Realized P&L
-$12
Unrealized P&L
-$8
Hit rate
91.6%
Resolved
124
Trades
159
lifetime
Volume
$19.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$120
Open exposure
$636
9 positions
First seen
2026-01-04
last 10-24 09:36
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 70 days
Categories
Other
53% 80% +$154
Tech
19% 91% +$363
Crypto
15% 91% -$70
Sports
7% 62% -$16
Politics
7% 44% -$443
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
8 active days in 12wk • peak 12 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? No +278 $277 100¢ $277 +$0 10-18 14:16
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? Yes +137 $112 84¢ $116 +$4 10-24 09:36
Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in October? No +80 $76 100¢ $80 +$4 10-05 18:03
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes +85 $57 93¢ $79 +$22 10-05 18:04
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? Yes +81 $57 82¢ $66 +$9 10-05 18:04
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? Yes +58 $15 16¢ $10 -$5 09-05 10:36
gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871 Yes +68 $15 6¢ $4 -$11 08-07 07:51
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? Yes +100 $15 3¢ $3 -$12 09-05 10:36
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes +50 $20 2¢ $1 -$19 10-05 18:03