Inborn-Deck — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$58

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

53.6%

Resolved

450

Trades

659

lifetime

Volume

$1.15K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

4 positions

First seen

2026-03-27

last 11-06 21:47

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 75 days

Categories

Crypto

70% 23% -$80

Other

12% 28% -$4

Sports

9% 27% +$2

Politics

8% 40% +$32

Tech

2% 11% -$8

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

17 active days in 12wk • peak 31 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	+5	$2	79¢	$4	+$1	10-28 07:37
Will Lando Norris win the 2026 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix?	Yes	+10	$1	20¢	$2	+$1	11-06 19:28
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	+10	$3	2¢	$0	-$3	08-01 14:37
Will Anthropic's market cap be $3.0T or greater at market close on IPO day?	Yes	+23	$1	0¢	$0	-$1	09-20 22:44

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on June 20?	5	$57	29	29	+0	No	+$1	06-20 16:12
bitcoin above 64k on june 20 2026	11	$44	43	43	+0	Yes	+$22	06-20 16:12
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	5	$38	35	35	+0	No	+$24	10-25 23:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-22 00:20 UTC	2	$35	27	27	+0	Up	+$15	06-22 00:24
will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	12	$35	2,062	62	+2,000	Yes	+$11	07-09 00:28
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	3	$34	31	31	+0	Yes	+$20	10-25 23:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	2	$22	13	13	+0	Up	+$2	11-05 05:26
Will CA Paranaense win on 2026-09-20?	3	$18	17	17	+0	Yes	-$4	09-20 22:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	3	$17	17	17	+0	Down	+$13	05-25 02:34
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	4	$16	86	35	+52	No	-$4	07-12 00:17
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	3	$14	41	15	+26	No	-$2	07-12 03:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	2	$13	19	19	+0	Up	+$3	09-20 23:35
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$11	120	0	+120	No	-$11	05-14 09:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	2	$10	750	0	+750	Up	-$10	05-14 08:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-08 21:50 UTC	1	$10	24	0	+24	Up	+$14	07-08 21:53
will trump say ai or artificial intelligence during speech to the nation 20260713200621423	1	$10	16	0	+16	No	-$10	07-17 01:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	1	$10	24	0	+24	Up	-$10	05-14 10:50
Will CA Paranaense win on 2026-07-22?	5	$10	10	10	+0	Yes	+$8	07-23 02:35
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-03 18:15 UTC	2	$10	11	11	+0	Down	+$8	07-03 18:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 15:00 UTC	2	$10	10	10	+0	Down	+$8	06-12 15:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-08 04:35 UTC	3	$9	9	9	+0	Down	+$6	07-08 04:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-06 07:30 UTC	2	$8	8	8	+0	Up	+$6	07-06 07:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	3	$8	25	25	+0	Up	+$4	05-30 09:53
Rolex Paris Masters: Taylor Fritz vs Carlos Alcaraz	2	$8	7	7	+0	Carlos Alcaraz	+$6	11-06 21:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	4	$8	20	11	+9	Down	+$2	05-28 16:49
Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	2	$8	280	380	-100	No	+$1	10-24 22:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	2	$8	7	7	+0	Up	+$6	05-25 01:14
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$7	31	11	+20	Yes	+$17	07-07 13:01
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-18 16:45 UTC	2	$7	7	7	+0	Down	+$5	06-18 16:49
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 26	3	$6	35	35	+0	No	$0	06-23 15:24

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-06 21:47:36	Rolex Paris Masters: Taylor Fritz vs Carlos Alcaraz	Carlos Alcaraz	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0xd7d003…
11-06 20:37:30	Rolex Paris Masters: Taylor Fritz vs Carlos Alcaraz	Carlos Alcaraz	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x6f7f37…
11-06 19:28:24	Will Lando Norris win the 2026 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xcf68f4…
11-06 18:42:36	Will there be a safety car during the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xe592e9…
11-05 08:17:25	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on November 5?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x9c6cde…
11-05 07:57:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xc29933…
11-05 07:48:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x878db5…
11-05 07:30:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x90e4c8…
11-05 07:13:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x5fb867…
11-05 07:08:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x473f61…
11-05 07:05:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x5a0667…
11-05 06:46:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x7ce3d5…
11-05 06:44:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x29e6d6…
11-05 06:28:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	SELL	7	52¢	$3	0x8633f4…
11-05 06:26:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x451fb7…
11-05 05:26:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	SELL	13	88¢	$12	0x173fe3…
11-05 05:26:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0x7142dc…
10-28 12:49:07	Gold Up or Down - October 28, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x85f8d5…
10-28 12:48:29	Gold Up or Down - October 28, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xe2f2ad…
10-28 12:09:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x65ef40…
10-28 07:45:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xa26e77…
10-28 07:43:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x6f7ba0…
10-28 07:37:04	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x1dda33…
10-28 06:38:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	SELL	10	54¢	$5	0xc36a87…
10-28 06:37:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x4ac913…
10-25 23:15:51	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	35	89¢	$31	0x28d4f8…
10-25 23:14:54	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	31	88¢	$27	0x32efc7…
10-24 22:04:57	Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	SELL	380	1¢	$4	0xd11ec6…
10-22 04:52:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x361982…
10-22 04:49:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x55a2f3…
10-20 07:04:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x3d76fb…
10-20 06:48:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xb77eae…
10-20 06:40:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x331c3a…
10-20 06:32:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x40a8b7…
10-18 00:05:50	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x0fa44d…
10-16 15:11:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 15:10 UTC	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xc66bbb…
10-16 15:11:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 15:10 UTC	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x3224ca…
10-15 22:33:54	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	10	22¢	$2	0xd6ea88…
10-15 21:35:42	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0x4b2481…
10-15 19:25:01	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x6e8bc3…
10-15 18:01:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x4ae45d…
10-15 17:55:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x972890…
10-15 17:51:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x7ef18c…
10-15 17:47:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x483207…
10-15 17:42:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xd81664…
10-15 17:40:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xdc8a0f…
10-15 17:38:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	11¢	$1	0xd3e95d…
10-15 17:28:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xd0b360…
10-15 07:05:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 07:05 UTC	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x519745…
10-15 06:57:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 06:55 UTC	Up	SELL	5	42¢	$2	0xda11fc…
10-15 06:56:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 06:55 UTC	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x08ee6c…
10-15 06:52:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 06:50 UTC	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x492a82…
10-15 06:35:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 06:35 UTC	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x281911…
10-15 06:32:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 06:30 UTC	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x8b1b9e…
10-15 06:28:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 06:30 UTC	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x0eacad…
10-15 06:26:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 06:25 UTC	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x143582…
10-15 06:23:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 06:20 UTC	Down	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0x5801a9…
10-15 06:20:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 06:20 UTC	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xb7c9cc…
10-15 06:15:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 06:15 UTC	Down	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xbf24a6…
10-15 06:13:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 06:10 UTC	Down	SELL	2	80¢	$2	0xf693d0…
10-15 06:08:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 06:10 UTC	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xb3c2c1…
10-15 06:04:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 06:00 UTC	Up	SELL	2	95¢	$2	0x5f8c5f…
10-15 05:54:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 06:00 UTC	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xc2f9e8…
10-15 05:49:38	bitcoin above 82k on october 15 2026	Yes	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x391879…
10-15 05:48:05	will bitcoin dip to 80k october 12 18 2026	No	BUY	10	25¢	$2	0x2595da…
10-15 05:38:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 05:35 UTC	Down	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x84aa75…
10-15 02:19:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 02:15 UTC	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x584217…
10-15 02:15:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 02:15 UTC	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x16cf37…
10-14 22:42:07	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	10	15¢	$2	0x34c6cf…
10-10 18:06:34	Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	BUY	280	1¢	$4	0x80496d…
10-10 04:23:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xd5f655…
10-01 12:22:21	Will voter turnout in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election be 80-82%?	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x777b3d…
10-01 06:44:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 06:40 UTC	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x40d187…
10-01 05:57:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 05:55 UTC	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x5e2ca6…
10-01 05:52:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 05:50 UTC	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xbd76b4…
10-01 05:52:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 05:50 UTC	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x424a43…
09-24 11:27:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-24 11:25 UTC	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x75a6ff…
09-24 11:23:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-24 11:20 UTC	Up	SELL	4	73¢	$3	0x5a9cb3…
09-24 11:21:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-24 11:20 UTC	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xdce2e0…
09-24 11:17:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-24 11:15 UTC	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xefe8d1…
09-24 11:05:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-24 11:05 UTC	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x51cade…
09-24 11:01:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-24 11:00 UTC	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x35ef86…
09-24 10:58:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	SELL	5	86¢	$4	0x71e585…
09-24 10:56:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-24 10:55 UTC	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x79d26e…
09-23 07:00:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x4f3bb0…
09-23 06:57:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	SELL	3	39¢	$1	0x20531a…
09-23 06:55:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xe99e62…
09-21 00:57:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	SELL	3	78¢	$2	0x33e07b…
09-21 00:55:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x6bbd10…
09-21 00:50:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xdb3093…
09-21 00:45:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-21 00:45 UTC	Down	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x56f760…
09-21 00:06:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xe4cb8c…
09-20 23:35:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	SELL	19	42¢	$8	0x284275…
09-20 23:35:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0x924239…
09-20 23:30:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-20 23:30 UTC	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x882ed5…
09-20 23:28:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x27a721…
09-20 23:27:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x0d0c5e…
09-20 23:24:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x3ac962…
09-20 23:19:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xa1c09c…
09-20 22:57:43	Will CA Paranaense win on 2026-09-20?	Yes	SELL	17	40¢	$7	0xd320d6…