Frequent-Dandelion — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$55

Unrealized P&L

-$9

Hit rate

51.3%

Resolved

Trades

113

lifetime

Volume

$427

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$20

5 positions

First seen

2026-01-09

last 11-08 17:12

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 39 days

Categories

Other

51% 29% +$38

Sports

24% 24% -$4

Crypto

15% 48% -$3

Politics

10% 33% +$25

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

10 active days in 12wk • peak 16 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (25) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	Yes	+22	$5	44¢	$9	+$4	07-08 10:51
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration before 2027?	Yes	+32	$4	14¢	$4	+$0	09-05 22:28
Callum Turner announced as next James Bond?	Yes	+18	$5	23¢	$4	-$1	10-23 10:58
Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?	Yes	+27	$10	8¢	$2	-$8	09-05 22:29
Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix?	Yes	+17	$5	0¢	$0	-$5	11-08 17:12

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
tulsi gabbard out by march 31	3	$46	102	102	+0	No	+$16	03-18 09:34
Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?	2	$25	22	22	+0	Yes	+$15	06-24 17:14
will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	2	$23	35	18	+18	No	+$3	03-30 23:35
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	4	$20	29	20	+9	Yes	+$9	06-04 21:45
ice shooter charged by march 31	1	$15	73	0	+73	No	-$15	01-09 20:01
Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix?	3	$10	64	0	+64	No	-$10	09-26 12:24
will the us accuse iran of oslo embassy attack	1	$10	30	0	+30	No	-$10	03-08 14:37
Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?	1	$10	27	0	+27	open	—	09-05 22:29
kristi noem out by march 31	1	$9	67	0	+67	Yes	+$57	01-10 16:06
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-19 19:20 UTC	5	$8	16	16	+0	Down	+$2	03-19 19:24
Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix?	3	$8	81	81	+0	No	-$8	09-06 14:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	3	$6	5	5	+0	Down	+$2	10-25 13:33
Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix?	1	$5	66	0	+66	Yes	-$5	09-26 12:39
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	1	$5	83	0	+83	No	-$5	10-25 13:56
maduro mugshot released by january 16	1	$5	95	0	+95	No	-$5	01-09 20:04
Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?	1	$5	119	0	+119	No	-$5	07-25 11:54
Will Tom Holland receive an Oscar nomination?	1	$5	38	0	+38	open	—	11-03 19:16
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in September?	1	$5	63	0	+63	No	-$5	09-20 12:46
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$5	31	0	+31	Yes	+$26	06-09 09:59
Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix?	1	$5	17	0	+17	open	—	11-08 17:12
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?	1	$5	25	0	+25	Yes	+$20	10-20 14:18
la mayoral election recount of 1st round 20260607215128440	1	$5	31	0	+31	No	-$5	06-09 09:07
Callum Turner announced as next James Bond?	1	$5	18	0	+18	open	—	10-23 10:58
Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$5	1,000	0	+1,000	No	-$5	06-15 17:18
body cam footage of maduro capture released buy jan 31	1	$5	113	0	+113	No	-$5	01-09 20:09
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	1	$5	22	0	+22	open	—	07-08 10:51
will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	1	$5	24	0	+24	Yes	+$19	07-08 08:57
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?	1	$5	13	0	+13	Yes	+$8	06-20 20:33
Another EU country restricts U.S. military aircraft by April 30?	1	$5	22	0	+22	No	-$5	04-07 11:27
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30?	1	$5	89	0	+89	No	-$5	04-07 19:53

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-08 17:12:06	Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0x928264…
11-07 20:43:09	Will Fernando Alonso get pole position at the 2026 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix?	Yes	SELL	24	0¢	$0	0x1eb367…
11-07 20:20:30	Will Kimi Antonelli get pole position at the 2026 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	33	9¢	$3	0x2e465b…
11-07 20:16:42	Will Fernando Alonso get pole position at the 2026 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	24	13¢	$3	0xed2b6f…
11-03 19:16:19	Will Tom Holland receive an Oscar nomination?	Yes	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0x782b0d…
10-25 13:56:57	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	83	6¢	$5	0xaebb7b…
10-25 13:40:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	SELL	3	70¢	$2	0xba33b7…
10-25 13:40:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x70f122…
10-25 13:36:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x534f1c…
10-25 13:36:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x561632…
10-25 13:35:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xefc5aa…
10-25 13:33:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	SELL	5	83¢	$4	0x316fa6…
10-25 13:31:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x894362…
10-25 13:30:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x0aa9a5…
10-25 13:26:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x9caddf…
10-25 13:25:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x13c7fc…
10-25 13:23:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x210207…
10-25 13:22:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xe57176…
10-25 13:20:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x163f92…
10-25 13:19:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xc64ecc…
10-25 13:18:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x4399e5…
10-23 10:58:00	Callum Turner announced as next James Bond?	Yes	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x2e0386…
10-20 14:18:45	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?	Yes	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x90864a…
10-20 14:18:06	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0xefdb5e…
10-20 14:17:56	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?	Yes	BUY	111	1¢	$1	0xad8d11…
09-26 12:39:29	Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix?	No	BUY	66	8¢	$5	0xa72b7f…
09-26 12:24:14	Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0x3cc033…
09-26 12:12:48	Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	12	17¢	$2	0x479b93…
09-26 11:15:47	Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	11	28¢	$3	0x11b9a8…
09-26 11:15:39	Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	38	8¢	$3	0x90c274…
09-20 12:47:07	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in September?	Yes	BUY	63	5¢	$3	0x30bf2d…
09-20 12:46:54	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in September?	Yes	BUY	63	8¢	$5	0x222fb7…
09-06 14:55:27	Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix?	Yes	SELL	81	0¢	$0	0x350d1f…
09-06 14:31:09	Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	64	5¢	$3	0xc8ac59…
09-06 13:56:36	Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0xc2aa48…
09-05 22:29:12	Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?	Yes	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0xe455b8…
09-05 22:28:06	Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration before 2027?	Yes	BUY	32	13¢	$4	0xa36e98…
07-25 11:54:51	Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?	Yes	BUY	119	4¢	$5	0x80333c…
07-14 10:35:32	Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	16	19¢	$3	0x5d7453…
07-10 20:54:07	Will Spain vs. Belgium end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	35	8¢	$3	0x7e6d90…
07-08 10:51:52	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	Yes	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0xbc70ed…
07-08 08:57:49	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622192122521	Yes	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0xad546f…
07-08 08:57:22	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	Yes	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0x79a899…
07-08 08:56:25	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586	Yes	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0x6950df…
07-05 22:00:19	Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	94	5¢	$5	0xb89bbc…
07-05 14:40:19	Will Max Verstappen achieve the fastest lap at the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	18	27¢	$5	0x0a01dd…
06-26 19:52:14	Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x3dc4ad…
06-26 19:51:56	Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	18	11¢	$2	0x0cd01c…
06-26 19:51:41	Will Kimi Antonelli get pole position at the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0xc1d2f1…
06-24 17:14:04	Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	SELL	22	91¢	$20	0xedc368…
06-22 08:40:49	Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0xaaaf8e…
06-20 20:33:13	Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?	Yes	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0xcb73a8…
06-15 17:18:22	Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$5	0xbb0d9f…
06-15 17:08:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-15 17:05 UTC	Down	SELL	4	49¢	$2	0x07b950…
06-15 17:05:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x366735…
06-15 17:01:22	Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	8	36¢	$3	0xef1da9…
06-09 09:59:52	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0x2ec69b…
06-09 09:07:01	la mayoral election recount of 1st round 20260607215128440	Yes	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0x3b42fa…
06-07 18:59:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 18:55 UTC	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xd51712…
06-07 18:55:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 18:55 UTC	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x2b08f9…
06-04 21:51:15	Will Kimi Antonelli get pole position at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	19	16¢	$3	0x67d3b1…
06-04 21:50:37	Will there be a red flag during the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0xaf2748…
06-04 21:45:09	Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0xb549c2…
06-04 03:07:39	Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	0	51¢	$0	0xddcf4c…
06-04 03:07:34	Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	19	51¢	$10	0xe01316…
06-01 19:45:10	Will Austria win on 2026-06-01?	Yes	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0x0c97a6…
05-28 15:53:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	SELL	4	43¢	$2	0xc2bce1…
05-28 15:52:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xee2ebc…
05-25 18:12:19	Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	20	26¢	$5	0xec8ad7…
05-18 08:51:48	No-Confidence Vote against Starmer by June 30?	Yes	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0xcc913d…
05-03 16:56:22	Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0xdcbba4…
05-01 09:06:18	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	Yes	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0x0ea724…
05-01 09:00:30	Kash Patel out by May 31?	Yes	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0x44d263…
04-07 19:53:53	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30?	Yes	BUY	89	6¢	$5	0xef0847…
04-07 11:27:59	Steve Bannon exonerated by April 30?	Yes	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x5166a0…
04-07 11:27:11	Another EU country restricts U.S. military aircraft by April 30?	Yes	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0xc9367b…
03-30 23:35:47	will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	Yes	SELL	18	75¢	$13	0x1d97f1…
03-26 20:19:49	will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	Yes	BUY	35	28¢	$10	0x3e543e…
03-26 20:00:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-26 19:55 UTC	Down	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x605ae4…
03-26 19:57:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-26 19:55 UTC	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xaeeb69…
03-22 21:13:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-22 21:10 UTC	Up	SELL	3	8¢	$0	0x7dd54c…
03-22 21:11:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-22 21:10 UTC	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xb68c2f…
03-21 19:28:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-21 19:25 UTC	Down	SELL	3	43¢	$1	0x6ce94d…
03-21 19:26:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-21 19:25 UTC	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xe0b0a7…
03-21 19:24:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-21 19:20 UTC	Down	SELL	4	33¢	$1	0x71e5a4…
03-21 19:23:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-21 19:20 UTC	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xa63075…
03-21 19:20:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-21 19:15 UTC	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x155713…
03-21 19:19:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-21 19:15 UTC	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x4f27ef…
03-21 19:09:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-21 19:05 UTC	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x345fe9…
03-21 18:59:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-21 18:55 UTC	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x5c0e95…
03-21 18:59:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-21 18:55 UTC	Down	SELL	3	40¢	$1	0xa60b10…
03-21 18:56:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-21 18:55 UTC	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x67e123…
03-19 19:35:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-19 19:30 UTC	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$2	0xf55b80…
03-19 19:31:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-19 19:30 UTC	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x71e946…
03-19 19:26:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-19 19:25 UTC	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x1063b7…
03-19 19:24:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-19 19:20 UTC	Up	SELL	5	34¢	$2	0x14ad36…
03-19 19:23:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-19 19:20 UTC	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xa590be…
03-19 19:23:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-19 19:20 UTC	Up	SELL	12	32¢	$4	0x953319…
03-19 19:23:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-19 19:20 UTC	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x3d0ea8…
03-19 19:22:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-19 19:20 UTC	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xa0b0dc…