Zesty-Bonsai — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$830

Unrealized P&L

+$21

Hit rate

71.7%

Resolved

631

Trades

1,156

lifetime

Volume

$132.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$115

Open exposure

$220

1 position

First seen

2026-01-04

last 11-13 15:23

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 116 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 78% -$806

Sports

0% 0% -$20

Other

0% 0% -$5

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

39 active days in 12wk • peak 20 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes		+4,742	$199	5¢	$220	+$21	11-13 15:23

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will bitcoin dip to 75k in august 2026	22	$6.3K	8,611	8,611	+0	No	-$710	08-31 15:01
Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in August?	10	$5.7K	5,759	5,759	+0	No	+$123	08-25 06:53
will bitcoin dip to 80k in january 2026	26	$5.0K	25,042	24,542	+500	Yes	-$1,337	01-29 16:41
bitcoin up or down january 8 10am et	2	$4.1K	2,092	2,092	+0	Up	+$43	01-08 16:47
will bitcoin reach 80000 by december 31 2026 from june 8	5	$3.7K	2,712	2,712	+0	Yes	+$238	08-21 09:00
bitcoin up or down january 6 3pm et	3	$3.5K	1,908	1,908	+0	Up	+$356	01-06 21:09
will bitcoin reach 75k in august 2026	6	$3.2K	3,735	2,918	+816	Yes	+$96	08-20 21:33
bitcoin up or down january 8 4am et	2	$3.2K	1,668	1,668	+0	Down	+$151	01-08 10:09
bitcoin up or down january 8 3am et	2	$2.9K	1,516	1,516	+0	Down	+$148	01-08 09:34
bitcoin up or down january 8 2am et	3	$2.6K	1,368	1,368	+0	Up	+$147	01-08 08:10
bitcoin up or down january 8 2pm et	4	$2.6K	2,640	2,640	+0	Down	-$1,598	01-08 19:55
will bitcoin dip to 70k in february 2026 858 241	2	$2.3K	2,170	2,170	+0	Yes	+$73	02-02 05:51
bitcoin up or down january 8 1am et	3	$2.2K	1,248	1,248	+0	Down	+$338	01-08 07:23
bitcoin up or down january 8 3pm et	3	$2.0K	1,345	1,345	+0	Down	-$193	01-08 20:40
will bitcoin dip to 65k in august 2026 from august 19	2	$1.8K	1,034	1,034	+0	No	+$7	08-20 09:33
will bitcoin dip to 62pt5k in august 2026 from august 3	7	$1.7K	1,479	1,479	+0	No	+$164	08-18 19:26
bitcoin up or down january 8 6am et	2	$1.7K	1,999	0	+1,999	Down	+$333	01-08 11:24
will bitcoin dip to 77pt5k in august 2026	5	$1.6K	1,223	1,223	+0	Yes	+$108	08-28 16:05
bitcoin up or down january 7 4pm et	2	$1.6K	916	916	+0	Up	+$202	01-07 22:15
will bitcoin reach 67pt5k in august 2026	3	$1.5K	1,082	1,082	+0	Yes	+$662	08-19 15:27
bitcoin up or down january 7 3pm et	2	$1.3K	714	714	+0	Down	+$135	01-07 21:23
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	12	$1.2K	2,039	1,938	+101	No	-$54	04-27 11:10
will bitcoin reach 80k in august 2026 from august 25	4	$1.2K	803	803	+0	Yes	+$113	08-27 08:45
bitcoin up or down january 5 5am et	2	$1.2K	708	708	+0	Up	+$229	01-05 11:37
bitcoin up or down january 12 11am et	2	$1.1K	566	566	+0	Up	+$22	01-12 17:31
bitcoin up or down january 12 12pm et	2	$1.1K	556	556	+0	Down	+$5	01-12 18:07
bitcoin up or down january 13 5am et	2	$1.1K	554	554	+0	Down	+$34	01-13 11:50
bitcoin up or down january 7 7am et	4	$1.0K	926	551	+375	Down	+$84	01-07 12:56
Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in September?	8	$910	1,369	1,369	+0	Yes	-$2	09-21 08:26
bitcoin up or down january 7 5pm et	1	$900	909	0	+909	Up	+$9	01-07 22:58

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-13 15:23:52	Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	86	4¢	$4	0x5aa2b0…
11-13 15:01:40	Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4,656	4¢	$196	0xd731a1…
10-23 18:16:02	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in October?	Yes	SELL	797	3¢	$22	0x96e196…
10-23 03:45:06	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in October?	Yes	SELL	28	4¢	$1	0xd4746e…
10-22 14:39:57	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in October?	Yes	BUY	825	4¢	$31	0x90f3e8…
10-21 17:03:41	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?	Yes	SELL	115	27¢	$31	0x1e2c8b…
10-21 14:52:51	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?	Yes	BUY	54	28¢	$15	0xca9abf…
10-21 14:28:26	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?	Yes	BUY	62	22¢	$14	0x17d62e…
10-20 18:21:26	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?	Yes	SELL	193	15¢	$29	0xc9f58f…
10-20 14:43:51	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?	Yes	BUY	39	21¢	$8	0x940597…
10-20 14:39:29	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?	Yes	BUY	154	20¢	$31	0x7cb743…
10-20 14:36:32	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?	Yes	SELL	266	13¢	$35	0x93ab41…
10-20 08:37:02	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?	Yes	BUY	148	22¢	$32	0x34ab41…
10-20 05:27:02	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?	Yes	BUY	118	18¢	$21	0x17c673…
10-20 05:26:33	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?	Yes	SELL	170	14¢	$24	0xaee811…
10-20 04:34:06	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?	Yes	BUY	170	15¢	$26	0x771af8…
10-20 04:33:48	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?	Yes	SELL	159	18¢	$29	0x034a27…
10-19 21:36:25	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?	Yes	BUY	159	19¢	$30	0x9fdf46…
10-19 21:15:27	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?	Yes	SELL	211	17¢	$36	0xebce95…
10-19 20:39:06	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?	Yes	BUY	211	19¢	$40	0x51c47c…
10-19 20:35:06	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?	Yes	SELL	249	18¢	$45	0x037a33…
10-19 19:54:47	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?	Yes	BUY	249	20¢	$50	0x5943de…
10-19 19:54:14	Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 October 19-25?	Yes	SELL	109	50¢	$55	0x482ce2…
10-19 18:46:24	Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 October 19-25?	Yes	BUY	109	56¢	$61	0xd7e84e…
10-19 18:46:02	Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 October 19-25?	Yes	SELL	125	52¢	$65	0x8a1e54…
10-19 11:04:26	Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 October 19-25?	Yes	BUY	125	51¢	$64	0xf0af52…
10-19 11:04:09	Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 October 19-25?	Yes	SELL	106	64¢	$68	0x1007ab…
10-19 04:32:20	Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 October 19-25?	Yes	BUY	106	70¢	$74	0x7f48a7…
10-16 15:01:58	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?	Yes	SELL	510	20¢	$102	0x3fe111…
10-16 11:16:30	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?	Yes	BUY	7	23¢	$2	0x6dbed8…
10-16 11:16:18	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?	Yes	BUY	503	23¢	$116	0xf91ebb…
10-16 11:16:01	will bitcoin dip to 77pt5k in october 2026	Yes	SELL	406	32¢	$130	0x1e4040…
10-15 14:13:01	will bitcoin dip to 77pt5k in october 2026	Yes	BUY	406	51¢	$207	0xfd5a97…
10-15 08:32:26	will bitcoin dip to 80k on october 15 2026	Yes	SELL	12	31¢	$4	0x8fca2f…
10-15 04:35:29	will bitcoin dip to 80k on october 15 2026	Yes	BUY	12	59¢	$7	0xe482f7…
10-14 15:40:19	will bitcoin dip to 77pt5k in october 2026	Yes	SELL	23	45¢	$10	0xdb976e…
10-14 13:15:21	will bitcoin dip to 77pt5k in october 2026	Yes	BUY	23	40¢	$9	0x75212c…
10-14 13:13:14	will bitcoin reach 87pt5k in october 2026	Yes	SELL	25	41¢	$10	0x13e1d2…
10-13 21:03:12	Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?	Yes	BUY	25	51¢	$13	0x8fc2dd…
10-05 04:35:53	will bitcoin reach 87k on october 5 2026	Yes	BUY	56	38¢	$21	0x2cc2d7…
10-04 21:03:31	Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 on October 4?	Yes	SELL	28	80¢	$23	0x25f132…
10-04 19:32:37	will bitcoin reach 86k on october 4 2026	Yes	BUY	28	39¢	$11	0x2246bd…
10-04 19:32:20	bitcoin up or down october 4 2026 3pm et	Up	SELL	13	91¢	$12	0xe4a841…
10-04 19:16:31	bitcoin up or down october 4 2026 3pm et	Up	BUY	13	74¢	$9	0x248233…
10-04 19:16:16	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-04 19:00 UTC	Up	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xbe423a…
10-04 19:05:17	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-04 19:00 UTC	Up	BUY	10	83¢	$8	0xba9db9…
10-04 19:04:46	bitcoin up or down october 4 2026 2pm et	Up	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x7256c9…
10-04 18:48:14	bitcoin up or down october 4 2026 2pm et	Up	BUY	8	79¢	$6	0xcc97fb…
10-04 18:43:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 18:40 UTC	Up	BUY	7	99¢	$6	0xc3ae66…
10-04 18:39:20	will bitcoin reach 86k on october 4 2026	Yes	SELL	28	24¢	$7	0xc8fa55…
10-04 14:59:20	Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 on October 4?	Yes	BUY	28	28¢	$8	0x09b948…
10-04 14:58:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x064a4d…
10-04 14:53:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	8	96¢	$8	0xb876ea…
10-04 14:52:53	bitcoin up or down october 4 2026 10am et	Down	SELL	10	81¢	$8	0xfe1f10…
10-04 14:20:10	bitcoin up or down october 4 2026 10am et	Down	BUY	10	75¢	$8	0xa0c9e4…
10-04 14:11:26	Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 September 28-October 4?	Yes	SELL	21	1¢	$0	0x91c5fb…
10-04 14:11:07	will bitcoin reach 86k on october 4 2026	Yes	SELL	33	24¢	$8	0x3aefb0…
10-04 13:48:43	Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 on October 4?	Yes	BUY	33	30¢	$10	0x3f5342…
10-02 12:44:51	Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 September 28-October 4?	Yes	BUY	21	44¢	$9	0xc8472a…
10-02 11:04:05	Will Bitcoin reach $87,000 on October 2?	Yes	BUY	10	64¢	$6	0xbbcef2…
10-02 10:52:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xee89ee…
10-02 10:51:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x234cd8…
10-02 10:47:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x02a311…
09-29 05:16:26	will bitcoin reach 85k on september 29 2026	Yes	BUY	7	17¢	$1	0xcbc2f9…
09-29 05:16:09	Will Bitcoin dip to $82,000 on September 29?	Yes	SELL	5	26¢	$1	0x3addbc…
09-29 05:08:08	will bitcoin dip to 82k on september 29 2026	Yes	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x7e1f63…
09-29 05:07:29	will bitcoin reach 84k on september 29 2026	Yes	SELL	4	50¢	$2	0xd2ad2b…
09-29 05:00:30	will bitcoin reach 84k on september 29 2026	Yes	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x45b798…
09-29 04:59:32	bitcoin up or down september 29 2026 12am et	Up	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x14a191…
09-29 04:53:42	bitcoin up or down september 29 2026 12am et	Up	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x47ef75…
09-29 04:53:18	will bitcoin dip to 78k september 28 october 4 2026	Yes	SELL	20	12¢	$2	0x845429…
09-28 19:35:21	Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 September 28-October 4?	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0xd38605…
09-28 19:34:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 3PM ET	Down	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x4f8535…
09-28 19:12:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 3PM ET	Down	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0xe75fa1…
09-28 19:11:20	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 September 28-October 4?	Yes	SELL	18	9¢	$2	0x7c0f64…
09-28 18:16:18	will bitcoin reach 90k september 28 october 4 2026	Yes	BUY	18	11¢	$2	0xf4035f…
09-28 18:15:56	will bitcoin dip to 80k in september 2026 from september 18	Yes	SELL	30	8¢	$3	0xbfe02d…
09-28 03:32:29	will bitcoin dip to 80k in september 2026 from september 18	Yes	BUY	30	20¢	$6	0x659e07…
09-28 03:32:08	will bitcoin reach 87pt5k in september 2026	Yes	SELL	69	10¢	$7	0x54be0b…
09-27 18:21:48	will bitcoin reach 87pt5k in september 2026	Yes	BUY	69	27¢	$19	0xc574d3…
09-27 18:21:21	will bitcoin dip to 80k in september 2026 from september 18	Yes	SELL	213	10¢	$21	0xce5fd6…
09-27 17:10:06	will bitcoin dip to 80k in september 2026 from september 18	Yes	BUY	213	12¢	$25	0x607b7d…
09-27 17:08:24	will bitcoin reach 86k september 21 27 2026 from september 23	Yes	SELL	443	6¢	$29	0xb9934f…
09-27 12:58:23	will bitcoin reach 86k september 21 27 2026 from september 23	Yes	SELL	30	23¢	$7	0x23f79e…
09-25 18:09:27	will bitcoin reach 86k september 21 27 2026 from september 23	Yes	BUY	473	7¢	$33	0xe5843a…
09-25 18:08:59	will bitcoin dip to 80k in september 2026 from september 18	Yes	SELL	181	21¢	$38	0x40b7a8…
09-25 15:43:11	will bitcoin dip to 80k in september 2026 from september 18	Yes	BUY	181	25¢	$46	0xe65122…
09-25 09:05:36	Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 September 21-27?	Yes	SELL	32	3¢	$1	0xa25d13…
09-25 06:01:23	Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 September 21-27?	Yes	BUY	32	6¢	$2	0x40369b…
09-25 06:01:08	will bitcoin reach 86k on september 25 2026	Yes	SELL	8	19¢	$2	0xb9a5f3…
09-25 05:42:11	will bitcoin reach 86k on september 25 2026	Yes	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0x3d5df9…
09-25 05:41:56	will bitcoin dip to 82k on september 25 2026	Yes	SELL	28	10¢	$3	0x0ffaca…
09-25 05:25:23	will bitcoin dip to 82k on september 25 2026	Yes	BUY	28	14¢	$4	0xf4b2f8…
09-25 05:25:06	will bitcoin reach 86k on september 25 2026	Yes	SELL	28	16¢	$4	0x24e5a1…
09-25 05:17:44	will bitcoin reach 86k on september 25 2026	Yes	BUY	28	24¢	$7	0x8047a3…
09-25 05:17:23	Will Bitcoin dip to $82,000 September 21-27?	Yes	SELL	33	22¢	$7	0xf0b11d…
09-25 04:55:09	Will Bitcoin dip to $82,000 September 21-27?	Yes	BUY	33	27¢	$9	0xe42231…
09-25 04:53:27	will bitcoin reach 86k september 21 27 2026 from september 23	Yes	SELL	30	33¢	$10	0x336537…
09-24 05:04:17	will bitcoin reach 86k september 21 27 2026 from september 23	Yes	BUY	30	53¢	$16	0x6b927a…
09-24 05:04:00	will bitcoin dip to 80k in september 2026 from september 18	Yes	SELL	59	29¢	$17	0xf3af44…