Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$12

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

79.7%

Resolved

Trades

341

lifetime

Volume

$33.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$99

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-19

last 05-07 12:14

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Politics

83% 100% +$3

Other

17% 43% $-15

Tech

0% — —

Crypto

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

14 active days in 12wk • peak 77 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump talk to Ursula von der Leyen in April?	21	$8.0K	12,433	12,433	+0	open	—	04-29 21:41
israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	63	$6.3K	13,914	13,914	+0	open	—	04-29 21:45
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 24 2026	2	$2.4K	1,218	1,218	+0	open	—	04-24 16:10
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	9	$2.2K	1,313	1,313	+0	open	—	04-22 23:17
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	10	$2.1K	1,202	1,202	+0	open	—	04-21 20:34
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	9	$1.9K	1,071	1,071	+0	open	—	04-25 14:15
will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	11	$991	632	632	+0	open	—	04-22 02:30
Will the criminal investigation into Jerome Powell be dropped by April 30?	8	$917	484	484	+0	open	—	04-24 23:43
us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 21 2026	6	$735	834	834	+0	open	—	04-21 16:31
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	7	$636	399	399	+0	open	—	04-25 15:46
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	4	$539	333	333	+0	open	—	04-21 20:36
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	8	$520	1,417	1,417	+0	open	—	04-26 21:15
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 21st	2	$431	229	229	+0	open	—	04-20 09:21
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	3	$372	256	256	+0	open	—	04-23 09:41
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?	6	$345	622	622	+0	open	—	04-22 20:41
us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 23 2026	6	$320	471	471	+0	open	—	04-23 21:33
Will Jared Kushner have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	5	$308	240	240	+0	open	—	04-24 23:05
Kash Patel out by April 30?	3	$301	197	197	+0	open	—	04-20 16:42
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?	2	$263	144	144	+0	open	—	04-23 21:49
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	3	$226	137	137	+0	open	—	04-22 18:33
will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by april 23 2026	2	$224	143	143	+0	open	—	04-22 08:44
will israel conduct military action against iran by april 21 2026	2	$215	111	111	+0	open	—	04-20 23:07
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 29, 2026?	2	$203	115	115	+0	open	—	04-26 13:05
Will there be 60 or more average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?	2	$203	106	106	+0	open	—	04-24 03:16
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 28, 2026?	2	$202	106	106	+0	open	—	04-26 17:12
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz in April?	2	$202	116	116	+0	open	—	04-21 13:05
Will a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?	2	$202	109	109	+0	open	—	04-22 18:31
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	2	$201	106	106	+0	open	—	04-22 20:45
Will Steve Witkoff have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	3	$187	150	150	+0	open	—	04-24 23:04
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	9	$157	149	149	+0	open	—	04-26 21:15

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-07 12:14:37	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	56	55¢	$31	0xfb2536…
05-01 01:27:32	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	56	82¢	$46	0x63809f…
05-01 01:26:24	Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by May 30?	No	SELL	50	92¢	$46	0x594005…
04-30 14:27:16	Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by May 30?	No	BUY	50	90¢	$45	0x0a403b…
04-29 21:54:56	Will Trump talk to Mohammed bin Salman in April?	Yes	BUY	43	93¢	$40	0xed219e…
04-29 21:54:38	Will Trump talk to Mohammed bin Salman in April?	No	SELL	440	10¢	$44	0x5c2d0f…
04-29 21:48:18	Will Trump talk to Mohammed bin Salman in April?	No	BUY	61	30¢	$18	0x97d9ce…
04-29 21:45:08	israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	No	SELL	7,862	0¢	$16	0x714078…
04-29 21:41:50	Will Trump talk to Ursula von der Leyen in April?	No	SELL	2,868	0¢	$3	0xb23997…
04-29 16:27:30	Will Trump talk to Ursula von der Leyen in April?	No	SELL	6,000	5¢	$330	0xd18c1c…
04-29 16:14:36	israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	No	BUY	3,937	0¢	$12	0xd3edb4…
04-29 16:14:08	Will Trump talk to Ursula von der Leyen in April?	No	SELL	156	8¢	$12	0xdc2574…
04-29 15:50:48	israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	No	BUY	3,925	0¢	$8	0x8ecb4e…
04-29 15:50:18	Will Trump talk to Ursula von der Leyen in April?	No	SELL	150	5¢	$8	0x4df444…
04-28 20:30:20	Will Trump talk to Ursula von der Leyen in April?	No	BUY	105	21¢	$23	0xbd2780…
04-27 20:35:24	Will Trump talk to Ursula von der Leyen in April?	No	BUY	6,102	27¢	$1,654	0x9effe1…
04-27 20:30:10	Will Trump talk to Ursula von der Leyen in April?	Yes	SELL	2,259	73¢	$1,654	0x4ac2c1…
04-27 20:23:10	Will Trump talk to Ursula von der Leyen in April?	No	BUY	2,967	26¢	$771	0x55b8f1…
04-27 20:22:46	Will Trump talk to Ursula von der Leyen in April?	Yes	SELL	1,000	77¢	$771	0x04f2b9…
04-27 12:19:04	Will Trump talk to Ursula von der Leyen in April?	Yes	BUY	482	88¢	$422	0xeacdaa…
04-27 09:52:30	Will Trump talk to Ursula von der Leyen in April?	Yes	BUY	352	85¢	$300	0x4a86e3…
04-27 03:46:24	Will Trump talk to Ursula von der Leyen in April?	Yes	BUY	581	86¢	$500	0x741b8e…
04-27 03:29:20	Will Trump talk to Ursula von der Leyen in April?	Yes	BUY	700	86¢	$600	0xec06de…
04-27 03:23:58	Will Trump talk to Ursula von der Leyen in April?	Yes	BUY	117	86¢	$100	0xde0209…
04-27 03:07:48	israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	Yes	SELL	1,817	33¢	$598	0x7a9b2d…
04-27 02:54:26	Will Trump talk to Ursula von der Leyen in April?	Yes	BUY	114	88¢	$100	0x6b49d1…
04-27 02:34:28	israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	Yes	BUY	250	40¢	$100	0x4bdc2d…
04-27 02:26:48	Will Trump talk to Ursula von der Leyen in April?	Yes	BUY	34	87¢	$30	0x2c9990…
04-27 02:25:28	israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	Yes	BUY	251	40¢	$100	0xf6acd0…
04-27 02:24:08	Will Trump talk to Ursula von der Leyen in April?	Yes	BUY	57	87¢	$50	0x3916a0…
04-27 02:20:50	Will Trump talk to Ursula von der Leyen in April?	Yes	BUY	113	89¢	$100	0x059626…
04-27 02:19:40	israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	Yes	BUY	1,316	38¢	$500	0x7f0bba…
04-27 02:09:38	Will Trump talk to Ursula von der Leyen in April?	Yes	BUY	451	89¢	$400	0x6930ed…
04-27 02:03:36	israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	No	SELL	4,236	64¢	$2,724	0xb021f1…
04-26 22:40:38	Will "Michael" score at least 40 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	SELL	26	1¢	$0	0x234e62…
04-26 21:18:14	Will Trump talk to Ursula von der Leyen in April?	Yes	BUY	55	77¢	$42	0x10b3d7…
04-26 21:17:56	Will Israel strike 2 countries in April 2026?	Yes	SELL	53	79¢	$42	0xebc979…
04-26 21:16:18	Will Trump talk to Ursula von der Leyen in April?	Yes	BUY	203	76¢	$155	0xa0ca21…
04-26 21:15:54	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	75	66¢	$49	0xc03364…
04-26 21:15:40	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	Yes	SELL	1,000	0¢	$1	0x311454…
04-26 20:52:20	israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	No	BUY	35	73¢	$26	0x4c18d3…
04-26 20:50:54	israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	No	BUY	68	73¢	$50	0xde8c25…
04-26 20:50:02	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	No	SELL	99	74¢	$74	0xae83db…
04-26 17:13:32	israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	No	BUY	126	79¢	$100	0x3cce45…
04-26 17:12:02	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 28, 2026?	No	SELL	106	96¢	$102	0x59bea0…
04-26 14:38:42	Will Israel strike 2 countries in April 2026?	Yes	BUY	53	82¢	$43	0x2da739…
04-26 14:10:44	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	75	67¢	$50	0x0e1e39…
04-26 13:05:30	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 29, 2026?	No	SELL	115	90¢	$103	0xdc26d9…
04-26 00:25:28	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	No	BUY	99	71¢	$71	0x65dc38…
04-26 00:22:06	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 29, 2026?	No	BUY	115	87¢	$100	0x1bf48f…
04-26 00:21:40	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 28, 2026?	No	BUY	106	94¢	$100	0x201c45…
04-25 17:54:52	Will "Michael" score at least 40 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	BUY	27	9¢	$2	0x79fb53…
04-25 17:54:16	Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	37¢	$1	0x012255…
04-25 15:46:24	israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	No	BUY	128	74¢	$95	0x0f4976…
04-25 15:46:10	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	122	78¢	$95	0x447357…
04-25 15:40:18	israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	No	BUY	101	74¢	$75	0xe661e6…
04-25 15:40:04	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?	No	SELL	64	83¢	$53	0x21e169…
04-25 15:38:04	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?	No	SELL	22	93¢	$21	0xe0a68f…
04-25 15:32:34	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 25, 2026?	Yes	SELL	22	0¢	$0	0x800251…
04-25 15:20:12	Will annual inflation increase by 4.0% in April?	Yes	SELL	23	1¢	$0	0x26efa6…
04-25 14:44:26	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?	No	BUY	22	89¢	$20	0x410f32…
04-25 14:44:18	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?	No	BUY	64	70¢	$45	0x080e99…
04-25 14:37:52	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	122	82¢	$100	0xf1f5ff…
04-25 14:15:48	israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	No	BUY	462	65¢	$300	0xd6314f…
04-25 14:15:30	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	500	93¢	$465	0x1f7df2…
04-25 13:29:24	israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	No	BUY	36	70¢	$25	0x165c82…
04-25 13:27:20	LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 Winner	Anyone's Legend	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x59d86e…
04-25 13:22:58	LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 1 Winner	Weibo Gaming	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xcdcd77…
04-25 13:22:38	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	SELL	74	37¢	$27	0xf0e264…
04-25 11:07:10	israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	No	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x475a41…
04-25 10:59:14	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xb4da4a…
04-25 10:57:10	Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	38¢	$2	0x48921f…
04-25 09:31:24	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x825c71…
04-25 08:35:04	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	5¢	$1	0x035cb3…
04-25 08:10:50	israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	No	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0x4a7878…
04-24 23:44:22	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	500	90¢	$450	0x447c2e…
04-24 23:43:22	Will the criminal investigation into Jerome Powell be dropped by April 30?	Yes	SELL	484	96¢	$467	0x30ed91…
04-24 23:35:48	israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	No	BUY	26	69¢	$18	0x24cc81…
04-24 23:06:00	israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	No	BUY	335	67¢	$225	0x2c0c40…
04-24 23:05:00	Will Jared Kushner have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	240	57¢	$138	0xd84617…
04-24 23:04:54	Will Steve Witkoff have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	150	58¢	$87	0x2b3d47…
04-24 21:30:28	israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	No	BUY	35	72¢	$25	0x381539…
04-24 21:20:18	israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	No	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0xc2ebda…
04-24 19:19:50	israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	No	BUY	90	56¢	$50	0x49385e…
04-24 19:02:50	Will Steve Witkoff have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	76	65¢	$50	0x7226df…
04-24 19:00:34	Will Steve Witkoff have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	74	68¢	$50	0x9f081e…
04-24 18:59:00	Will Jared Kushner have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	79	63¢	$50	0x823e80…
04-24 18:55:30	Will the criminal investigation into Jerome Powell be dropped by April 30?	Yes	BUY	119	95¢	$114	0x53efee…
04-24 18:54:56	Will the criminal investigation into Jerome Powell be dropped by April 30?	Yes	BUY	39	95¢	$37	0x3cf83b…
04-24 18:53:14	Will the criminal investigation into Jerome Powell be dropped by April 30?	Yes	BUY	42	95¢	$40	0xf30cd1…
04-24 18:52:22	Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	15	94¢	$14	0xb38d73…
04-24 18:08:48	Will Jared Kushner have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	14	72¢	$10	0x213127…
04-24 17:52:18	Will Jared Kushner have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	14	74¢	$10	0xa5b943…
04-24 17:50:44	Will Jared Kushner have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	133	75¢	$100	0x79ae7d…
04-24 17:37:34	Will the criminal investigation into Jerome Powell be dropped by April 30?	Yes	BUY	56	90¢	$50	0xdbc845…
04-24 17:34:50	Will the criminal investigation into Jerome Powell be dropped by April 30?	Yes	BUY	105	95¢	$100	0x8040e6…
04-24 17:34:38	Will the criminal investigation into Jerome Powell be dropped by April 30?	Yes	BUY	111	90¢	$100	0x0c7560…
04-24 17:30:04	Will the criminal investigation into Jerome Powell be dropped by April 30?	Yes	BUY	13	80¢	$10	0xccb4a2…
04-24 16:34:04	israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	No	BUY	163	61¢	$100	0x21e158…
04-24 16:31:26	israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	No	BUY	174	57¢	$100	0xca5113…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Faraway-Seaside 0xf0b0…8cab	78	$340.9K	22,490	05-04 07:56
(anonymous) 0xa3c2…df3d	77	$222.8K	17,624	04-28 09:58
Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24	75	$84.6K	8,860	05-29 22:06
Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595	74	$359.5K	28,166	05-31 17:26
Fragrant-Dandelion 0x1408…b4f8	74	$35.7K	8,602	05-07 01:07
Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71	72	$556.3K	11,060	06-01 00:34
Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418	65	$17.2M	29,443	06-01 03:20
Charming-Grape 0xac4a…bf1e	64	$550.7K	10,646	05-30 15:39