcf7…
06-12 15:25:25	will iran close its airspace by july 31 20260609184136056	No	SELL	50	64¢	$32	0xdc21af…
06-12 15:25:12	will iran close its airspace by june 14 20260609184136052	No	SELL	50	93¢	$47	0xf6ffdd…
06-11 12:24:49	will iran close its airspace by july 31 20260609184136056	No	BUY	50	36¢	$18	0x8bedff…
06-11 12:24:49	will iran close its airspace by june 14 20260609184136052	No	BUY	50	62¢	$31	0x495cfa…