Lucky-Publicity — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$5.02K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

27.8%

Resolved

Trades

272

lifetime

Volume

$37.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$138

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-04

last 07-01 21:53

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 30 days

Categories

Other

74% 38% -$6,496

Politics

17% 71% +$2,754

Sports

6% 33% -$1,221

Crypto

3% 59% -$71

Tech

0% 100% +$11

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-01).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	62	$8.3K	13,021	13,566	-545	No	-$4,833	06-18 13:39
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	3	$4.0K	2,706	2,706	+0	Yes	-$499	05-23 21:31
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	2	$3.5K	1,740	1,740	+0	No	-$2	06-18 14:32
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $55 by end of June?	2	$3.3K	1,681	1,681	+0	No	+$5	06-27 03:21
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?	9	$2.4K	2,560	2,560	+0	Yes	-$704	05-23 21:31
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	5	$2.4K	0	8,950	-8,950	No	+$2,387	05-05 23:10
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	5	$2.1K	139,821	396,611	-256,791	No	-$1,223	07-01 21:14
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	10	$1.9K	1,480	1,151	+329	Yes	-$60	05-18 13:14
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?	6	$1.0K	1,780	1,780	+0	No	-$40	05-15 10:28
Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	8	$814	494	494	+0	No	-$23	04-20 13:24
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	3	$789	440	440	+0	Yes	+$73	05-08 18:02
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	2	$705	358	358	+0	Yes	-$1	04-21 03:26
Will Reform UK win at least 1600 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	18	$591	690	0	+690	No	+$99	05-08 19:53
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	2	$574	730	730	+0	No	-$121	04-18 11:28
Will Jared Kushner have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	10	$506	301	301	+0	No	-$4	04-21 19:52
Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01?	3	$484	531	531	+0	No	-$398	07-01 21:53
will progressive bulgaria pb win the 2026 bulgarian parliamentary election by at least 20	2	$470	500	0	+500	Yes	+$30	04-19 17:57
Will Steve Witkoff have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	9	$410	239	239	+0	No	+$3	04-21 19:51
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	2	$296	206	206	+0	Yes	+$4	05-08 18:31
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	2	$277	0	5,979	-5,979	No	+$277	05-05 23:22
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	2	$218	126	126	+0	No	+$21	03-30 19:21
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?	4	$178	162	162	+0	No	+$10	05-15 10:28
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-29?	2	$177	192	192	+0	No	+$77	04-29 20:39
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	2	$158	167	167	+0	Yes	+$18	05-07 19:34
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?	2	$156	79	79	+0	No	+$1	06-27 03:21
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?	5	$152	165	165	+0	No	-$6	05-15 10:28
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-06 03:15 UTC	3	$124	174	81	+93	Up	-$33	03-06 03:21
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	9	$121	551	542	+9	No	+$11	04-21 03:27
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-06 02:15 UTC	2	$114	91	90	+1	Up	+$35	03-06 02:29
Will the Liberal Democrats win the second-most council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	3	$90	94	0	+94	No	+$4	05-08 17:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-01 21:53:44	Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01?	Yes	SELL	531	8¢	$43	0xf196a7…
07-01 21:16:04	Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01?	Yes	BUY	49	84¢	$41	0x1de0c8…
07-01 21:15:47	Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01?	Yes	BUY	482	83¢	$400	0xa56e99…
07-01 21:14:08	Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	388,807	0¢	$399	0xa492fa…
07-01 20:25:44	Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	7,805	1¢	$56	0x3146ae…
06-28 07:54:22	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?	Yes	BUY	28	87¢	$24	0x680b95…
06-27 03:30:23	Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	10,000	1¢	$130	0x41da98…
06-27 03:29:50	Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	60,000	1¢	$780	0x7cf114…
06-27 03:22:20	Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	69,821	1¢	$768	0xb96e42…
06-27 03:21:20	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?	No	SELL	79	99¢	$78	0xc429d4…
06-27 03:21:13	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $55 by end of June?	No	SELL	1,681	99¢	$1,671	0x81e852…
06-18 14:34:50	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?	No	BUY	79	98¢	$77	0x2cbb3d…
06-18 14:32:55	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $55 by end of June?	No	BUY	1,681	99¢	$1,666	0x0ed7f6…
06-18 14:32:28	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	No	SELL	1,740	100¢	$1,735	0x12efd5…
06-18 14:13:55	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	No	BUY	1,740	100¢	$1,737	0x9f3a17…
06-18 13:39:50	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	13,566	13¢	$1,745	0xa0af8a…
06-15 21:03:21	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0x53db2b…
06-15 21:01:13	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	50	22¢	$11	0x441c21…
06-14 21:53:39	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	200	29¢	$58	0xda755c…
06-14 21:48:57	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	700	36¢	$252	0x27682b…
06-14 21:47:40	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0x37f7fa…
06-14 21:47:22	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	205	36¢	$74	0x75a879…
06-14 21:47:21	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0x35bbb6…
06-14 21:47:09	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	35	36¢	$13	0x70270c…
06-14 21:47:07	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	8	36¢	$3	0x03d61b…
06-14 21:47:04	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	221	36¢	$79	0xf0ca68…
06-14 21:46:37	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	500	36¢	$180	0x920a2f…
06-14 21:45:43	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	265	36¢	$96	0x9b4c39…
06-14 21:45:28	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	8	36¢	$3	0x9ca712…
06-14 21:45:28	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	26	36¢	$9	0x29fc4f…
06-14 21:45:15	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	1	36¢	$0	0x23417b…
06-14 21:44:28	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	300	36¢	$108	0xbaa018…
06-14 21:42:52	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	300	34¢	$102	0x31b87a…
06-14 10:56:18	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	70	21¢	$15	0x150665…
06-14 10:48:43	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	40	20¢	$8	0x9a54d4…
06-14 10:44:58	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	500	20¢	$100	0x5541b9…
06-14 10:43:51	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x20c3af…
06-14 10:43:42	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	20	20¢	$4	0x654c2c…
06-14 10:07:16	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	50	24¢	$12	0xd09324…
06-14 05:39:36	Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	90	1¢	$1	0xf95e96…
05-23 21:50:25	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	70	65¢	$46	0x3b669b…
05-23 21:49:38	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	200	66¢	$132	0x20732b…
05-23 21:47:36	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	23	67¢	$15	0xdf6ebe…
05-23 21:47:36	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	177	67¢	$119	0x644f23…
05-23 21:47:29	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0xa5478b…
05-23 21:47:25	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x89286e…
05-23 21:43:34	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xfdf77a…
05-23 21:41:12	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	473	64¢	$303	0xdfaf64…
05-23 21:41:07	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	27	64¢	$17	0x9ebce7…
05-23 21:40:18	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	300	64¢	$192	0xcf0588…
05-23 21:39:34	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	979	64¢	$627	0x2b8838…
05-23 21:38:26	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	21	64¢	$13	0x71f7b3…
05-23 21:37:35	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	887	66¢	$585	0xe71666…
05-23 21:35:40	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	64	66¢	$42	0xacc2cb…
05-23 21:35:29	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	49	66¢	$32	0xf1182a…
05-23 21:34:42	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	32	66¢	$21	0x04ac1b…
05-23 21:34:19	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	22	66¢	$14	0x948201…
05-23 21:33:16	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	25	66¢	$17	0x11c6f4…
05-23 21:33:09	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	37	66¢	$25	0x6e7815…
05-23 21:33:04	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	83	66¢	$54	0x6e09e7…
05-23 21:31:40	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	No	SELL	2,706	65¢	$1,769	0xca51c4…
05-23 21:31:37	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?	No	SELL	2,205	29¢	$636	0xc5797f…
05-19 20:37:09	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?	No	BUY	297	66¢	$196	0xa9dab6…
05-19 20:29:20	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?	No	BUY	600	66¢	$396	0x075d14…
05-18 20:21:47	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	335	33¢	$111	0x6d1b7e…
05-18 20:19:24	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	150	33¢	$50	0x169f0a…
05-18 20:18:45	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	0	33¢	$0	0xcaa6b3…
05-18 20:16:48	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x132910…
05-18 13:14:18	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	Yes	SELL	79	66¢	$52	0x5133fe…
05-18 13:13:48	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	Yes	SELL	2	66¢	$1	0xef709a…
05-18 13:13:41	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	Yes	SELL	248	66¢	$164	0x6d2c0b…
05-18 13:06:57	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	Yes	SELL	12	68¢	$8	0x588035…
05-18 13:00:05	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?	No	SELL	60	58¢	$35	0x0186e6…
05-18 12:59:51	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?	No	SELL	256	60¢	$153	0xab5b03…
05-18 12:49:37	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?	No	SELL	40	63¢	$25	0x7a22ed…
05-15 20:18:13	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	Yes	BUY	670	79¢	$529	0xcb7a31…
05-15 10:56:21	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	Yes	SELL	810	67¢	$543	0xafd692…
05-15 10:39:29	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	Yes	BUY	10	78¢	$8	0xb4c951…
05-15 10:33:50	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	Yes	BUY	255	80¢	$204	0xb6820f…
05-15 10:33:50	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	Yes	BUY	445	79¢	$353	0x3c82bf…
05-15 10:28:56	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	165	44¢	$73	0x1b74d6…
05-15 10:28:42	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	1,496	28¢	$413	0x96be08…
05-15 10:28:01	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	162	58¢	$94	0x1bcd00…
05-14 14:54:42	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?	No	BUY	1,139	59¢	$672	0xae1d7e…
05-14 14:44:32	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?	No	BUY	150	59¢	$88	0xd9b09c…
05-14 14:29:30	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	284	31¢	$88	0x14043c…
05-13 21:49:33	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	No	BUY	2,306	84¢	$1,936	0x3e17e4…
05-13 21:49:07	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	No	BUY	400	83¢	$331	0x1a7837…
05-12 03:50:29	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?	No	BUY	374	53¢	$200	0x066d56…
05-12 03:47:10	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x45caa9…
05-12 03:03:32	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	20	57¢	$11	0x18ad34…
05-12 02:58:41	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	42	56¢	$23	0x18060f…
05-12 02:56:11	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xc5b552…
05-12 02:54:52	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	100	49¢	$49	0xddf7d1…
05-12 02:08:51	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0xc07e03…
05-12 02:07:20	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	60	30¢	$18	0x72f69a…
05-12 02:05:52	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0x294942…
05-12 02:05:22	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	40	42¢	$17	0x4f3c07…
05-12 01:47:56	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	1,400	31¢	$430	0x7747a9…
05-12 01:47:07	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	300	29¢	$87	0xf68a64…