Rectangular-Polish — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$183

Unrealized P&L

-$7

Hit rate

39.5%

Resolved

Trades

1,445

lifetime

Volume

$5.39K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$53

2 positions

First seen

2026-04-12

last 06-04 00:32

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 11 days

Categories

Crypto

78% 29% $-127

Politics

13% 40% $-61

Other

8% 50% +$5

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

41 active days in 12wk • peak 151 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (9) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	Yes		+66	$50	64¢	$42	$-8	05-31 21:06
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?	No		+16	$10	72¢	$11	+$1	05-31 20:13

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will voter turnout be 80 in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election	4	$390	650	558	+92	open	—	04-17 02:10
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	3	$101	833	50	+783	open	—	04-21 22:37
will fidesz kdnp win 70 seats in the hungarian national assembly in this election	1	$100	170	0	+170	open	—	04-12 15:37
Ethereum Up or Down - April 25, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	11	$94	169	134	+36	open	—	04-25 18:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3PM ET	10	$77	97	76	+21	Up	+$5	05-08 19:59
Trump re-sues WSJ by April 27?	3	$74	148	40	+108	open	—	04-26 22:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1PM ET	11	$72	82	58	+24	open	—	05-15 19:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4PM ET	19	$60	1,206	125	+1,081	Down	$-11	05-12 20:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5PM ET	25	$58	216	66	+150	Up	$-9	05-08 21:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6AM ET	17	$58	84	54	+31	Up	+$18	05-10 10:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7PM ET	24	$56	1,274	85	+1,189	Down	$-5	05-13 23:52
elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 220 239	4	$56	61	17	+44	open	—	04-21 15:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8PM ET	18	$55	181	75	+106	Up	+$5	05-09 00:59
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	1	$50	66	0	+66	open	—	05-31 21:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	7	$50	155	0	+155	open	—	04-27 19:34
Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	14	$50	199	15	+184	open	—	04-27 20:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2PM ET	13	$48	251	44	+207	open	—	05-15 19:02
Ethereum Up or Down - April 25, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	15	$47	104	30	+74	open	—	04-26 02:58
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 23?	7	$45	459	0	+459	open	—	05-23 00:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	8	$43	93	45	+47	open	—	04-27 19:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	4	$43	105	0	+105	open	—	04-27 19:39
Solana Up or Down - May 23, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	7	$42	81	18	+63	open	—	05-23 21:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4PM ET	9	$42	62	34	+29	Down	$-30	05-08 20:53
btc updown 5m 1776901500	5	$42	102	0	+102	open	—	04-22 23:49
Ethereum Up or Down - April 26, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	15	$41	173	24	+148	open	—	04-26 11:11
Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?	4	$39	185	0	+185	Yes	$-39	05-10 21:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	11	$38	155	42	+112	open	—	04-27 19:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7AM ET	15	$38	155	43	+113	Up	$-32	05-09 11:51
Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	11	$38	82	82	+0	open	—	05-16 17:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	11	$38	269	45	+224	open	—	04-28 21:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-04 00:32:33	btc updown 5m 1780533000	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xc56f21…
06-04 00:32:19	btc updown 5m 1780533000	Up	SELL	11	93¢	$10	0x95c6d2…
06-04 00:31:15	btc updown 5m 1780533000	Up	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x108f3a…
05-31 21:06:28	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	Yes	BUY	66	76¢	$50	0x49f24c…
05-31 20:15:45	Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by June 30?	No	SELL	21	20¢	$4	0x8a363a…
05-31 20:13:16	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?	No	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0xda147f…
05-31 20:00:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x6b5402…
05-28 18:53:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	SELL	15	5¢	$1	0xd87e8d…
05-28 18:52:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x649cd7…
05-28 18:50:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x2a5fb1…
05-28 18:47:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	SELL	9	76¢	$7	0x351b12…
05-28 18:46:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	9	34¢	$3	0x345267…
05-28 18:46:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	SELL	13	72¢	$9	0x6355b2…
05-28 18:45:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0x943aa3…
05-28 18:43:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	SELL	8	46¢	$4	0xb0287b…
05-28 18:43:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0xf4c608…
05-28 18:37:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	SELL	9	14¢	$1	0x21cc27…
05-28 18:35:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xe62d10…
05-28 18:35:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0xc95387…
05-28 18:26:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x9fda2e…
05-28 18:25:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x0c3c57…
05-28 18:23:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x55189a…
05-28 18:19:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x90ddb5…
05-28 18:19:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	SELL	3	20¢	$1	0xa403aa…
05-28 18:18:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x335c5f…
05-28 18:18:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	SELL	8	16¢	$1	0xb7a1f9…
05-28 18:16:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x784933…
05-28 18:13:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	SELL	9	39¢	$3	0x50462b…
05-28 18:10:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0xc57815…
05-28 18:07:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	SELL	14	74¢	$11	0x49e8c1…
05-28 18:06:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0xb5cfb5…
05-28 17:57:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xb4f9c8…
05-28 17:53:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x15e2b3…
05-28 17:52:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x7d2523…
05-28 17:46:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x89984f…
05-28 17:43:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	SELL	5	27¢	$1	0xdd3665…
05-28 17:42:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xe61c8f…
05-28 17:38:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x96fcee…
05-28 17:37:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	SELL	12	33¢	$4	0x99cd0d…
05-28 17:35:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0xc9f62d…
05-28 17:31:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x82f5e0…
05-28 17:26:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	SELL	33	26¢	$9	0x3fa59f…
05-28 17:25:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0x29b245…
05-28 17:23:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x26523c…
05-28 17:22:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0xae841b…
05-28 17:22:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x622919…
05-28 17:21:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	SELL	13	55¢	$7	0x6f1d26…
05-28 17:20:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x132761…
05-26 21:12:24	Solana Up or Down - May 26, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	SELL	17	5¢	$1	0x54802b…
05-26 21:10:34	Solana Up or Down - May 26, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0xaf4d5e…
05-26 21:07:46	Solana Up or Down - May 26, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	SELL	14	23¢	$3	0xe82ea9…
05-26 21:07:30	Solana Up or Down - May 26, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	SELL	14	31¢	$4	0xf348e1…
05-26 21:06:58	Solana Up or Down - May 26, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0xde5553…
05-26 20:56:42	Solana Up or Down - May 26, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	SELL	13	18¢	$2	0x4292d7…
05-26 20:56:16	Solana Up or Down - May 26, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0x84206a…
05-26 20:54:17	Solana Up or Down - May 26, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	SELL	14	54¢	$8	0x59b105…
05-26 20:51:05	Solana Up or Down - May 26, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	SELL	14	60¢	$9	0xd7f889…
05-26 20:50:38	Solana Up or Down - May 26, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	29	35¢	$10	0x474d40…
05-26 20:36:00	Solana Up or Down - May 26, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0x6435f4…
05-26 20:27:38	Solana Up or Down - May 26, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x10b24d…
05-26 20:26:23	Solana Up or Down - May 26, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x28cd0c…
05-24 22:06:43	Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on May 24?	No	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x33160a…
05-24 12:01:30	Solana Up or Down - May 24, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xa64aa0…
05-24 12:01:18	Solana Up or Down - May 24, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x68812b…
05-24 11:57:46	Solana Up or Down - May 24, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	23	4¢	$1	0x28d8ef…
05-24 11:50:31	Solana Up or Down - May 24, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xd76e8d…
05-24 11:47:37	Solana Up or Down - May 24, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	SELL	2	45¢	$1	0xab5152…
05-24 11:45:23	Solana Up or Down - May 24, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xe3c858…
05-24 11:42:29	XRP Up or Down - May 24, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	SELL	26	7¢	$2	0xf55365…
05-24 11:41:26	XRP Up or Down - May 24, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xffc965…
05-24 11:41:11	XRP Up or Down - May 24, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x66ad3b…
05-24 11:40:23	XRP Up or Down - May 24, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0xa0b538…
05-23 21:08:25	Solana Up or Down - May 23, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x6350cc…
05-23 21:07:29	Solana Up or Down - May 23, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x7ffd59…
05-23 21:03:26	Solana Up or Down - May 23, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0x7ba7ac…
05-23 21:03:03	Solana Up or Down - May 23, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x395ca0…
05-23 21:02:28	Solana Up or Down - May 23, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x2db991…
05-23 21:01:59	Solana Up or Down - May 23, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	SELL	12	92¢	$11	0x1e46db…
05-23 21:01:08	Solana Up or Down - May 23, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0x34fd32…
05-23 21:00:31	Solana Up or Down - May 23, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	SELL	6	88¢	$6	0xd9f8eb…
05-23 21:00:17	Solana Up or Down - May 23, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0xa3c6dc…
05-23 20:54:08	Solana Up or Down - May 23, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x38bde8…
05-23 20:53:43	Solana Up or Down - May 23, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	SELL	30	19¢	$6	0x3289a7…
05-23 20:51:50	Solana Up or Down - May 23, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xdc44bc…
05-23 20:51:23	Solana Up or Down - May 23, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0x443ca2…
05-23 20:51:13	Solana Up or Down - May 23, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x058120…
05-23 20:50:52	Solana Up or Down - May 23, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	SELL	3	46¢	$1	0x2e27db…
05-23 20:50:19	Solana Up or Down - May 23, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x89361e…
05-23 20:48:42	Solana Up or Down - May 23, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	SELL	9	70¢	$6	0x7f7394…
05-23 20:47:50	Solana Up or Down - May 23, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	SELL	10	25¢	$2	0xe0d82b…
05-23 20:47:25	Solana Up or Down - May 23, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x90ce05…
05-23 20:46:19	Solana Up or Down - May 23, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0xf9c84f…
05-23 20:40:32	Solana Up or Down - May 23, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x77c023…
05-23 18:32:12	Solana Up or Down - May 23, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	SELL	9	32¢	$3	0x077fb1…
05-23 18:32:00	Solana Up or Down - May 23, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	SELL	9	33¢	$3	0x6fff18…
05-23 18:30:17	Solana Up or Down - May 23, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0x02d04c…
05-23 18:29:17	Solana Up or Down - May 23, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x0fd7c1…
05-23 03:26:59	Ethereum Up or Down on May 23?	Up	BUY	53	2¢	$1	0x4fd669…
05-23 00:35:35	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 23?	Up	BUY	179	3¢	$5	0xa3042b…
05-22 22:00:51	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 23?	Up	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x22225d…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6	295	$178.7K	6,333	06-09 17:00
(anonymous) 0x76d4…c512	295	$173.1K	30,773	06-04 00:33
(anonymous) 0x89b5…8beb	293	$168.1K	10,904	05-31 20:02
(anonymous) 0x424e…263b	279	$73.4K	12,026	06-04 00:33
(anonymous) 0x75cc…3ce1	273	$23.5K	2,544	06-04 00:30
(anonymous) 0x48ac…4a7e	265	$61.0K	18,021	06-04 00:33
(anonymous) 0xba67…4727	264	$65.6K	10,194	06-04 00:33
(anonymous) 0xd901…8e14	260	$66.3K	18,860	06-04 00:33