Rectangular-Polish — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$794

Unrealized P&L

-$2

Hit rate

48.9%

Resolved

638

Trades

2,286

lifetime

Volume

$9.17K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$105

12 positions

First seen

2026-04-12

last 10-27 22:30

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 88 days

Categories

Crypto

71% 38% -$525

Other

12% 35% -$159

Politics

9% 52% -$27

Tech

5% 29% -$15

Sports

3% 22% -$66

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

10 active days in 12wk • peak 13 trades/day

Open positions (12) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Viktor Orbán arrested by December 31?	No	+26	$20	86¢	$23	+$3	10-23 13:38
Trump out as President before 2027?	No	+21	$20	96¢	$20	$0	10-15 20:20
Will the Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL league championship?	No	+18	$15	92¢	$16	+$1	06-17 02:43
Will less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?	Yes	+25	$7	53¢	$13	+$6	07-24 22:18
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	No	+36	$20	34¢	$12	-$8	05-10 16:23
Will Trump endorse John Cornyn for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET?	Yes	+40	$1	17¢	$7	+$6	05-19 19:11
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	No	+7	$5	94¢	$7	+$2	05-02 15:29
Will 5-6 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?	Yes	+9	$5	35¢	$3	-$2	07-24 01:05
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	+85	$5	2¢	$2	-$3	05-02 15:50
US x Cuba military clash in 2026?	Yes	+11	$5	14¢	$2	-$3	05-02 15:30
Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31?	No	-1	-$1	74¢	$-1	+$0	05-03 13:26
Will 7-8 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?	Yes	+30	$3	0¢	$0	-$3	07-25 18:58

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will voter turnout be 80 in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election	4	$390	650	558	+92	No	+$150	04-17 02:10
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	2	$350	388	0	+388	Yes	+$38	06-12 17:01
tamas sulyok out as president of hungary by july 31 20260626200424352	7	$114	282	116	+166	Yes	-$38	07-19 04:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4PM ET	17	$102	150	85	+65	Down	+$23	05-08 20:53
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	3	$101	833	50	+783	No	-$101	04-21 22:37
will fidesz kdnp win 70 seats in the hungarian national assembly in this election	1	$100	170	0	+170	Yes	-$100	04-12 15:37
Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?	1	$100	100	0	+100	Yes	+$0	07-24 17:25
will there be at least 2300 measles cases in the us by june 30 2026 118	1	$100	100	0	+100	No	+$0	06-29 22:11
Ethereum Up or Down - April 25, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	11	$94	169	134	+36	Down	+$36	04-25 18:45
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	10	$80	280	25	+255	No	-$61	07-14 20:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3PM ET	10	$77	97	76	+21	Up	+$5	05-08 19:59
Trump re-sues WSJ by April 27?	3	$74	148	40	+108	No	+$4	04-26 22:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1PM ET	11	$72	82	58	+24	Up	+$6	05-15 19:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5PM ET	28	$61	232	91	+141	Up	-$7	05-08 21:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4PM ET	19	$60	1,206	125	+1,081	Down	-$11	05-12 20:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6AM ET	17	$58	84	54	+31	Up	+$18	05-10 10:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7PM ET	24	$56	1,274	85	+1,189	Down	-$5	05-13 23:52
elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 220 239	4	$56	61	17	+44	Yes	-$6	04-21 15:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8PM ET	18	$55	181	75	+106	Up	+$5	05-09 00:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	7	$50	155	0	+155	Down	+$5	04-27 19:34
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 18:00 UTC	12	$50	102	0	+102	Up	+$1	07-31 18:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 17:55 UTC	16	$50	112	0	+112	Down	-$2	07-31 17:59
Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	14	$50	199	15	+184	Up	-$6	04-27 20:29
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?	6	$50	214	16	+198	No	-$24	06-12 18:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	15	$49	119	0	+119	Down	+$14	07-29 02:04
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 22:00 UTC	10	$48	164	0	+164	Down	+$22	07-17 22:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2PM ET	13	$48	251	44	+207	Down	-$6	05-15 19:02
Ethereum Up or Down - April 25, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	15	$47	104	30	+74	Down	+$1	04-26 02:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-26 20:50 UTC	8	$46	93	0	+93	Down	-$10	07-26 20:54
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 23?	7	$45	459	0	+459	Down	-$45	05-23 00:35

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 22:30:51	Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 4.90% before 2027?	No	BUY	12	17¢	$2	0x0afdd3…
10-27 13:30:02	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	80¢	$8	0xfb793a…
10-27 03:52:51	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	65¢	$6	0xc7cc69…
10-26 22:46:54	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x248c83…
10-26 20:54:51	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	52¢	$10	0xf894a5…
10-23 13:38:59	Viktor Orbán arrested by December 31?	No	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0x5f070f…
10-23 13:34:51	Viktor Orbán arrested by December 31?	No	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0x0d05dd…
10-23 12:45:41	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	50	1¢	$0	0xec6972…
10-23 10:47:39	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	97	2¢	$2	0xb96bcd…
10-23 10:47:35	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	3	2¢	$0	0x869e3c…
10-23 10:11:56	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	7	3¢	$0	0x6fec04…
10-23 10:01:24	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	43	3¢	$1	0xa5a192…
10-23 03:49:56	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	15	38¢	$6	0x50da6a…
10-23 03:25:15	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	0	38¢	$0	0x564eae…
10-23 03:22:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xc81903…
10-23 03:22:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x53ecbc…
10-23 03:21:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x89f689…
10-23 03:21:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xa50faf…
10-22 20:48:14	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	12	33¢	$4	0xb73a02…
10-22 20:44:11	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xc9f3f5…
10-22 20:12:57	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	25	34¢	$8	0x549e81…
10-22 20:04:32	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0xa0b08d…
10-19 23:03:42	Will Netflix say "World Cup" during earnings call?	Yes	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0xd64648…
10-19 22:54:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x6952f3…
10-19 22:53:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x1f9068…
10-19 22:52:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xfa3eee…
10-19 22:51:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x3c1d1d…
10-19 22:49:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xc0d0ec…
10-19 22:48:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x19b6ee…
10-19 22:48:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x1a1ee0…
10-19 22:43:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xa5aea7…
10-18 20:18:45	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 18, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x859b80…
10-18 20:10:12	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 18, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x85107b…
10-18 19:18:00	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 18, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	37¢	$4	0x3d413c…
10-18 19:16:39	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 18, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x7029ce…
10-15 20:56:12	Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x7e3f0f…
10-15 20:24:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x684a1b…
10-15 20:20:11	Trump out as President before 2027?	No	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0xcf19b6…
10-15 19:48:38	Will the Tesla Roadster fly for 1s+?	No	BUY	33	30¢	$10	0xebecaa…
09-10 23:21:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	BUY	48	10¢	$5	0xc3ea06…
09-10 23:19:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x27d955…
08-15 18:04:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-15 18:00 UTC	Up	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0x80ce94…
08-15 17:55:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-15 17:55 UTC	Down	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0xd2d2ff…
08-15 17:49:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-15 17:45 UTC	Up	BUY	85	12¢	$10	0xabb4bc…
08-15 17:42:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-15 17:40 UTC	Down	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0x95fd2e…
08-08 15:52:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-08 15:50 UTC	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xc0597c…
08-08 15:50:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-08 15:50 UTC	Down	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x66a7f3…
08-08 15:49:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-08 15:45 UTC	Up	SELL	1	40¢	$0	0xfdd2a7…
08-08 15:49:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-08 15:45 UTC	Up	SELL	20	8¢	$2	0xaa6e57…
08-08 15:49:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-08 15:45 UTC	Up	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0x1e5d7e…
08-08 15:46:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-08 15:45 UTC	Down	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0x9471e4…
08-08 15:39:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-08 15:35 UTC	Up	BUY	94	5¢	$5	0x7f828e…
08-02 23:58:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x13245a…
08-02 23:58:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x2e4bd5…
08-02 23:57:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 23:55 UTC	Down	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0xc9d912…
08-02 23:53:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 23:50 UTC	Down	SELL	39	6¢	$2	0x38fad2…
08-02 23:53:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 23:50 UTC	Down	BUY	39	25¢	$10	0x4a4d1e…
08-02 23:47:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 23:45 UTC	Down	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0xee3cb2…
08-02 23:47:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 23:45 UTC	Down	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0x6d5652…
07-31 20:35:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 20:35 UTC	Up	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0x94797f…
07-31 20:31:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 20:30 UTC	Up	BUY	68	15¢	$10	0xad3436…
07-31 20:28:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 20:25 UTC	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xb2e7e5…
07-31 20:27:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 20:25 UTC	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x503cda…
07-31 20:25:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 20:25 UTC	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x9d3208…
07-31 20:25:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 20:25 UTC	Down	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x0e0186…
07-31 20:24:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 20:20 UTC	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x05fc9c…
07-31 20:23:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 20:20 UTC	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x181db9…
07-31 20:21:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 20:20 UTC	Up	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0xdb7245…
07-31 20:13:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x4ed467…
07-31 20:13:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x83a9dc…
07-31 20:11:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 20:10 UTC	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x96a798…
07-31 20:10:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 20:10 UTC	Down	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0x93e25d…
07-31 20:09:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 20:05 UTC	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x30495c…
07-31 20:06:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 20:05 UTC	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xc973af…
07-31 20:06:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 20:05 UTC	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xa15e64…
07-31 20:05:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 20:05 UTC	Up	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0x9854a5…
07-31 20:03:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 20:00 UTC	Down	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xca7012…
07-31 20:02:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 20:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xd7ac69…
07-31 20:02:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 20:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x3d866d…
07-31 20:01:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 20:00 UTC	Down	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0xf68638…
07-31 19:58:14	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 19:55 UTC	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xc9cb6c…
07-31 19:56:35	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 19:55 UTC	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xe4e300…
07-31 19:56:33	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 19:55 UTC	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xe7ee9e…
07-31 19:56:15	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 19:55 UTC	Down	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0x758731…
07-31 19:51:53	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 19:50 UTC	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xe60fdf…
07-31 19:51:09	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 19:50 UTC	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x765d16…
07-31 19:50:24	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 19:50 UTC	Up	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0x2b0830…
07-31 19:40:53	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 19:40 UTC	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xa93d2f…
07-31 19:40:38	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 19:40 UTC	Up	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0xbd09be…
07-31 19:40:20	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 19:40 UTC	Up	BUY	12	51¢	$6	0x86082e…
07-31 19:36:02	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 19:35 UTC	Down	BUY	27	36¢	$10	0x17fa88…
07-31 19:30:33	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 19:30 UTC	Up	BUY	29	34¢	$10	0xcd7550…
07-31 19:27:29	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 19:25 UTC	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x600316…
07-31 19:26:14	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 19:25 UTC	Down	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x9de238…
07-31 19:21:47	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 19:20 UTC	Up	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0x59f8ea…
07-31 19:13:32	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 19:10 UTC	Down	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0xd7764a…
07-31 19:11:57	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 19:10 UTC	Up	SELL	4	22¢	$1	0x03affa…
07-31 19:11:45	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 19:10 UTC	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xe35b50…
07-31 19:11:18	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 19:10 UTC	Down	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0x550909…
07-31 19:07:47	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 19:05 UTC	Down	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0x7a515a…