(anonymous) 0x05483b…c4d852
whale cold 2W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$4.52K
Unrealized P&L
+$995
Hit rate
50.9%
Resolved
27
Trades
2,136
lifetime
Volume
$270.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$127
Open exposure
$39.9K
28 positions
First seen
2026-08-03
last 10-27 20:40
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 11 days
Categories
Politics
62% 58% -$5,946
Other
38% 50% +$1,423
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
81 active days in 12wk • peak 263 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +5,995 $5,661 96¢ $5.7K +$85 10-27 20:40
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +7,301 $4,662 68¢ $4.9K +$266 10-26 21:04
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes +6,200 $4,016 66¢ $4.1K +$45 10-25 16:59
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 Yes +3,717 $2,968 82¢ $3.0K +$61 09-25 19:45
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +3,700 $2,330 68¢ $2.5K +$167 10-26 20:53
Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026? Yes +2,370 $2,062 86¢ $2.0K -$24 10-23 07:39
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes +2,735 $2,119 74¢ $2.0K -$82 10-26 19:51
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? No +1,841 $977 96¢ $1.8K +$781 10-27 15:11
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +2,600 $1,662 66¢ $1.7K +$67 10-26 01:21
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +2,400 $1,564 66¢ $1.6K +$32 10-26 02:17
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? Yes +1,914 $1,146 68¢ $1.3K +$146 10-25 11:37
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? No +1,344 $1,296 95¢ $1.3K -$14 10-23 03:57
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No +1,350 $1,010 78¢ $1.0K +$36 10-27 02:04
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? No +1,600 $1,066 62¢ $1000 -$66 10-23 15:02
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? Yes +1,600 $1,068 62¢ $1000 -$68 10-24 06:47
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by December 31? No +993 $890 92¢ $914 +$24 10-26 10:20
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +1,087 $1,031 78¢ $851 -$180 10-27 01:15
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? No +889 $814 94¢ $835 +$22 09-17 11:12
Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026? No +690 $601 96¢ $659 +$58 08-21 01:32
Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026? Yes +500 $295 80¢ $398 +$102 10-21 14:24
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes +500 $299 56¢ $279 -$21 10-01 21:37
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No +309 $198 86¢ $264 +$66 09-20 09:13
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No +500 $363 44¢ $221 -$142 10-02 08:08
Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026? Yes +200 $160 90¢ $181 +$21 09-18 21:39
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +200 $183 79¢ $158 -$25 09-13 18:06
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +309 $201 15¢ $45 -$156 09-20 19:32
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +200 $280 21¢ $42 -$239 09-13 18:52
Will STRC hit $100 by December 31? No +0 -$31 22¢ $0 +$31 10-26 14:32