Deadly-Occurrence — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$3

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-05-06

last 05-08 14:24

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

83% 0% $-3

Crypto

17% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?	Yes		-12	$-1	6¢	$-1	+$0	05-08 14:14
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	Yes		+45	$1	0¢	$0	$-1	05-08 14:19

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-08 14:24:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x1d11fa…
05-08 14:19:45	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	45	2¢	$1	0x8280cd…
05-08 14:14:53	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?	Yes	SELL	12	8¢	$1	0x7b985f…
05-06 15:10:39	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	11¢	$2	0xf32c01…
05-06 15:07:57	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x62f98d…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Courageous-Polish 0xc4d5…87cf	4	$7.28K	85	05-08 08:56
(anonymous) 0x21d3…8d3f	3	$1.14K	4	05-08 07:35
Cool-Impostor 0x04a2…e16c	3	$559	7	05-08 08:55

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?	1	$2	18	0	+18	No	$-2	05-06 15:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	1	$1	100	0	+100	open	—	05-08 14:24
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?	1	$1	0	12	-12	open	—	05-08 14:14
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	1	$1	1,000	0	+1,000	No	$-1	05-06 15:07
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	1	$1	45	0	+45	open	—	05-08 14:19