(anonymous) 0x08fcf1…4d5488
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Realized P&L (30d)
-$0
Unrealized P&L
-$2
Hit rate
0.0%
Resolved (30d)
19
Trades (30d)
2,518
2,508 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$18.3K
$18.2K lifetime
Avg / trade
$7
Open exposure
$1
21 positions
First seen
2026-10-28
last 11-02 05:57
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 3 days
Categories
Politics
67% 0% $0
Other
31% 0% $0
Tech
1% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
6 active days in 12wk • peak 904 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? No +0 $1 84¢ $0 $0 11-01 14:38
Will Sergio Massa win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? No +0 $0 85¢ $0 $0 11-01 15:21
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +0 $0 84¢ $0 $0 11-02 05:40
Will Republicans win Iowa, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? No +0 $0 91¢ $0 $0 11-01 16:31
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day? No +0 $0 89¢ $0 $0 11-01 07:44
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +0 $0 90¢ $0 $0 11-01 15:03
Will Anthropic's market cap be less than $1.25T at market close on IPO day? No +0 $0 95¢ $0 $0 11-01 15:45
US x China agree to pace the AI frontier in 2026? No +0 $0 94¢ $0 $0 11-02 02:45
Will the Democrats win the Michigan governor race in 2026? Yes +0 $0 95¢ $0 $0 11-01 10:24
OpenAI IPO before 2027? No +0 $0 97¢ $0 $0 11-01 07:27
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +0 $0 96¢ $0 $0 11-01 15:29
Will the Democrats win the New Mexico governor race in 2026? Yes +0 $0 96¢ $0 $0 11-01 13:59
Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026? No +0 $0 96¢ $0 $0 11-01 16:43
Will there be no Hormuz agreement? Yes +0 $0 97¢ $0 $0 11-01 22:49
Will the Democrats win the New York governor race in 2026? Yes +0 $0 98¢ $0 $0 11-01 10:12
Modi out by December 31, 2026? No +0 $0 98¢ $0 $0 11-01 22:26
Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election? No +0 $0 98¢ $0 $0 11-01 15:07
Will the Republicans win the New York governor race in 2026? No +0 $0 98¢ $0 $0 11-01 10:17
Yoon out of custody before 2027? No +0 $0 97¢ $0 $0 11-01 22:31
Will the Republicans win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026? No +0 $0 98¢ $0 $0 11-01 14:55
Will Wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027? No +0 $0 98¢ $0 $0 11-01 17:01