Bleak-Jealousy — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$13.9K

Unrealized P&L

-$1.11K

Hit rate

72.1%

Resolved

361

Trades

3,563

lifetime

Volume

$439.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$123

Open exposure

$906

5 positions

First seen

2026-01-06

last 10-14 16:43

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 117 days

Categories

Politics

78% 58% +$21,587

Other

16% 28% -$9,211

Sports

7% 41% +$1,516

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

9 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Israel annex any territory by December 31?	No	+500	$430	92¢	$462	+$32	06-17 09:25
Will Miami Heat win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	+13,231	$653	2¢	$218	-$435	10-14 16:43
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	Yes	+2,773	$643	4¢	$111	-$532	07-23 11:57
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	+850	$105	10¢	$87	-$17	07-24 15:55
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	+554	$180	5¢	$28	-$153	05-28 18:16

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	134	$27.0K	82,536	69,456	+13,080	Yes	+$4,243	06-16 13:29
us strikes iran by january 14 2026 913	172	$25.2K	43,410	41,342	+2,068	No	+$1,341	01-14 23:25
us strikes iran by january 16 2026 498	46	$16.7K	26,049	23,297	+2,752	No	+$597	01-14 20:20
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	64	$16.2K	13,405	13,013	+392	Yes	+$217	04-16 14:55
will trump meet with benjamin netanyahu in july 2026 20260626153701914	48	$14.3K	18,870	9,656	+9,213	Yes	+$3,170	07-25 02:24
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	34	$12.3K	19,471	19,471	+0	Yes	+$3,235	04-08 20:37
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	40	$11.2K	26,312	26,307	+5	Yes	+$571	02-27 23:51
israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 15 2026	52	$8.9K	50,438	17,052	+33,386	No	-$2,393	04-15 23:06
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	64	$8.8K	7,747	7,747	+0	Yes	+$3,255	06-14 23:28
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	20	$8.1K	8,000	8,000	+0	No	+$1,249	06-19 21:15
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	27	$6.4K	9,244	9,244	+0	Yes	-$44	04-12 01:39
will iran conduct a military action against israel on march 19 2026 486	25	$6.2K	3,857	5,126	-1,269	No	+$1,269	03-24 11:56
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	100	$6.2K	12,500	12,500	+0	Yes	+$893	06-11 23:14
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	38	$5.7K	7,000	6,939	+61	No	+$1,766	05-29 18:56
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	27	$5.7K	4,739	4,739	+0	Yes	+$1,009	04-07 23:04
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	34	$5.1K	18,929	8,922	+10,007	No	+$1,750	05-26 17:19
israel strikes iran by january 31 2026 894 994 453	37	$5.1K	8,425	7,678	+747	No	-$176	01-12 06:32
will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 17	21	$5.1K	11,852	8,900	+2,952	No	+$946	07-14 22:13
nba nyk sas 2026 06 13	13	$4.7K	3,850	3,850	+0	Knicks	+$1,903	06-14 03:29
trump announces us x iran ceasefire end by april 21 2026	19	$4.6K	8,072	8,072	+0	No	-$142	04-15 15:43
israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	54	$4.3K	4,306	4,306	+0	No	+$614	06-08 12:05
will trump meet with netanyahu by august 31 2026	20	$4.3K	12,376	1,996	+10,380	Yes	-$463	07-25 05:39
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 28?	16	$4.2K	7,900	7,900	+0	No	+$2,788	05-25 23:04
us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	29	$4.1K	3,959	3,711	+247	No	+$1,141	06-29 12:26
iran leadership change by march 31	44	$4.1K	11,410	11,410	+0	No	+$5	03-21 02:17
us strikes iran by january 23 2026 494 711 798 734 155	8	$4.1K	7,311	4,881	+2,429	No	-$956	01-23 19:57
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	8	$4.0K	19,548	13,524	+6,024	No	-$1,220	05-29 18:52
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?	26	$3.9K	9,890	770	+9,120	No	-$3,003	06-23 13:42
will iran strike israel on march 10	28	$3.6K	6,739	6,739	+0	Yes	+$1,049	03-12 15:46
us strikes iran by january 15 2026 652 612	8	$3.4K	5,874	6,762	-888	No	+$666	01-14 23:07

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-14 16:43:52	Will Miami Heat win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	8,773	4¢	$333	0xd7b309…
10-14 16:43:37	us x iran ceasefire continues through october 31 20260917	No	SELL	2,222	19¢	$422	0x8cd128…
10-08 19:07:18	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	2,222	21¢	$467	0x423f54…
10-04 20:07:16	Will Israel win on 2026-10-04?	Yes	BUY	800	16¢	$128	0x788acf…
10-04 20:06:17	Will Israel win on 2026-10-04?	Yes	BUY	1,800	16¢	$288	0xb32e55…
10-04 19:45:31	Republic of Ireland vs. Israel: Israel O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	400	46¢	$184	0x50106e…
09-29 11:06:36	Iran leadership change by December 31?	Yes	SELL	4,212	11¢	$463	0xe33ab5…
09-28 09:16:12	Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?	Yes	SELL	1,500	18¢	$270	0x4bba9a…
09-11 09:46:15	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 15?	No	BUY	1,500	6¢	$90	0x469a66…
09-10 17:58:55	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?	No	BUY	5,184	17¢	$881	0x678d1f…
09-10 17:05:13	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?	No	BUY	5,555	15¢	$833	0xa04ed1…
08-22 20:09:55	Real Madrid CF leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	381	22¢	$84	0xb68714…
08-22 20:02:27	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-08-22?	Yes	BUY	450	66¢	$297	0xb30c94…
08-22 13:04:39	israel military action against syria by august 31 2026	No	BUY	23	3¢	$1	0x75c508…
08-22 13:04:37	israel military action against syria by august 31 2026	No	BUY	1,327	3¢	$40	0xff7e5c…
08-22 13:04:36	israel military action against syria by august 31 2026	No	BUY	1,234	6¢	$74	0x0872f5…
08-22 12:26:21	israel military action against syria by august 31 2026	No	SELL	103	38¢	$39	0x0b6e75…
08-22 12:23:21	israel military action against syria by august 31 2026	No	BUY	2,195	13¢	$285	0xf9cfab…
08-22 12:11:55	israel military action against syria by august 31 2026	No	BUY	350	18¢	$63	0x150ebd…
08-22 12:11:42	israel military action against syria by august 31 2026	No	BUY	1,536	21¢	$323	0x20d9db…
08-22 12:03:40	israel military action against syria by august 31 2026	No	BUY	686	21¢	$144	0xf2ac28…
08-20 15:07:43	Will "Earrings - Malcolm Todd" be the #2 US song this week?	Yes	BUY	10	26¢	$3	0xf3d25b…
08-20 15:01:18	Will "Loser - Tame Impala" be the #2 US song this week?	Yes	BUY	234	1¢	$2	0xc7d2b6…
08-04 21:02:50	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by august 31 223	Yes	BUY	112	4¢	$4	0x1b02c6…
08-04 20:54:47	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by august 31 223	Yes	BUY	20	4¢	$1	0x0e3dac…
08-04 20:46:42	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by august 31 223	Yes	BUY	16	4¢	$1	0xca9ac4…
08-04 15:59:27	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by august 31 223	Yes	BUY	28	4¢	$1	0x08d49a…
08-04 13:30:56	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by august 31 223	Yes	BUY	44	4¢	$2	0xc5fd7b…
08-04 13:30:47	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by august 31 223	Yes	BUY	89	4¢	$4	0x131edc…
08-04 13:30:45	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by august 31 223	Yes	BUY	18	4¢	$1	0x4002f1…
08-04 09:11:11	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by august 31 223	Yes	BUY	268	4¢	$11	0x3bf681…
08-04 07:38:14	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by august 31 223	Yes	BUY	1	4¢	$0	0x3925e0…
08-04 06:17:57	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by august 31 223	Yes	BUY	200	4¢	$8	0xedd307…
08-03 23:19:23	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by august 31 223	Yes	BUY	12	4¢	$0	0x8b8364…
08-03 21:01:35	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by august 31 223	Yes	BUY	8	4¢	$0	0x8be134…
08-03 21:01:11	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by august 31 223	Yes	BUY	1	4¢	$0	0x19ffda…
08-03 21:01:08	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by august 31 223	Yes	BUY	1	4¢	$0	0x3979cc…
08-03 21:01:08	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by august 31 223	Yes	BUY	1	4¢	$0	0x0490ec…
08-03 17:46:15	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by august 31 223	Yes	BUY	1	4¢	$0	0xb69590…
08-03 17:46:15	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by august 31 223	Yes	BUY	1	4¢	$0	0x7c3981…
08-03 17:46:14	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by august 31 223	Yes	BUY	1	4¢	$0	0x86bce7…
08-03 17:46:14	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by august 31 223	Yes	BUY	1	4¢	$0	0x4bdafd…
08-03 16:18:36	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by august 31 223	Yes	BUY	40	4¢	$2	0xa450cb…
08-03 16:18:18	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by august 31 223	Yes	BUY	1	4¢	$0	0x260919…
08-03 16:18:17	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by august 31 223	Yes	BUY	1	4¢	$0	0x06d719…
08-03 16:18:15	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by august 31 223	Yes	BUY	1,000	4¢	$40	0x3cfa19…
08-03 13:58:39	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by august 31 223	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x32cb46…
08-03 11:59:48	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by august 31 223	Yes	BUY	7	4¢	$0	0x863b14…
08-03 03:53:18	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by august 31 223	Yes	BUY	433	4¢	$17	0x6ed80a…
08-03 03:52:30	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by august 31 223	Yes	BUY	777	4¢	$31	0xabe9fc…
08-02 22:22:30	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by august 31 223	Yes	BUY	23	4¢	$1	0x42e7cd…
08-02 16:46:56	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by august 31 223	Yes	BUY	129	4¢	$5	0x027b7e…
08-02 15:51:53	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by august 31 223	Yes	BUY	1	4¢	$0	0x4da72a…
08-02 15:51:42	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by august 31 223	Yes	BUY	6	4¢	$0	0xdcc62b…
08-02 15:51:42	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by august 31 223	Yes	BUY	1	4¢	$0	0x23f6ab…
08-02 15:51:39	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by august 31 223	Yes	BUY	1	4¢	$0	0x84e562…
08-02 07:23:05	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by august 31 223	Yes	BUY	83	4¢	$3	0x553142…
08-02 03:35:12	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by august 31 223	Yes	BUY	73	4¢	$3	0xccf625…
08-02 03:34:41	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by august 31 223	Yes	BUY	1	4¢	$0	0xa222d4…
08-02 03:34:38	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by august 31 223	Yes	BUY	1	4¢	$0	0xa40f8a…
08-02 03:34:36	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by august 31 223	Yes	BUY	2,500	4¢	$100	0x30f43b…
08-01 23:07:11	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by august 31 223	Yes	BUY	21	4¢	$1	0x1d0bd0…
08-01 20:03:21	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by august 31 223	Yes	BUY	312	4¢	$12	0x5a776e…
08-01 14:05:26	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by august 31 223	Yes	BUY	4,167	4¢	$167	0xc3e99a…
08-01 13:10:35	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by august 31 223	Yes	BUY	52	4¢	$2	0xbf6701…
08-01 12:29:38	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by august 31 223	Yes	BUY	520	4¢	$21	0xfc7518…
08-01 11:59:56	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by august 31 223	Yes	BUY	260	4¢	$10	0xe23822…
08-01 10:48:32	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by august 31 223	Yes	BUY	454	4¢	$18	0x87a94b…
08-01 09:41:51	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by august 31 223	Yes	BUY	104	4¢	$4	0x00e40f…
08-01 09:40:17	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by august 31 223	Yes	BUY	104	4¢	$4	0xe41105…
08-01 09:34:23	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by august 31 223	Yes	BUY	104	4¢	$4	0x6b9e5f…
08-01 07:17:05	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by august 31 223	Yes	BUY	65	4¢	$3	0x952864…
08-01 06:32:12	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by august 31 223	Yes	BUY	1	4¢	$0	0xff5865…
08-01 00:29:18	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by august 31 223	Yes	BUY	7	4¢	$0	0xdc302e…
08-01 00:06:36	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by august 31 223	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x18dff3…
08-01 00:04:47	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by august 31 223	Yes	BUY	210	4¢	$8	0x161d43…
07-31 23:24:39	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by august 31 223	Yes	BUY	502	4¢	$20	0x6f3635…
07-31 12:19:08	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by august 31 223	Yes	BUY	22	4¢	$1	0x1d723a…
07-31 06:34:59	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by august 31 223	Yes	BUY	31	4¢	$1	0xb728de…
07-31 02:06:08	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by august 31 223	Yes	BUY	300	4¢	$12	0x00ed02…
07-30 20:59:30	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by august 31 223	Yes	BUY	3	4¢	$0	0x93545c…
07-30 14:37:36	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by august 31 223	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x5e018c…
07-30 05:46:18	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by august 31 223	Yes	BUY	600	4¢	$24	0xd622c7…
07-25 21:22:39	will trump meet with netanyahu by july 31 2026	No	SELL	166	6¢	$9	0x8a61ba…
07-25 21:20:58	will trump meet with netanyahu by july 31 2026	No	SELL	268	5¢	$15	0xbc7edc…
07-25 20:29:03	will trump meet with netanyahu by july 31 2026	No	SELL	9	6¢	$1	0xe8d8ef…
07-25 18:36:40	will trump meet with netanyahu by july 31 2026	No	SELL	500	6¢	$28	0xec96e9…
07-25 18:33:28	will trump meet with netanyahu by july 31 2026	No	SELL	182	5¢	$10	0x5f6661…
07-25 18:22:16	will trump meet with netanyahu by july 31 2026	No	SELL	416	4¢	$18	0x64108d…
07-25 18:03:06	will trump meet with netanyahu by july 31 2026	No	SELL	465	4¢	$20	0x2424b1…
07-25 18:00:31	will trump meet with netanyahu by july 31 2026	No	SELL	5	4¢	$0	0xd45959…
07-25 17:56:16	will trump meet with netanyahu by july 31 2026	No	SELL	233	4¢	$10	0xaf8a1b…
07-25 17:54:48	will trump meet with netanyahu by july 31 2026	No	SELL	148	4¢	$6	0x818578…
07-25 17:51:52	will trump meet with netanyahu by july 31 2026	No	SELL	5	4¢	$0	0x4a2196…
07-25 17:47:15	will trump meet with netanyahu by july 31 2026	No	SELL	148	4¢	$6	0x06bd14…
07-25 17:46:49	will trump meet with netanyahu by july 31 2026	No	SELL	38	4¢	$2	0x7bc4b1…
07-25 14:47:24	will trump meet with netanyahu by july 31 2026	No	SELL	42	4¢	$2	0x98c483…
07-25 13:52:27	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968 384 155 519 798 243	No	SELL	2,976	21¢	$625	0x3c1fd8…
07-25 07:11:07	will trump meet with netanyahu by july 31 2026	No	BUY	2,796	6¢	$168	0xb8a5c2…
07-25 07:10:01	will trump meet with netanyahu by july 31 2026	No	BUY	1	6¢	$0	0x29b2ce…