Realized P&L (30d)
-$437
Unrealized P&L
+$438
Hit rate
29.3%
Resolved (30d)
190
Trades (30d)
1,298
1,752 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$16.4K
$27.0K lifetime
Avg / trade
$15
Open exposure
$2.32K
30 positions
First seen
2026-09-27
last 11-15 03:08
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 38 days
Categories
Other
76% 34% -$454
Politics
12% 29% -$40
Tech
9% 55% -$9
Sports
1% 0% -$1
Pop-Culture
1% 0% -$28
Crypto
1% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
49 active days in 12wk • peak 90 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? No +313 $144 82¢ $256 +$112 10-01 00:14
Will Jensen Huang join SpaceX by March 31, 2027? No +200 $174 86¢ $171 -$3 11-14 17:53
Will Ian Buck be the next CEO of NVIDIA? No +200 $152 76¢ $153 +$1 11-12 13:51
Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026? No +130 $98 96¢ $125 +$27 10-02 12:31
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day? No +130 $109 91¢ $119 +$9 10-04 14:10
France accuses foreign country of provoking unrest by November 30? No +110 $89 96¢ $106 +$17 10-21 22:19
Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 15, 2026? No +100 $23 100¢ $100 +$76 11-01 16:46
us x iran diplomatic meeting by december 31 2026 20260922 No +128 $24 74¢ $96 +$71 09-28 05:30
Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.50% before 2027? No +117 $64 78¢ $92 +$28 10-20 12:29
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day? No +138 $87 58¢ $80 -$7 11-11 01:40
Robert Pattinson announced as next James Bond? Yes +138 $43 57¢ $78 +$35 11-14 15:53
Will no qualifying US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place by December 31, 2026? Yes +102 $31 72¢ $74 +$43 09-28 00:36
Robert Pattinson announced as next James Bond? No +138 $92 43¢ $59 -$33 11-14 15:25
Will Google have the best Image-to-Video AI at the end of November 2026? Yes +70 $31 85¢ $59 +$28 10-29 15:12
will the next fable model 5pt2 debut at a score of at least 1530 by june 30 2027 No +66 $47 88¢ $58 +$11 11-06 02:18
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day? Yes +138 $51 42¢ $58 +$7 11-11 01:43
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +313 $167 18¢ $56 -$111 10-06 00:15
Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.25% before 2027? No +65 $40 79¢ $52 +$12 10-14 18:15
Will Anthropic IPO by November 20, 2026? Yes +50 $19 97¢ $49 +$30 11-06 08:30
Will United Torah Judaism be in the next Israeli government? Yes +75 $29 64¢ $48 +$19 10-28 16:03
Will Ian Buck be the next CEO of NVIDIA? Yes +200 $48 24¢ $47 -$1 11-12 10:51
Will Marco Rubio leave the Trump administration before 2027? No +50 $38 94¢ $47 +$9 11-05 18:51
Iran full airspace closure by November 30, 2026? No +50 $32 92¢ $46 +$15 10-27 07:29
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 22? Yes +50 $41 90¢ $45 +$4 11-12 19:34
Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond? No +50 $35 85¢ $42 +$8 11-09 17:02
Will RZP-Zehut be in the next Israeli government? No +57 $37 74¢ $42 +$5 10-30 02:55
Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 31? No +43 $33 97¢ $41 +$8 10-13 14:13
Callum Turner announced as next James Bond? No +50 $39 82¢ $41 +$2 11-13 22:49
Will 4 Jensen Huang affairs be reported by December 31? No +50 $32 80¢ $40 +$8 11-13 19:32
Will Elon Musk post 1000+ tweets in November 2026? Yes +49 $32 82¢ $40 +$8 11-06 06:51