Soupy-Accord — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$3.09K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

426

lifetime

Volume

$156.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$367

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-07

last 05-18 11:54

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

65% 0% $-3,090

Other

35% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

19 active days in 12wk • peak 32 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
russia x ukraine ceasefire by january 31 2026	21	$10.1K	6,309	3,923	+2,386	open	—	01-26 12:09
another us strike on venezuela on january 6	1	$9.5K	9,543	0	+9,543	open	—	01-07 09:25
another us strike on venezuela by january 31 867	15	$8.0K	4,092	4,092	+0	open	—	01-31 18:21
us strikes iran by january 26 2026 337 214 511	4	$6.5K	3,277	3,277	+0	open	—	01-27 04:21
us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by april 15	10	$6.1K	6,410	0	+6,410	open	—	04-15 12:08
another us strike on venezuela by january 17	14	$6.1K	6,242	0	+6,242	open	—	01-14 09:00
russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	3	$6.1K	6,189	0	+6,189	open	—	03-24 20:22
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	9	$5.4K	2,766	2,766	+0	open	—	02-24 02:59
us strikes iran by february 27 2026	6	$4.8K	3,703	1,319	+2,384	open	—	02-28 03:12
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	6	$4.6K	5,021	5,021	+0	open	—	03-01 22:06
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	5	$4.6K	3,188	3,188	+0	open	—	04-08 07:20
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?	8	$4.6K	2,370	2,370	+0	open	—	01-31 13:29
will khamenei leave iran by march 31 224 161 138 998	1	$4.5K	4,789	0	+4,789	open	—	01-28 17:17
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	10	$4.4K	4,451	0	+4,451	open	—	04-20 02:52
us x iran ceasefire by march 15	7	$3.7K	3,719	0	+3,719	open	—	03-14 21:17
us x iran ceasefire by march 2	27	$3.7K	3,764	0	+3,764	open	—	03-01 22:12
will us or israel strike iran on march 2 2026	2	$3.5K	3,571	0	+3,571	open	—	03-01 22:15
will henrique gouveia e melo win the 2026 portugal presidential election	8	$3.1K	1,615	1,615	+0	open	—	01-19 21:09
us strikes iran by february 15 2026	1	$2.9K	2,943	0	+2,943	open	—	02-16 02:48
bank of japan increases interest rates by 50 bps after march 2026 meeting	1	$2.9K	2,902	0	+2,902	open	—	03-18 14:09
will the government shutdown last 14 days or more 343 693 775 861 153	6	$2.7K	2,735	0	+2,735	open	—	02-03 17:05
will the us next strike iran on january 27 2026 et 332	2	$2.6K	1,323	1,323	+0	open	—	01-28 17:14
will the government shutdown last 4 days or more 831	9	$2.6K	2,662	0	+2,662	open	—	02-01 16:07
will ppso win the most seats in the 2026 costa rican legislative assembly election	1	$2.5K	2,595	0	+2,595	open	—	01-31 13:30
will the us invade venezuela by january 31 2026	14	$2.4K	892	1,565	-673	open	—	01-28 15:06
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	10	$2.2K	2,341	0	+2,341	open	—	05-18 11:54
military action against iran ends by march 31 2026	1	$2.2K	2,342	0	+2,342	open	—	03-27 10:21
will khamenei leave iran by february 28 2026 713 559	4	$2.2K	1,097	1,097	+0	open	—	02-27 21:03
us strikes iran by january 12 2026 314	12	$1.9K	1,995	0	+1,995	open	—	01-12 14:29
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	3	$1.8K	1,982	0	+1,982	Yes	$-1,826	05-07 16:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-18 11:54:28	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	43	95¢	$41	0x372251…
05-18 11:52:45	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	199	96¢	$190	0xecf38a…
05-18 10:09:00	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	399	96¢	$381	0xe3422f…
05-18 09:57:01	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	999	96¢	$957	0xfe7d3c…
05-18 09:43:43	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x385207…
05-18 09:41:12	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	122	96¢	$117	0x4282ca…
05-18 09:38:45	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xc06d75…
05-18 09:31:21	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	46	96¢	$44	0xa39897…
05-18 09:31:21	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0x4ae293…
05-18 09:24:24	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	505	96¢	$485	0x83f9af…
05-09 10:53:23	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	9	84¢	$8	0x99015c…
05-09 10:52:53	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	357	84¢	$300	0xee5739…
05-09 10:49:22	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	2	84¢	$2	0x192067…
05-09 10:48:54	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	3	84¢	$3	0x49b941…
05-09 10:48:13	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	8	84¢	$7	0xd26c59…
05-08 21:09:26	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	99	84¢	$83	0x84ae83…
05-08 21:04:42	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	17	84¢	$14	0x09f086…
05-08 21:04:32	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1,290	65¢	$838	0xbf8e3e…
05-07 18:59:31	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	132	96¢	$126	0xb1403d…
05-07 17:46:20	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	166	98¢	$163	0x8b6bce…
05-07 17:41:12	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	48	98¢	$47	0x054100…
05-07 17:40:32	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xc402e3…
05-07 17:39:24	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x8beada…
05-07 17:39:18	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xc23022…
05-07 17:39:06	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x91d761…
05-07 17:36:44	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	238	98¢	$233	0xe2da51…
05-07 17:32:24	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x19ef1e…
05-07 17:25:10	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xa69604…
05-07 17:22:44	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	48	98¢	$47	0xc0d729…
05-07 17:22:23	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	21	98¢	$20	0xccf77b…
05-07 17:22:15	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	53	98¢	$52	0x52cd1e…
05-07 17:22:04	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	30	98¢	$29	0xee4ff5…
05-07 17:22:04	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	25	98¢	$24	0x357ef4…
05-07 17:22:01	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	30	98¢	$29	0x4c65d7…
05-07 17:21:12	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,000	96¢	$957	0x0cd635…
05-07 17:19:11	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xa6a3d9…
05-07 17:19:06	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xe734f7…
05-07 17:18:53	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x68f7ea…
05-07 17:16:02	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x4d85b6…
05-07 17:09:26	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	16	98¢	$16	0xf7cf95…
05-07 17:09:14	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	4	98¢	$3	0x0c16dd…
05-07 17:06:59	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	130	96¢	$125	0x591206…
05-07 17:03:24	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	47	96¢	$45	0xfc0beb…
05-07 16:59:23	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	12	96¢	$11	0xccb9a8…
05-07 16:44:27	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	498	92¢	$458	0x50e7f5…
05-07 16:44:13	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1,186	92¢	$1,091	0xd70133…
05-07 13:33:28	Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	47	96¢	$45	0xeb7adf…
05-07 09:14:19	Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	26	96¢	$25	0x9b2a4e…
05-07 02:11:43	Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	69	96¢	$66	0x1bb7a7…
05-07 01:53:03	Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	26	96¢	$25	0xa1bd82…
05-06 22:37:03	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,044	72¢	$751	0x776673…
05-06 22:36:58	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x0bd3ed…
05-06 22:34:12	Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	29	96¢	$28	0x7f41b8…
05-06 22:31:18	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	2	74¢	$1	0x1f2a90…
05-06 22:30:50	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	141	72¢	$102	0x9c5899…
05-06 22:29:30	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	298	93¢	$277	0x839970…
05-06 22:26:33	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	100	73¢	$73	0xa4b020…
05-06 22:25:13	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	185	74¢	$137	0xf18e1b…
05-06 22:24:17	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	198	75¢	$148	0x8506ae…
04-26 09:12:20	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?	No	BUY	471	100¢	$469	0xa72d5c…
04-23 23:10:32	Will Ricardo Belmont finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	No	SELL	251	100¢	$250	0xdeaa51…
04-23 17:21:16	Will Ricardo Belmont finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	No	SELL	75	100¢	$75	0x7696d9…
04-23 05:15:18	Will a different combination of candidates advance to the runoff?	Yes	SELL	109	91¢	$100	0x406a2a…
04-22 18:59:48	Will Ricardo Belmont finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x5f1290…
04-22 15:00:30	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by april 30 894	No	BUY	50	93¢	$46	0x34a024…
04-22 13:57:06	Will Ricardo Belmont finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xe7596f…
04-22 13:21:44	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by april 30 894	No	BUY	50	93¢	$46	0xb85f6c…
04-22 13:18:56	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by april 30 894	No	BUY	280	93¢	$260	0x71f5e4…
04-22 12:53:10	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by april 30 894	No	BUY	999	94¢	$939	0x9e338e…
04-22 12:52:42	Will Ricardo Belmont finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	No	SELL	160	100¢	$160	0xbf7aa4…
04-22 12:52:20	Will Ricardo Belmont finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	No	SELL	153	100¢	$153	0x9293e2…
04-22 12:52:00	Will Ricardo Belmont finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	No	SELL	96	100¢	$96	0xfeb338…
04-22 12:51:26	Will a different combination of candidates advance to the runoff?	Yes	SELL	153	90¢	$137	0x374fe1…
04-22 12:50:52	Will Alfonso López Chau finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	No	SELL	70	100¢	$70	0x3b748b…
04-22 12:50:34	Will Carlos Álvarez finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	No	SELL	287	100¢	$287	0x4279c4…
04-20 02:52:48	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	BUY	800	98¢	$787	0xe79038…
04-19 22:42:30	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0xebca83…
04-19 22:42:30	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	33	96¢	$32	0xcef9d0…
04-19 22:42:30	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	35	96¢	$34	0x62f9f4…
04-19 22:42:30	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	45	96¢	$43	0x48d44c…
04-19 22:09:14	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by april 30 894	No	BUY	260	83¢	$216	0xd3d399…
04-19 21:34:28	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	BUY	21	99¢	$21	0x3f8e1c…
04-19 21:29:36	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	8	96¢	$8	0xc03577…
04-19 21:29:36	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	38	96¢	$36	0x818363…
04-19 21:29:36	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	12	96¢	$12	0x3d1603…
04-19 21:27:16	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	30	96¢	$29	0x3cccbb…
04-19 21:25:36	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$4	0x5e2fec…
04-19 21:25:16	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	150	96¢	$144	0x41d4c1…
04-19 21:18:48	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	BUY	2,321	99¢	$2,290	0x276fbb…
04-19 21:17:14	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	86	96¢	$82	0xbfccea…
04-19 21:17:06	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	122	96¢	$117	0x394907…
04-19 21:14:44	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	14	96¢	$13	0x08f506…
04-19 21:08:56	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by april 30 894	No	BUY	9	83¢	$7	0x6479b6…
04-19 21:02:20	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	112	96¢	$107	0x05d4e3…
04-19 21:01:56	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	BUY	967	98¢	$953	0xb4414d…
04-15 12:08:32	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by april 15	No	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0xf1e361…
04-15 12:08:20	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by april 15	No	BUY	54	99¢	$53	0x5d3287…
04-15 10:07:50	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by april 15	No	BUY	122	99¢	$120	0xf67179…
04-15 09:57:26	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by april 15	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xb49b7a…
04-15 09:46:44	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by april 15	No	BUY	290	99¢	$287	0x02cf68…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71	64	$780.6K	12,237	06-01 00:34
Faraway-Seaside 0xf0b0…8cab	63	$291.1K	21,463	05-03 22:20
Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3	63	$120.3K	740	05-30 20:33
Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418	57	$22.4M	29,132	06-01 03:24
(anonymous) 0xca8f…d963	57	$53.3K	17,842	04-17 23:38
Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71	55	$8.77K	1,918	05-29 21:05
(anonymous) 0x9474…5091	55	$5.10K	3,736	05-29 18:15
(anonymous) 0xd6ee…37a2	53	$59.2K	5,061	03-28 06:14