Realized P&L (7d)
-$10
Unrealized P&L
+$55
Hit rate
0.0%
Resolved (7d)
1
Trades (7d)
0
6,055 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$0
$110.6K lifetime
Avg / trade
$18
Open exposure
$2.57K
30 positions
First seen
2026-05-08
last 10-05 22:34
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 115 days
Categories
Other
71% 87% -$7
Politics
16% 91% +$621
Sports
6% 89% -$352
Crypto
4% 39% -$393
Tech
2% 81% -$71
Pop-Culture
1% 90% -$200
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
17 active days in 12wk • peak 201 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No +278 $271 100¢ $277 +$5 08-03 22:01
Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No +248 $247 100¢ $248 +$0 08-03 17:57
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? No +200 $188 99¢ $199 +$11 07-31 20:42
Will Dune: Messiah have the 3rd best domestic opening weekend in 2026? No +154 $153 98¢ $151 -$3 08-01 16:26
Will The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping have the 3rd best domestic opening weekend in 2026? No +154 $147 89¢ $136 -$11 08-01 16:26
Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No +130 $130 100¢ $130 +$0 08-03 22:01
Will the US strike 15 or more countries in 2026? No +121 $121 100¢ $121 $0 08-06 01:44
Will Facundo Manes win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? No +120 $120 100¢ $120 +$0 07-31 20:14
Will Dante Gebel win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? No +120 $117 99¢ $119 +$2 07-31 20:14
Will HLE be number 1 on the end of year Global Power Rankings? No +112 $84 100¢ $112 +$28 08-03 11:35
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Qatar / UAE before 2027? No +111 $110 100¢ $111 +$1 07-30 22:52
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Belarus before 2027? No +92 $92 100¢ $92 +$0 07-30 21:26
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Turkey before 2027? No +92 $92 100¢ $92 +$0 07-30 21:26
Will Trump and Putin meet next in another country? No +65 $64 100¢ $64 +$1 07-26 12:20
Will Brad Pitt win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards? No +57 $57 100¢ $57 +$0 08-09 00:07
Will Matt Damon win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards? No +57 $41 86¢ $49 +$8 08-09 00:07
Will Benny Gantz be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +45 $45 100¢ $45 +$0 07-16 13:36
Will Israel Katz be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +45 $45 100¢ $45 +$0 07-16 13:36
Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +45 $45 100¢ $45 $0 07-16 13:36
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +45 $41 97¢ $43 +$2 07-16 13:36
Will the US strike 13 countries in 2026? No +40 $40 100¢ $40 +$0 08-02 20:04
Will Jaafar Jackson win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards? No +40 $40 99¢ $39 $0 08-09 00:07
Will Ryan Gosling win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards? No +40 $39 99¢ $39 +$0 08-09 00:07
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Ukraine? No — +35 $35 100¢ $35 +$0 08-03 15:26
Will Atalanta win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship? No +32 $32 100¢ $32 +$0 07-26 16:28
Will Juventus win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship? No +32 $28 98¢ $32 +$4 07-26 16:28
Will Trump and Putin meet next in a Gulf country? No +29 $29 100¢ $29 +$0 08-06 01:50
Will Oura's market cap be less than $7.5B at market close on IPO day? No +23 $21 100¢ $23 +$2 08-09 01:04
Will Oura's market cap be at least $20B at market close on IPO day? No +23 $20 98¢ $23 +$3 08-09 01:04
Will Arman Tsarukyan be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026? No +20 $20 96¢ $19 $0 08-02 18:00