Pure-Basketball — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

59.6%

Resolved

Trades

320

lifetime

Volume

$9.69K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$30

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-28

last 06-29 15:10

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

86% — —

Other

10% — —

Crypto

3% 50% $-2

Sports

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

38 active days in 12wk • peak 23 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	6	$751	544	544	+0	open	—	03-01 07:22
will iran strike israel on march 2	9	$719	376	376	+0	open	—	03-02 14:39
israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	8	$684	417	417	+0	open	—	04-27 18:21
Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?	9	$640	397	397	+0	open	—	05-20 10:00
will iran strike israel on march 4	9	$516	10,524	524	+10,000	open	—	03-08 19:36
will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	3	$441	309	309	+0	open	—	06-25 17:42
israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 18 2026	3	$395	206	206	+0	open	—	04-16 18:17
iran closes its airspace by june 22	2	$386	514	0	+514	open	—	06-07 19:42
us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 21 2026	6	$368	479	479	+0	open	—	04-21 06:03
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?	5	$331	177	177	+0	open	—	04-23 20:50
Will Israel conduct military action in Greater Beirut on April 9, 2026?	7	$288	217	217	+0	open	—	04-13 04:54
israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 15 2026	5	$281	177	177	+0	open	—	04-15 13:31
Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on April 3, 2026?	9	$246	130	130	+0	open	—	04-06 09:19
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	5	$236	279	279	+0	open	—	03-08 16:18
will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	8	$224	444	231	+213	open	—	06-28 21:32
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 9, 2026?	2	$216	118	118	+0	open	—	04-09 18:43
will iran strike nine or more countries in march	2	$214	118	118	+0	open	—	03-05 09:20
will iran strike israel on march 3	5	$213	7,107	107	+7,000	open	—	03-07 12:02
khamenei seen in public by march 2 179 218 146	2	$208	108	108	+0	open	—	03-01 04:33
Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on April 6, 2026?	4	$208	109	109	+0	open	—	04-10 08:00
us x iran ceasefire by march 2	2	$204	107	107	+0	open	—	03-01 18:12
us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	2	$200	513	0	+513	open	—	06-29 15:10
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by April 14, 2026?	9	$195	126	126	+0	open	—	04-14 15:03
Will Cooper Flagg win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?	3	$123	72	72	+0	open	—	04-27 23:16
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 5 748 625	3	$105	87	87	+0	open	—	03-05 08:33
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	12	$104	4,910	1,250	+3,660	open	—	03-13 23:04
will uae strike iran by march 31	2	$103	122	122	+0	open	—	03-30 07:50
will iran strike israel on march 6	18	$96	3,870	0	+3,870	open	—	03-11 08:47
Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on April 5, 2026?	4	$94	50	50	+0	open	—	04-05 16:34
will bahrain strike iran by march 31	5	$84	145	145	+0	open	—	03-13 22:24

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-29 15:10:16	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	Yes	BUY	248	40¢	$100	0xee65c8…
06-29 15:09:56	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	Yes	BUY	265	38¢	$100	0x5a3fc6…
06-29 08:15:05	will 80 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	403	2¢	$10	0xc7aa93…
06-28 21:32:28	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	208	24¢	$50	0x9bdde5…
06-26 14:39:53	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15	No	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x5ade2a…
06-25 21:26:58	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	Yes	SELL	231	53¢	$122	0x10d424…
06-25 17:42:37	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	Yes	SELL	309	94¢	$291	0xd8372d…
06-23 13:12:08	will israel and lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by june 30 2026 20260607225940217 843 464	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x028ff1…
06-22 13:32:47	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	141	22¢	$31	0xdbf793…
06-22 12:10:20	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	52	22¢	$11	0x389495…
06-22 12:02:23	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	13	22¢	$3	0xb14bbd…
06-22 11:23:22	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	13	22¢	$3	0x52604f…
06-22 11:12:05	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	11	22¢	$2	0xedbf4f…
06-22 05:16:01	will israel and lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by june 30 2026 20260607225940217 843	Yes	SELL	9	96¢	$9	0x65e414…
06-21 15:26:31	will israel and lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by june 30 2026 20260607225940217 843	Yes	BUY	10	81¢	$8	0x4607b9…
06-21 09:01:41	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	101	49¢	$50	0xd425c8…
06-21 08:13:31	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	208	48¢	$100	0x12679d…
06-20 21:52:41	will jd vance attend the us iran signing ceremony 20260615232204739	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x0dcf86…
06-20 21:50:19	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xabff2e…
06-14 17:56:22	will iran close its airspace by june 15 20260609184136053	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xc959d2…
06-08 10:53:09	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x4e4fa8…
06-08 06:54:31	iran closes its airspace by june 15	Yes	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x942262…
06-07 19:42:00	iran closes its airspace by june 22	Yes	BUY	268	75¢	$200	0xe5f5e2…
06-07 19:41:58	iran closes its airspace by june 22	Yes	BUY	245	76¢	$186	0xa5192c…
05-20 10:00:52	Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?	No	SELL	277	99¢	$273	0x337cb6…
05-20 05:22:30	Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?	No	SELL	57	97¢	$56	0x04195d…
05-20 05:21:08	Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?	No	SELL	64	98¢	$62	0x84f159…
05-14 07:23:51	Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?	No	BUY	143	70¢	$100	0x034ab2…
05-08 10:52:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	SELL	4	24¢	$1	0x8ec180…
05-08 10:52:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xf409a5…
05-08 10:50:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	SELL	4	66¢	$3	0x473ea9…
05-08 10:48:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xc68f73…
05-07 21:43:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x25604c…
05-07 21:41:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x2bfb22…
05-07 13:27:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x6af9fb…
05-07 13:25:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x32a147…
05-06 09:43:38	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x3558e9…
05-04 14:27:38	Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?	No	BUY	58	72¢	$42	0x684117…
05-04 14:27:12	Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?	No	BUY	11	71¢	$8	0x987599…
05-03 21:22:40	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	Yes	BUY	32	3¢	$1	0x776102…
05-03 18:26:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0xce9329…
05-03 18:23:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x6759e7…
05-03 18:22:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x2172f6…
05-03 18:22:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x33eff5…
05-03 18:18:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x4f4cda…
05-03 18:17:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x2c5609…
05-03 15:47:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x98953a…
05-03 11:32:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	SELL	2	94¢	$2	0xb5da19…
05-03 11:30:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x67c8bf…
05-03 11:26:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x0e7313…
05-02 20:12:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xc31f16…
05-02 09:34:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x434863…
05-02 09:31:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0xa48aa3…
05-02 09:26:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x242f9a…
05-02 09:25:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xdcda94…
05-01 21:24:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x3a4eed…
05-01 21:23:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	SELL	3	53¢	$1	0xfcbb6b…
05-01 21:22:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xf9c4ad…
05-01 21:21:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	SELL	3	53¢	$1	0x4744db…
05-01 21:20:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x8d7fcd…
05-01 20:52:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	SELL	3	85¢	$2	0xdad3cc…
05-01 20:51:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x4d53f6…
05-01 15:57:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	SELL	9	14¢	$1	0x2aeba2…
05-01 15:57:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xd85c14…
05-01 13:27:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	SELL	3	33¢	$1	0x6a8f27…
05-01 13:25:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xeb1512…
04-30 22:06:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x1b00b4…
04-30 22:06:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x2ed97e…
04-30 21:02:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xa286e0…
04-30 20:59:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x3f094c…
04-30 20:55:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x4dc095…
04-30 20:51:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x7487ef…
04-30 20:50:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xf65110…
04-30 20:49:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xbfe610…
04-30 15:36:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	SELL	3	46¢	$1	0x92af8b…
04-30 15:35:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xebca71…
04-30 14:03:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	SELL	25	4¢	$1	0x29791b…
04-30 14:02:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xd998a0…
04-30 14:02:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	SELL	2	95¢	$1	0xfd20fe…
04-30 14:01:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xaec78c…
04-30 13:55:46	Iran leadership change by May 31?	Yes	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x9c2d14…
04-29 22:38:16	Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?	No	BUY	38	53¢	$20	0xdec2ac…
04-29 22:27:26	Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?	No	BUY	74	54¢	$40	0xd3432e…
04-29 22:27:08	Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?	No	BUY	74	54¢	$40	0x690287…
04-29 17:17:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xd70c3d…
04-29 16:06:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	SELL	3	51¢	$2	0x8e3cc5…
04-29 16:05:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xf85da2…
04-29 16:04:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xde6004…
04-29 16:02:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xc20f79…
04-29 08:53:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x32178e…
04-29 08:52:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Up	SELL	3	50¢	$1	0x0ea380…
04-29 08:48:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xc7c0bc…
04-29 08:42:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	SELL	3	48¢	$1	0xe73a84…
04-29 08:41:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xe4c5d2…
04-29 07:37:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	SELL	6	37¢	$2	0x5823ce…
04-29 07:36:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x8eb6a4…
04-29 07:33:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	SELL	12	9¢	$1	0xea63e7…
04-29 07:31:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x2c0769…
04-29 07:29:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0xaf6fba…
04-29 06:44:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0x1fbc23…