Safe-Impala — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$4

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$178

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-01

last 08-29 14:43

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 45 days

Categories

Other

58% 100% +$2

Tech

25% 100% +$1

Politics

7% 100% +$0

Pop-Culture

7% 100% +$0

Crypto

3% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No		-5	-$1	3¢	$-0	+$0	08-29 14:43

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will google have the best ai model at the end of january 2026	6	$13	13	0	+13	Yes	+$0	01-27 04:55
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	3	$6	6	0	+6	Yes	+$0	06-23 10:05
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	3	$6	6	0	+6	Yes	+$0	04-13 03:15
will logan pauls psa 10 pokmon illustrator sale price be over 4 million	3	$5	5	0	+5	Yes	+$0	01-15 12:07
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on january 31 985	2	$5	5	0	+5	Yes	+$0	01-20 09:37
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	2	$4	2	2	+0	No	+$0	04-24 08:17
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-09 07:30 UTC	2	$4	3	3	+0	Down	+$0	02-09 07:36
will project hail mary be the highest grossing movie this weekend	2	$4	4	0	+4	Yes	+$0	03-25 01:46
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28 846	2	$4	4	0	+4	Yes	+$0	02-22 13:28
elon musk of tweets february 19 february 21 0 39	2	$4	4	0	+4	No	+$0	02-19 13:19
GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?	2	$4	4	0	+4	Yes	+$0	06-09 14:18
will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	2	$4	4	0	+4	No	+$0	02-07 11:53
fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	2	$4	4	0	+4	No	+$0	01-05 02:52
Will Elon Musk be richest person on December 31?	2	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	08-29 14:43
Will Olivia Rodrigo announce a new album by April 30?	1	$3	3	0	+3	Yes	+$0	04-01 23:31
will hoppers opening weekend box office be less than 26m	1	$3	3	0	+3	No	+$0	03-16 12:13
will gta 6 cost 100	1	$3	3	0	+3	No	+$0	02-03 01:21
will donald trump publicly insult someone on april 24 2026	1	$3	3	0	+3	Yes	+$0	04-24 08:16
will openai have the best ai model for coding on march 31	1	$3	3	0	+3	Yes	+$0	03-31 05:33
msft above 315 on march 31 2026	1	$3	3	0	+3	Yes	+$0	03-18 13:38
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 2 to May 4, 2026?	1	$2	2	0	+2	Yes	+$0	05-04 14:42
will iran strike israel on march 10	1	$2	2	0	+2	Yes	+$0	03-13 13:18
will claude 5 be released by march 15 2026	1	$2	2	0	+2	No	+$0	03-10 09:54
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	1	$2	2	0	+2	Yes	+$0	03-15 11:38
new stranger things episode released by january 31 294	1	$2	2	0	+2	No	+$0	01-11 07:52
Will the highest temperature in Denver be 42°F or higher on May 8?	1	$2	2	0	+2	Yes	+$0	05-07 14:47
will google have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	1	$2	2	0	+2	No	+$0	02-28 08:18
will antnio jos seguro win the 2026 portugal presidential election	1	$2	2	0	+2	Yes	+$0	02-01 13:36
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	1	$2	2	0	+2	Yes	+$0	06-24 02:45
Will Drake release Iceman before GTA VI?	1	$2	2	0	+2	Yes	+$0	04-27 11:21

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-29 14:43:37	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	SELL	5	12¢	$1	0x881b8d…
08-29 14:43:28	Will Elon Musk be richest person on December 31?	Yes	SELL	2	94¢	$2	0x8f4150…
08-29 14:43:22	Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.5% or higher before 2027?	No	SELL	2	97¢	$2	0xe735c4…
07-21 13:42:19	Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x0352d8…
07-14 13:53:38	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xeaa65d…
07-12 03:16:08	Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1450?	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xa064d8…
07-10 08:56:43	Will Elon Musk be richest person on December 31?	Yes	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0xd5ac0e…
07-06 02:37:40	Will "GOLDEN HOUR: Part.5 - ATEEZ" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of July 11?	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x8842fa…
06-29 11:49:26	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x08d2cc…
06-24 02:45:58	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x581a8e…
06-23 10:05:43	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	Yes	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x87280c…
06-18 13:18:28	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	Yes	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x894c05…
06-15 10:08:22	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	Yes	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x56f853…
06-09 14:18:31	GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0xc21675…
06-09 12:21:25	GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x3c6c87…
06-04 08:49:28	will spacexs valuation hit high 4pt0t by june 30	No	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x00d438…
06-02 09:42:06	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 29, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0xd79f89…
05-28 01:52:21	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 21°C on May 29?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xa21f88…
05-20 01:31:44	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x1ab4b9…
05-18 14:42:38	Will Gemini 3.2 be released on May 18?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xef97d4…
05-14 08:00:38	Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of May 23?	Yes	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x2ee615…
05-12 03:37:15	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	Yes	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x09bcae…
05-07 14:47:13	Will the highest temperature in Denver be 42°F or higher on May 8?	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x854b84…
05-04 14:42:04	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 2 to May 4, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x1de038…
05-02 08:06:50	Will Drake officially release Iceman by May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x6a2b63…
04-29 14:43:38	Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0xa2f1f8…
04-27 11:21:00	Will Drake release Iceman before GTA VI?	Yes	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0xccbe0e…
04-24 08:17:40	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	2	97¢	$2	0x22c1e3…
04-24 08:16:38	will donald trump publicly insult someone on april 24 2026	Yes	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0xeb57ab…
04-22 03:00:28	Will Drake officially release Iceman by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xe86fd7…
04-20 10:42:30	elon musk of tweets april 18 april 20 40 64	Yes	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0xaed870…
04-18 08:11:52	Will the ECB announce an increase at the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x44b9f5…
04-13 03:15:57	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xb7c538…
04-11 06:58:25	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0x0f6e58…
04-08 08:16:35	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x0e03ee…
04-07 08:23:43	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x411963…
04-02 22:56:25	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0xf7f285…
04-01 23:31:39	Will Olivia Rodrigo announce a new album by April 30?	Yes	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0x04a4e7…
03-31 05:33:07	will openai have the best ai model for coding on march 31	Yes	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x98108d…
03-30 02:39:46	will apple be the second largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xbdcf4f…
03-28 05:47:11	will iran conduct a military action against israel on march 23 2026 964	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x59956a…
03-26 09:44:11	us iran nuclear deal by march 31	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x8cb5e5…
03-25 01:46:57	will project hail mary be the highest grossing movie this weekend	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xb7a337…
03-25 01:46:41	will project hail mary be the highest grossing movie this weekend	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xbd4efa…
03-22 09:42:57	will choosin texas by ella langley be the billboard 1 song for the week of march 28	Yes	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x86d966…
03-18 13:38:13	msft above 315 on march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xfa95b8…
03-16 12:13:19	will hoppers opening weekend box office be less than 26m	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x7996e3…
03-15 11:38:11	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	Yes	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x34c2b7…
03-14 14:53:59	bank of japan decreases interest rates after march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xfd7355…
03-13 13:18:25	will iran strike israel on march 10	Yes	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x37cc97…
03-10 09:54:55	will claude 5 be released by march 15 2026	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x22d82e…
03-01 12:58:03	cl up or down on march 2 2026	Up	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0xf14037…
02-28 08:18:17	will google have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x6011b0…
02-26 08:18:54	will sp 500 spx hit 7350 high in february 2026	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x9721be…
02-24 12:28:18	will google gemini score at least 40 on humanitys last exam	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x68fc75…
02-22 13:28:36	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28 846	Yes	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x6f25e7…
02-19 13:19:52	elon musk of tweets february 19 february 21 0 39	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xa657b2…
02-19 13:19:36	elon musk of tweets february 19 february 21 0 39	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xf8f411…
02-19 13:18:20	googl close above 300 on february 19 2026	Yes	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xcdb331…
02-13 14:02:35	Will Rob Jetten become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xcdf116…
02-12 14:16:19	will the logan paul 1st edition charizard sale price be over 500k	Yes	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xd09d3d…
02-11 14:00:55	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28 846	Yes	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x0dc3fb…
02-10 04:43:43	nvda above 140 on february 13 2026	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x1c5521…
02-10 04:43:29	ethereum above 1900 on february 10	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x59b3ce…
02-09 07:37:29	will seguro win portugals abroad votes	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xa1b5a3…
02-09 07:36:51	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-09 07:30 UTC	Down	SELL	3	75¢	$2	0x5bda8b…
02-09 07:34:39	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-09 07:30 UTC	Down	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0xaabbde…
02-07 11:53:57	will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x5a1a79…
02-04 14:30:58	will chatgpt be 1 free app in the us apple app store on february 6	Yes	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x23b184…
02-03 01:21:34	will gta 6 cost 100	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x13253e…
02-01 13:36:46	will antnio jos seguro win the 2026 portugal presidential election	Yes	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xbbf9d7…
01-29 08:15:56	will alphabet be the second largest company in the world by market cap on january 31	Yes	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x281701…
01-27 04:55:35	will google have the best ai model at the end of january 2026	Yes	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x14741a…
01-26 12:24:09	will google have the best ai model at the end of january 2026	Yes	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x95bd22…
01-24 13:34:08	will google have the best ai model at the end of january 2026	Yes	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xb1acd8…
01-22 11:30:56	will apple be the third largest company in the world by market cap on january 31	Yes	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0xdbe367…
01-21 02:22:18	will google have the best ai model at the end of january 2026	Yes	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x55fee1…
01-20 09:37:54	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on january 31 985	Yes	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xa1a3ec…
01-19 11:15:10	will google have the best ai model at the end of january 2026	Yes	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0xbf3abb…
01-16 01:33:58	will google have the best ai model at the end of january 2026	Yes	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0xda3be2…
01-15 12:07:28	will logan pauls psa 10 pokmon illustrator sale price be over 4 million	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xd9f984…
01-14 11:26:06	will logan pauls psa 10 pokmon illustrator sale price be over 4 million	Yes	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x82efe7…
01-11 07:52:16	new stranger things episode released by january 31 294	No	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0xbc901b…
01-08 12:46:19	will logan pauls psa 10 pokmon illustrator sale price be over 4 million	Yes	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x98808d…
01-06 08:28:35	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on january 31 985	Yes	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0x95247f…
01-06 08:20:25	will stranger things season 5 be the top us netflix show this week january 6 2026	Yes	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x67b084…
01-05 02:52:41	fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xf5a15e…
01-03 08:25:41	will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x40d054…
01-01 11:43:11	fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x05cdec…