Fluid-Artery — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$8

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

81.7%

Resolved

201

Trades

654

lifetime

Volume

$49.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$75

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-19

last 10-06 05:47

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 94 days

Categories

Other

77% 59% +$56

Politics

18% 62% -$64

Crypto

6% 88% +$7

Sports

0% 60% +$9

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	22	$4.2K	2,522	2,522	+0	open	—	07-23 15:57
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	16	$3.1K	1,747	1,747	+0	Yes	+$2	07-29 18:07
will trump visit china by march 31	16	$1.7K	850	850	+0	No	+$2	03-22 15:19
Will Trump visit China by June 30?	6	$1.4K	702	702	+0	Yes	+$1	05-12 18:14
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	10	$1.0K	617	617	+0	No	+$36	07-14 13:03
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	4	$976	521	521	+0	open	—	05-21 09:50
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	18	$856	1,127	1,127	+0	No	-$7	05-19 18:11
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	5	$780	401	401	+0	Yes	+$1	05-24 01:31
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in April?	2	$700	351	351	+0	No	+$0	04-20 14:18
highest temperature in wellington on april 3 2026 19c	2	$669	335	335	+0	Yes	+$1	04-03 11:03
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	8	$660	350	350	+0	Yes	+$6	05-23 17:48
highest temperature in seoul on march 25 2026 15corhigher	2	$660	331	330	+0	No	+$0	03-25 07:22
bitcoin above 74k on march 23	2	$655	328	328	+0	No	+$0	03-23 06:46
highest temperature in milan on april 13 2026 15c	12	$650	326	326	+0	Yes	+$1	04-14 01:37
will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	4	$642	324	324	+0	No	+$0	03-19 14:29
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	2	$617	379	379	+0	No	+$17	05-15 09:14
highest temperature in wellington on april 13 2026 19c	2	$601	302	301	+0	Yes	+$1	04-13 06:45
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	2	$601	306	306	+0	No	+$1	05-01 14:48
highest temperature in seoul on april 11 2026 11c	2	$600	300	300	+0	No	+$0	04-11 08:13
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	2	$600	301	301	+0	No	+$0	04-25 03:23
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	2	$600	301	301	+0	No	$0	05-03 05:10
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	3	$589	305	305	+0	No	+$2	05-26 02:42
Will Backpack launch a token by December 31, 2026?	5	$555	278	278	+0	Yes	+$0	03-23 00:32
highest temperature in tokyo on april 14 2026 21c	5	$500	251	251	+0	Yes	+$2	04-14 09:22
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?	13	$447	266	316	-50	Yes	-$13	06-01 13:20
highest temperature in cape town on april 11 2026 23c	3	$420	110	310	-200	Yes	$0	04-11 16:55
Fed Rate Hike by June 2026 Meeting?	3	$401	202	202	+0	No	+$1	06-17 14:29
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 21?	5	$400	210	210	+0	Yes	+$7	05-21 04:52
highest temperature in seoul on march 28 2026 15c	11	$400	200	200	+0	No	$0	03-28 07:54
highest temperature in seoul on april 14 2026 20c	2	$399	200	200	+0	No	+$0	04-14 02:02

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-06 05:47:25	Will Predict.fun launch a token by September 30, 2027?	Yes	SELL	127	93¢	$119	0x25bbfb…
08-24 09:46:52	Will Predict.fun launch a token by September 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	127	78¢	$100	0x136ddd…
07-29 18:07:54	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x68e2b2…
07-29 17:50:12	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0x4d405e…
07-28 04:01:48	will trump say boeing during fox friends appearance 20260728022316505	Yes	SELL	20	11¢	$2	0xde700f…
07-28 03:54:43	will trump say boeing during fox friends appearance 20260728022316505	Yes	BUY	20	11¢	$2	0x11440c…
07-27 04:24:51	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on July 27?	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0xf210e4…
07-27 04:18:25	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on July 27?	No	SELL	100	98¢	$98	0x1c77c3…
07-27 00:30:55	will ai or artificial intelligence be in the headlines this week 20260724154559251	Yes	SELL	30	94¢	$28	0x5c0724…
07-26 17:03:40	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	121	82¢	$99	0x6a6291…
07-26 17:03:01	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	121	83¢	$100	0x718fb8…
07-26 16:40:55	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	240	84¢	$201	0xb1b83e…
07-26 16:36:01	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	240	83¢	$200	0xae09a0…
07-25 22:21:06	will elon post trump on x this week 20260717142156660	No	BUY	30	89¢	$27	0x8fae13…
07-24 12:51:09	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	266	76¢	$201	0x8409b7…
07-24 12:50:06	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	266	75¢	$200	0x2429ae…
07-24 09:42:40	will elon post trump on x this week 20260717142156660	No	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0x28477f…
07-24 09:42:27	will elon post trump on x this week 20260717142156660	No	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0xb703c7…
07-24 09:02:18	will varrel win more than 1pt5 matches in vct 2026 pacific stage 2 20260710212805238	O 1.5	SELL	20	97¢	$19	0x1eda87…
07-24 07:52:01	will varrel win more than 1pt5 matches in vct 2026 pacific stage 2 20260710212805238	O 1.5	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x275e4f…
07-24 06:12:07	nyt quarterly earnings nongaap eps 08 05 2026 0pt67	No	SELL	20	43¢	$9	0x8515e7…
07-24 06:10:49	nyt quarterly earnings nongaap eps 08 05 2026 0pt67	No	BUY	20	43¢	$9	0xb09597…
07-23 15:57:03	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	SELL	354	85¢	$300	0x750d65…
07-23 15:55:19	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	354	85¢	$300	0x574712…
07-22 15:51:30	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	SELL	236	85¢	$200	0xc03b73…
07-22 15:50:06	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	236	85¢	$200	0xcb1f29…
07-22 06:40:43	will benjamin netanyahu visit new york city by july 31 20260722053445709	Yes	BUY	50	7¢	$4	0x33bb75…
07-22 06:24:57	will townsquare launch a token by december 31 2026 20260720193329913	Yes	SELL	20	92¢	$18	0x2f6235…
07-22 06:09:07	will benjamin netanyahu visit new york city by july 31 20260722053445709	Yes	SELL	50	8¢	$4	0x47f1fe…
07-21 13:16:01	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	SELL	296	85¢	$250	0x68dcce…
07-21 13:13:21	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	296	85¢	$250	0x1bafe1…
07-21 13:11:06	Will Warsh say "Inflation" 20+ times during July Press Conference?	Yes	BUY	20	87¢	$17	0xa8645d…
07-21 06:18:18	Will TownSquare launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0xd6419d…
07-21 05:31:09	will warsh say inflation 20 times during july press conference 20260720204109028	Yes	SELL	20	77¢	$15	0x0c8332…
07-21 05:30:19	will warsh say good afternoon during july press conference 20260720204109060	Yes	SELL	20	10¢	$2	0x65decb…
07-21 03:47:57	will warsh say good afternoon during july press conference 20260720204109060	Yes	BUY	20	11¢	$2	0xc87515…
07-20 16:23:04	will ai or artificial intelligence be in the headlines this week 20260718184512816	Yes	SELL	30	86¢	$26	0x6aa3e5…
07-20 16:22:00	will ai or artificial intelligence be in the headlines this week 20260718184512816	Yes	BUY	30	87¢	$26	0xa33f6d…
07-20 12:57:04	will elon post football on x this week 20260717142156657	Yes	SELL	30	3¢	$1	0xe723ad…
07-20 12:54:40	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	SELL	236	84¢	$200	0x3e7c02…
07-20 12:54:00	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	236	85¢	$200	0x2e8e10…
07-20 12:38:24	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	SELL	236	84¢	$200	0xaaf580…
07-20 12:36:21	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	236	85¢	$200	0x6b3fa0…
07-20 12:35:36	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	214	93¢	$200	0x9f39f3…
07-20 12:34:36	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	214	93¢	$200	0xb24562…
07-20 08:40:01	will elon post football on x this week 20260717142156657	Yes	BUY	30	6¢	$2	0xd81f07…
07-20 04:16:54	will elon post trump on x this week 20260710173822737	No	SELL	30	99¢	$30	0xab2311…
07-20 04:12:19	will elon post trump on x this week 20260710173822737	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xef0654…
07-20 04:12:19	will elon post trump on x this week 20260710173822737	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xbceef4…
07-20 04:12:19	will elon post trump on x this week 20260710173822737	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x3e06a1…
07-19 14:54:01	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	265	94¢	$250	0x438982…
07-19 14:51:18	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	265	94¢	$250	0x6e2b47…
07-19 13:06:48	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	SELL	235	85¢	$200	0xd5b3bf…
07-19 13:05:51	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	235	85¢	$200	0xcfce10…
07-17 15:28:55	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	SELL	239	84¢	$199	0xd41a68…
07-17 15:27:01	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	239	84¢	$200	0xd26cc3…
07-16 16:45:40	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	SELL	239	84¢	$200	0x7a7995…
07-16 16:44:32	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	239	84¢	$200	0x5f78b6…
07-15 15:31:46	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	315	95¢	$300	0x916f54…
07-15 15:29:31	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	315	95¢	$300	0xaaf067…
07-15 15:28:41	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	315	95¢	$300	0x8f6bb9…
07-15 15:27:35	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	315	95¢	$300	0xdb0120…
07-14 13:03:04	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	200	93¢	$186	0xfb332c…
07-14 12:49:20	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	50	94¢	$47	0xcde1fe…
07-14 05:15:53	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	46	65¢	$30	0x914a2f…
07-14 04:50:46	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	4	65¢	$3	0xbf24f8…
07-14 04:49:49	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	0	65¢	$0	0x44f8fc…
07-11 10:40:16	will elon post trump on x this week 20260710173822737	No	BUY	30	61¢	$18	0xe2b45e…
07-11 07:48:29	Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	5	82¢	$4	0x07ee52…
07-11 07:00:43	will bank of america say growth 5 times during earnings call 20260710144833029	Yes	BUY	30	95¢	$29	0x3616cb…
07-11 04:08:02	will bank of america say ai or artificial intelligence 5 times during earnings call 20260710144833028	Yes	SELL	30	83¢	$25	0x27a79d…
07-11 04:06:53	will bank of america say growth 5 times during earnings call 20260710144833029	Yes	SELL	30	96¢	$29	0xd954dc…
07-10 14:44:59	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	SELL	193	78¢	$150	0x9692fe…
07-10 14:42:55	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	193	78¢	$150	0xa59a14…
07-10 14:34:58	will united airlines say fuel oil during earnings call 20260709145423407	Yes	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0xbe196e…
07-10 09:12:49	will united airlines say fuel oil during earnings call 20260709145423407	Yes	SELL	6	96¢	$6	0xf10819…
07-09 17:35:49	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	124	85¢	$106	0xe2a073…
07-09 09:24:08	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	124	81¢	$100	0x4919bc…
07-09 02:48:26	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on July 8?	Yes	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0x03964a…
07-08 06:24:56	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on July 8?	Yes	SELL	12	25¢	$3	0xd60980…
07-08 06:17:32	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on July 8?	Yes	BUY	12	25¢	$3	0xe521d4…
07-08 04:49:04	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on July 8?	Yes	BUY	50	11¢	$5	0x621b63…
07-08 04:47:32	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on July 8?	Yes	BUY	20	9¢	$2	0x72df77…
07-08 04:44:50	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on July 8?	Yes	BUY	50	53¢	$26	0xcc9305…
07-08 04:41:26	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on July 8?	Yes	BUY	46	26¢	$12	0xb791b4…
07-08 04:41:23	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on July 8?	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x534289…
07-07 14:11:44	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	200	85¢	$170	0x1e10c5…
07-07 10:56:11	Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	100	6¢	$6	0x41a66c…
07-07 10:23:56	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 9?	Yes	SELL	14	30¢	$4	0x53e1c1…
07-07 10:18:02	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 9?	Yes	BUY	14	30¢	$4	0x54f406…
07-07 09:11:35	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 7?	No	BUY	50	3¢	$2	0x583728…
07-06 09:24:22	Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0xcd9a1f…
07-06 07:14:23	Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	100	5¢	$5	0x7b76f6…
07-06 07:08:34	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	SELL	129	78¢	$100	0x2cc78e…
07-06 07:07:28	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	129	78¢	$100	0xa8ef43…
07-06 07:06:01	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 6?	Yes	SELL	35	85¢	$30	0x0409b4…
07-06 06:19:59	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 6?	Yes	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0xd64515…
07-06 06:19:34	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 6?	Yes	BUY	14	91¢	$13	0x7005da…
07-06 06:17:56	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 6?	Yes	BUY	10	91¢	$9	0xace8e1…
07-06 05:08:02	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on July 6?	No	SELL	50	9¢	$4	0x59011d…