Pesky-Technique — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$19.2K

Unrealized P&L

+$10

Hit rate

54.4%

Resolved

858

Trades

14,345

lifetime

Volume

$795.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$55

Open exposure

$28

3 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-14 14:26

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 215 days

Categories

Crypto

88% 31% -$25,492

Other

8% 26% +$6,338

Politics

4% 38% -$3

Sports

0% 50% -$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

40 active days in 12wk • peak 40 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	-30	-$15	72¢	$-22	-$7	05-28 16:15
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	-35	-$17	12¢	$-4	+$13	04-29 12:28
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	-30	-$6	8¢	$-2	+$4	07-23 14:06

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will bitcoin dip to 86k january 19 25	240	$52.2K	68,428	39,572	+28,855	No	-$166	01-26 03:53
will bitcoin reach 100k january 12 18	106	$47.1K	31,393	29,371	+2,023	No	+$4,451	01-18 22:58
will bitcoin dip to 60000 in february 694	221	$41.1K	159,878	56,713	+103,165	No	-$15,078	03-01 01:13
will bitcoin reach 75000 in february 858 936	223	$33.1K	122,230	130,148	-7,918	No	-$6,232	02-28 20:27
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2026?	67	$23.6K	51,178	9,226	+41,952	Yes	+$7,692	02-05 18:57
will microstrategy be delisted from the msci index by march 31	20	$22.1K	12,206	12,206	+0	No	+$1,137	03-01 17:29
will bitcoin dip to 90k january 12 18	127	$20.6K	59,401	7,355	+52,046	No	-$5,909	01-19 04:19
nothing ever happens microstrategy	32	$17.2K	8,033	15,581	-7,548	No	+$6,848	02-14 01:50
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	9	$17.1K	8,889	8,889	+0	No	+$30	02-13 12:49
will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in june 2026	180	$16.6K	25,131	25,131	+0	No	+$1,032	06-29 14:36
will bitcoin reach 80k february 2 8	108	$14.4K	30,752	25,826	+4,926	No	-$6,494	02-06 22:30
will bitcoin dip to 86k january 26 1	46	$14.0K	12,522	12,522	+0	Yes	+$4,990	01-29 15:41
will bitcoin reach 80000 in february 298	106	$13.6K	71,248	68,248	+3,000	No	-$3,618	02-27 11:47
Will Bitcoin hit $80k or $150k first?	23	$13.5K	794	16,007	-15,212	80k	-$2,939	01-21 20:01
will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase december 30 january 5	60	$12.2K	19,936	2,500	+17,436	Yes	+$1,652	01-05 13:54
will bitcoin dip to 55k in june 2026	137	$12.1K	34,428	34,428	+0	No	+$326	06-29 17:20
will bitcoin reach 92k january 26 1	37	$11.5K	13,155	10,149	+3,006	No	+$1,537	01-30 19:35
will bitcoin dip to 55k in march 2026	181	$10.6K	104,997	3,000	+101,997	No	-$9,454	03-28 06:36
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 by December 31, 2026?	9	$10.1K	15,000	0	+15,000	Yes	+$4,870	01-25 11:22
will bitcoin reach 72k february 23 march 1	122	$9.5K	146,370	50,371	+95,998	No	+$1,114	03-01 19:48
will bitcoin reach 72k february 9 15	326	$9.2K	46,548	18,083	+28,465	No	+$2,987	02-15 23:11
will bitcoin dip to 60k in march 2026	193	$8.8K	57,689	16,312	+41,377	No	-$3,956	03-30 14:06
will bitcoin reach 98k january 12 18	75	$8.6K	12,750	12,249	+500	No	+$885	01-18 17:57
will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase january 13 19	55	$8.5K	11,916	6,458	+5,458	No	+$4,134	01-18 22:11
will bitcoin dip to 84k january 26 1	38	$7.7K	10,934	10,529	+405	Yes	+$2,905	01-29 16:37
bitcoin above 68k on february 9	230	$7.7K	26,034	16,867	+9,167	Yes	+$1,759	02-09 16:34
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	47	$7.6K	5,000	4,498	+502	No	-$40	01-14 13:15
will hyperliquid hit 38 in january	45	$7.4K	14,081	4,079	+10,002	No	-$716	02-01 03:40
will bitcoin dip to 90k january 5 11	28	$7.4K	8,000	7,000	+1,000	Yes	+$1,695	01-08 06:50
will bitcoin reach 85k in february 2026	76	$6.6K	43,339	36,587	+6,752	No	-$719	02-27 11:47

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-14 14:26:41	will bitcoin reach 88k october 12 18 2026	Yes	SELL	650	4¢	$24	0xe03378…
10-14 14:26:26	will bitcoin reach 90k october 12 18 2026	Yes	SELL	2,000	2¢	$39	0x95a895…
10-14 00:16:57	Will Bitcoin reach $92,000 October 12-18?	Yes	SELL	250	2¢	$5	0x4cd7d8…
10-14 00:16:13	Will Bitcoin reach $92,000 October 12-18?	Yes	SELL	760	2¢	$16	0x7d89d0…
10-14 00:15:22	Will Bitcoin reach $92,000 October 12-18?	Yes	SELL	990	2¢	$22	0xe9410e…
10-13 07:19:26	Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 October 12-18?	Yes	SELL	50	22¢	$11	0xf7aa09…
10-13 05:23:38	Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 October 12-18?	Yes	SELL	45	20¢	$9	0x25b995…
10-13 05:21:06	Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 October 12-18?	Yes	SELL	5	20¢	$1	0xbae7fb…
10-13 05:09:53	Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 October 12-18?	Yes	SELL	125	18¢	$22	0x8edfa7…
10-13 03:44:20	Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 October 12-18?	Yes	SELL	125	16¢	$20	0xe33371…
10-13 00:05:15	Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 October 12-18?	Yes	BUY	28	8¢	$2	0xe0b06a…
10-13 00:05:15	Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 October 12-18?	Yes	BUY	1	8¢	$0	0xc89e25…
10-12 22:59:06	Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 October 12-18?	Yes	BUY	352	11¢	$39	0x360e63…
10-12 19:44:06	Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 October 12-18?	Yes	BUY	148	11¢	$16	0x1b7cca…
10-12 14:17:02	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 October 12-18?	Yes	BUY	198	6¢	$12	0x8e1cf7…
10-12 13:53:42	Will Bitcoin reach $92,000 October 12-18?	Yes	BUY	25	3¢	$1	0x35be98…
10-12 13:34:59	Will Bitcoin reach $92,000 October 12-18?	Yes	BUY	29	3¢	$1	0xcf40f0…
10-12 13:34:06	Will Bitcoin reach $92,000 October 12-18?	Yes	BUY	25	3¢	$1	0x3d4185…
10-12 13:33:21	Will Bitcoin reach $92,000 October 12-18?	Yes	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xa1dcbf…
10-12 13:32:27	Will Bitcoin reach $92,000 October 12-18?	Yes	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xa1b241…
10-12 13:31:27	Will Bitcoin reach $92,000 October 12-18?	Yes	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xe2287c…
10-12 13:30:38	Will Bitcoin reach $92,000 October 12-18?	Yes	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x80b841…
10-12 13:29:42	Will Bitcoin reach $92,000 October 12-18?	Yes	BUY	22	3¢	$1	0x225976…
10-12 13:28:47	Will Bitcoin reach $92,000 October 12-18?	Yes	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x8fe067…
10-12 13:27:51	Will Bitcoin reach $92,000 October 12-18?	Yes	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xed6aef…
10-12 13:03:05	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 October 12-18?	Yes	BUY	213	6¢	$13	0xf1961f…
10-12 12:44:48	Will Bitcoin reach $92,000 October 12-18?	Yes	BUY	280	3¢	$8	0xfca5ce…
10-12 12:44:35	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 October 12-18?	Yes	BUY	280	6¢	$17	0x43070b…
10-12 12:38:56	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 October 12-18?	Yes	BUY	33	6¢	$2	0x2caf3d…
10-12 12:38:24	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 October 12-18?	Yes	BUY	26	6¢	$2	0x2f7ada…
10-12 12:36:44	Will Bitcoin reach $92,000 October 12-18?	Yes	BUY	20	3¢	$1	0xe4968a…
10-12 12:35:59	Will Bitcoin reach $92,000 October 12-18?	Yes	BUY	20	3¢	$1	0x0ced24…
10-12 12:35:11	Will Bitcoin reach $92,000 October 12-18?	Yes	BUY	20	3¢	$1	0xcefe6b…
10-12 12:19:48	Will Bitcoin reach $92,000 October 12-18?	Yes	BUY	361	3¢	$11	0xd39af1…
10-12 12:11:15	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 October 12-18?	Yes	BUY	33	10¢	$3	0x0be144…
10-12 12:10:32	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 October 12-18?	Yes	BUY	35	10¢	$3	0xe1bdf8…
10-12 12:10:11	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 October 12-18?	Yes	BUY	35	10¢	$3	0xa39e43…
10-12 11:14:03	Will Bitcoin reach $92,000 October 12-18?	Yes	BUY	18	4¢	$1	0x912e6b…
10-12 10:42:03	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 October 12-18?	Yes	BUY	280	10¢	$28	0x58fadf…
10-12 10:41:12	Will Bitcoin reach $92,000 October 12-18?	Yes	BUY	280	4¢	$11	0x469a23…
10-12 09:49:28	Will Bitcoin reach $92,000 October 12-18?	Yes	BUY	104	4¢	$4	0xf26468…
10-12 09:49:07	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 October 12-18?	Yes	BUY	111	10¢	$11	0xd2ead0…
10-12 09:41:07	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 October 12-18?	Yes	BUY	6	10¢	$1	0x2b7f05…
10-12 09:25:59	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 October 12-18?	Yes	BUY	118	12¢	$14	0x57935b…
10-12 08:59:42	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 October 12-18?	Yes	BUY	7	12¢	$1	0xeb8eb0…
10-12 08:59:40	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 October 12-18?	Yes	BUY	71	13¢	$9	0x9789fe…
10-12 08:46:16	Will Bitcoin reach $92,000 October 12-18?	Yes	BUY	32	4¢	$1	0x7dfb57…
10-12 08:46:00	Will Bitcoin reach $92,000 October 12-18?	Yes	BUY	32	4¢	$1	0xd1d583…
10-12 08:45:34	Will Bitcoin reach $92,000 October 12-18?	Yes	BUY	32	4¢	$1	0xa4e693…
10-12 07:41:49	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 October 12-18?	Yes	BUY	54	13¢	$7	0x461ab7…
10-12 07:33:16	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 October 12-18?	Yes	BUY	500	14¢	$70	0x4c2a59…
10-12 07:32:44	Will Bitcoin reach $92,000 October 12-18?	Yes	BUY	500	5¢	$25	0xc26925…
10-08 15:41:32	Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	71¢	$36	0xd5f6f3…
10-08 15:41:26	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	259	85¢	$219	0x9b225a…
10-08 15:40:08	Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	72¢	$36	0xc518cb…
10-08 15:39:27	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	91	85¢	$77	0xa1789c…
10-08 15:37:29	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	350	85¢	$296	0x62e0ae…
10-08 15:36:29	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on October 9?	Yes	SELL	1,000	0¢	$1	0x61c9ac…
10-08 15:36:21	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 9?	Yes	SELL	1,000	0¢	$2	0x78b1b9…
10-08 15:34:38	Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in October?	Yes	SELL	500	17¢	$85	0x4cf4cd…
10-08 15:29:56	Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in October?	Yes	SELL	250	10¢	$25	0x081ca7…
10-08 15:29:18	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 October 5-11?	Yes	SELL	655	1¢	$5	0xd537f1…
10-08 15:28:51	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 October 5-11?	Yes	SELL	550	1¢	$6	0x0f3904…
10-08 15:28:32	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 October 5-11?	Yes	SELL	297	1¢	$4	0xf60862…
10-07 22:41:29	Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in October?	Yes	BUY	67	13¢	$9	0x4781ca…
10-07 17:41:00	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 October 5-11?	Yes	BUY	500	3¢	$14	0xb436c2…
10-07 16:09:16	Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in October?	Yes	BUY	6	13¢	$1	0xee1efa…
10-07 16:09:14	Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in October?	Yes	BUY	39	13¢	$5	0x5dd7a4…
10-07 16:07:08	Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in October?	Yes	BUY	25	13¢	$3	0xe9dbd3…
10-07 15:34:20	Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in October?	Yes	BUY	113	13¢	$15	0x25659d…
10-07 12:45:56	Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in October?	Yes	BUY	250	25¢	$62	0xe5a953…
10-07 12:28:10	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 9?	Yes	BUY	7	3¢	$0	0x3412a1…
10-07 11:18:53	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 9?	Yes	BUY	493	3¢	$16	0x1f9ecb…
10-07 11:13:56	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 9?	Yes	BUY	500	4¢	$19	0xa0d0e9…
10-07 11:11:59	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 October 5-11?	Yes	BUY	500	4¢	$18	0x565b8f…
10-07 09:17:06	Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in October?	Yes	BUY	109	28¢	$30	0xbd345b…
10-07 06:49:06	Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in October?	Yes	BUY	13	28¢	$4	0xb204f3…
10-07 02:09:26	Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in October?	Yes	BUY	100	29¢	$29	0xaacb5f…
10-07 02:08:24	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 October 5-11?	Yes	BUY	500	10¢	$50	0x9f6ebb…
10-07 02:05:09	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 October 5-11?	Yes	BUY	2	9¢	$0	0x1a1d7b…
10-07 02:05:08	Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in October?	Yes	BUY	29	28¢	$8	0x63a2e8…
10-07 02:02:53	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on October 9?	Yes	BUY	1,000	2¢	$20	0x345008…
09-22 14:02:09	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 on September 22?	Yes	SELL	100	2¢	$2	0xdeafff…
09-22 13:58:31	Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 on September 22?	Yes	SELL	100	20¢	$20	0xdb762f…
09-22 13:30:46	Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 on September 22?	Yes	BUY	1	11¢	$0	0xed69df…
09-22 13:28:13	Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 on September 22?	Yes	BUY	124	11¢	$14	0x8db1b7…
09-22 12:18:34	Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 on September 22?	Yes	BUY	125	15¢	$19	0x561c00…
09-22 12:17:46	Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 on September 22?	Yes	BUY	50	16¢	$8	0xb3bb21…
09-22 11:19:37	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 on September 22?	Yes	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x3c22d1…
09-22 02:28:27	will bitcoin reach 88k on september 21 2026	Yes	BUY	350	1¢	$2	0xec4b3f…
09-22 00:51:10	will bitcoin reach 88k on september 21 2026	Yes	BUY	250	2¢	$6	0xa06d53…
09-22 00:24:54	will bitcoin reach 88k on september 21 2026	Yes	BUY	239	6¢	$14	0x418fdf…
09-22 00:19:58	will bitcoin reach 88k on september 21 2026	Yes	BUY	11	6¢	$1	0xb5447e…
09-22 00:12:01	will bitcoin reach 88k on september 21 2026	Yes	BUY	125	8¢	$10	0x7ec124…
09-22 00:04:45	will bitcoin reach 88k on september 21 2026	Yes	BUY	11	6¢	$1	0x409ebe…
09-21 12:38:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 21?	Yes	SELL	100	84¢	$84	0x7c3f57…
09-21 00:31:44	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 September 14-20?	Yes	SELL	50	67¢	$33	0xd9280a…
09-20 16:31:30	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 September 14-20?	Yes	SELL	50	32¢	$16	0x6bf1a9…
09-20 14:17:42	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 21?	Yes	BUY	100	3¢	$3	0x05dcbb…
09-20 14:17:22	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 20?	No	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0xf18a22…