Zesty-Bonsai — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$2

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

84.3%

Resolved

Trades

780

lifetime

Volume

$92.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$119

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-04

last 06-20 11:52

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 88% +$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

27 active days in 12wk • peak 31 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will bitcoin dip to 80k in january 2026	26	$5.0K	25,042	24,542	+500	open	—	01-29 16:41
bitcoin up or down january 8 10am et	2	$4.1K	2,092	2,092	+0	open	—	01-08 16:47
bitcoin up or down january 6 3pm et	3	$3.5K	1,908	1,908	+0	open	—	01-06 21:09
bitcoin up or down january 8 4am et	2	$3.2K	1,668	1,668	+0	open	—	01-08 10:09
bitcoin up or down january 8 3am et	2	$2.9K	1,516	1,516	+0	open	—	01-08 09:34
bitcoin up or down january 8 2am et	3	$2.6K	1,368	1,368	+0	open	—	01-08 08:10
bitcoin up or down january 8 2pm et	4	$2.6K	2,640	2,640	+0	open	—	01-08 19:55
will bitcoin dip to 70k in february 2026 858 241	2	$2.3K	2,170	2,170	+0	open	—	02-02 05:51
bitcoin up or down january 8 1am et	3	$2.2K	1,248	1,248	+0	open	—	01-08 07:23
bitcoin up or down january 8 3pm et	3	$2.0K	1,345	1,345	+0	open	—	01-08 20:40
bitcoin up or down january 8 6am et	2	$1.7K	1,999	0	+1,999	open	—	01-08 11:24
bitcoin up or down january 7 4pm et	2	$1.6K	916	916	+0	open	—	01-07 22:15
bitcoin up or down january 7 3pm et	2	$1.3K	714	714	+0	open	—	01-07 21:23
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	12	$1.2K	2,039	1,938	+101	open	—	04-27 11:10
bitcoin up or down january 5 5am et	2	$1.2K	708	708	+0	open	—	01-05 11:37
bitcoin up or down january 12 11am et	2	$1.1K	566	566	+0	open	—	01-12 17:31
bitcoin up or down january 12 12pm et	2	$1.1K	556	556	+0	open	—	01-12 18:07
bitcoin up or down january 13 5am et	2	$1.1K	554	554	+0	open	—	01-13 11:50
bitcoin up or down january 7 7am et	4	$1.0K	926	551	+375	open	—	01-07 12:56
bitcoin up or down january 7 5pm et	1	$900	909	0	+909	open	—	01-07 22:58
bitcoin up or down january 5 6am et	2	$868	835	835	+0	open	—	01-05 11:54
bitcoin up or down january 4 7pm et	2	$838	478	478	+0	open	—	01-05 01:08
bitcoin up or down january 13 7am et	2	$812	412	412	+0	open	—	01-13 13:07
bitcoin up or down january 8 8am et	2	$800	898	0	+898	open	—	01-08 13:53
bitcoin up or down january 7 10am et	2	$723	415	415	+0	open	—	01-07 16:24
bitcoin up or down january 7 2pm et	2	$716	401	401	+0	open	—	01-07 20:20
bitcoin up or down january 7 9am et	2	$682	499	499	+0	open	—	01-07 14:55
bitcoin up or down january 4 6pm et	2	$641	364	364	+0	open	—	01-04 23:56
bitcoin up or down january 10 11am et	2	$612	324	324	+0	open	—	01-10 17:17
btc updown 15m 1768567500	2	$609	319	319	+0	open	—	01-16 12:58

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-20 11:52:55	btc updown 15m 1781955900	Up	SELL	19	52¢	$10	0xfe9246…
06-20 11:51:26	btc updown 15m 1781955900	Up	BUY	19	91¢	$17	0x2c0d19…
06-20 11:24:32	btc updown 15m 1781954100	Up	BUY	18	96¢	$17	0xe033c1…
06-20 10:56:40	btc updown 15m 1781952300	Up	BUY	16	98¢	$16	0xcf1521…
06-20 10:52:25	btc updown 15m 1781952300	Up	SELL	20	82¢	$17	0xdc0678…
06-20 10:51:41	btc updown 15m 1781952300	Up	BUY	20	89¢	$18	0xd9fc0b…
06-20 10:36:05	btc updown 15m 1781951400	Down	BUY	18	88¢	$16	0xa21424…
06-20 10:28:38	btc updown 15m 1781950500	Down	SELL	19	85¢	$16	0x34aede…
06-20 10:26:50	btc updown 15m 1781950500	Down	BUY	19	90¢	$17	0x872039…
06-20 10:12:23	btc updown 15m 1781949600	Down	BUY	18	96¢	$17	0xa001eb…
06-20 10:10:29	bitcoin up or down june 20 2026 5am et	Up	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0x3d49f3…
06-20 09:40:46	bitcoin up or down june 20 2026 5am et	Up	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0xf8a537…
06-20 08:35:55	bitcoin up or down june 20 2026 4am et	Down	BUY	17	96¢	$16	0xf8bc49…
06-19 22:22:20	btc updown 15m 1781907300	Up	BUY	16	98¢	$16	0x2a2308…
06-19 22:05:50	bitcoin up or down june 19 2026 5pm et	Down	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0xba3afb…
06-19 21:50:28	bitcoin up or down june 19 2026 5pm et	Down	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0xe41c74…
06-19 21:41:53	btc updown 15m 1781904600	Down	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0x7fda7e…
06-19 21:26:08	btc updown 15m 1781903700	Down	BUY	14	97¢	$14	0xdb0395…
06-19 20:53:59	btc updown 15m 1781901900	Up	BUY	15	96¢	$14	0x6c12bd…
06-19 14:53:35	bitcoin up or down june 19 2026 10am et	Up	SELL	25	66¢	$17	0x4815e6…
06-19 14:49:08	bitcoin up or down june 19 2026 10am et	Up	BUY	25	83¢	$21	0x67ef1d…
06-16 18:23:43	btc updown 15m 1781633700	Down	BUY	56	97¢	$54	0x13fd2b…
06-16 17:50:59	bitcoin up or down june 16 2026 1pm et	Up	BUY	54	98¢	$53	0xbf44dd…
06-16 16:44:16	btc updown 15m 1781627400	Up	BUY	53	98¢	$52	0xebc7a8…
06-16 15:59:11	btc updown 15m 1781624700	Up	SELL	60	91¢	$55	0x5bc991…
06-16 15:57:13	btc updown 15m 1781624700	Up	BUY	60	98¢	$59	0x42d664…
06-16 08:53:51	btc updown 15m 1781599500	Up	BUY	52	98¢	$51	0x952f85…
06-14 12:08:40	btc updown 15m 1781438400	Down	BUY	55	93¢	$51	0x6994da…
06-14 11:57:34	bitcoin up or down june 14 2026 7am et	Up	SELL	55	94¢	$51	0xda50e6…
06-14 11:35:09	bitcoin up or down june 14 2026 7am et	Up	BUY	55	90¢	$49	0xd39929…
06-14 10:55:25	btc updown 15m 1781433900	Down	BUY	49	97¢	$48	0x62003a…
06-14 10:25:25	btc updown 15m 1781432100	Up	BUY	47	99¢	$47	0x24087c…
06-14 09:52:19	bitcoin up or down june 14 2026 5am et	Up	BUY	47	98¢	$46	0xee3ae8…
06-14 09:36:09	btc updown 15m 1781429400	Up	BUY	46	97¢	$45	0xc946fe…
06-14 09:19:57	btc updown 15m 1781428500	Down	BUY	45	96¢	$43	0x2eb775…
06-14 09:10:33	bitcoin up or down june 14 2026 4am et	Up	SELL	43	100¢	$43	0x1c0785…
06-14 08:56:10	bitcoin up or down june 14 2026 4am et	Up	BUY	43	97¢	$42	0xd3f5d1…
06-13 21:38:09	btc updown 15m 1781386200	Up	BUY	43	96¢	$41	0x122ea7…
06-13 21:13:31	btc updown 15m 1781384400	Down	BUY	41	98¢	$40	0x12f717…
06-13 19:40:48	btc updown 15m 1781379000	Up	BUY	40	93¢	$37	0x5d1e32…
06-13 18:52:16	btc updown 15m 1781376300	Down	BUY	38	98¢	$37	0xef5376…
06-13 17:50:28	btc updown 15m 1781372700	Down	BUY	35	93¢	$33	0x310cfe…
06-13 17:48:43	btc updown 15m 1781372700	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x7caaaf…
06-13 17:13:18	btc updown 15m 1781370000	Down	BUY	34	98¢	$33	0x0e7c7e…
06-13 16:20:48	bitcoin up or down june 13 2026 12pm et	Down	BUY	33	94¢	$31	0x028115…
06-13 16:04:06	btc updown 15m 1781366400	Down	BUY	31	97¢	$30	0xc84562…
06-13 15:57:36	btc updown 15m 1781365500	Up	BUY	31	98¢	$30	0x24282e…
06-13 14:37:25	btc updown 15m 1781361000	Up	BUY	30	94¢	$28	0xb19434…
06-13 14:10:09	btc updown 15m 1781359200	Up	BUY	28	95¢	$27	0x080134…
06-13 13:48:10	btc updown 15m 1781358300	Down	BUY	27	86¢	$23	0x3a4009…
06-13 13:43:12	btc updown 15m 1781357400	Down	BUY	24	93¢	$22	0xe5f608…
06-13 13:28:33	btc updown 15m 1781356500	Up	BUY	22	96¢	$21	0x35ddf2…
06-13 12:46:30	bitcoin up or down june 13 2026 8am et	Up	BUY	21	80¢	$17	0x937d49…
06-12 04:51:00	will bitcoin dip to 55k in june 2026	Yes	SELL	308	14¢	$44	0x1d9cd6…
06-12 03:56:28	will bitcoin dip to 55k in june 2026	Yes	SELL	18	15¢	$3	0x86daf6…
06-11 04:44:10	will bitcoin dip to 55k in june 2026	Yes	SELL	70	24¢	$17	0xa1780f…
06-10 06:05:01	will bitcoin dip to 55k in june 2026	Yes	BUY	396	34¢	$137	0xd68a69…
06-07 14:36:22	will bitcoin dip to 55k in june 2026	Yes	SELL	189	35¢	$66	0xe4cdd1…
06-05 16:20:07	will bitcoin dip to 55k in june 2026	Yes	BUY	189	45¢	$85	0x9dcbfd…
05-16 17:46:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1PM ET	Up	SELL	159	69¢	$110	0x61b80c…
05-16 17:44:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1PM ET	Up	BUY	159	88¢	$140	0x9ed13c…
05-16 16:05:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11AM ET	Up	SELL	145	100¢	$145	0x806fed…
05-16 15:47:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11AM ET	Up	BUY	145	97¢	$140	0x1f8705…
05-16 15:42:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	SELL	146	93¢	$135	0x593700…
05-16 15:39:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	146	96¢	$140	0x2625a6…
05-16 15:26:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	146	96¢	$140	0x932e86…
05-16 14:10:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	143	98¢	$140	0xc8f043…
05-16 13:56:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	133	98¢	$130	0x51d41a…
05-16 13:38:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	135	96¢	$130	0x9bd269…
05-16 12:25:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	133	98¢	$130	0xc353b4…
05-16 12:24:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7AM ET	Up	SELL	124	100¢	$124	0x1a0672…
05-16 11:41:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7AM ET	Up	BUY	124	97¢	$120	0x486f1a…
05-15 22:10:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	113	97¢	$110	0x84a6e6…
05-15 21:55:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	113	97¢	$110	0x8dd519…
05-15 21:28:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0x29634a…
05-15 20:02:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3PM ET	Down	SELL	117	100¢	$117	0xd0fe48…
05-15 19:46:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3PM ET	Down	BUY	117	94¢	$110	0x788f8f…
05-15 19:10:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	113	97¢	$110	0x1d9a69…
05-15 18:20:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0x30f21c…
05-15 14:58:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10AM ET	Up	SELL	101	100¢	$101	0x548943…
05-15 14:45:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0xc4cfa9…
05-15 14:27:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0xdddd10…
05-15 14:10:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x90dc30…
05-15 13:56:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9AM ET	Down	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x0ceb87…
05-15 13:42:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9AM ET	Down	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xa695f8…
05-13 22:08:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5PM ET	Down	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0xb0a4da…
05-13 21:14:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5PM ET	Down	BUY	14	92¢	$13	0xb787ef…
05-13 21:12:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4PM ET	Up	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x7d7a0b…
05-13 20:53:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4PM ET	Up	BUY	13	86¢	$11	0xf01361…
05-13 19:52:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xa1ae29…
05-13 19:41:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xbadacd…
05-13 19:04:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	78¢	$8	0xf504d5…
05-13 18:59:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x420265…
05-13 18:51:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2PM ET	Up	SELL	10	85¢	$8	0xcc026e…
05-13 18:25:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2PM ET	Up	BUY	4	90¢	$4	0x4f31aa…
05-13 18:25:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2PM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x37dd40…
05-09 10:29:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	SELL	11	25¢	$3	0xa72c4f…
05-09 10:29:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	11	82¢	$9	0x0f4eef…
05-09 10:24:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5AM ET	Down	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x78b3a3…
05-09 09:38:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5AM ET	Down	BUY	9	95¢	$9	0xe29398…