Hot-Illness — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$3.23K

Unrealized P&L

-$287

Hit rate

45.2%

Resolved

188

Trades

395

lifetime

Volume

$17.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$44

Open exposure

$13

1 position

First seen

2026-03-21

last 09-06 14:25

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 56 days

Categories

Sports

64% 46% -$1,132

Other

27% 24% -$1,856

Politics

8% 24% -$167

Crypto

1% 58% -$73

Tech

0% 36% +$3

Pop-Culture

0% 0% -$10

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?	Yes		+2,326	$300	1¢	$13	-$287	08-17 07:43

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	24	$3.0K	2,630	2,630	+0	open	—	07-26 22:28
Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	3	$970	2,375	0	+2,375	open	—	05-24 15:26
will mrbeasts next video get between 50 and 53 million views on day 2 796	3	$855	505	505	+0	Yes	+$56	04-06 15:46
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	6	$779	614	614	+0	Yes	+$58	04-05 13:30
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$596	1,852	1,852	+0	No	-$4	06-10 00:03
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$556	20,575	20,575	+0	No	-$21	06-10 00:10
will mrbeasts latest video get 76 million or more views on day 6	3	$516	438	438	+0	Yes	+$116	04-10 13:08
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$478	3,093	3,093	+0	No	-$122	06-30 13:32
Will Lando Norris win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?	3	$368	376	0	+376	No	+$1	06-07 12:33
will mrbeasts next video get between 53 and 56 million views on day 2	4	$364	667	267	+400	Yes	-$76	03-23 07:45
will mrbeasts latest video get between 65 and 66 million views on day 4	3	$309	479	273	+206	No	-$100	04-07 23:50
Will Isack Hadjar get pole position at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?	2	$302	304	0	+304	No	+$2	06-06 00:16
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$300	15,000	0	+15,000	No	-$300	06-07 21:54
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$300	7,500	0	+7,500	No	-$300	06-06 00:28
Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$300	21,429	0	+21,429	No	-$300	06-06 00:29
Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?	1	$300	2,326	0	+2,326	open	—	08-17 07:43
Will Lewis Hamilton finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix?	1	$300	386	0	+386	No	+$86	09-06 13:14
Will George Russell get pole position at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?	1	$280	298	0	+298	No	+$18	06-06 00:18
Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1?	3	$260	3,779	112	+3,667	No	-$162	04-05 13:35
will trump say nato during address to the nation 235	1	$241	267	0	+267	No	-$241	04-01 17:07
will mrbeasts next video get between 50 and 53 million views on day 2	4	$239	739	30	+710	No	-$201	03-23 10:28
fifwc esp ksa 2026 06 21 corners first half total 3pt5	2	$235	136	136	+0	Over	+$37	06-21 18:05
Will Fernando Alonso achieve the fastest lap at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?	1	$228	228	0	+228	No	+$0	06-07 14:11
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	2	$200	241	0	+241	No	+$41	03-23 15:05
f1 dutch grand prix driver podium hamilton 2026 08 23	1	$185	544	0	+544	No	-$185	08-23 12:33
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$178	1,439	0	+1,439	No	-$178	06-23 14:53
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$166	100	100	+0	Yes	+$0	06-01 10:31
Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	1	$157	1,673	0	+1,673	No	-$157	08-24 19:36
Will Lando Norris finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?	2	$153	153	0	+153	No	+$0	06-07 14:13
will mrbeasts latest video get between 71 and 72 million views on day 5	1	$150	641	0	+641	No	-$150	04-09 13:16

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-06 14:25:55	Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	365	27¢	$100	0x15239e…
09-06 13:20:24	Will Pierre Gasly achieve the fastest lap at the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	794	6¢	$50	0x284cdb…
09-06 13:16:31	Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix?	No	BUY	110	86¢	$95	0xa16d43…
09-06 13:14:24	Will Lewis Hamilton finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix?	No	BUY	386	78¢	$300	0x98ff74…
08-24 19:36:25	Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	BUY	1,673	9¢	$157	0xc4eeef…
08-24 19:34:30	Will Kimi Antonelli finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix?	No	BUY	172	79¢	$136	0x2a8dd7…
08-23 12:33:07	f1 dutch grand prix driver podium hamilton 2026 08 23	Yes	BUY	544	34¢	$185	0x5ee9b9…
08-22 14:25:00	Will Oscar Piastri get pole position at the 2026 F1 Dutch Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	50	19¢	$10	0x2d2d43…
08-22 14:24:48	Will Oscar Piastri get pole position at the 2026 F1 Dutch Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0x123a65…
08-22 14:24:39	Will Oscar Piastri get pole position at the 2026 F1 Dutch Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0x96c7e4…
08-22 14:24:30	Will Oscar Piastri get pole position at the 2026 F1 Dutch Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	61	18¢	$11	0x308ed7…
08-22 14:23:57	Will Oscar Piastri get pole position at the 2026 F1 Dutch Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	250	18¢	$44	0x37a7d7…
08-22 14:22:43	Will Lando Norris get pole position at the 2026 F1 Dutch Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	478	21¢	$100	0xb38f16…
08-22 14:22:33	Will George Russell get pole position at the 2026 F1 Dutch Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	453	22¢	$100	0x746ea5…
08-17 07:43:24	Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?	Yes	BUY	2,326	13¢	$300	0xb544f8…
07-26 22:28:16	Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	SELL	0	75¢	$0	0x03fb6e…
07-26 20:34:30	Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	SELL	1,013	75¢	$756	0x6a36ac…
07-26 16:53:15	Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	SELL	1	75¢	$1	0xc7c51a…
07-26 15:15:58	Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	SELL	670	75¢	$500	0x185320…
07-26 15:10:15	Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	SELL	150	75¢	$112	0x094127…
07-26 15:06:13	Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	SELL	7	75¢	$5	0x1da124…
07-26 14:57:43	Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	SELL	25	75¢	$18	0x87ff5f…
07-26 14:57:34	Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	SELL	105	75¢	$78	0xa96f01…
07-26 14:57:03	Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	SELL	379	75¢	$283	0x65d9c1…
07-26 14:49:43	Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	SELL	3	75¢	$2	0xd236b5…
07-24 10:12:34	Will Charles Leclerc achieve the fastest lap at the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	540	19¢	$100	0x5bca81…
07-24 10:12:25	Will Lewis Hamilton achieve the fastest lap at the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	504	20¢	$100	0x60f43f…
07-24 09:23:45	Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	SELL	170	75¢	$127	0x6c7c26…
07-24 09:06:21	Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	SELL	5	75¢	$4	0x9df6c5…
07-24 08:44:55	Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	SELL	31	75¢	$23	0x0f88f3…
07-24 08:21:04	Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	SELL	13	75¢	$10	0x00e66b…
07-24 05:27:06	Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	SELL	1	75¢	$1	0xc783e8…
07-24 05:20:06	Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	SELL	8	75¢	$6	0x20b27f…
07-24 05:11:24	Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	SELL	1	75¢	$1	0x5ec172…
07-24 05:04:58	Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	SELL	1	75¢	$1	0xa8395a…
07-24 01:41:51	Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	SELL	5	75¢	$4	0x6bdce9…
07-24 01:22:03	Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	SELL	6	75¢	$5	0xd87baa…
07-24 00:58:37	Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	SELL	7	75¢	$5	0xe77028…
07-23 20:12:37	Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	SELL	22	75¢	$16	0x54bcae…
07-23 19:15:52	Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	SELL	6	75¢	$5	0x80a46f…
07-23 11:46:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-23 11:45 UTC	Down	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x760594…
07-22 23:44:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x8bff23…
07-22 22:50:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-22 22:50 UTC	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xb3f4eb…
07-22 22:37:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-22 22:35 UTC	Up	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0x1e7050…
07-22 22:31:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-22 22:30 UTC	Up	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0x10fc55…
07-22 22:28:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-22 22:25 UTC	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x67daff…
07-22 22:22:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-22 22:20 UTC	Up	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x0f3202…
07-22 22:19:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-22 22:15 UTC	Up	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x4bd5a3…
07-22 22:10:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-22 22:10 UTC	Up	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x9a111b…
07-22 22:05:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-22 22:05 UTC	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xa02ac3…
07-22 22:02:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-22 22:00 UTC	Down	SELL	7	98¢	$7	0xc1616d…
07-22 22:01:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-22 22:00 UTC	Down	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x7871f8…
07-22 21:59:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-22 21:55 UTC	Down	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0xf700be…
07-22 21:51:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-22 21:50 UTC	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xf882ba…
07-22 21:47:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-22 21:45 UTC	Down	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0xf335f9…
07-22 21:34:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-22 21:30 UTC	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xb076ac…
07-22 21:29:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-22 21:25 UTC	Down	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0xf06a74…
07-22 21:24:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-22 21:20 UTC	Down	SELL	7	94¢	$6	0x1a1b35…
07-22 21:23:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-22 21:20 UTC	Down	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x6255f1…
07-22 21:17:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-22 21:15 UTC	Up	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0x9df529…
07-22 14:54:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-22 14:50 UTC	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x6a452f…
07-22 14:28:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-22 14:25 UTC	Down	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x005687…
07-22 14:04:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-22 14:00 UTC	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xfa8eb5…
07-22 13:59:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-22 13:55 UTC	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xedb0aa…
07-22 13:59:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-22 13:55 UTC	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xd28f74…
07-22 13:54:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-22 13:50 UTC	Up	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0xfa8cd5…
07-06 14:35:01	will julin lvarez score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	Yes	BUY	143	44¢	$63	0x0dfc27…
07-06 14:34:02	will dani olmo score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	Yes	BUY	30	40¢	$12	0x877da1…
07-06 14:33:40	will bruno fernandes score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	Yes	BUY	199	27¢	$54	0x84d706…
07-06 14:33:25	will ferran torres score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	Yes	BUY	159	32¢	$51	0xca3536…
07-02 08:41:04	Will LeBron James play for the New York Knicks in 2026-27?	Yes	SELL	80	1¢	$1	0x58f858…
07-02 08:40:58	Will LeBron James play for the Houston Rockets in 2026-27?	Yes	SELL	77	0¢	$0	0x2fe355…
07-02 08:40:41	Will LeBron James play for the Washington Wizards in 2026-27?	Yes	SELL	80	1¢	$1	0x9d5b10…
07-02 08:40:34	Will LeBron James play for the Boston Celtics in 2026-27?	Yes	SELL	69	0¢	$0	0xb75a1a…
07-02 08:40:13	Will LeBron James play for the Denver Nuggets in 2026-27?	Yes	SELL	100	2¢	$2	0xd7b8b0…
07-02 08:40:04	Will LeBron James play for the Minnesota Timberwolves in 2026-27?	Yes	SELL	96	2¢	$2	0x102541…
07-02 08:39:53	Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?	Yes	SELL	93	5¢	$5	0x692570…
06-30 13:32:04	Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	3,093	6¢	$178	0xef3317…
06-29 20:22:59	fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 goals deniz undav gte1	Yes	BUY	146	41¢	$60	0x48127b…
06-29 20:20:46	will joo cancelo score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	No	SELL	67	91¢	$61	0xf414ac…
06-29 20:19:10	Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?	Yes	BUY	133	74¢	$99	0xe50671…
06-29 15:01:59	fifwc bra jpn 2026 06 29 team to advance	Japan	BUY	170	27¢	$46	0xf346a0…
06-28 19:57:14	fifwc rsa can 2026 06 28 team to advance	Canada	BUY	146	68¢	$100	0x06b8b0…
06-23 21:39:41	fifwc eng gha 2026 06 23 total 0pt5	Over	BUY	165	55¢	$92	0x6b05ae…
06-23 14:53:26	Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	1,439	12¢	$178	0xd13a3e…
06-22 23:57:44	fifwc nor sen 2026 06 22 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	94	53¢	$50	0x97efd2…
06-22 08:07:50	will martin degaard score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	No	SELL	115	60¢	$69	0x72e2b8…
06-21 18:10:46	Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?	Yes	BUY	81	70¢	$57	0x00d21f…
06-21 18:06:59	fifwc bel irn 2026 06 21 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	146	53¢	$77	0xdd00db…
06-21 18:05:50	fifwc esp ksa 2026 06 21 corners first half total 3pt5	Over	SELL	136	100¢	$136	0x98cfd5…
06-21 13:07:17	fifwc esp ksa 2026 06 21 corners first half total 3pt5	Over	BUY	136	73¢	$99	0x1f5a67…
06-21 11:26:47	Will LeBron James play for the San Antonio Spurs in 2026-27?	Yes	SELL	5	15¢	$1	0x8d7e76…
06-20 18:22:44	Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?	Yes	SELL	10	20¢	$2	0x71e525…
06-20 02:39:16	will arda gler score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	Yes	BUY	60	50¢	$30	0xe3a8d2…
06-19 20:10:53	will arda gler score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	Yes	BUY	38	50¢	$19	0x964d50…
06-19 07:00:28	will arda gler score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	Yes	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xf19388…
06-18 04:40:20	Will LeBron James play for the San Antonio Spurs in 2026-27?	Yes	SELL	5	15¢	$1	0x19f982…
06-15 05:28:42	Will LeBron James play for the San Antonio Spurs in 2026-27?	Yes	SELL	13	15¢	$2	0xabe50b…
06-12 12:51:30	Will Romelu Lukaku record the most goal contributions at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	17	1¢	$0	0x7fc9f7…
06-12 12:48:15	Will Romelu Lukaku record the most goal contributions at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	17	1¢	$0	0xc9bba3…