Zesty-Bonsai — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$2

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

84.3%

Resolved

Trades

808

lifetime

Volume

$95.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$118

Open exposure

$10

1 position

First seen

2026-01-04

last 07-21 14:17

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 88% +$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

21 active days in 12wk • peak 31 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes		+98	$11	11¢	$10	$-0	07-21 14:17

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will bitcoin dip to 80k in january 2026	26	$5.0K	25,042	24,542	+500	open	—	01-29 16:41
bitcoin up or down january 8 10am et	2	$4.1K	2,092	2,092	+0	open	—	01-08 16:47
bitcoin up or down january 6 3pm et	3	$3.5K	1,908	1,908	+0	open	—	01-06 21:09
bitcoin up or down january 8 4am et	2	$3.2K	1,668	1,668	+0	open	—	01-08 10:09
bitcoin up or down january 8 3am et	2	$2.9K	1,516	1,516	+0	open	—	01-08 09:34
bitcoin up or down january 8 2am et	3	$2.6K	1,368	1,368	+0	open	—	01-08 08:10
bitcoin up or down january 8 2pm et	4	$2.6K	2,640	2,640	+0	open	—	01-08 19:55
will bitcoin dip to 70k in february 2026 858 241	2	$2.3K	2,170	2,170	+0	open	—	02-02 05:51
bitcoin up or down january 8 1am et	3	$2.2K	1,248	1,248	+0	open	—	01-08 07:23
bitcoin up or down january 8 3pm et	3	$2.0K	1,345	1,345	+0	open	—	01-08 20:40
bitcoin up or down january 8 6am et	2	$1.7K	1,999	0	+1,999	open	—	01-08 11:24
bitcoin up or down january 7 4pm et	2	$1.6K	916	916	+0	open	—	01-07 22:15
bitcoin up or down january 7 3pm et	2	$1.3K	714	714	+0	open	—	01-07 21:23
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	12	$1.2K	2,039	1,938	+101	open	—	04-27 11:10
bitcoin up or down january 5 5am et	2	$1.2K	708	708	+0	open	—	01-05 11:37
bitcoin up or down january 12 11am et	2	$1.1K	566	566	+0	open	—	01-12 17:31
bitcoin up or down january 12 12pm et	2	$1.1K	556	556	+0	open	—	01-12 18:07
bitcoin up or down january 13 5am et	2	$1.1K	554	554	+0	open	—	01-13 11:50
bitcoin up or down january 7 7am et	4	$1.0K	926	551	+375	open	—	01-07 12:56
bitcoin up or down january 7 5pm et	1	$900	909	0	+909	open	—	01-07 22:58
bitcoin up or down january 5 6am et	2	$868	835	835	+0	open	—	01-05 11:54
bitcoin up or down january 4 7pm et	2	$838	478	478	+0	open	—	01-05 01:08
bitcoin up or down january 13 7am et	2	$812	412	412	+0	open	—	01-13 13:07
bitcoin up or down january 8 8am et	2	$800	898	0	+898	open	—	01-08 13:53
bitcoin up or down january 7 10am et	2	$723	415	415	+0	open	—	01-07 16:24
bitcoin up or down january 7 2pm et	2	$716	401	401	+0	open	—	01-07 20:20
bitcoin up or down january 7 9am et	2	$682	499	499	+0	open	—	01-07 14:55
bitcoin up or down january 4 6pm et	2	$641	364	364	+0	open	—	01-04 23:56
bitcoin up or down january 10 11am et	2	$612	324	324	+0	open	—	01-10 17:17
btc updown 15m 1768567500	2	$609	319	319	+0	open	—	01-16 12:58

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-21 14:17:19	Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	98	11¢	$11	0x9b7301…
07-21 10:54:18	bitcoin up or down july 21 2026 6am et	Down	BUY	74	98¢	$73	0xaa4a6f…
07-21 08:44:55	bitcoin up or down july 21 2026 4am et	Up	BUY	69	89¢	$61	0x83bf4d…
07-21 07:42:39	bitcoin up or down july 21 2026 3am et	Up	BUY	62	97¢	$60	0xa6b5c3…
07-20 22:30:00	bitcoin up or down july 20 2026 6pm et	Down	BUY	68	77¢	$52	0x7759c9…
07-20 22:26:45	bitcoin up or down july 20 2026 6pm et	Down	SELL	87	62¢	$54	0x98279d…
07-20 22:15:55	bitcoin up or down july 20 2026 6pm et	Down	BUY	87	79¢	$69	0x6d07f4…
07-20 21:52:27	bitcoin up or down july 20 2026 5pm et	Down	BUY	70	92¢	$64	0x2b66b3…
07-20 20:22:24	bitcoin up or down july 20 2026 4pm et	Up	BUY	65	87¢	$56	0x71535e…
07-20 19:26:16	bitcoin up or down july 20 2026 3pm et	Down	BUY	56	84¢	$47	0xbe7fd6…
07-20 18:41:24	bitcoin up or down july 20 2026 2pm et	Down	BUY	48	90¢	$43	0x5180f3…
07-20 18:22:34	btc updown 15m 1784571300	Down	BUY	43	94¢	$41	0xb405c3…
07-20 17:50:28	bitcoin up or down july 20 2026 1pm et	Down	SELL	63	67¢	$43	0x1bb08e…
07-20 17:32:30	bitcoin up or down july 20 2026 1pm et	Down	BUY	63	65¢	$41	0xd683e7…
07-20 16:32:43	bitcoin up or down july 20 2026 12pm et	Down	BUY	42	86¢	$36	0xc2b2b7…
07-20 16:18:51	btc updown 15m 1784564100	Down	BUY	36	77¢	$28	0xb7f3ce…
07-20 16:06:00	btc updown 15m 1784563200	Down	BUY	28	82¢	$23	0x1bd760…
07-17 13:58:06	bitcoin up or down july 17 2026 9am et	Down	SELL	182	74¢	$135	0xe0de11…
07-17 13:43:12	bitcoin up or down july 17 2026 9am et	Down	BUY	182	98¢	$179	0x537436…
07-17 12:41:54	bitcoin up or down july 17 2026 8am et	Down	BUY	181	97¢	$176	0x1f177b…
07-17 11:02:16	btc updown 4h 1784275200	Up	BUY	176	99¢	$174	0xb53ca0…
07-17 11:01:45	bitcoin up or down july 17 2026 6am et	Up	SELL	174	100¢	$174	0xe28899…
07-17 10:43:13	bitcoin up or down july 17 2026 6am et	Up	BUY	174	99¢	$172	0x8272dc…
07-16 10:32:29	bitcoin up or down july 16 2026 6am et	Up	BUY	108	94¢	$102	0x9f101a…
07-16 08:52:19	bitcoin up or down july 16 2026 4am et	Down	BUY	102	93¢	$95	0x7a0d8f…
07-15 21:34:02	bitcoin up or down july 15 2026 5pm et	Down	BUY	96	86¢	$82	0xeb80b0…
07-15 18:16:44	btc updown 4h 1784131200	Down	BUY	83	86¢	$71	0xaa4347…
07-15 16:25:56	bitcoin up or down july 15 2026 12pm et	Down	BUY	72	92¢	$66	0x7570d7…
06-20 11:52:55	btc updown 15m 1781955900	Up	SELL	19	52¢	$10	0xfe9246…
06-20 11:51:26	btc updown 15m 1781955900	Up	BUY	19	91¢	$17	0x2c0d19…
06-20 11:24:32	btc updown 15m 1781954100	Up	BUY	18	96¢	$17	0xe033c1…
06-20 10:56:40	btc updown 15m 1781952300	Up	BUY	16	98¢	$16	0xcf1521…
06-20 10:52:25	btc updown 15m 1781952300	Up	SELL	20	82¢	$17	0xdc0678…
06-20 10:51:41	btc updown 15m 1781952300	Up	BUY	20	89¢	$18	0xd9fc0b…
06-20 10:36:05	btc updown 15m 1781951400	Down	BUY	18	88¢	$16	0xa21424…
06-20 10:28:38	btc updown 15m 1781950500	Down	SELL	19	85¢	$16	0x34aede…
06-20 10:26:50	btc updown 15m 1781950500	Down	BUY	19	90¢	$17	0x872039…
06-20 10:12:23	btc updown 15m 1781949600	Down	BUY	18	96¢	$17	0xa001eb…
06-20 10:10:29	bitcoin up or down june 20 2026 5am et	Up	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0x3d49f3…
06-20 09:40:46	bitcoin up or down june 20 2026 5am et	Up	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0xf8a537…
06-20 08:35:55	bitcoin up or down june 20 2026 4am et	Down	BUY	17	96¢	$16	0xf8bc49…
06-19 22:22:20	btc updown 15m 1781907300	Up	BUY	16	98¢	$16	0x2a2308…
06-19 22:05:50	bitcoin up or down june 19 2026 5pm et	Down	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0xba3afb…
06-19 21:50:28	bitcoin up or down june 19 2026 5pm et	Down	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0xe41c74…
06-19 21:41:53	btc updown 15m 1781904600	Down	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0x7fda7e…
06-19 21:26:08	btc updown 15m 1781903700	Down	BUY	14	97¢	$14	0xdb0395…
06-19 20:53:59	btc updown 15m 1781901900	Up	BUY	15	96¢	$14	0x6c12bd…
06-19 14:53:35	bitcoin up or down june 19 2026 10am et	Up	SELL	25	66¢	$17	0x4815e6…
06-19 14:49:08	bitcoin up or down june 19 2026 10am et	Up	BUY	25	83¢	$21	0x67ef1d…
06-16 18:23:43	btc updown 15m 1781633700	Down	BUY	56	97¢	$54	0x13fd2b…
06-16 17:50:59	bitcoin up or down june 16 2026 1pm et	Up	BUY	54	98¢	$53	0xbf44dd…
06-16 16:44:16	btc updown 15m 1781627400	Up	BUY	53	98¢	$52	0xebc7a8…
06-16 15:59:11	btc updown 15m 1781624700	Up	SELL	60	91¢	$55	0x5bc991…
06-16 15:57:13	btc updown 15m 1781624700	Up	BUY	60	98¢	$59	0x42d664…
06-16 08:53:51	btc updown 15m 1781599500	Up	BUY	52	98¢	$51	0x952f85…
06-14 12:08:40	btc updown 15m 1781438400	Down	BUY	55	93¢	$51	0x6994da…
06-14 11:57:34	bitcoin up or down june 14 2026 7am et	Up	SELL	55	94¢	$51	0xda50e6…
06-14 11:35:09	bitcoin up or down june 14 2026 7am et	Up	BUY	55	90¢	$49	0xd39929…
06-14 10:55:25	btc updown 15m 1781433900	Down	BUY	49	97¢	$48	0x62003a…
06-14 10:25:25	btc updown 15m 1781432100	Up	BUY	47	99¢	$47	0x24087c…
06-14 09:52:19	bitcoin up or down june 14 2026 5am et	Up	BUY	47	98¢	$46	0xee3ae8…
06-14 09:36:09	btc updown 15m 1781429400	Up	BUY	46	97¢	$45	0xc946fe…
06-14 09:19:57	btc updown 15m 1781428500	Down	BUY	45	96¢	$43	0x2eb775…
06-14 09:10:33	bitcoin up or down june 14 2026 4am et	Up	SELL	43	100¢	$43	0x1c0785…
06-14 08:56:10	bitcoin up or down june 14 2026 4am et	Up	BUY	43	97¢	$42	0xd3f5d1…
06-13 21:38:09	btc updown 15m 1781386200	Up	BUY	43	96¢	$41	0x122ea7…
06-13 21:13:31	btc updown 15m 1781384400	Down	BUY	41	98¢	$40	0x12f717…
06-13 19:40:48	btc updown 15m 1781379000	Up	BUY	40	93¢	$37	0x5d1e32…
06-13 18:52:16	btc updown 15m 1781376300	Down	BUY	38	98¢	$37	0xef5376…
06-13 17:50:28	btc updown 15m 1781372700	Down	BUY	35	93¢	$33	0x310cfe…
06-13 17:48:43	btc updown 15m 1781372700	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x7caaaf…
06-13 17:13:18	btc updown 15m 1781370000	Down	BUY	34	98¢	$33	0x0e7c7e…
06-13 16:20:48	bitcoin up or down june 13 2026 12pm et	Down	BUY	33	94¢	$31	0x028115…
06-13 16:04:06	btc updown 15m 1781366400	Down	BUY	31	97¢	$30	0xc84562…
06-13 15:57:36	btc updown 15m 1781365500	Up	BUY	31	98¢	$30	0x24282e…
06-13 14:37:25	btc updown 15m 1781361000	Up	BUY	30	94¢	$28	0xb19434…
06-13 14:10:09	btc updown 15m 1781359200	Up	BUY	28	95¢	$27	0x080134…
06-13 13:48:10	btc updown 15m 1781358300	Down	BUY	27	86¢	$23	0x3a4009…
06-13 13:43:12	btc updown 15m 1781357400	Down	BUY	24	93¢	$22	0xe5f608…
06-13 13:28:33	btc updown 15m 1781356500	Up	BUY	22	96¢	$21	0x35ddf2…
06-13 12:46:30	bitcoin up or down june 13 2026 8am et	Up	BUY	21	80¢	$17	0x937d49…
06-12 04:51:00	will bitcoin dip to 55k in june 2026	Yes	SELL	308	14¢	$44	0x1d9cd6…
06-12 03:56:28	will bitcoin dip to 55k in june 2026	Yes	SELL	18	15¢	$3	0x86daf6…
06-11 04:44:10	will bitcoin dip to 55k in june 2026	Yes	SELL	70	24¢	$17	0xa1780f…
06-10 06:05:01	will bitcoin dip to 55k in june 2026	Yes	BUY	396	34¢	$137	0xd68a69…
06-07 14:36:22	will bitcoin dip to 55k in june 2026	Yes	SELL	189	35¢	$66	0xe4cdd1…
06-05 16:20:07	will bitcoin dip to 55k in june 2026	Yes	BUY	189	45¢	$85	0x9dcbfd…
05-16 17:46:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1PM ET	Up	SELL	159	69¢	$110	0x61b80c…
05-16 17:44:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1PM ET	Up	BUY	159	88¢	$140	0x9ed13c…
05-16 16:05:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11AM ET	Up	SELL	145	100¢	$145	0x806fed…
05-16 15:47:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11AM ET	Up	BUY	145	97¢	$140	0x1f8705…
05-16 15:42:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	SELL	146	93¢	$135	0x593700…
05-16 15:39:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	146	96¢	$140	0x2625a6…
05-16 15:26:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	146	96¢	$140	0x932e86…
05-16 14:10:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	143	98¢	$140	0xc8f043…
05-16 13:56:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	133	98¢	$130	0x51d41a…
05-16 13:38:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	135	96¢	$130	0x9bd269…
05-16 12:25:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	133	98¢	$130	0xc353b4…
05-16 12:24:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7AM ET	Up	SELL	124	100¢	$124	0x1a0672…
05-16 11:41:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7AM ET	Up	BUY	124	97¢	$120	0x486f1a…