Passionate-Challenge — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$42

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

96.2%

Resolved

118

Trades

130

lifetime

Volume

$1.95K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$15

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-12

last 10-27 13:41

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 43 days

Categories

Other

70% 98% +$5

Politics

19% 86% -$48

Crypto

10% 100% +$1

Tech

2% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

32 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No		+1	$1	48¢	$1	$0	10-27 13:41

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?	2	$152	76	76	+0	No	+$0	09-07 12:18
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 12 2026	2	$130	65	65	+0	No	+$1	08-13 03:21
Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?	2	$127	64	64	+0	Yes	+$0	08-16 22:59
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?	2	$120	62	62	+0	No	+$0	08-26 16:43
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?	1	$81	82	0	+82	Yes	+$1	10-03 17:32
will xi jinping visit us by september 23	1	$80	80	0	+80	Yes	+$0	09-23 11:06
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 15?	1	$75	75	0	+75	No	+$0	09-16 18:53
Will Jimmy Lai win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	1	$73	73	0	+73	No	+$0	10-09 08:20
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	2	$72	84	0	+84	Yes	-$61	10-25 23:28
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 13 2026	1	$65	66	0	+66	No	+$0	08-13 11:24
GRVT FDV above $50M one day after launch?	1	$65	65	0	+65	Yes	+$0	07-30 11:46
Iran full airspace closure by September 30?	1	$64	65	0	+65	No	+$1	09-27 12:16
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 10 2026	1	$64	65	0	+65	No	+$0	08-10 17:16
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	1	$63	64	0	+64	No	+$1	08-14 16:43
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 22 2026	1	$60	61	0	+61	No	+$1	08-20 11:08
Will Poland be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?	1	$46	46	0	+46	No	+$0	05-14 06:56
will googl reach 400 in june 2026	1	$36	37	0	+37	No	+$0	06-29 23:42
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?	1	$32	32	0	+32	No	+$0	04-28 20:57
nflx above 120 on march 31 2026	1	$31	31	0	+31	No	+$0	03-31 03:49
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	1	$29	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-28 23:17
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $690 in August?	1	$27	27	0	+27	No	+$0	08-27 04:49
will meta dip to 480 in june 2026	1	$26	26	0	+26	No	+$0	06-28 21:27
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in August?	1	$24	24	0	+24	No	+$0	08-28 07:44
Will Solana dip to $70 in May?	1	$19	19	0	+19	No	+$0	05-30 22:25
tsla above 540 on january 30 2026	1	$17	17	0	+17	No	+$0	01-23 22:34
will deepseek have the 1 ai model at the end of february 2026	1	$16	17	0	+17	No	+$0	02-25 14:14
Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?	2	$15	16	0	+16	Yes	+$1	09-02 20:35
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?	1	$14	14	0	+14	No	+$0	09-14 20:12
Will Silver (SI) settle over $75 on the final trading day of June 2026?	1	$13	13	0	+13	No	+$0	06-29 04:02
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	1	$11	11	0	+11	Yes	+$0	08-27 12:48

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 13:41:03	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x7fc406…
10-25 23:28:29	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x038cc5…
10-21 05:05:02	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?	Yes	BUY	12	17¢	$2	0x6f475b…
10-15 02:32:59	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	73	84¢	$62	0x864a21…
10-09 08:20:43	Will Jimmy Lai win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	BUY	73	100¢	$73	0x7464e8…
10-08 18:39:15	Will Solana reach $190 in October?	No	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0x284751…
10-03 17:32:39	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?	Yes	BUY	82	99¢	$81	0xbf92b8…
10-01 00:42:54	Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2e2baa…
09-27 12:16:39	Iran full airspace closure by September 30?	No	BUY	65	98¢	$64	0x3f9616…
09-27 04:29:41	Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7f2ae6…
09-25 05:39:09	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in September?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8d95ed…
09-23 11:06:46	will xi jinping visit us by september 23	Yes	BUY	80	100¢	$80	0xbbbd8a…
09-16 18:53:18	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 15?	No	BUY	75	100¢	$75	0x5a613c…
09-14 20:12:22	US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x44d156…
09-11 19:46:00	Will Yabloko win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xdfe9ff…
09-07 17:11:18	Moscow air traffic suspended by September 15?	Yes	SELL	7	48¢	$3	0xb33b3e…
09-07 12:18:24	US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?	No	SELL	76	100¢	$76	0xd0ab3c…
09-06 05:42:22	us announces end of iranian blockade by september 7 2026	No	BUY	76	99¢	$76	0x6ba252…
09-05 01:42:30	moscow air traffic suspended by september 15 20260824	Yes	BUY	7	48¢	$3	0x01bee4…
09-02 20:35:33	Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x914f88…
09-02 20:01:52	Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	93¢	$14	0x7b4261…
08-28 07:44:12	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in August?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x860baf…
08-27 12:48:42	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	Yes	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xa599c4…
08-27 04:49:06	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $690 in August?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0xd84074…
08-26 16:43:31	US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?	No	SELL	62	97¢	$60	0xcbaf99…
08-24 02:46:16	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642 513 584 641 939 632 729	No	BUY	62	97¢	$60	0x5e936a…
08-21 16:01:12	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 20 to August 22, 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	0¢	$0	0x809bea…
08-21 14:49:31	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 20 to August 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$0	0xe56406…
08-20 11:08:37	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 22 2026	No	BUY	61	99¢	$60	0xddf1a2…
08-19 20:43:09	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$2	0xe81f38…
08-16 22:59:01	Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?	Yes	SELL	64	99¢	$64	0xaedeed…
08-16 22:22:55	Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?	Yes	BUY	64	99¢	$64	0x28f80c…
08-14 16:43:24	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	No	BUY	64	99¢	$63	0x8db16a…
08-14 14:59:15	Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	300	0¢	$0	0xa459d6…
08-14 08:31:58	Will Baidu be the second-best AI lab at the end of August 2026?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$2	0x8b6fda…
08-13 11:24:37	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 13 2026	No	BUY	66	99¢	$65	0xa7e1cb…
08-13 03:21:54	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 12 2026	No	SELL	65	100¢	$65	0xd38b8d…
08-12 08:08:24	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 12 2026	No	BUY	65	99¢	$65	0x327d77…
08-10 17:16:10	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 10 2026	No	BUY	65	100¢	$64	0xd65682…
08-09 01:56:30	Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xa9d252…
08-05 21:01:59	Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x189f54…
08-05 17:02:59	will wti reach 140 in august 2026	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x71776a…
08-03 18:52:59	will wti reach 150 in august 2026	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x0c71e7…
07-30 11:46:36	GRVT FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	65	100¢	$65	0x753f09…
07-29 16:17:33	will spy reach 800 in july 2026	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x5ad128…
07-28 16:30:10	will ethereum reach 2300 in july 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xde5ff0…
07-24 09:45:58	Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xaf2155…
07-24 03:16:58	will xagusd dip to 48 in july 2026	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x567839…
07-21 19:20:54	will bitcoin dip to 42pt5k in july 2026 821	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xfbaa5e…
07-11 04:44:20	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x88646e…
06-29 23:42:44	will googl reach 400 in june 2026	No	BUY	37	100¢	$36	0xd7b05f…
06-29 04:02:11	Will Silver (SI) settle over $75 on the final trading day of June 2026?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xc0b402…
06-28 21:27:23	will meta dip to 480 in june 2026	No	BUY	26	99¢	$26	0x6b41b4…
06-05 23:00:31	Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0xfe995c…
05-30 22:25:42	Will Solana dip to $70 in May?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x05e803…
05-28 23:17:40	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$29	0xb85dd4…
05-23 06:04:50	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $510 in May?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x65c23a…
05-21 18:44:03	Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x395309…
05-19 16:15:10	Will Solana reach $150 in May?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x8aa3fa…
05-18 11:56:32	Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xdffb91…
05-17 05:08:50	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xcfea72…
05-14 06:56:15	Will Poland be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?	No	BUY	46	100¢	$46	0xeedff3…
05-12 02:41:41	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $1.60 in May?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x62b60f…
05-10 10:40:01	Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x19f3ef…
05-08 18:37:05	Will Moonshot have the second best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x86b7e0…
05-08 07:50:01	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in May?	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x6f918d…
05-07 19:52:50	Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in May?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x39c9f0…
05-07 18:43:49	Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in May?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xa0f3e2…
05-07 13:47:43	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x0f39d0…
05-06 14:47:30	Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 in May?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x6414e0…
05-05 16:06:50	Will Amazon be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x92aa00…
04-28 20:57:32	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?	No	BUY	32	99¢	$32	0xe4e3be…
04-27 10:30:34	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $1.60 in April?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x1b6c19…
04-26 00:45:12	Will XRP reach $2.00 in April?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xa4aa4c…
04-25 11:02:46	Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in April?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x8f50d9…
04-23 16:40:42	Will the Bank of Canada announce a 50+ bps decrease at the April meeting?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x45fc91…
04-23 07:38:14	Will Solana reach $150 in April?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x7e88c4…
04-21 11:15:50	Will Amazon have the second best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x9d1704…
04-20 05:40:14	Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 in April?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$2	0x4c17bf…
04-18 19:35:50	Will Ethereum reach $3,800 in April?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xc8985d…
04-17 16:51:34	Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x1c2db9…
04-17 06:35:50	Will XRP reach $2.60 in April?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x27244a…
04-16 19:49:28	Will Tesla be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x9f7ec6…
04-13 20:58:19	Will Hyperliquid dip to $16 in April?	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0xbf15d6…
04-06 21:42:53	Will Ethereum dip to $200 in April?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x86305a…
04-05 17:16:45	Will Ethereum reach $3,800 in April?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xcb7fea…
04-05 05:04:21	Will Meta (META) close above $420 end of April?	Yes	BUY	4	100¢	$3	0x53a1cb…
03-31 03:49:29	nflx above 120 on march 31 2026	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0xd14dc5…
03-30 01:04:16	msft above 465 on march 31 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xfdcf64…
03-29 10:29:16	will apple be the second largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xd6d522…
03-26 20:13:29	msft above 330 on march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x18d0e5…
03-26 07:15:45	will microsoft be the third largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xa14727…
03-24 14:06:21	aapl above 300 on march 31 2026	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xa02bf6…
03-21 18:09:03	will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x4ef794…
03-20 14:44:47	tsla above 470 on march 31 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x7cf745…
03-20 03:22:13	will ethereum reach 3800 in march 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x82b756…
03-17 15:35:03	nflx above 200 on march 31 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xd186de…
03-15 19:46:29	amzn above 150 on march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xde090c…
03-15 15:59:03	nvda above 120 on march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x8a8539…
03-14 02:19:49	aapl above 320 on march 31 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xd8e60c…