Hopeful-Bet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$40

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

56.8%

Resolved

Trades

168

lifetime

Volume

$3.51K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$21

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-05

last 09-05 07:42

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 29 days

Categories

Other

87% 47% -$17

Crypto

10% 84% -$36

Sports

3% 70% +$14

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	10	$300	150	150	+0	No	$0	05-07 06:21
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	8	$296	148	148	+0	No	+$0	05-05 10:32
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?	6	$222	111	111	+0	No	+$0	05-29 13:35
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?	4	$160	80	80	+0	No	+$0	05-28 15:34
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 30 to June 1, 2026?	4	$140	70	70	+0	No	+$0	06-01 15:57
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?	4	$140	70	70	+0	No	$0	06-01 22:04
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	4	$120	60	60	+0	No	+$0	05-08 13:00
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?	4	$92	46	46	+0	No	+$0	06-04 16:52
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	4	$83	62	62	+0	No	+$1	05-05 13:29
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?	2	$80	40	40	+0	No	+$0	05-28 10:01
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?	4	$80	40	40	+0	No	$0	06-05 10:17
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 30 to June 1, 2026?	2	$70	35	35	+0	No	+$0	06-01 05:31
Will Elon Musk post 1120-1159 tweets in May 2026?	2	$70	35	35	+0	No	+$0	05-31 17:10
Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from May 30 to June 1, 2026?	2	$70	35	35	+0	No	$0	05-29 18:37
Will Doja Cat be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?	3	$63	60	60	+0	No	$0	05-04 11:37
Will James Clapper be arrested before 2027?	4	$61	40	40	+0	open	—	05-04 18:17
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?	3	$60	42	21	+21	No	+$1	06-04 23:59
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?	2	$60	30	30	+0	No	+$0	05-28 07:51
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	2	$60	30	30	+0	No	+$0	05-08 15:34
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	2	$60	30	30	+0	No	+$0	05-07 19:30
Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from May 9 to May 11, 2026?	2	$60	30	30	+0	No	+$0	05-10 06:47
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	2	$60	30	30	+0	No	+$0	05-11 05:30
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	2	$60	30	30	+0	No	+$0	05-05 05:57
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	2	$60	30	30	+0	No	+$0	05-11 18:12
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	2	$60	30	30	+0	No	+$0	05-10 22:26
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?	2	$50	25	25	+0	No	+$0	06-02 16:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	1	$50	50	0	+50	Down	+$0	04-30 21:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	1	$50	51	0	+51	Down	+$1	04-30 21:29
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026?	2	$50	25	25	+0	No	+$0	06-03 13:26
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026?	2	$50	25	25	+0	No	+$0	06-03 06:08

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-05 07:42:19	Sundar Pichai out as Google CEO before 2027?	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x16e151…
08-17 18:07:57	Sundar Pichai out as Google CEO before 2027?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xbb6431…
08-14 16:58:55	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xa1feec…
08-14 11:33:10	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	No	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0xd832b9…
06-30 08:25:37	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x8ed499…
06-29 14:00:47	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x47d56a…
06-29 13:57:02	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 27 to June 29, 2026?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x9f96d8…
06-29 13:28:35	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 27 to June 29, 2026?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x1289bc…
06-29 05:54:22	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 27 to June 29, 2026?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xac0fab…
06-28 20:43:49	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 27 to June 29, 2026?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x891def…
06-05 10:50:01	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?	No	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0xf7f5b9…
06-05 10:22:03	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x192c4e…
06-05 10:17:55	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x2c8fc9…
06-05 06:29:54	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x3745c2…
06-04 23:59:22	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?	No	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0x2a3c90…
06-04 23:59:01	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?	No	SELL	21	95¢	$20	0xbbedb6…
06-04 21:52:45	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?	No	BUY	21	94¢	$20	0x162da2…
06-04 21:48:12	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x48798c…
06-04 17:05:52	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xcc1de0…
06-04 16:52:33	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?	No	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0x04e2fc…
06-04 01:22:52	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x85b0d2…
06-04 01:22:15	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?	No	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0xfd6237…
06-03 20:17:46	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x8b2cf7…
06-03 20:17:24	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?	No	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0x9473fd…
06-03 16:40:22	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x1fa7b0…
06-03 13:26:25	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026?	No	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0xe9af07…
06-03 06:09:00	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x4ee29d…
06-03 06:08:29	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026?	No	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0x32c40f…
06-02 18:02:35	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x091afa…
06-02 16:48:02	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?	No	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0x06b90b…
06-01 23:47:06	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xf8658b…
06-01 22:04:58	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?	No	SELL	35	100¢	$35	0xd52075…
06-01 21:47:14	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x90db12…
06-01 21:41:26	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?	No	SELL	35	100¢	$35	0xc8ea64…
06-01 16:03:02	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0xfbc137…
06-01 15:57:54	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 30 to June 1, 2026?	No	SELL	35	100¢	$35	0x9ca5ba…
06-01 12:19:25	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 30 to June 1, 2026?	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x467add…
06-01 12:18:39	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 30 to June 1, 2026?	No	SELL	35	100¢	$35	0xf960f7…
06-01 05:33:21	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 30 to June 1, 2026?	No	BUY	35	99¢	$35	0x8a8210…
06-01 05:31:49	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 30 to June 1, 2026?	No	SELL	35	100¢	$35	0xf5ce4c…
05-31 17:30:03	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 30 to June 1, 2026?	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0xf40eb5…
05-31 17:10:06	Will Elon Musk post 1120-1159 tweets in May 2026?	No	SELL	35	100¢	$35	0xa572e9…
05-29 18:43:22	Will Elon Musk post 1120-1159 tweets in May 2026?	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0xc0782c…
05-29 18:37:29	Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from May 30 to June 1, 2026?	No	SELL	35	100¢	$35	0x568fb1…
05-29 13:46:01	Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from May 30 to June 1, 2026?	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0xf17d29…
05-29 13:35:45	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?	No	SELL	35	100¢	$35	0x267e94…
05-29 06:40:48	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x9f0d15…
05-29 06:40:20	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?	No	SELL	36	100¢	$36	0x3771ce…
05-28 22:50:06	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?	No	BUY	36	100¢	$36	0x60cf42…
05-28 18:11:20	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?	No	SELL	40	100¢	$40	0x209935…
05-28 15:36:33	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?	No	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0x169dc5…
05-28 15:34:32	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?	No	SELL	40	100¢	$40	0x9494f1…
05-28 13:50:47	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?	No	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0x67e68c…
05-28 13:06:39	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?	No	SELL	40	100¢	$40	0x751312…
05-28 10:02:42	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?	No	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0x8b6a64…
05-28 10:01:41	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?	No	SELL	40	100¢	$40	0xb32750…
05-28 07:52:44	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?	No	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0xa8d5ef…
05-28 07:51:48	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0xb841e8…
05-27 21:51:35	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x3f5fa8…
05-11 18:12:45	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0x85ce09…
05-11 06:31:34	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xbd2f9c…
05-11 05:30:47	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0xf61d6e…
05-10 22:28:23	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x507fcf…
05-10 22:26:33	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0xc89b6c…
05-10 07:02:35	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x3bcc13…
05-10 06:47:44	Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from May 9 to May 11, 2026?	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0xb54c43…
05-09 16:49:32	Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from May 9 to May 11, 2026?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xc7bfa4…
05-08 15:34:57	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0x8c5134…
05-08 13:02:14	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xa87fe6…
05-08 13:00:45	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0x575ac7…
05-08 05:40:32	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xbfff07…
05-08 05:39:07	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0x4b666b…
05-07 19:32:48	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x456d9b…
05-07 19:30:33	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0x8aeac5…
05-07 06:22:44	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x599481…
05-07 06:21:56	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0x29b9f1…
05-07 00:29:05	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x4f34fc…
05-07 00:28:30	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0xa389a2…
05-06 22:29:30	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x6b133a…
05-06 22:27:26	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0x6311b3…
05-06 19:25:15	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x309aa7…
05-06 19:24:28	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0x8c7e64…
05-06 12:20:56	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xbb9a1b…
05-06 12:17:20	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0x67e14f…
05-06 09:59:56	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x598d63…
05-06 09:59:16	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x262bbc…
05-06 08:21:20	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xe99c72…
05-05 18:49:40	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $740 Week of May 4 2026?	Yes	SELL	360	2¢	$8	0x3c4d78…
05-05 18:23:46	Will Occidental Petroleum (OXY) beat quarterly earnings?	No	SELL	300	6¢	$18	0xe841d7…
05-05 18:23:28	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $740 Week of May 4 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x36a9f1…
05-05 18:22:56	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $740 Week of May 4 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0x197f48…
05-05 18:20:20	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $740 Week of May 4 2026?	Yes	BUY	323	7¢	$23	0x0b1d8b…
05-05 15:08:54	Will Occidental Petroleum (OXY) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	300	7¢	$21	0x3e5d07…
05-05 13:29:06	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	No	SELL	40	99¢	$40	0x0fc2e7…
05-05 10:53:14	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	No	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0x77535b…
05-05 10:32:42	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	No	SELL	40	100¢	$40	0x3d7105…
05-05 07:29:08	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	No	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0x1731d6…
05-05 07:28:08	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	No	SELL	40	100¢	$40	0xb1249c…
05-05 06:45:04	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	No	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0x3af548…
05-05 06:44:16	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	No	SELL	38	100¢	$38	0xf84429…