Realized P&L
+$63
Unrealized P&L
-$20
Hit rate
49.6%
Resolved
79
Trades
98
lifetime
Volume
$1.12K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$11
Open exposure
$125
14 positions
First seen
2026-01-15
last 08-26 11:42
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 44 days
Categories
Politics
49% 29% +$25
Other
26% 20% -$110
Tech
17% 42% -$77
Sports
5% 67% +$236
Crypto
2% 17% -$11
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
1 active day in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No +49 $25 80¢ $39 +$14 06-09 11:55
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? Yes +49 $25 42¢ $21 -$4 08-26 11:41
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? Yes +13 $10 90¢ $12 +$2 08-26 11:42
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31? No +13 $10 88¢ $12 +$2 08-26 11:38
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +12 $10 86¢ $11 +$1 08-26 11:38
OpenAI IPO before 2027? No +7 $2 97¢ $7 +$5 05-26 13:04
Will Trump and Putin not meet? Yes +41 $20 16¢ $7 -$13 08-26 11:38
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +19 $10 32¢ $6 -$4 07-27 21:40
GTA 6 launch postponed again? Yes +84 $10 7¢ $6 -$4 08-26 11:40
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +18 $3 11¢ $2 -$1 05-26 13:01
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? Yes +71 $5 2¢ $2 -$3 06-09 11:55
Mistral AI IPO before 2027? Yes +31 $5 3¢ $1 -$4 05-26 13:04
Anthropic IPO before 2027? No +14 $5 4¢ $1 -$4 05-26 13:04
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +22 $5 2¢ $0 -$5 05-26 13:01