Cumbersome-Aspect — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$157

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

14.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$216

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-21

last 05-14 06:30

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Other

71% 10% -$144

Crypto

20% 33% -$7

Politics

5% 0% -$3

Tech

4% 0% -$3

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-14).

Open positions Resolved markets (20) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	5	$89	27,982	0	+27,982	Yes	-$89	04-28 08:28
Bitcoin above 76,000 on April 30, 12AM ET?	2	$25	13	13	+0	No	+$1	04-30 04:04
Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	14	$24	2,809	0	+2,809	No	-$24	05-11 23:17
Will Elon Musk post 1000-1039 tweets in April 2026?	9	$15	6,038	0	+6,038	No	-$15	04-30 16:25
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?	2	$13	100	0	+100	No	-$13	04-30 19:26
Will Trump and Xi handshake last 10–15 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026?	2	$9	5	5	+0	Yes	$0	05-14 06:04
Will Anthropic provide Mythos to the US government by April 30, 2026?	2	$8	30	30	+0	Yes	-$3	04-30 17:05
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on April 30?	18	$5	2,000	2,000	+0	Yes	-$1	04-30 02:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	1	$5	468	0	+468	Down	-$5	05-14 06:30
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	1	$4	20	0	+20	No	-$4	05-04 02:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	4	$4	10	0	+10	Down	-$4	05-01 11:26
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?	3	$3	1,175	0	+1,175	No	-$3	04-30 16:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	1	$3	5	0	+5	Up	+$2	04-30 02:42
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	1	$2	10	0	+10	Yes	+$8	05-04 02:48
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	1	$2	10	0	+10	No	-$2	05-04 02:49
Will Trump say "Sleepy Joe" this week?	1	$2	1,555	0	+1,555	Yes	-$2	05-12 04:23
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 1?	2	$1	340	340	+0	Yes	-$1	04-30 01:33
Will Trump and Xi handshake last 6–10 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026?	1	$1	1,200	0	+1,200	No	-$1	05-14 05:43
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	1	$1	1,000	0	+1,000	No	-$1	04-28 04:07
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	1	$1	1,000	0	+1,000	No	-$1	04-28 04:09

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-14 06:30:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	468	1¢	$5	0x180015…
05-14 06:04:55	Will Trump and Xi handshake last 10–15 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	90¢	$4	0xdb92d4…
05-14 05:59:46	Will Trump and Xi handshake last 10–15 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x3c2f04…
05-14 05:43:38	Will Trump and Xi handshake last 6–10 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,200	0¢	$1	0x60b1f2…
05-12 04:23:46	Will Trump say "Sleepy Joe" this week?	No	BUY	1,555	0¢	$2	0x658bbe…
05-11 23:17:33	Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0xf7fd5c…
05-10 22:01:19	Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	Yes	BUY	99	1¢	$1	0xd7fae2…
05-10 22:00:00	Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	Yes	BUY	225	1¢	$3	0x55661c…
05-10 21:59:25	Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	Yes	BUY	400	1¢	$5	0x5717f4…
05-10 21:58:57	Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	Yes	BUY	400	1¢	$5	0x31bfbe…
05-10 21:58:38	Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	Yes	BUY	22	1¢	$0	0xda4e3e…
05-10 21:55:26	Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	Yes	BUY	12	1¢	$0	0x8310a2…
05-09 11:41:01	Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xb10a16…
05-09 11:16:26	Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	Yes	BUY	120	1¢	$1	0xf6f195…
05-09 11:16:12	Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	Yes	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0x5c9c44…
05-09 11:15:59	Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	Yes	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0xc464e1…
05-09 11:10:37	Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	Yes	BUY	19	1¢	$0	0x088d32…
05-09 11:10:09	Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	Yes	BUY	293	1¢	$2	0x6323e5…
05-09 11:08:52	Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	Yes	BUY	219	1¢	$1	0x2f812b…
05-04 02:49:22	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	18¢	$2	0xe41a15…
05-04 02:48:54	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x043e6b…
05-04 02:25:42	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	20¢	$4	0xa8062d…
05-01 11:26:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x8f7585…
05-01 11:26:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x75b6ee…
05-01 11:26:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	36¢	$1	0x327a9e…
05-01 11:26:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	36¢	$1	0x1ccd00…
04-30 19:26:38	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?	Yes	BUY	90	11¢	$10	0x2aa34f…
04-30 17:05:22	Will Anthropic provide Mythos to the US government by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	30	8¢	$2	0xbc3767…
04-30 16:56:56	Will Anthropic provide Mythos to the US government by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	30	18¢	$5	0xefc03e…
04-30 16:47:56	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x28cd75…
04-30 16:25:34	Will Elon Musk post 1000-1039 tweets in April 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$2	0xef9a95…
04-30 16:22:34	Will Elon Musk post 1000-1039 tweets in April 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,390	0¢	$1	0x2a4b82…
04-30 16:21:46	Will Elon Musk post 1000-1039 tweets in April 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0xe43ed1…
04-30 16:21:46	Will Elon Musk post 1000-1039 tweets in April 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	0¢	$0	0x3a1c51…
04-30 16:17:10	Will Elon Musk post 1000-1039 tweets in April 2026?	Yes	BUY	465	0¢	$1	0x89659e…
04-30 16:16:54	Will Elon Musk post 1000-1039 tweets in April 2026?	Yes	BUY	610	0¢	$1	0x57d09e…
04-30 16:16:26	Will Elon Musk post 1000-1039 tweets in April 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,000	0¢	$2	0xe93e3b…
04-30 15:01:52	Will Elon Musk post 1000-1039 tweets in April 2026?	Yes	BUY	38	19¢	$7	0x81ab91…
04-30 14:31:14	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?	Yes	BUY	335	0¢	$1	0x6317af…
04-30 14:26:50	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0xa4515e…
04-30 14:24:50	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?	Yes	BUY	340	0¢	$1	0xd0efb3…
04-30 04:04:26	Bitcoin above 76,000 on April 30, 12AM ET?	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x67fe46…
04-30 03:58:44	Bitcoin above 76,000 on April 30, 12AM ET?	No	BUY	13	96¢	$12	0xf4446e…
04-30 02:42:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x1a0c22…
04-30 02:23:36	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on April 30?	No	SELL	1,000	0¢	$1	0xe53f1c…
04-30 02:20:24	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on April 30?	No	BUY	34	0¢	$0	0xa2c2e1…
04-30 02:19:50	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on April 30?	No	BUY	23	0¢	$0	0xe44f03…
04-30 02:19:48	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on April 30?	No	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x6be800…
04-30 02:19:46	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on April 30?	No	BUY	125	0¢	$0	0x45da15…
04-30 02:19:22	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on April 30?	No	BUY	15	0¢	$0	0xf97824…
04-30 02:19:22	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on April 30?	No	BUY	14	0¢	$0	0xab52dc…
04-30 02:19:20	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on April 30?	No	BUY	15	0¢	$0	0x1cfad0…
04-30 02:19:18	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on April 30?	No	BUY	15	0¢	$0	0x958f86…
04-30 02:19:18	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on April 30?	No	BUY	15	0¢	$0	0x578d1e…
04-30 02:19:16	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on April 30?	No	BUY	15	0¢	$0	0xf14539…
04-30 02:19:14	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on April 30?	No	BUY	15	0¢	$0	0x8e1b48…
04-30 02:19:14	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on April 30?	No	BUY	15	0¢	$0	0x606f97…
04-30 02:19:12	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on April 30?	No	BUY	15	0¢	$0	0xa12205…
04-30 02:19:12	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on April 30?	No	BUY	15	0¢	$0	0x009bfe…
04-30 02:17:50	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on April 30?	No	BUY	664	0¢	$1	0xaf553f…
04-30 02:15:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on April 30?	No	SELL	1,000	0¢	$1	0xd8fa61…
04-30 01:33:34	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 1?	No	SELL	340	0¢	$0	0x804d74…
04-30 01:06:54	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on April 30?	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x16cbe7…
04-30 01:03:40	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 1?	No	BUY	340	0¢	$1	0x8f5880…
04-28 08:28:14	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	7,105	0¢	$14	0x1d1fd2…
04-28 04:09:10	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xfde91f…
04-28 04:07:44	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x2670ae…
04-27 08:17:56	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	8,090	0¢	$16	0x8a4f59…
04-26 08:53:52	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	4,833	0¢	$14	0xffbf37…
04-25 21:18:58	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	4,000	0¢	$16	0x63209d…
04-21 21:19:56	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	3,954	1¢	$28	0x208d1c…