Realized P&L
-$393
Unrealized P&L
-$76
Hit rate
92.9%
Resolved
2,552
Trades
6,055
lifetime
Volume
$110.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$18
Open exposure
$1.80K
30 positions
First seen
2026-05-08
last 10-05 22:34
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 113 days
Categories
Other
71% 87% -$7
Politics
16% 91% +$621
Sports
6% 90% -$343
Crypto
4% 39% -$393
Tech
2% 81% -$71
Pop-Culture
1% 90% -$200
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
25 active days in 12wk • peak 201 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Jimmie Åkesson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +278 $276 100¢ $278 +$1 08-20 08:57
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No +278 $271 100¢ $277 +$6 08-03 22:01
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? No +200 $188 99¢ $198 +$10 07-31 20:42
Will the US strike 15 or more countries in 2026? No +121 $121 100¢ $121 $0 08-06 01:44
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Qatar / UAE before 2027? No +111 $110 99¢ $110 $0 07-30 22:52
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Belarus before 2027? No +92 $92 100¢ $92 $0 07-30 21:26
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Turkey before 2027? No +92 $92 100¢ $92 +$0 07-30 21:26
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Finland? No +84 $84 100¢ $84 +$0 08-03 15:26
Will Trump and Putin meet next in another country? No +65 $64 99¢ $64 +$0 07-26 12:20
Will Benny Gantz be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +45 $45 100¢ $45 +$0 07-16 13:36
Will Israel Katz be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +45 $45 100¢ $45 +$0 07-16 13:36
Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +45 $45 99¢ $44 $0 07-16 13:36
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +45 $41 96¢ $43 +$1 07-16 13:36
Will the US strike 13 countries in 2026? No +40 $40 100¢ $40 +$0 08-02 20:04
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +130 $82 29¢ $37 -$45 08-03 10:45
Will Trump and Putin meet next in a Gulf country? No +29 $29 100¢ $29 +$0 08-06 01:50
Will Oura's market cap be less than $7.5B at market close on IPO day? No +23 $21 99¢ $23 +$2 08-09 01:04
Will Oura's market cap be at least $20B at market close on IPO day? No +23 $20 97¢ $23 +$3 08-09 01:04
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Russia before 2027? No +19 $19 100¢ $19 $0 07-30 22:52
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in China before 2027? No +19 $19 100¢ $19 $0 07-30 22:52
Will Frosinone win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship? No +18 $18 100¢ $18 $0 07-26 16:25
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China? No +84 $73 20¢ $17 -$56 08-03 15:26
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 3.0% and 4.0%? No +17 $16 99¢ $17 +$0 07-15 07:37
Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +16 $13 78¢ $12 -$1 07-24 15:34
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.0% at the end of 2026? No +9 $9 100¢ $9 +$0 08-02 08:35
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.75% at the end of 2026? No +9 $9 100¢ $9 +$0 08-02 08:35
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.25% at the end of 2026? No +9 $9 100¢ $9 +$0 08-02 08:35
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Russia? No +9 $9 99¢ $9 +$0 08-06 01:50
Will Yolanda Díaz be the next Prime Minister of Spain? No +8 $8 100¢ $8 $0 08-03 19:01
Will Santiago Abascal be the next Prime Minister of Spain? No +8 $7 98¢ $8 +$0 08-03 19:01