Alert-Subset — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$45

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

11.5%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$5.46K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$144

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-29

last 08-27 15:02

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 12 days

Categories

Other

78% 38% +$3

Politics

18% 0% $0

Sports

2% 50% -$18

Crypto

1% 0% -$30

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions Resolved markets (19) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	2	$1.0K	505	505	+0	No	-$1	05-01 01:24
Will Donald Trump announce Jay Clayton as the next United States Attorney General by June 30?	3	$981	491	491	+0	No	$0	05-04 01:49
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	2	$936	470	470	+0	Yes	$0	05-03 01:34
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	3	$899	453	453	+0	No	+$0	05-02 01:48
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	2	$895	457	457	+0	No	-$1	05-05 08:14
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	1	$500	501	0	+501	No	+$1	04-29 13:18
Raptors vs. Cavaliers	1	$34	34	0	+34	Cavaliers	+$0	05-04 01:53
Jiujiang: Yunchaokete Bu vs Daniel Masur	3	$31	37	0	+37	Yunchaokete Bu	+$6	04-29 13:09
Variational FDV above $5B one day after launch?	2	$29	1,043	1,043	+0	open	—	05-03 01:19
76ers vs. Celtics	1	$28	38	0	+38	76ers	+$10	05-03 01:35
Rockets vs. Lakers	1	$21	35	0	+35	Rockets	-$21	04-30 01:59
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$600M one day after launch?	3	$20	909	909	+0	Yes	-$18	05-01 05:29
Celtics vs. 76ers	1	$20	35	0	+35	76ers	+$15	05-01 01:25
Cavaliers vs. Raptors	1	$19	36	0	+36	Raptors	-$19	05-02 01:55
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	08-27 15:02
Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 April 27-May 3?	4	$9	1,049	1,049	+0	No	-$7	05-02 08:16
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	2	$9	1,017	1,017	+0	No	-$1	05-04 02:07
Will Ethereum reach $5,000 in May?	2	$5	1,020	1,020	+0	No	-$3	05-05 08:15
Raptors vs. Cavaliers	1	$3	34	0	+34	Cavaliers	-$3	04-30 01:57
Will MegaETH launch a token by May 31, 2026?	2	$3	1,006	1,006	+0	Yes	-$1	04-30 09:29

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-27 15:02:16	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xea1c4f…
05-05 08:15:58	Will Ethereum reach $5,000 in May?	Yes	SELL	1,020	0¢	$1	0xbc51bb…
05-05 08:14:56	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	No	SELL	457	98¢	$447	0x2bfcd9…
05-04 02:15:30	Will Ethereum reach $5,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	1,020	0¢	$4	0xbe9d69…
05-04 02:11:14	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	No	BUY	457	98¢	$448	0x45af21…
05-04 02:07:34	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	Yes	SELL	1,017	0¢	$4	0xc014c3…
05-04 01:53:02	Raptors vs. Cavaliers	Cavaliers	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0x47efda…
05-04 01:49:46	Will Donald Trump announce Jay Clayton as the next United States Attorney General by June 30?	No	SELL	491	100¢	$490	0x29745a…
05-03 13:16:30	Will Donald Trump announce Jay Clayton as the next United States Attorney General by June 30?	No	BUY	41	100¢	$41	0x68f1fc…
05-03 02:21:22	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	1,017	0¢	$5	0x8988f4…
05-03 02:16:48	Will Donald Trump announce Jay Clayton as the next United States Attorney General by June 30?	No	BUY	450	100¢	$450	0xc5500f…
05-03 01:35:58	76ers vs. Celtics	76ers	BUY	38	75¢	$28	0xe6d09f…
05-03 01:34:36	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	470	100¢	$468	0xdafb3f…
05-03 01:19:46	Variational FDV above $5B one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	1,043	1¢	$14	0xb78a30…
05-02 08:16:28	Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 April 27-May 3?	Yes	SELL	29	0¢	$0	0xd9b4e2…
05-02 02:37:08	Variational FDV above $5B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	1,043	1¢	$16	0x3f2310…
05-02 02:22:34	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	470	100¢	$468	0x3687cb…
05-02 01:55:48	Cavaliers vs. Raptors	Cavaliers	BUY	36	52¢	$19	0x8b088f…
05-02 01:48:18	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	453	99¢	$449	0x5e7ab6…
05-02 01:46:40	Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 April 27-May 3?	Yes	SELL	523	0¢	$1	0xc12f8b…
05-02 01:46:20	Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 April 27-May 3?	Yes	SELL	497	0¢	$0	0xb0bbaa…
05-01 05:29:52	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$600M one day after launch?	No	SELL	909	0¢	$1	0xfd85c1…
05-01 02:05:16	Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 April 27-May 3?	Yes	BUY	1,049	1¢	$8	0x0fc017…
05-01 01:46:02	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	225	99¢	$223	0x658302…
05-01 01:34:32	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	228	99¢	$226	0xc0d0de…
05-01 01:25:22	Celtics vs. 76ers	76ers	BUY	35	57¢	$20	0x46fc9b…
05-01 01:24:26	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	505	100¢	$503	0x5a36d7…
04-30 09:29:54	Will MegaETH launch a token by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1,006	0¢	$1	0xbd1123…
04-30 07:05:40	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$600M one day after launch?	No	BUY	44	2¢	$1	0x173f16…
04-30 07:01:50	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$600M one day after launch?	No	BUY	865	2¢	$18	0xa86a61…
04-30 02:35:38	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	505	100¢	$503	0x4d6336…
04-30 01:59:36	Rockets vs. Lakers	Lakers	BUY	35	60¢	$21	0xab3a97…
04-30 01:57:12	Raptors vs. Cavaliers	Raptors	BUY	34	9¢	$3	0xc9a13e…
04-29 13:22:56	Will MegaETH launch a token by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,006	0¢	$2	0xc2f462…
04-29 13:18:30	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	501	100¢	$500	0x7d83b8…
04-29 13:09:08	Jiujiang: Yunchaokete Bu vs Daniel Masur	Yunchaokete Bu	BUY	23	85¢	$19	0x002000…
04-29 13:08:36	Jiujiang: Yunchaokete Bu vs Daniel Masur	Yunchaokete Bu	BUY	7	85¢	$6	0x51bd4d…
04-29 13:08:36	Jiujiang: Yunchaokete Bu vs Daniel Masur	Yunchaokete Bu	BUY	7	85¢	$6	0x5169d8…