Lively-Moai — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$101

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

63.6%

Resolved

541

Trades

855

lifetime

Volume

$2.25K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-27

last 06-18 02:08

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 41 days

Categories

Other

84% 40% -$62

Politics

9% 62% -$38

Crypto

6% 68% +$4

Sports

1% 40% -$4

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-18).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 32°C on May 9?	3	$59	31	31	+0	No	+$3	05-09 05:25
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on May 10?	2	$53	28	28	+0	No	+$3	05-10 11:04
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 33°C on May 7?	4	$50	41	31	+10	Yes	+$13	05-07 10:16
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on May 11?	3	$42	22	22	+0	No	+$2	05-11 08:17
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on May 4?	2	$36	31	31	+0	Yes	+$26	05-04 13:34
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 33°C on May 3?	7	$35	169	0	+169	No	-$35	05-03 06:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	6	$35	28	28	+0	Up	+$5	05-09 07:54
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on May 11?	5	$34	25	25	+0	Yes	-$6	05-11 06:25
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 34°C on May 7?	4	$32	31	15	+16	No	-$2	05-07 10:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	5	$28	23	17	+6	Up	+$4	05-09 08:18
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 35°C on May 2?	11	$23	51	0	+51	No	+$28	05-02 05:20
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on May 4?	2	$21	16	16	+0	Yes	+$11	05-04 13:34
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 33°C on May 2?	6	$20	71	0	+71	Yes	+$50	05-02 05:33
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on May 24?	5	$20	22	10	+12	No	$0	05-24 04:23
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	3	$20	25	0	+25	No	+$5	05-13 11:15
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 15 2889	2	$19	23	0	+23	Yes	-$19	06-11 00:18
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C or higher on May 13?	3	$17	11	11	+0	No	-$4	05-12 23:33
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?	2	$17	23	0	+23	No	+$5	06-01 07:30
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on May 5?	2	$17	16	16	+0	Yes	+$15	05-05 07:39
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on May 22?	2	$16	8	8	+0	No	+$0	05-22 02:05
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 28?	1	$15	19	0	+19	No	+$4	05-26 10:06
Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?	1	$15	18	0	+18	Yes	-$15	05-31 12:14
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?	1	$15	22	0	+22	No	+$7	05-30 10:21
Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 15?	2	$15	21	0	+21	Yes	-$15	06-09 01:18
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 30?	1	$15	17	0	+17	No	+$2	05-28 05:57
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on May 8?	6	$15	30	4	+27	No	-$7	05-08 08:01
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on May 11?	2	$14	7	7	+0	No	+$0	05-11 02:35
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 32°C on May 11?	2	$14	7	7	+0	No	+$0	05-11 05:43
Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by May 31?	1	$14	16	0	+16	No	+$2	05-30 11:07
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 13?	2	$14	7	7	+0	No	+$0	05-13 05:58

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-18 02:08:11	ufc max1 con 2026 07 11	Max Holloway	BUY	12	67¢	$8	0x6dad20…
06-11 00:18:43	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 15 2889	No	BUY	11	85¢	$9	0x6556a6…
06-10 09:29:58	Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?	Yes	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xc4f809…
06-10 09:29:18	Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?	Yes	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x3af994…
06-09 01:18:06	trump declassifies new ufo files by june 15	No	BUY	16	79¢	$13	0x2e04bb…
06-09 01:17:10	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 15 2889	No	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0x95f6eb…
06-09 01:16:51	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0xa0b2d8…
06-04 07:38:00	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	8	87¢	$7	0xf194da…
06-04 07:37:48	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 12 2482	No	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x9a2a30…
06-04 07:37:06	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 9	No	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0xf5220d…
06-01 07:35:27	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?	No	BUY	11	85¢	$9	0x4b691d…
06-01 07:33:49	Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 15?	No	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x3100e7…
06-01 07:30:28	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?	No	BUY	19	78¢	$15	0x3f8f97…
05-31 12:15:17	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?	No	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0x8b74d0…
05-31 12:14:56	Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?	No	BUY	18	83¢	$15	0xc701fe…
05-30 11:07:45	Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by May 31?	No	BUY	16	88¢	$14	0xc12ab6…
05-30 10:21:42	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?	No	BUY	22	69¢	$15	0x34a017…
05-28 06:55:45	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	No	BUY	10	85¢	$9	0x1ff157…
05-28 05:57:47	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 30?	No	BUY	17	89¢	$15	0xec639c…
05-28 05:57:32	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?	No	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0xb13adc…
05-27 01:56:01	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on May 27?	Yes	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x0c01bb…
05-27 01:55:57	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on May 27?	Yes	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x4ba81e…
05-27 01:53:16	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on May 27?	No	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x82b24d…
05-27 01:52:25	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 38°C on May 27?	Yes	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x6e8f0c…
05-27 01:52:24	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on May 27?	Yes	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x76ea76…
05-26 15:38:43	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on May 27?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x1cf2b6…
05-26 15:38:13	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on May 27?	Yes	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x37e678…
05-26 15:38:10	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on May 27?	Yes	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x727f6b…
05-26 10:06:50	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 28?	No	BUY	19	80¢	$15	0x50ec43…
05-26 02:35:18	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 27?	No	BUY	9	77¢	$7	0x6ae172…
05-26 02:29:51	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 26?	No	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0xe08a0a…
05-26 02:24:20	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on May 26?	Yes	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x00230a…
05-26 02:23:55	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on May 26?	Yes	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x5483dc…
05-26 02:22:14	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on May 26?	Yes	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xe1f871…
05-26 02:18:33	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on May 26?	No	SELL	5	59¢	$3	0xe5b07e…
05-26 02:17:44	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on May 26?	No	SELL	5	63¢	$3	0x9af02d…
05-25 17:08:55	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 18°C on May 25?	Yes	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xf5ab56…
05-25 10:03:54	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on May 26?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xdc1aa1…
05-25 10:03:22	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 38°C on May 26?	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x39b871…
05-25 10:03:19	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on May 26?	Yes	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x6dd790…
05-25 10:00:25	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 23°C or below on May 26?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x482ad5…
05-25 10:00:20	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on May 26?	Yes	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x0f3de7…
05-25 10:00:17	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on May 26?	Yes	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x58c18f…
05-25 09:58:33	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on May 26?	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xb1bcac…
05-25 09:58:30	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on May 26?	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x0dd12a…
05-25 09:58:12	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on May 26?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xfb5ca1…
05-25 09:58:09	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on May 26?	No	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0xb82415…
05-25 09:56:52	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on May 26?	No	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0xcf714d…
05-25 09:56:41	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on May 26?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x6e2579…
05-25 09:55:16	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on May 26?	Yes	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xb15497…
05-25 09:55:10	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on May 26?	Yes	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xfbb4f3…
05-25 09:46:32	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 17°C on May 25?	Yes	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x5daed7…
05-25 09:46:31	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 18°C on May 25?	Yes	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x348013…
05-25 09:44:53	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on May 25?	Yes	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x4edf9d…
05-25 09:44:49	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on May 25?	Yes	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x4b6798…
05-25 09:44:44	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on May 25?	Yes	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x1aa037…
05-25 03:00:10	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on May 25?	Yes	SELL	5	8¢	$0	0x62b9ae…
05-25 02:53:24	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on May 25?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xc39f0f…
05-25 02:36:23	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on May 25?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x0b5dfd…
05-25 02:36:18	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on May 25?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x334a23…
05-24 14:16:01	Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on May 24?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x6c0859…
05-24 14:15:54	Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on May 24?	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x21041e…
05-24 14:11:18	Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on May 25?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x11044d…
05-24 14:11:06	Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on May 25?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x730eeb…
05-24 14:11:00	Will the highest temperature in London be 34°C on May 25?	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x7d69ae…
05-24 14:10:57	Will the highest temperature in London be 33°C on May 25?	Yes	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xdc772d…
05-24 14:05:52	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on May 25?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x5b290e…
05-24 14:05:37	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on May 25?	Yes	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x322f42…
05-24 14:05:33	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on May 25?	Yes	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x5e288b…
05-24 13:57:30	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on May 25?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x6d13db…
05-24 13:56:50	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on May 25?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x3a5faa…
05-24 13:56:41	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on May 25?	Yes	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x1a5f3a…
05-24 13:56:38	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on May 25?	Yes	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x53de7f…
05-24 13:52:29	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on May 25?	Yes	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xcb1a18…
05-24 13:50:25	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on May 25?	Yes	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xd04071…
05-24 13:50:11	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on May 25?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xc48ef1…
05-24 13:35:31	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 18°C on May 24?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0xacca9a…
05-24 08:48:41	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on May 24?	Yes	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x29d8a1…
05-24 08:48:36	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 17°C on May 24?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x6712f3…
05-24 04:25:54	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on May 24?	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x0749fa…
05-24 04:24:28	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C or higher on May 24?	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x87bccd…
05-24 04:24:02	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on May 24?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x2a2d7d…
05-24 04:23:56	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on May 24?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x2eb83d…
05-24 04:06:09	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on May 24?	Yes	BUY	1	22¢	$0	0xca9ee5…
05-24 04:06:09	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on May 24?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x97bebe…
05-24 01:55:17	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on May 24?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xd3864f…
05-24 01:49:49	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on May 24?	Yes	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x5c0bfe…
05-24 01:49:21	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on May 24?	Yes	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xa01390…
05-24 01:48:27	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 18°C on May 24?	No	BUY	4	77¢	$3	0xfccc15…
05-24 01:47:29	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 20°C on May 24?	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xfb95f1…
05-24 01:47:22	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 19°C on May 24?	Yes	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x30381c…
05-24 01:45:55	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 17°C on May 24?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x972d13…
05-23 12:40:59	Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on May 23?	Yes	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0xd25eea…
05-23 11:01:42	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on May 24?	Yes	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0x92238f…
05-23 10:40:09	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 21°C on May 23?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xec6461…
05-23 10:40:03	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 22°C on May 23?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xd841e6…
05-23 10:39:58	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 20°C on May 23?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x45f928…
05-23 07:46:55	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on May 24?	No	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0x21c52d…
05-23 07:46:48	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on May 24?	No	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0x12e8de…
05-23 07:24:07	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on May 24?	No	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0xaae670…