Hopeful-Bet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$38

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$558

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-05

last 05-05 18:49

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

60% — —

Other

21% 0% $-38

Sports

19% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

9 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	1	$50	51	0	+51	open	—	04-30 21:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	1	$50	50	0	+50	open	—	04-30 21:49
Will Doja Cat be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?	2	$45	26	60	-34	No	$-16	05-04 11:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	1	$40	42	0	+42	open	—	04-30 23:09
Will Occidental Petroleum (OXY) beat quarterly earnings?	2	$39	300	300	+0	Yes	$-3	05-05 18:23
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $740 Week of May 4 2026?	4	$35	360	360	+0	No	$-18	05-05 18:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	1	$30	30	0	+30	open	—	04-30 22:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	1	$30	30	0	+30	open	—	04-30 21:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	1	$20	20	0	+20	open	—	05-01 21:28
nba cha uta 2026 01 10	3	$16	16	8	+8	open	—	01-11 07:30
bitcoin above 64k on february 13	2	$14	7	7	+0	open	—	02-13 15:16
bitcoin up or down february 15 8am et	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	02-15 14:04
btc updown 5m 1774949100	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	03-31 09:28
nba mia chi 2026 01 08	2	$10	7	7	+0	open	—	01-10 23:28
btc updown 5m 1774948200	1	$9	10	0	+10	open	—	03-31 09:13
btc updown 5m 1771289700	1	$7	8	0	+8	open	—	02-17 00:58
btc updown 5m 1771286400	1	$7	7	0	+7	open	—	02-17 00:04
btc updown 5m 1771287300	1	$7	7	0	+7	open	—	02-17 00:19
btc updown 5m 1771290300	1	$7	8	0	+8	open	—	02-17 01:09
btc updown 5m 1771287600	1	$7	7	0	+7	open	—	02-17 00:24
btc updown 5m 1771289400	1	$6	7	0	+7	open	—	02-17 00:54
nba orl bkn 2026 01 07	1	$6	11	0	+11	open	—	01-07 20:54
nba cle min 2026 01 08	1	$6	11	0	+11	open	—	01-08 20:31
btc updown 5m 1771286100	1	$6	6	0	+6	open	—	02-16 23:59
nba lac bkn 2026 01 09	1	$5	8	0	+8	open	—	01-09 22:36
nba atl den 2026 01 09	1	$5	11	0	+11	open	—	01-09 22:37
nba cle ind 2026 01 06	1	$5	7	0	+7	open	—	01-06 22:17
nba mia ind 2026 01 10	1	$5	7	0	+7	open	—	01-10 23:15
nba dal uta 2026 01 08	1	$5	8	0	+8	open	—	01-08 20:33
nba chi bos 2026 01 05	1	$5	6	0	+6	open	—	01-05 22:16

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-05 18:49:40	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $740 Week of May 4 2026?	Yes	SELL	360	2¢	$8	0x3c4d78…
05-05 18:23:46	Will Occidental Petroleum (OXY) beat quarterly earnings?	No	SELL	300	6¢	$18	0xe841d7…
05-05 18:23:28	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $740 Week of May 4 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x36a9f1…
05-05 18:22:56	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $740 Week of May 4 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0x197f48…
05-05 18:20:20	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $740 Week of May 4 2026?	Yes	BUY	323	7¢	$23	0x0b1d8b…
05-05 15:08:54	Will Occidental Petroleum (OXY) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	300	7¢	$21	0x3e5d07…
05-04 11:37:50	Will Doja Cat be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?	No	SELL	60	53¢	$32	0xf0b3b3…
05-04 11:23:58	Will Doja Cat be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?	No	BUY	26	53¢	$14	0xa52f22…
05-01 21:28:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x85bf80…
04-30 23:09:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	42	95¢	$40	0x484a66…
04-30 22:04:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x37bda7…
04-30 21:49:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x3ef005…
04-30 21:33:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0xf60968…
04-30 21:29:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	51	99¢	$50	0x960ccc…
04-03 06:42:09	nba cle gsw 2026 04 02	Cavaliers	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x740a02…
04-02 22:19:35	nba lal okc 2026 04 02	Thunder	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0x0f7a47…
04-02 22:16:45	nba cle gsw 2026 04 02	Cavaliers	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0x56e0ba…
03-31 09:28:43	btc updown 5m 1774949100	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x440feb…
03-31 09:18:37	btc updown 5m 1774948500	Down	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x728704…
03-31 09:13:27	btc updown 5m 1774948200	Down	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0x17a586…
03-30 22:41:15	nba cle uta 2026 03 30	Cavaliers	BUY	4	93¢	$4	0xa25265…
03-30 22:40:37	nba was lal 2026 03 30	Lakers	BUY	4	93¢	$4	0x41d9d0…
03-30 08:39:42	btc updown 5m 1774859700	Up	BUY	4	98¢	$4	0x111604…
03-30 08:23:40	btc updown 5m 1774858800	Down	BUY	4	95¢	$4	0x0bfa6b…
03-29 20:17:42	nba lac mil 2026 03 29 total 219pt5	Over	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x3473b6…
02-17 01:09:25	btc updown 5m 1771290300	Up	BUY	8	90¢	$7	0xeab78a…
02-17 00:58:41	btc updown 5m 1771289700	Down	BUY	8	91¢	$7	0x9ec936…
02-17 00:54:03	btc updown 5m 1771289400	Down	BUY	7	84¢	$6	0xf729c7…
02-17 00:44:35	btc updown 5m 1771288800	Down	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0xa6e0d8…
02-17 00:35:05	btc updown 5m 1771288200	Up	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0x1f9ece…
02-17 00:24:21	btc updown 5m 1771287600	Up	BUY	7	94¢	$7	0xdfaa96…
02-17 00:19:39	btc updown 5m 1771287300	Down	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x701330…
02-17 00:04:45	btc updown 5m 1771286400	Down	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x92e32f…
02-16 23:59:09	btc updown 5m 1771286100	Down	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x74ef0f…
02-16 23:54:23	btc updown 5m 1771285800	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x40d69d…
02-15 14:24:01	btc updown 5m 1771165200	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xd9c25a…
02-15 14:04:15	bitcoin up or down february 15 8am et	Down	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x463b03…
02-15 13:55:33	bitcoin up or down february 15 8am et	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xb08bce…
02-15 13:29:07	btc updown 5m 1771161900	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xab2485…
02-13 15:16:57	bitcoin above 64k on february 13	Yes	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x5b4359…
02-13 15:12:23	bitcoin above 64k on february 13	Yes	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x6fe8d0…
01-11 07:30:58	nba cha uta 2026 01 10	Hornets	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x2cd785…
01-10 23:33:12	nba cha uta 2026 01 10	Jazz	BUY	8	36¢	$3	0x695aa7…
01-10 23:28:04	nba mia chi 2026 01 08	Heat	SELL	7	67¢	$5	0x528e7c…
01-10 23:15:30	nba cha uta 2026 01 10	Hornets	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x1d696d…
01-10 23:15:16	nba mia ind 2026 01 10	Heat	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0xd5a590…
01-09 22:37:52	nba atl den 2026 01 09	Nuggets	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x67a934…
01-09 22:36:10	nba lac bkn 2026 01 09	Clippers	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x032cf6…
01-09 22:34:18	nba sac gsw 2026 01 09	Warriors	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x46f3d1…
01-08 20:33:56	nba ind cha 2026 01 08	Hornets	BUY	6	63¢	$4	0xb84c2c…
01-08 20:33:34	nba mia chi 2026 01 08	Heat	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x2ecd8e…
01-08 20:33:10	nba dal uta 2026 01 08	Mavericks	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x0c26d7…
01-08 20:31:32	nba cle min 2026 01 08	Timberwolves	BUY	11	57¢	$6	0x13c9bc…
01-07 20:55:33	nba den bos 2026 01 07	Nuggets	BUY	12	25¢	$3	0x34eeb5…
01-07 20:54:37	nba orl bkn 2026 01 07	Magic	BUY	11	54¢	$6	0xafc793…
01-07 20:52:49	nba lac nyk 2026 01 07	Knicks	BUY	6	63¢	$4	0x75a977…
01-06 22:17:27	nba lal nop 2026 01 06	Lakers	BUY	6	68¢	$4	0x9dfddf…
01-06 22:17:03	nba cle ind 2026 01 06	Cavaliers	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x199385…
01-05 22:16:29	nba chi bos 2026 01 05	Celtics	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x994cfe…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Probable-Farrow 0x6814…a9e7	25	$161.3K	2,683	05-01 21:30
Jam-Packed-Loquat 0x371a…34b0	25	$758	112	04-03 04:25
(anonymous) 0x38e5…8a4a	23	$41.4K	7,638	05-01 21:29
(anonymous) 0x8852…c569	22	$3.21K	548	05-01 21:29
(anonymous) 0x7a1f…1033	22	$2.04K	322	04-30 23:10
(anonymous) 0xba26…23c9	21	$98.8K	1,429	02-17 01:09
Dry-Solvency 0x5d3c…c298	21	$3.08K	266	04-30 23:05
(anonymous) 0x1d56…7486	20	$91.3K	282	02-17 00:54