Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$572

Unrealized P&L

-$35

Hit rate

52.7%

Resolved

123

Trades

313

lifetime

Volume

$4.77K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$15

Open exposure

$57

10 positions

First seen

2026-08-21

last 11-07 06:26

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 46 days

Categories

Other

69% 31% -$608

Politics

16% 50% -$22

Crypto

9% 45% -$7

Sports

6% 50% +$89

Tech

1% 0% -$24

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

60 active days in 12wk • peak 19 trades/day

Open positions (10) Resolved markets (14) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-11-08?	Yes	+25	$20	80¢	$20	$0	11-05 19:42
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-11-07?	Yes	+13	$10	78¢	$10	$0	11-06 21:41
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	Yes	+30	$16	32¢	$10	-$6	11-05 09:51
Will CoreWeave announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?	Yes	+77	$10	12¢	$9	-$1	10-03 11:39
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	+31	$4	14¢	$4	+$0	11-06 01:56
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-11-07?	Yes	+4	$2	57¢	$2	+$0	11-07 06:26
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027?	Yes	+20	$12	5¢	$1	-$11	10-07 13:51
Will Markwayne Mullin leave the Trump administration before 2027?	Yes	+5	$1	15¢	$1	$0	11-06 13:36
Will Stephen Miller leave the Trump administration before 2027?	Yes	+5	$1	4¢	$0	-$1	11-06 10:33
Will Snapchat be acquired before 2027?	Yes	+0	$15	4¢	$0	-$15	10-03 10:56

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	3	$161	170	170	+0	Yes	+$39	09-02 05:15
Will Solana reach $110 in August?	2	$131	136	136	+0	Yes	+$90	08-27 16:42
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	2	$125	103	103	+0	Yes	+$25	11-03 22:26
Pete Crow-Armstrong: Home Runs O/U 0.5	2	$125	100	100	+0	Over	+$75	09-04 00:52
US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by October 31?	4	$120	261	261	+0	open	—	10-25 04:29
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	2	$100	336	336	+0	open	—	10-05 23:26
Copper cable hit with Sec. 232 tariffs by December 31, 2026?	5	$96	176	176	+0	open	—	09-08 04:47
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on October 9?	2	$82	75	75	+0	Up	+$46	10-09 20:50
Will Viking Therapeutics be acquired before 2027?	2	$81	240	240	+0	open	—	10-03 10:56
Will Beyond Meat announce bankruptcy before 2027?	2	$77	295	295	+0	open	—	09-04 14:00
wta pegula fernand 2026 09 04	2	$74	118	118	+0	Jessica Pegula	+$34	09-04 16:36
Will Israel election happen as scheduled?	6	$74	300	300	+0	Yes	+$14	10-24 17:41
Will GitLab be acquired before 2027?	2	$74	465	465	+0	open	—	10-03 10:55
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in September?	2	$70	173	0	+173	No	-$70	09-16 00:37
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	2	$70	100	100	+0	open	—	10-27 20:00
Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader by March 31, 2027?	3	$69	136	136	+0	open	—	10-07 18:46
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 9?	2	$62	50	50	+0	Yes	+$20	10-09 09:37
will bitcoin reach 82k august 24 30 2026	2	$60	129	0	+129	No	-$60	08-25 19:26
Will Anduril's valuation hit (HIGH) $125B by December 31?	2	$60	49	49	+0	open	—	08-29 11:22
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October?	4	$56	136	136	+0	No	+$14	10-23 13:47
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 Week of October 26 2026?	5	$56	49	49	+0	Yes	+$9	10-30 21:45
AI bubble burst by June 30, 2027?	2	$56	139	139	+0	open	—	11-04 17:11
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	2	$55	100	100	+0	Yes	+$5	10-15 15:55
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	2	$54	71	71	+0	open	—	10-05 23:32
Will Xerox announce bankruptcy before 2027?	4	$53	318	318	+0	open	—	09-30 11:18
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?	2	$52	150	150	+0	No	-$40	10-24 18:58
Will Trump and Putin not meet?	2	$52	73	73	+0	open	—	10-20 19:08
Will Ubisoft be acquired before 2027?	2	$50	478	478	+0	open	—	10-03 10:56
Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in Anthropic's initial public offering?	2	$49	83	83	+0	open	—	09-02 05:15
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?	2	$48	27	27	+0	open	—	10-11 01:04

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-07 06:26:58	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-11-07?	Yes	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0xfa5e29…
11-07 04:51:19	Trail Blazers vs. Lakers	Trail Blazers	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x54bc92…
11-07 03:39:55	Nebraska vs. Illinois	Nebraska	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xfbbd99…
11-07 03:05:37	Raptors vs. Bucks	Raptors	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x5b0b38…
11-06 21:41:25	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-11-07?	Yes	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0xdd6c78…
11-06 21:39:13	Will Everton FC win on 2026-11-06?	Yes	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xfd77fc…
11-06 21:37:52	Will Venezia FC win on 2026-11-06?	Yes	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0xe97b1b…
11-06 21:35:16	Rolex Paris Masters: Taylor Fritz vs Carlos Alcaraz	Carlos Alcaraz	SELL	7	96¢	$7	0x1cd5c7…
11-06 21:12:27	Will Venezia FC win on 2026-11-06?	Yes	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0xc8d9a6…
11-06 13:36:12	Will Markwayne Mullin leave the Trump administration before 2027?	Yes	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0x913aee…
11-06 13:23:33	Rolex Paris Masters: Taylor Fritz vs Carlos Alcaraz	Carlos Alcaraz	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x8feb3d…
11-06 13:06:21	Luanda: Sofya Lansere vs Martyna Kubka	Martyna Kubka	BUY	8	39¢	$3	0x6cec5f…
11-06 10:33:15	Will Stephen Miller leave the Trump administration before 2027?	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x3f7eb8…
11-06 07:29:13	Will the October 2026 unemployment rate be 4.3%?	Yes	SELL	50	21¢	$10	0xa233c8…
11-06 01:56:24	Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	31	13¢	$4	0x77271b…
11-06 01:38:07	Jaguars vs. Ravens	Ravens	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x2d9f57…
11-05 19:42:36	Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-11-08?	Yes	BUY	25	80¢	$20	0x9c7b40…
11-05 17:55:09	Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-11-05?	Yes	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0x2b9292…
11-05 17:46:10	Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-11-05?	Yes	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x06f8f9…
11-05 13:47:49	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on November 5?	Up	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0x63bf62…
11-05 09:51:34	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	Yes	BUY	30	54¢	$16	0x5f3fb5…
11-05 05:57:34	Heat vs. Clippers	Clippers	SELL	15	55¢	$8	0x8367de…
11-05 04:56:18	Heat vs. Clippers	Clippers	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0x909126…
11-04 18:36:09	Will Fenerbahçe SK vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?	No	BUY	0	70¢	$0	0x91034f…
11-04 18:35:42	Will Fenerbahçe SK vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?	No	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0x7b1a55…
11-04 17:11:55	AI bubble burst by June 30, 2027?	Yes	SELL	139	22¢	$31	0xde6008…
11-04 16:49:42	Rolex Paris Masters: Novak Djokovic vs Rinky Hijikata	Novak Djokovic	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0xdcc80b…
11-04 12:46:48	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on November 4?	Up	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0xedb693…
11-04 12:46:27	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on November 4?	Up	BUY	25	87¢	$22	0x050a73…
11-04 08:58:00	Will the US add at least 100k jobs in October?	No	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xc2e719…
11-04 08:54:19	Will the US add at least 100k jobs in October?	No	BUY	4	75¢	$3	0xcb0568…
11-03 22:26:45	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	SELL	103	73¢	$75	0x5a55e5…
11-03 18:05:51	Will Toast (TOST) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x28e788…
11-03 15:34:34	Will Amplitude (AMPL) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	10	78¢	$8	0x90c489…
11-03 13:31:30	Will Uber (UBER) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	10	83¢	$8	0xb5733d…
11-03 13:18:34	Will USA TODAY (TDAY) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0xad099d…
11-02 21:01:04	Will CRISPR Therapeutics (CRSP) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	10	69¢	$7	0x410ad5…
11-01 09:16:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on November 1?	Yes	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x1bdfeb…
11-01 08:35:12	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on November 1?	Yes	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0xb18d79…
11-01 08:29:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on November 1?	Yes	BUY	30	1¢	$0	0xe5c5eb…
11-01 04:02:55	Iran nuclear test before 2027?	Yes	SELL	0	5¢	$0	0x370307…
11-01 04:02:15	Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	220	10¢	$21	0x24b2ac…
10-31 04:33:40	Iran nuclear test before 2027?	Yes	SELL	133	5¢	$7	0xadfac9…
10-30 21:45:31	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 Week of October 26 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	92¢	$18	0x01e437…
10-30 18:26:04	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $104 on October 30?	Yes	BUY	20	65¢	$13	0x313817…
10-30 17:15:51	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 Week of October 26 2026?	Yes	SELL	15	50¢	$8	0xf61250…
10-30 17:15:49	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 Week of October 26 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	50¢	$2	0xacf760…
10-30 17:15:48	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 Week of October 26 2026?	Yes	SELL	12	50¢	$6	0x8c1e8d…
10-30 14:18:40	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 Week of October 26 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0xec7e83…
10-30 14:11:15	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 Week of October 26 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	39¢	$16	0x4697fc…
10-30 13:54:10	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 Week of October 26 2026?	Yes	SELL	29	49¢	$14	0x0fcb76…
10-30 13:01:06	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 Week of October 26 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0xde3bb6…
10-30 13:00:54	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 Week of October 26 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	40¢	$7	0x0edcb1…
10-28 20:01:10	Microsoft (MSFT) Q1 Azure revenue growth (constant currency) 44% to 46%?	Yes	BUY	30	31¢	$9	0x92f30c…
10-28 07:47:49	AI bubble burst in 2026?	Yes	SELL	190	8¢	$15	0xb4c01f…
10-27 20:00:57	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	100	40¢	$40	0x2a251e…
10-27 05:14:59	Will US crude oil reserves fall to 280M by October 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	12¢	$12	0x33c3b2…
10-27 01:46:45	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	89	9¢	$8	0x91903b…
10-26 21:07:12	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	11	9¢	$1	0xf24217…
10-26 15:13:15	Will US crude oil reserves fall to 280M by October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	25¢	$25	0x55e4c4…
10-26 12:06:56	Microsoft (MSFT) Q1 Azure revenue growth (constant currency) 44% to 46%?	Yes	BUY	4	16¢	$1	0xee29be…
10-26 08:43:42	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	80	28¢	$22	0x4fd6db…
10-26 08:43:42	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0x40432d…
10-26 08:43:18	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	28¢	$2	0x5b7be7…
10-26 08:43:18	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0x3890e9…
10-25 20:05:17	Will FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	100	16¢	$16	0xd8f271…
10-25 04:29:06	US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by October 31?	Yes	SELL	86	3¢	$2	0xd18edd…
10-24 18:58:29	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?	Yes	SELL	150	4¢	$6	0xabe138…
10-24 17:41:29	Will Israel election happen as scheduled?	No	SELL	100	4¢	$4	0x37a5d4…
10-23 21:41:27	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	No	SELL	96	25¢	$24	0x4f5d41…
10-23 21:37:15	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	No	SELL	4	25¢	$1	0x671475…
10-23 17:22:05	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 Week of October 19 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	6¢	$3	0x6d3097…
10-23 13:47:33	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October?	Yes	SELL	100	30¢	$30	0xa6238a…
10-23 12:09:47	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	No	BUY	100	16¢	$16	0x4953d2…
10-22 14:52:41	Will Israel election happen as scheduled?	No	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0x6f25df…
10-21 23:39:00	Will Trump say "Ass" during his Midterm Rally in South Carolina?	Yes	BUY	6	55¢	$3	0x451124…
10-21 23:34:29	Will Trump say "Ass" during his Midterm Rally in South Carolina?	Yes	BUY	22	55¢	$12	0x01b35f…
10-21 23:30:24	Will Trump say "Ass" during his Midterm Rally in South Carolina?	Yes	BUY	22	55¢	$12	0xccd8c2…
10-21 01:41:35	Iran nuclear test before 2027?	Yes	BUY	99	4¢	$4	0xe2d7ac…
10-20 21:47:41	Another Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	SELL	75	19¢	$14	0x3f003d…
10-20 19:08:59	Will Trump and Putin not meet?	Yes	SELL	73	15¢	$11	0x3dca36…
10-20 12:23:21	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 Week of October 19 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	36¢	$18	0x18e8d5…
10-20 05:39:20	Iran nuclear test before 2027?	Yes	BUY	2	4¢	$0	0xd7daef…
10-20 05:39:18	Iran nuclear test before 2027?	Yes	BUY	2	4¢	$0	0x25dd54…
10-20 05:39:15	Iran nuclear test before 2027?	Yes	BUY	2	4¢	$0	0x75b846…
10-20 05:39:14	Iran nuclear test before 2027?	Yes	BUY	2	4¢	$0	0xbc1908…
10-20 05:31:26	Iran nuclear test before 2027?	Yes	BUY	2	4¢	$0	0x881551…
10-20 05:31:24	Iran nuclear test before 2027?	Yes	BUY	2	4¢	$0	0x4e3ee9…
10-20 05:31:23	Iran nuclear test before 2027?	Yes	BUY	2	4¢	$0	0x53dcc7…
10-20 05:31:21	Iran nuclear test before 2027?	Yes	BUY	2	4¢	$0	0xb22194…
10-20 05:28:15	Iran nuclear test before 2027?	Yes	BUY	2	4¢	$0	0x455bae…
10-20 05:28:14	Iran nuclear test before 2027?	Yes	BUY	2	4¢	$0	0x215765…
10-20 05:28:12	Iran nuclear test before 2027?	Yes	BUY	2	4¢	$0	0xd4f25f…
10-20 05:28:11	Iran nuclear test before 2027?	Yes	BUY	2	4¢	$0	0x7fef08…
10-20 05:24:02	Iran nuclear test before 2027?	Yes	BUY	2	4¢	$0	0x46bd0b…
10-20 05:24:00	Iran nuclear test before 2027?	Yes	BUY	2	4¢	$0	0x5a020c…
10-20 05:23:56	Iran nuclear test before 2027?	Yes	BUY	2	4¢	$0	0xc44255…
10-20 05:23:54	Iran nuclear test before 2027?	Yes	BUY	2	4¢	$0	0x5ec757…
10-18 22:06:44	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 Week of October 19 2026?	Yes	BUY	78	10¢	$8	0x6f6863…
10-18 18:08:20	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 Week of October 19 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	10¢	$1	0x1aa7d8…