Glum-Archer — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$30

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

94.1%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$5.14K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$151

Open exposure

$51

1 position

First seen

2026-01-06

last 10-18 06:08

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 23 days

Categories

Other

63% 94% +$3

Crypto

19% 100% +$14

Politics

18% 100% +$14

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Trump out as President before 2027?	No		+52	$50	97¢	$51	+$1	10-18 06:08

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
si hit 150 high jan 2026	1	$357	360	0	+360	No	+$3	01-25 06:22
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	2	$309	193	120	+73	No	+$4	06-27 13:40
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	2	$301	181	181	+0	No	-$39	05-12 03:40
nvda above 205 on january 9 2026	1	$250	255	0	+255	No	+$5	01-06 08:25
Crude Oil all time high by April 30?	1	$250	254	0	+254	No	+$4	04-25 04:43
will ethereum dip to 1700 february 23 march 1	1	$233	239	0	+239	No	+$6	03-01 13:00
Starmer out by March 31, 2026?	1	$233	237	0	+237	No	+$4	03-22 11:40
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by May 31?	1	$212	214	0	+214	No	+$2	05-11 13:14
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in August?	1	$200	202	0	+202	No	+$2	08-24 10:49
bitcoin up or down on july 13 2026	1	$200	202	0	+202	Down	+$2	07-13 13:26
russia x ukraine ceasefire by february 28 2026	1	$188	192	0	+192	No	+$4	02-09 10:17
will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase april 7 13	1	$178	181	0	+181	Yes	+$3	04-09 14:08
will silver si hit high 190 by end of february 182	1	$175	176	0	+176	No	+$1	02-09 10:17
iran leadership change by august 31 669 893	1	$170	175	0	+175	No	+$5	08-11 07:29
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?	1	$170	175	0	+175	No	+$5	06-02 08:10
us obtains iranian enriched uranium by july 31 20260610164403871 511	1	$170	171	0	+171	No	+$1	07-13 13:24
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	1	$140	141	0	+141	No	+$1	05-12 03:41
Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by May 31?	1	$137	141	0	+141	No	+$4	05-23 15:07
will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	1	$135	137	0	+137	No	+$2	03-01 13:01
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?	1	$133	134	0	+134	No	+$1	04-09 13:23
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	1	$130	131	0	+131	No	+$1	09-10 11:56
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	1	$128	129	0	+129	No	+$1	09-20 08:51
ethereum above 1800 on august 11 2026	1	$110	111	0	+111	Yes	+$1	08-11 07:30
Will Netanyahu be pardoned by June 30?	1	$110	111	0	+111	No	+$1	06-27 13:41
elon musk of tweets december 30 january 6 600 619	1	$105	105	0	+105	No	+$0	01-06 08:22
will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 15 881 867	1	$90	91	0	+91	No	+$1	08-11 07:30
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026?	1	$81	82	0	+82	No	+$1	10-18 06:08
LoL: RED Canids vs KT Rolster (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage	1	$74	78	0	+78	KT Rolster	+$4	10-04 07:43
will bitcoin dip to 60k april 6 12	2	$66	67	0	+67	No	+$1	04-09 13:56
Gemini 4.0 released by October 5, 2026?	1	$60	62	0	+62	No	+$2	10-04 07:43

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-18 06:08:39	US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	82	99¢	$81	0x2d9902…
10-18 06:08:17	Trump out as President before 2027?	No	BUY	52	96¢	$50	0x234017…
10-04 07:43:43	Gemini 4.0 released by October 5, 2026?	No	BUY	62	97¢	$60	0xf3971a…
10-04 07:43:20	LoL: RED Canids vs KT Rolster (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage	KT Rolster	BUY	78	95¢	$74	0x1aeb25…
09-20 08:51:55	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	BUY	129	100¢	$128	0x8909bb…
09-10 11:56:33	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	131	99¢	$130	0xe7f9bd…
08-24 10:49:39	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in August?	No	BUY	202	99¢	$200	0x53a353…
08-11 07:30:33	ethereum above 1800 on august 11 2026	Yes	BUY	111	99¢	$110	0xfccabe…
08-11 07:30:01	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 15 881 867	No	BUY	91	99¢	$90	0x044cba…
08-11 07:29:01	iran leadership change by august 31 669 893	No	BUY	175	97¢	$170	0xced255…
07-13 13:26:32	bitcoin up or down on july 13 2026	Down	BUY	202	99¢	$200	0x303831…
07-13 13:24:53	us obtains iranian enriched uranium by july 31 20260610164403871 511	No	BUY	171	99¢	$170	0xd76a37…
06-27 13:41:35	Will Netanyahu be pardoned by June 30?	No	BUY	111	99¢	$110	0xfb332e…
06-27 13:40:41	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	120	100¢	$120	0x3cb2b9…
06-02 08:10:17	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	175	97¢	$170	0xc263a9…
06-02 08:09:53	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	193	98¢	$189	0xa9a72c…
05-23 15:07:47	Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by May 31?	No	BUY	141	97¢	$137	0x46b81b…
05-12 03:41:30	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	141	99¢	$140	0x1bbb29…
05-12 03:40:47	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	181	72¢	$131	0x9026f4…
05-11 13:14:12	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by May 31?	No	BUY	214	99¢	$212	0xd0049f…
05-11 13:13:20	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	181	94¢	$170	0xa02358…
04-25 04:43:16	Crude Oil all time high by April 30?	No	BUY	254	99¢	$250	0xf3aa12…
04-09 14:08:09	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase april 7 13	Yes	BUY	181	98¢	$178	0xdb8a23…
04-09 13:56:09	will bitcoin dip to 60k april 6 12	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xf2c455…
04-09 13:36:23	will bitcoin dip to 60k april 6 12	No	BUY	61	99¢	$60	0x432558…
04-09 13:23:53	Will the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	134	99¢	$133	0x2ad198…
03-22 11:40:41	Starmer out by March 31, 2026?	No	BUY	237	98¢	$233	0x5c9a00…
03-01 13:01:11	will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	No	BUY	137	99¢	$135	0x424209…
03-01 13:00:37	will ethereum dip to 1700 february 23 march 1	No	BUY	239	98¢	$233	0xaabbd4…
02-09 10:17:43	russia x ukraine ceasefire by february 28 2026	No	BUY	192	98¢	$188	0x011ddd…
02-09 10:17:01	will silver si hit high 190 by end of february 182	No	BUY	176	99¢	$175	0xa8b3a9…
01-25 06:22:18	si hit 150 high jan 2026	No	BUY	360	99¢	$357	0x4100ff…
01-06 08:25:57	nvda above 205 on january 9 2026	No	BUY	255	98¢	$250	0xca3f22…
01-06 08:22:59	elon musk of tweets december 30 january 6 600 619	No	BUY	105	100¢	$105	0x6f0990…