Devoted-Ravioli — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$83

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

60.8%

Resolved

Trades

114

lifetime

Volume

$11.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$102

Open exposure

3 positions

First seen

2026-02-27

last 09-11 15:45

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 30 days

Categories

Crypto

52% 80% -$11

Other

30% 100% +$7

Sports

9% 60% +$83

Politics

8% 100% +$5

Pop-Culture

1% 0% -$1

Tech

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	+2	$2	98¢	$2	+$0	05-15 13:37
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	+2	$1	98¢	$2	+$1	07-24 01:08
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+1	$1	93¢	$1	+$0	09-11 15:45

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will ethereum dip to 1400 in march 2026	2	$2.0K	1,021	1,021	+0	No	+$0	03-31 00:55
will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	3	$2.0K	1,003	1,003	+0	No	+$0	03-27 07:05
bitcoin above 64k on march 21	2	$2.0K	1,001	1,001	+0	Yes	-$1	03-20 23:42
bitcoin above 66k on march 26	2	$2.0K	1,001	1,001	+0	Yes	-$10	03-26 07:03
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 29?	42	$1.1K	1,205	1,205	+0	Up	+$4	05-29 03:15
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?	2	$915	500	500	+0	No	+$5	05-29 00:31
nba lac nop 2026 03 18	1	$378	700	0	+700	Pelicans	+$322	03-18 11:03
nba mem dal 2026 02 27	2	$330	500	0	+500	Grizzlies	-$330	02-27 09:55
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 2?	3	$259	178	178	+0	Up	+$2	06-02 08:31
nba nyk tor 2026 03 03	2	$232	400	0	+400	Knicks	+$168	03-03 13:24
Will Drake have the top 3 albums on the Billboard 200?	2	$163	100	100	+0	Yes	-$1	05-16 01:34
highest temperature in ankara on march 27 2026 15c	10	$92	100	100	+0	Yes	+$0	03-27 01:08
nba was mia 2026 03 10	1	$77	700	0	+700	Heat	-$77	03-10 13:42
will silver si hit high 200 by end of march	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	03-20 23:19
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by March 31?	1	$5	5	0	+5	No	+$0	03-20 23:20
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	1	$5	5	0	+5	Yes	+$0	04-09 02:14
Will the Houston Rockets win the 2026 NBA Finals?	1	$3	3	0	+3	No	+$0	04-22 03:53
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	1	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	05-15 13:37
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15?	1	$2	2	0	+2	No	+$0	06-16 02:26
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	1	$2	2	0	+2	No	+$0	05-02 11:55
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	09-11 15:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-27 01:05 UTC	1	$1	1	0	+1	Up	-$1	03-27 01:09
val ts3 ge1 2026 04 11	1	$1	1	0	+1	Global Esports	+$0	04-11 08:51
Valorant: FlyQuest vs Alliance Guardians (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 3 Group Stage	1	$1	1	0	+1	FlyQuest	+$0	05-27 01:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	1	$1	1	0	+1	Down	+$0	06-02 08:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	1	$1	1	0	+1	Down	+$0	05-29 03:48
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	07-24 01:08
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-24 01:05 UTC	1	$1	1	0	+1	Down	+$0	07-24 01:08
highest temperature in shanghai on april 10 2026 19corhigher	1	$1	1	0	+1	Yes	+$0	04-09 02:17
us strikes iran by february 27 2026	1	$1	1	0	+1	No	+$0	02-27 09:52

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-11 15:45:21	Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x9d1d2f…
07-24 01:08:36	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x4ecdde…
07-24 01:08:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-24 01:05 UTC	Down	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x28692f…
06-16 02:26:15	Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15?	No	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0x15fab1…
06-02 08:43:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x667af9…
06-02 08:31:31	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 2?	Down	SELL	178	73¢	$130	0x47be86…
06-02 08:29:11	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 2?	Down	BUY	100	72¢	$72	0xa3f835…
06-02 08:29:10	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 2?	Down	BUY	78	72¢	$56	0x65382a…
05-29 03:48:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x397984…
05-29 03:47:54	Counter-Strike: M80 vs Voca (BO5) - ESL Challenger League North America Finals Playoffs	M80	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xcf60c8…
05-29 03:47:26	GPT-5.6 released by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xb22385…
05-29 03:15:12	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 29?	Down	SELL	105	46¢	$49	0x337595…
05-29 03:14:25	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 29?	Down	BUY	100	46¢	$46	0x03a082…
05-29 03:14:20	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 29?	Down	BUY	5	46¢	$3	0x9e3de1…
05-29 02:26:59	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 29?	Down	SELL	46	47¢	$22	0x6f13d7…
05-29 02:26:56	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 29?	Down	SELL	100	47¢	$47	0x024171…
05-29 02:26:49	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 29?	Down	SELL	100	47¢	$47	0xb321bb…
05-29 02:26:37	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 29?	Down	SELL	54	47¢	$25	0x934bee…
05-29 02:25:06	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 29?	Down	SELL	100	47¢	$47	0x8b3963…
05-29 02:12:30	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 29?	Down	BUY	7	47¢	$3	0xe89c79…
05-29 02:12:26	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 29?	Down	BUY	100	47¢	$47	0x6e47b9…
05-29 02:12:26	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 29?	Down	BUY	100	47¢	$47	0x1603aa…
05-29 02:12:16	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 29?	Down	BUY	100	47¢	$47	0xf1867c…
05-29 02:12:14	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 29?	Down	BUY	93	47¢	$44	0x66c9b4…
05-29 01:47:00	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 29?	Down	SELL	300	49¢	$147	0xdaa885…
05-29 01:43:27	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 29?	Down	BUY	128	49¢	$63	0xc43ae1…
05-29 01:40:33	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 29?	Down	BUY	50	49¢	$24	0xc58877…
05-29 01:40:33	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 29?	Down	BUY	41	49¢	$20	0xb7a402…
05-29 01:32:51	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 29?	Down	BUY	81	49¢	$40	0x19dfbd…
05-29 00:31:26	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 29?	Down	SELL	21	44¢	$9	0x292996…
05-29 00:31:24	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 29?	Down	SELL	32	44¢	$14	0xccebaf…
05-29 00:31:24	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 29?	Down	SELL	22	44¢	$10	0x95b9c2…
05-29 00:31:21	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 29?	Down	SELL	6	44¢	$3	0x8b812e…
05-29 00:31:17	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 29?	Down	SELL	32	44¢	$14	0xc6ddad…
05-29 00:31:17	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 29?	Down	SELL	32	44¢	$14	0x6ed55f…
05-29 00:31:17	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 29?	Down	SELL	6	44¢	$3	0x60409a…
05-29 00:31:15	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 29?	Down	SELL	29	44¢	$13	0x7815d1…
05-29 00:31:15	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 29?	Down	SELL	25	44¢	$11	0x333a81…
05-29 00:31:15	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 29?	Down	SELL	7	44¢	$3	0x2975d9…
05-29 00:31:15	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 29?	Down	SELL	15	44¢	$7	0x28859d…
05-29 00:31:03	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 29?	Down	SELL	22	44¢	$10	0xbf0a36…
05-29 00:31:03	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?	No	SELL	500	92¢	$460	0x753dd7…
05-29 00:31:03	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 29?	Down	SELL	10	44¢	$4	0x438db7…
05-29 00:30:14	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 29?	Down	SELL	25	44¢	$11	0x1dd070…
05-29 00:30:12	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 29?	Down	SELL	20	44¢	$9	0xbcfd27…
05-29 00:30:12	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 29?	Down	SELL	32	44¢	$14	0x3de0a9…
05-29 00:30:09	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 29?	Down	SELL	32	44¢	$14	0xc386b7…
05-29 00:30:09	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 29?	Down	SELL	12	44¢	$5	0x93cbd5…
05-29 00:30:09	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 29?	Down	SELL	18	44¢	$8	0x4a5785…
05-29 00:21:59	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?	No	BUY	500	91¢	$455	0x6e8423…
05-29 00:16:23	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 29?	Down	BUY	34	43¢	$15	0x09f914…
05-29 00:16:21	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 29?	Down	BUY	100	43¢	$43	0xc2a823…
05-29 00:16:21	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 29?	Down	BUY	100	43¢	$43	0x8d34bf…
05-29 00:16:21	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 29?	Down	BUY	100	43¢	$43	0x0914d7…
05-29 00:16:19	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 29?	Down	BUY	66	43¢	$28	0x004fa2…
05-27 01:04:48	Valorant: FlyQuest vs Alliance Guardians (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 3 Group Stage	FlyQuest	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x2caad2…
05-25 10:14:18	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 26?	No	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xf0fc78…
05-16 01:34:49	Will Drake have the top 3 albums on the Billboard 200?	Yes	SELL	100	81¢	$81	0xbf3317…
05-16 01:20:02	Will Drake have the top 3 albums on the Billboard 200?	Yes	BUY	100	82¢	$82	0xb497fe…
05-15 13:37:40	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x3ff5ee…
05-02 11:55:40	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xa66ca5…
04-29 12:03:52	Madrid Open: Karolina Pliskova vs Anastasia Potapova	Anastasia Potapova	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x515668…
04-27 11:47:22	Mauthausen: Tomas Barrios vs Sebastian Sorger	Tomas Barrios	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xde24f6…
04-27 11:44:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x731ed5…
04-25 03:42:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xbe0b2c…
04-25 03:41:32	Will Elon Musk post 920-959 tweets in April 2026?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xc9ebc6…
04-25 03:39:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x43c8ff…
04-22 03:53:54	Will the Houston Rockets win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x2fdea5…
04-22 03:47:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-22 03:45 UTC	Down	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xdb10e3…
04-11 08:51:13	val ts3 ge1 2026 04 11	Global Esports	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x5651ca…
04-09 02:17:23	highest temperature in shanghai on april 10 2026 19corhigher	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x9bbded…
04-09 02:14:53	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xf18c02…
03-31 00:55:11	will ethereum dip to 1400 in march 2026	No	SELL	1,021	100¢	$1,020	0xbecdb4…
03-30 09:58:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 09:55 UTC	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x11d492…
03-30 09:58:06	will ethereum dip to 1400 in march 2026	No	BUY	1,021	100¢	$1,020	0x156eab…
03-27 07:06:23	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x776025…
03-27 07:06:13	highest temperature in wellington on march 28 2026 17c	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x700cdb…
03-27 07:05:19	will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	No	SELL	782	100¢	$780	0x015341…
03-27 01:09:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-27 01:05 UTC	Down	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x6a0639…
03-27 01:08:29	highest temperature in ankara on march 27 2026 15c	Yes	SELL	78	46¢	$36	0xe1993c…
03-27 01:06:09	highest temperature in ankara on march 27 2026 15c	Yes	SELL	5	47¢	$2	0x8a8521…
03-27 01:05:59	highest temperature in ankara on march 27 2026 15c	Yes	SELL	5	47¢	$2	0x26d8ef…
03-27 01:01:09	highest temperature in ankara on march 27 2026 15c	Yes	SELL	12	47¢	$6	0x77d8ac…
03-27 00:52:37	highest temperature in ankara on march 27 2026 15c	Yes	BUY	25	46¢	$12	0xd71d3a…
03-27 00:52:35	highest temperature in ankara on march 27 2026 15c	Yes	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0x1e30b0…
03-27 00:52:35	highest temperature in ankara on march 27 2026 15c	Yes	BUY	30	46¢	$14	0x07bfee…
03-27 00:52:31	highest temperature in ankara on march 27 2026 15c	Yes	BUY	26	46¢	$12	0x5ba422…
03-27 00:52:01	highest temperature in ankara on march 27 2026 15c	Yes	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0xbf5cd3…
03-27 00:32:09	highest temperature in ankara on march 27 2026 15c	Yes	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0xf88fb7…
03-26 23:59:07	will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	No	SELL	221	100¢	$220	0xb26b38…
03-26 07:03:43	will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	No	BUY	1,003	100¢	$1,000	0xba5679…
03-26 07:03:03	bitcoin above 66k on march 26	Yes	SELL	1,001	99¢	$990	0x55aaac…
03-26 06:44:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-26 06:40 UTC	Down	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x57f857…
03-26 04:24:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-26 04:20 UTC	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xc93149…
03-26 03:23:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-26 03:20 UTC	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x6eba00…
03-26 02:37:01	bitcoin above 66k on march 26	Yes	BUY	1,001	100¢	$1,000	0xc8f3fa…
03-20 23:48:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-20 23:45 UTC	Down	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0xc01796…
03-20 23:47:59	highest temperature in nyc on march 22 2026 53forbelow	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xff178c…
03-20 23:42:05	bitcoin above 64k on march 21	Yes	SELL	1,001	100¢	$999	0xc924dc…
03-20 23:20:05	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by March 31?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xb56ad4…